Large Trajectory Models are Scalable Motion Predictors and Planners

Motion prediction and planning are vital tasks in autonomous driving, and recent efforts have shifted to machine learning-based approaches. The challenges include understanding diverse road topologies, reasoning traffic dynamics over a long time horizon, interpreting heterogeneous behaviors, and generating policies in a large continuous state space. Inspired by the success of large language models in addressing similar complexities through model scaling, we introduce a scalable trajectory model called State Transformer (STR). STR reformulates the motion prediction and motion planning problems by arranging observations, states, and actions into one unified sequence modeling task. With a simple model design, STR consistently outperforms baseline approaches in both problems. Remarkably, experimental results reveal that large trajectory models (LTMs), such as STR, adhere to the scaling laws by presenting outstanding adaptability and learning efficiency. Qualitative results further demonstrate that LTMs are capable of making plausible predictions in scenarios that diverge significantly from the training data distribution. LTMs also learn to make complex reasonings for long-term planning, without explicit loss designs or costly high-level annotations.

LiDAR-based 4D Occupancy Completion and Forecasting

Scene completion and forecasting are two popular perception problems in research for mobile agents like autonomous vehicles. Existing approaches treat the two problems in isolation, resulting in a separate perception of the two aspects. In this paper, we introduce a novel LiDAR perception task of Occupancy Completion and Forecasting (OCF) in the context of autonomous driving to unify these aspects into a cohesive framework. This task requires new algorithms to address three challenges altogether: (1) sparse-to-dense reconstruction, (2) partial-to-complete hallucination, and (3) 3D-to-4D prediction. To enable supervision and evaluation, we curate a large-scale dataset termed OCFBench from public autonomous driving datasets. We analyze the performance of closely related existing baseline models and our own ones on our dataset. We envision that this research will inspire and call for further investigation in this evolving and crucial area of 4D perception. Our code for data curation and baseline implementation is available at https://github.com/ai4ce/Occ4cast.

GPT-Driver: Learning to Drive with GPT

We present a simple yet effective approach that can transform the OpenAI GPT-3.5 model into a reliable motion planner for autonomous vehicles. Motion planning is a core challenge in autonomous driving, aiming to plan a driving trajectory that is safe and comfortable. Existing motion planners predominantly leverage heuristic methods to forecast driving trajectories, yet these approaches demonstrate insufficient generalization capabilities in the face of novel and unseen driving scenarios. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to motion planning that capitalizes on the strong reasoning capabilities and generalization potential inherent to Large Language Models (LLMs). The fundamental insight of our approach is the reformulation of motion planning as a language modeling problem, a perspective not previously explored. Specifically, we represent the planner inputs and outputs as language tokens, and leverage the LLM to generate driving trajectories through a language description of coordinate positions. Furthermore, we propose a novel prompting-reasoning-finetuning strategy to stimulate the numerical reasoning potential of the LLM. With this strategy, the LLM can describe highly precise trajectory coordinates and also its internal decision-making process in natural language. We evaluate our approach on the large-scale nuScenes dataset, and extensive experiments substantiate the effectiveness, generalization ability, and interpretability of our GPT-based motion planner. Code is now available at https://github.com/PointsCoder/GPT-Driver.

What Makes for Robust Multi-Modal Models in the Face of Missing Modalities?

With the growing success of multi-modal learning, research on the robustness of multi-modal models, especially when facing situations with missing modalities, is receiving increased attention. Nevertheless, previous studies in this domain exhibit certain limitations, as they often lack theoretical insights or their methodologies are tied to specific network architectures or modalities. We model the scenarios of multi-modal models encountering missing modalities from an information-theoretic perspective and illustrate that the performance ceiling in such scenarios can be approached by efficiently utilizing the information inherent in non-missing modalities. In practice, there are two key aspects: (1) The encoder should be able to extract sufficiently good features from the non-missing modality; (2) The extracted features should be robust enough not to be influenced by noise during the fusion process across modalities. To this end, we introduce Uni-Modal Ensemble with Missing Modality Adaptation (UME-MMA). UME-MMA employs uni-modal pre-trained weights for the multi-modal model to enhance feature extraction and utilizes missing modality data augmentation techniques to better adapt to situations with missing modalities. Apart from that, UME-MMA, built on a late-fusion learning framework, allows for the plug-and-play use of various encoders, making it suitable for a wide range of modalities and enabling seamless integration of large-scale pre-trained encoders to further enhance performance. And we demonstrate UME-MMA's effectiveness in audio-visual datasets~(e.g., AV-MNIST, Kinetics-Sound, AVE) and vision-language datasets~(e.g., MM-IMDB, UPMC Food101).

