Accurate Precipitation Forecast by Efficiently Learning from Massive Atmospheric Variables and Unbalanced Distribution

Short-term (0-24 hours) precipitation forecasting is highly valuable to socioeconomic activities and public safety. However, the highly complex evolution patterns of precipitation events, the extreme imbalance between precipitation and non-precipitation samples, and the inability of existing models to efficiently and effectively utilize large volumes of multi-source atmospheric observation data hinder improvements in precipitation forecasting accuracy and computational efficiency. To address the above challenges, this study developed a novel forecasting model capable of effectively and efficiently utilizing massive atmospheric observations by automatically extracting and iteratively predicting the latent features strongly associated with precipitation evolution. Furthermore, this study introduces a 'WMCE' loss function, designed to accurately discriminate extremely scarce precipitation events while precisely predicting their intensity values. Extensive experiments on two datasets demonstrate that our proposed model substantially and consistently outperforms all prevalent baselines in both accuracy and efficiency. Moreover, the proposed forecasting model substantially lowers the computational cost required to obtain valuable predictions compared to existing approaches, thereby positioning it as a milestone for efficient and practical precipitation forecasting.

Enhancing Pretrained Model-based Continual Representation Learning via Guided Random Projection

Recent paradigms in Random Projection Layer (RPL)-based continual representation learning have demonstrated superior performance when building upon a pre-trained model (PTM). These methods insert a randomly initialized RPL after a PTM to enhance feature representation in the initial stage. Subsequently, a linear classification head is used for analytic updates in the continual learning stage. However, under severe domain gaps between pre-trained representations and target domains, a randomly initialized RPL exhibits limited expressivity under large domain shifts. While largely scaling up the RPL dimension can improve expressivity, it also induces an ill-conditioned feature matrix, thereby destabilizing the recursive analytic updates of the linear head. To this end, we propose the Stochastic Continual Learner with MemoryGuard Supervisory Mechanism (SCL-MGSM). Unlike random initialization, MGSM constructs the projection layer via a principled, data-guided mechanism that progressively selects target-aligned random bases to adapt the PTM representation to downstream tasks. This facilitates the construction of a compact yet expressive RPL while improving the numerical stability of analytic updates. Extensive experiments on multiple exemplar-free Class Incremental Learning (CIL) benchmarks demonstrate that SCL-MGSM achieves superior performance compared to state-of-the-art methods.

MLOW: Interpretable Low-Rank Frequency Magnitude Decomposition of Multiple Effects for Time Series Forecasting

Separating multiple effects in time series is fundamental yet challenging for time-series forecasting (TSF). However, existing TSF models cannot effectively learn interpretable multi-effect decomposition by their smoothing-based temporal techniques. Here, a new interpretable frequency-based decomposition pipeline MLOW captures the insight: a time series can be represented as a magnitude spectrum multiplied by the corresponding phase-aware basis functions, and the magnitude spectrum distribution of a time series always exhibits observable patterns for different effects. MLOW learns a low-rank representation of the magnitude spectrum to capture dominant trending and seasonal effects. We explore low-rank methods, including PCA, NMF, and Semi-NMF, and find that none can simultaneously achieve interpretable, efficient and generalizable decomposition. Thus, we propose hyperplane-nonnegative matrix factorization (Hyperplane-NMF). Further, to address the frequency (spectral) leakage restricting high-quality low-rank decomposition, MLOW enables a flexible selection of input horizons and frequency levels via a mathematical mechanism. Visual analysis demonstrates that MLOW enables interpretable and hierarchical multiple-effect decomposition, robust to noises. It can also enable plug-and-play in existing TSF backbones with remarkable performance improvement but minimal architectural modifications.

Beam Prediction Based on Multimodal Large Language Models

Accurate beam prediction is a key enabler for next-generation wireless communication systems. In this paper, we propose a multimodal large language model (LLM)-based beam prediction framework that effectively utilizes contextual information, provided by sensory data including RGB camera images and LiDAR point clouds. To effectively fuse heterogeneous modalities, we design specialized modality encoders together with a beam-guided attention masking mechanism and a high-frequency temporal alignment strategy, enabling robust cross-modal feature integration under dynamic environments. Furthermore, we construct a large-scale multimodal dataset for communication, named Multimodal-Wireless, which covers diverse weather and traffic conditions with high-fidelity ray-tracing labels. Extensive simulation results demonstrate that the proposed approach significantly reduces the reliance on oracle angle-of-departure knowledge and consistently outperforms state-of-the-art multimodal LLM-based beam prediction methods in terms of beam accuracy and communication performance, improving the average Top-1 accuracy to 80.8% and the average normalized gain to 89.1%.

SORT: A Systematically Optimized Ranking Transformer for Industrial-scale Recommenders

While Transformers have achieved remarkable success in LLMs through superior scalability, their application in industrial-scale ranking models remains nascent, hindered by the challenges of high feature sparsity and low label density. In this paper, we propose SORT (Systematically Optimized Ranking Transformer), a scalable model designed to bridge the gap between Transformers and industrial-scale ranking models. We address the high feature sparsity and low label density challenges through a series of optimizations, including request-centric sample organization, local attention, query pruning and generative pre-training. Furthermore, we introduce a suite of refinements to the tokenization, multi-head attention (MHA), and feed-forward network (FFN) modules, which collectively stabilize the training process and enlarge the model capacity. To maximize hardware efficiency, we optimize our training system to elevate the model FLOPs utilization (MFU) to 22%. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SORT outperforms strong baselines and exhibits excellent scalability across data size, model size and sequence length, while remaining flexible at integrating diverse features. Finally, online A/B testing in large-scale e-commerce scenarios confirms that SORT achieves significant gains in key business metrics, including orders (+6.35%), buyers (+5.97%) and GMV (+5.47%), while simultaneously halving latency (-44.67%) and doubling throughput (+121.33%).

