Dynamic Mixture of Latent Memories for Self-Evolving Agents

Achieving self-evolution in intelligent agents requires the continual accumulation of new knowledge across changing task sequences without forgetting previously acquired abilities. Existing approaches either internalize knowledge by updating model parameters, which induces catastrophic forgetting, or rely on external memory, which fails to genuinely enhance the model's intrinsic capabilities. We propose MoLEM, a generative mixture of latent memory framework based on a dynamic mixture-of-experts (MoE). We treat multiple experts as independent carriers to generate memory. A router selects and weights experts through key-query matching, and the aggregated latent memory is injected into the reasoning process. The base model for reasoning remains entirely frozen, with all experiential knowledge internalized into the additional modules, avoiding catastrophic forgetting. For continual learning, each training stage is paired with a lightweight autoencoder that selects the appropriate routing group at inference, and inputs that match no stage fall back to the pretrained model. Experiments train the framework on continual-learning sequences spanning math, science, and code domains. After training, we evaluate the framework on the corresponding test sets to measure task learning and competence preservation across continual adaptation stages. After the full continual-learning sequence, our method improves the average accuracy by 10.40% over the Vanilla pretrained baseline, while none of the competing methods consistently exceed this baseline across different training orders.

Forecasting Scientific Progress with Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly embedded in scientific discovery, yet whether it can anticipate scientific progress remains unclear. To study this question, we introduce a temporally grounded evaluation framework for forecasting scientific progress under controlled knowledge constraints. We present CUSP (Cutoff-conditioned Unseen Scientific Progress), a multi-disciplinary and event-level benchmark that evaluates scientific forecasting in AI systems through feasibility assessment, mechanistic reasoning, generative solution design, and temporal prediction. Across 4,760 scientific events, we observe systematic and domain-dependent limitations in current frontier models. While models can identify plausible research directions from competing candidates, they fail to reliably predict whether scientific advances will be realized and systematically misestimate when they will occur. Performance is highly heterogeneous across domains, with the timing of AI progress more predictable than advances in biology, chemistry, and physics. Performance is largely insensitive to whether events occur before or after the training cutoff, suggesting these limitations cannot be explained solely by knowledge exposure in training data. Under controlled information access, additional pre-cutoff knowledge improves performance but does not close the gap to full-information settings, which becomes more pronounced for high-citation advances. Models also exhibit systematic overconfidence and strong response biases, indicating unreliable uncertainty estimation. Taken together, current AI systems fall short as predictive tools for scientific progress. Access to prior knowledge does not translate into reliable forecasting, and performance benefits more from post-event information than from forward-looking prediction.

Retrieval-Augmented Linguistic Calibration

Linguistic cues such as "I believe" and "probably" offer an intuitive interface for communicating confidence, yet a generalisable, principled calibration framework for linguistic confidence expressions remains underexplored. In particular, co-occurring linguistic cues, contextual variation, and subjective audience interpretation pose unique challenges. We therefore model linguistic confidence as a distribution over plausible perceived probability values that a statement is correct, capturing interpretation variability that scalar representations discard. Within this distributional framework, we introduce faithfulness as a complementary evaluation dimension and present Faithfulness Divergence (FD), an information-theoretic metric quantifying the surprise induced in audience beliefs upon truth revelation. Building on these foundations, we present Retrieval-Augmented Linguistic Calibration (RALC), a lightweight post-hoc pipeline that propagates calibrated confidence signals back into natural language via retrieval-augmented rewriting. Across three QA benchmarks and five LLM families, RALC improves in-domain faithfulness and calibration up to 66% and 58%, respectively, outperforming black-box and grey-box calibration baselines.