Imitator Learning: Achieve Out-of-the-Box Imitation Ability in Variable Environments

Imitation learning (IL) enables agents to mimic expert behaviors. Most previous IL techniques focus on precisely imitating one policy through mass demonstrations. However, in many applications, what humans require is the ability to perform various tasks directly through a few demonstrations of corresponding tasks, where the agent would meet many unexpected changes when deployed. In this scenario, the agent is expected to not only imitate the demonstration but also adapt to unforeseen environmental changes. This motivates us to propose a new topic called imitator learning (ItorL), which aims to derive an imitator module that can on-the-fly reconstruct the imitation policies based on very limited expert demonstrations for different unseen tasks, without any extra adjustment. In this work, we focus on imitator learning based on only one expert demonstration. To solve ItorL, we propose Demo-Attention Actor-Critic (DAAC), which integrates IL into a reinforcement-learning paradigm that can regularize policies' behaviors in unexpected situations. Besides, for autonomous imitation policy building, we design a demonstration-based attention architecture for imitator policy that can effectively output imitated actions by adaptively tracing the suitable states in demonstrations. We develop a new navigation benchmark and a robot environment for \topic~and show that DAAC~outperforms previous imitation methods \textit{with large margins} both on seen and unseen tasks.

Improving Discriminative Multi-Modal Learning with Large-Scale Pre-Trained Models

This paper investigates how to better leverage large-scale pre-trained uni-modal models to further enhance discriminative multi-modal learning. Even when fine-tuned with only uni-modal data, these models can outperform previous multi-modal models in certain tasks. It's clear that their incorporation into multi-modal learning would significantly improve performance. However, multi-modal learning with these models still suffers from insufficient learning of uni-modal features, which weakens the resulting multi-modal model's generalization ability. While fine-tuning uni-modal models separately and then aggregating their predictions is straightforward, it doesn't allow for adequate adaptation between modalities, also leading to sub-optimal results. To this end, we introduce Multi-Modal Low-Rank Adaptation learning (MMLoRA). By freezing the weights of uni-modal fine-tuned models, adding extra trainable rank decomposition matrices to them, and subsequently performing multi-modal joint training, our method enhances adaptation between modalities and boosts overall performance. We demonstrate the effectiveness of MMLoRA on three dataset categories: audio-visual (e.g., AVE, Kinetics-Sound, CREMA-D), vision-language (e.g., MM-IMDB, UPMC Food101), and RGB-Optical Flow (UCF101).

Latent Consistency Models: Synthesizing High-Resolution Images with Few-Step Inference

Latent Diffusion models (LDMs) have achieved remarkable results in synthesizing high-resolution images. However, the iterative sampling process is computationally intensive and leads to slow generation. Inspired by Consistency Models (song et al.), we propose Latent Consistency Models (LCMs), enabling swift inference with minimal steps on any pre-trained LDMs, including Stable Diffusion (rombach et al). Viewing the guided reverse diffusion process as solving an augmented probability flow ODE (PF-ODE), LCMs are designed to directly predict the solution of such ODE in latent space, mitigating the need for numerous iterations and allowing rapid, high-fidelity sampling. Efficiently distilled from pre-trained classifier-free guided diffusion models, a high-quality 768 x 768 2~4-step LCM takes only 32 A100 GPU hours for training. Furthermore, we introduce Latent Consistency Fine-tuning (LCF), a novel method that is tailored for fine-tuning LCMs on customized image datasets. Evaluation on the LAION-5B-Aesthetics dataset demonstrates that LCMs achieve state-of-the-art text-to-image generation performance with few-step inference. Project Page: https://latent-consistency-models.github.io/

SEPT: Towards Efficient Scene Representation Learning for Motion Prediction

Motion prediction is crucial for autonomous vehicles to operate safely in complex traffic environments. Extracting effective spatiotemporal relationships among traffic elements is key to accurate forecasting. Inspired by the successful practice of pretrained large language models, this paper presents SEPT, a modeling framework that leverages self-supervised learning to develop powerful spatiotemporal understanding for complex traffic scenes. Specifically, our approach involves three masking-reconstruction modeling tasks on scene inputs including agents' trajectories and road network, pretraining the scene encoder to capture kinematics within trajectory, spatial structure of road network, and interactions among roads and agents. The pretrained encoder is then finetuned on the downstream forecasting task. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SEPT, without elaborate architectural design or manual feature engineering, achieves state-of-the-art performance on the Argoverse 1 and Argoverse 2 motion forecasting benchmarks, outperforming previous methods on all main metrics by a large margin.

Uncertainty-Aware Decision Transformer for Stochastic Driving Environments

Offline Reinforcement Learning (RL) has emerged as a promising framework for learning policies without active interactions, making it especially appealing for autonomous driving tasks. Recent successes of Transformers inspire casting offline RL as sequence modeling, which performs well in long-horizon tasks. However, they are overly optimistic in stochastic environments with incorrect assumptions that the same goal can be consistently achieved by identical actions. In this paper, we introduce an UNcertainty-awaRE deciSion Transformer (UNREST) for planning in stochastic driving environments without introducing additional transition or complex generative models. Specifically, UNREST estimates state uncertainties by the conditional mutual information between transitions and returns, and segments sequences accordingly. Discovering the `uncertainty accumulation' and `temporal locality' properties of driving environments, UNREST replaces the global returns in decision transformers with less uncertain truncated returns, to learn from true outcomes of agent actions rather than environment transitions. We also dynamically evaluate environmental uncertainty during inference for cautious planning. Extensive experimental results demonstrate UNREST's superior performance in various driving scenarios and the power of our uncertainty estimation strategy.