Spatial Causal Prediction in Video

Spatial reasoning, the ability to understand spatial relations, causality, and dynamic evolution, is central to human intelligence and essential for real-world applications such as autonomous driving and robotics. Existing studies, however, primarily assess models on visible spatio-temporal understanding, overlooking their ability to infer unseen past or future spatial states. In this work, we introduce Spatial Causal Prediction (SCP), a new task paradigm that challenges models to reason beyond observation and predict spatial causal outcomes. We further construct SCP-Bench, a benchmark comprising 2,500 QA pairs across 1,181 videos spanning diverse viewpoints, scenes, and causal directions, to support systematic evaluation. Through comprehensive experiments on {23} state-of-the-art models, we reveal substantial gaps between human and model performance, limited temporal extrapolation, and weak causal grounding. We further analyze key factors influencing performance and propose perception-enhancement and reasoning-guided strategies toward advancing spatial causal intelligence. The project page is https://guangstrip.github.io/SCP-Bench.

MMCOMET: A Large-Scale Multimodal Commonsense Knowledge Graph for Contextual Reasoning

We present MMCOMET, the first multimodal commonsense knowledge graph (MMKG) that integrates physical, social, and eventive knowledge. MMCOMET extends the ATOMIC2020 knowledge graph to include a visual dimension, through an efficient image retrieval process, resulting in over 900K multimodal triples. This new resource addresses a major limitation of existing MMKGs in supporting complex reasoning tasks like image captioning and storytelling. Through a standard visual storytelling experiment, we show that our holistic approach enables the generation of richer, coherent, and contextually grounded stories than those produced using text-only knowledge. This resource establishes a new foundation for multimodal commonsense reasoning and narrative generation.

FlexMS is a flexible framework for benchmarking deep learning-based mass spectrum prediction tools in metabolomics

The identification and property prediction of chemical molecules is of central importance in the advancement of drug discovery and material science, where the tandem mass spectrometry technology gives valuable fragmentation cues in the form of mass-to-charge ratio peaks. However, the lack of experimental spectra hinders the attachment of each molecular identification, and thus urges the establishment of prediction approaches for computational models. Deep learning models appear promising for predicting molecular structure spectra, but overall assessment remains challenging as a result of the heterogeneity in methods and the lack of well-defined benchmarks. To address this, our contribution is the creation of benchmark framework FlexMS for constructing and evaluating diverse model architectures in mass spectrum prediction. With its easy-to-use flexibility, FlexMS supports the dynamic construction of numerous distinct combinations of model architectures, while assessing their performance on preprocessed public datasets using different metrics. In this paper, we provide insights into factors influencing performance, including the structural diversity of datasets, hyperparameters like learning rate and data sparsity, pretraining effects, metadata ablation settings and cross-domain transfer learning analysis. This provides practical guidance in choosing suitable models. Moreover, retrieval benchmarks simulate practical identification scenarios and score potential matches based on predicted spectra.

Fore-Mamba3D: Mamba-based Foreground-Enhanced Encoding for 3D Object Detection

Linear modeling methods like Mamba have been merged as the effective backbone for the 3D object detection task. However, previous Mamba-based methods utilize the bidirectional encoding for the whole non-empty voxel sequence, which contains abundant useless background information in the scenes. Though directly encoding foreground voxels appears to be a plausible solution, it tends to degrade detection performance. We attribute this to the response attenuation and restricted context representation in the linear modeling for fore-only sequences. To address this problem, we propose a novel backbone, termed Fore-Mamba3D, to focus on the foreground enhancement by modifying Mamba-based encoder. The foreground voxels are first sampled according to the predicted scores. Considering the response attenuation existing in the interaction of foreground voxels across different instances, we design a regional-to-global slide window (RGSW) to propagate the information from regional split to the entire sequence. Furthermore, a semantic-assisted and state spatial fusion module (SASFMamba) is proposed to enrich contextual representation by enhancing semantic and geometric awareness within the Mamba model. Our method emphasizes foreground-only encoding and alleviates the distance-based and causal dependencies in the linear autoregression model. The superior performance across various benchmarks demonstrates the effectiveness of Fore-Mamba3D in the 3D object detection task.

No Need For Real Anomaly: MLLM Empowered Zero-Shot Video Anomaly Detection

The collection and detection of video anomaly data has long been a challenging problem due to its rare occurrence and spatio-temporal scarcity. Existing video anomaly detection (VAD) methods under perform in open-world scenarios. Key contributing factors include limited dataset diversity, and inadequate understanding of context-dependent anomalous semantics. To address these issues, i) we propose LAVIDA, an end-to-end zero-shot video anomaly detection framework. ii) LAVIDA employs an Anomaly Exposure Sampler that transforms segmented objects into pseudo-anomalies to enhance model adaptability to unseen anomaly categories. It further integrates a Multimodal Large Language Model (MLLM) to bolster semantic comprehension capabilities. Additionally, iii) we design a token compression approach based on reverse attention to handle the spatio-temporal scarcity of anomalous patterns and decrease computational cost. The training process is conducted solely on pseudo anomalies without any VAD data. Evaluations across four benchmark VAD datasets demonstrate that LAVIDA achieves SOTA performance in both frame-level and pixel-level anomaly detection under the zero-shot setting. Our code is available in https://github.com/VitaminCreed/LAVIDA.