CreFlow: Corrective Reflow for Sparse-Reward Embodied Video Diffusion RL

Video generation models trained on heterogeneous data with likelihood-surrogate objectives can produce visually plausible rollouts that violate physical constraints in embodied manipulation. Although reinforcement-learning post-training offers a natural route to adapting VGMs, existing video-RL rewards often reduce each rollout to a low-level visual metric, whereas manipulation video evaluation requires logic-based verification of whether the rollout satisfies a compositional task specification. To fill this gap, we introduce a compositional constraint-based reward model for post-training embodied video generation models, which automatically formulates task requirements as a composition of Linear Temporal Logic constraints, providing faithful rewards and localized error information in generated videos. To achieve effective improvement in high-dimensional video generation using these reward signals, we further propose CreFlow, a novel online RL framework with two key designs: i) a credit-aware NFT loss that confines the RL update to reward-relevant regions, preventing perturbations to unrelated regions during post-training; and ii) a corrective reflow loss that leverages within-group positive samples as an explicit estimate of the correction direction, stabilizing and accelerating training. Experiments show that CreFlow yields reward judgments better aligned with human and simulator success labels than existing methods and improves downstream execution success by 23.8 percentage points across eight bimanual manipulation tasks.

Checkup2Action: A Multimodal Clinical Check-up Report Dataset for Patient-Oriented Action Card Generation

Clinical check-up reports are multimodal documents that combine page layouts, tables, numerical biomarkers, abnormality flags, imaging findings, and domain-specific terminology. Such heterogeneous evidence is difficult for laypersons to interpret and translate into concrete follow-up actions. Although large language models show promise in medical summarisation and triage support, their ability to generate safe, prioritised, and patient-oriented actions from multimodal check-up reports remains under-benchmarked. We present \textbf{Checkup2Action}, a multimodal clinical check-up report dataset and benchmark for structured \textit{Action Card} generation. Each card describes one clinically relevant issue and specifies its priority, recommended department, follow-up time window, patient-facing explanation, and questions for clinicians, while avoiding diagnostic or treatment-prescriptive claims. The dataset contains 2,000 de-identified real-world check-up reports covering demographic information, physical examinations, laboratory tests, cardiovascular assessments, and imaging-related evidence. We formulate checkup-to-action generation as a constrained structured generation task and introduce an evaluation protocol covering issue coverage and precision, priority consistency, department and time recommendation accuracy, action complexity, usefulness, readability, and safety compliance. Experiments with general-purpose and medical large language models reveal clear trade-offs between issue coverage, action correctness, conciseness, and safety alignment. Checkup2Action provides a new multimodal benchmark for evaluating patient-oriented reasoning over clinical check-up reports.

Strategic Exploitation in LLM Agent Markets: A Simulation Framework for E-Commerce Trust

Agent-based modeling (ABM) has long been used in economics to study human behavior, and large language model (LLM) agents now enable new forms of social and economic simulation. While prior work has discovered strategic deception by LLM agents in financial trading and auction markets, e-commerce remains underexplored despite its distinctive information asymmetry: sellers privately observe product quality, whereas buyers rely on advertised claims and reputation signals. We introduce TruthMarketTwin, a controlled simulation framework for studying LLM-agent behavior in e-commerce markets. The framework is one of the first to model bilateral trade under asymmetric information sharing, where agents make strategic listing, purchasing, rating, and recourse-related decisions to optimize seller profit and buyer utility. We find that LLM agents released into traditional markets autonomously exploit weaknesses in reputation-based governance, while warrant enforcement reduces deception and reshapes strategic reasoning. Our results position LLM-agent simulation as a tool for studying institution-governed autonomous markets.

Measuring Black-Box Confidence via Reasoning Trajectories: Geometry, Coverage, and Verbalization

Reliable confidence estimation enables safe deployment of chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning through text-only APIs. Yet the dominant black-box baseline, self-consistency over K samples, is linearly expensive and ignores the geometry of the trace. We propose a black-box trajectory-confidence score: we embed a CoT as a sliding-window trajectory and measure its convergence to external answer anchors with a one-parameter softmax. The method needs no logits, hidden states, or supervised calibrators. Across six (benchmark, reasoner) settings on MedQA-USMLE, GPQA Diamond, and MMLU-Pro with Gemini 3.1 Pro and Claude Sonnet 4.6, fusing this score with coverage and verbalized-confidence channels at K=4 yields Pareto improvements over self-consistency at K=8 in 6/6 settings (median AUC 0.78 vs 0.71, deltaAUC=+0.075). A fixed-pick control (+0.060) and E5 cross-embedder replication rule out answer switching and single-vendor artifacts. Geometry peaks in the penultimate window across benchmarks and reasoners, and inverts at the terminal window on GPQA Diamond. Three unscaffolded regimes separate black-box confidence into a judge-mediated Coverage prior (C), within-trace Geometry (G), and a conditional Verbalization channel (V). Across 18 benchmark x reasoner x proposer settings, C and G provide independent signal in 18/18 and 16/18, while V contributes residual signal in 6/18. Swapping the judge from GPT-5-mini to Claude Sonnet 4.6 leaves G-only AUC unchanged (|delta|<=0.013) and shifts C-only AUC by at most +/-0.02 (kappa=0.82). Fusion beats the best single channel in 17/18 settings (median AUC 0.78, max 0.92).

ActCam: Zero-Shot Joint Camera and 3D Motion Control for Video Generation

For artistic applications, video generation requires fine-grained control over both performance and cinematography, i.e., the actor's motion and the camera trajectory. We present ActCam, a zero-shot method for video generation that jointly transfers character motion from a driving video into a new scene and enables per-frame control of intrinsic and extrinsic camera parameters. ActCam builds on any pretrained image-to-video diffusion model that accepts conditioning in terms of scene depth and character pose. Given a source video with a moving character and a target camera motion, ActCam generates pose and depth conditions that remain geometrically consistent across frames. We then run a single sampling process with a two-phase conditioning schedule: early denoising steps condition on both pose and sparse depth to enforce scene structure, after which depth is dropped and pose-only guidance refines high-frequency details without over-constraining the generation. We evaluate ActCam on multiple benchmarks spanning diverse character motions and challenging viewpoint changes. We find that, compared to pose-only control and other pose and camera methods, ActCam improves camera adherence and motion fidelity, and is preferred in human evaluations, especially under large viewpoint changes. Our results highlight that careful camera-consistent conditioning and staged guidance can enable strong joint camera and motion control without training. Project page: https://elkhomar.github.io/actcam/.

StraTA: Incentivizing Agentic Reinforcement Learning with Strategic Trajectory Abstraction

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as interactive agents, but optimizing them for long-horizon decision making remains difficult because current methods are largely purely reactive, which weakens both exploration and credit assignment over extended trajectories. In this work, we present Strategic Trajectory Abstraction (StraTA), a simple framework that introduces an explicit trajectory-level strategy into agentic reinforcement learning (RL). StraTA samples a compact strategy from the initial task state, conditions subsequent actions on that strategy, and trains strategy generation and action execution jointly with a hierarchical GRPO-style rollout design, further enhanced by diverse strategy rollout and critical self-judgment. Experiments on ALFWorld, WebShop, and SciWorld show that StraTA consistently improves both sample efficiency and final performance over strong baselines. StraTA reaches success rates of 93.1% on ALFWorld and 84.2% on WebShop. On SciWorld, StraTA attains a 63.5% overall score, outperforming frontier closed-source models.

Contrastive Image-Metadata Pre-Training for Materials Transmission Electron Microscopy

The vast majority of transmission electron microscopy (TEM) data never gets published and ends up on a backup drive until deleted to free up space. These left-over datasets are rich in detail and variation, often paired with automatically saved metadata of instrument state and acquisition parameters. In this work, we introduce a dataset of 7,330 high-angle annular dark-field scanning-TEM (HAADF-STEM) images from a single instrument to learn a joint embedding space between image metadata and HAADF image. These embeddings link image style with acquisition parameters, which allows us to train a generative style transfer network that can convert experimental images into the style they would have had if they were recorded with different instrument parameters. We evaluate the performance of the network and explore the usefulness of the technique for physical denoising.