Efficient Analytic Uncertainty Quantification for Multi-Modal Regression

Efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for trustworthy large-scale learning. Existing UQ methods for regression tasks mainly operate under the assumption that the conditional label marginal satisfies single-peak parametric models, e.g., Gaussians, where the negative log-likelihood function simplifies to the mean square error. However, such single-peak assumptions fail in regression tasks featuring multi-modal distributions. On the other hand, semi-parametric methods which achieve strong regression performance for multi-modal distributions often lack efficient quantification on their prediction variances. In this work, we extend UQ techniques based on Variational Bayesian Inference (VBI) to two widely used semi-parametric regression models that yield histogram-like reconstructions of the conditional label densities: Quantile Regression (QR) and Classification Restoration (CR). Our approach introduces a unified, distribution-agnostic framework that simultaneously achieves accurate estimation of complex conditional distributions and highly efficient UQ. Theoretically, our method is grounded in novel formulations of QR and CR within the VBI framework, yielding analytic Evidence Lower Bounds (ELBO) to streamline training and a closed-form or analytically approximated predictive density for efficient inference. Empirically, we evaluate our methods on three large-scale regression benchmarks with multi-modal label distributions. Our framework outperforms state-of-the-art multi-modal regression baselines, and even matches predictive performance of computationally expensive ensemble models. Furthermore, by leveraging epistemic uncertainty estimation, our approach enables highly data-efficient active learning strategies.

SAGE-OPD: Selective Agent-Guided Intervention for Multi-Turn On-Policy Distillation

On-policy distillation (OPD) improves student models by training them on trajectories induced by their own policy, making it a promising approach for mitigating exposure bias in agent training. However, most OPD studies focus on single-turn settings, while realistic LLM agents interact with environments over multiple turns. In this regime, early errors can alter future observations and compound across the trajectory, and standard dense token-level OPD becomes brittle, as it may over-penalize semantically valid alternatives, reinforce local degeneracies such as repeated actions, and propagate unreliable teacher supervision on off-distribution histories. We propose SAGE-OPD, a verifier-free selective intervention framework specifically designed for multi-turn OPD. Instead of applying teacher supervision uniformly across all turns, SAGE-OPD first observes environment feedback and uses teacher judgment to decide whether each student response should be skipped or intervened on. To further address compounding errors, SAGE-OPD weights token-level distillation by teacher confidence, reducing the influence of uncertain teacher distributions on corrupted or ambiguous histories. Finally, SAGE-OPD applies loss normalization to preserve the overall loss scale of standard OPD while retaining selective turn-level weighting. Experiments on agent tasks show that SAGE-OPD consistently improves over baselines, achieving up to a 13.3% relative improvement in ALFWorld unseen success rate over standard OPD. Ablation studies further demonstrate that turn-level intervention, teacher confidence weighting, and loss normalization provide complementary benefits. Our results suggest that effective multi-turn OPD should remain on-policy, but teacher supervision should be selectively allocated to turns where intervention is necessary and reliable.

DAG-MoE: From Simple Mixture to Structural Aggregation in Mixture-of-Experts

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) models have become a leading approach for decoupling parameter count from computational cost in large language models, yet effectively scaling MoE performance remains a challenge. Prior work shows that fine-grained experts enlarge the space of expert combinations and improve flexibility, but they also impose substantial routing overhead, creating a new scalability bottleneck. In this paper, we explore a complementary axis for scaling -- how expert outputs are aggregated. We theoretically show that replacing the standard weighted-summation aggregation with structural aggregation expands the expert-combination space without altering the experts or router, and enables possible multi-step reasoning within a single MoE layer. To this end, we propose DAG-MoE, a sparse MoE framework that employs a lightweight module to automatically learn the optimal aggregation structure among the selected experts. Extensive experiments under standard language modeling settings show that DAG-MoE consistently improves performance in both pretraining and fine-tuning, surpassing traditional MoE baselines.

OmniOPD: Logit-Free On-Policy Distillation via Speculative Verification

On-Policy Distillation (OPD) trains a student model on its own generative trajectories under dense token-level feedback from a stronger teacher, mitigating both the off-policy distribution shift of Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) and the sparse credit assignment of Reinforcement Learning (RL). However, standard OPD faces two coupled limitations. First, it requires direct access to the teacher's token-level logits, excluding a broad class of capable proprietary models from serving as teachers. Second, the token-level logit signal itself is brittle, depending on a narrow overlap of plausible next tokens between teacher and student, and prone to amplifying degenerate patterns such as repetition loops. In this paper, we introduce OmniOPD, a novel framework that addresses both limitations through a logit-free, chunk-level supervision signal. OmniOPD replaces deterministic logit matching with Monte Carlo rollouts that approximate the teacher's local preferences through a continuous semantic similarity metric over multi-token chunks, and concentrates this supervision via a peak-entropy scheduler that audits the student only at its high-uncertainty reasoning forks. A Dirichlet-Multinomial Bayesian prior and a base-model KL anchor further bound the variance of discrete sampling and prevent policy collapse across unaudited tokens. Across competitive benchmarks, OmniOPD surpasses the standard OPD approach by up to +28.64% on math, confirming that chunk-level semantic verification extracts a more reliable learning signal than token-level logit matching, whose high information density is offset by significant noise and brittleness. Furthermore, when paired with stronger black-box teachers such as Claude-4.5-Haiku and Gemini-2.5-Flash, OmniOPD achieves an additional +9.54% relative on math over its open-weight teacher counterpart, advancing the student past the performance of self-exploratory RL.

Toward User Preference Alignment in LLM Recommendation via Explicit Context Feedback

Traditional recommender systems (RecSys) primarily infer user preferences from implicit signals (such as clicks, watches, and purchases), often neglecting the rich explicit contextual feedback users provide through verbal text, like comments and reviews. This explicit context feedback captures the nuanced reasons behind user decisions regarding their preferences. In addition, it offers critical heterogeneous information for user preference alignment and more explainable recommendations. Overlooking such signals can lead to misaligned user preferences and further reinforce filter bubbles, as algorithms fail to understand the "semantic context" behind user choices. Recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) present new opportunities to harness user-generated content for more accurate and diverse recommendations, yet current LLM-based recommendations still focus on using item meta-data and underutilize this resource. In this paper, we advocate for prioritizing explicit context feedback in the next generation of LLM-based RecSys. We review the evolution of recommendation paradigms, highlight the value of context-rich feedback, call for new benchmarks and metrics, and introduce frameworks for integrating explicit user signals into scalable LLM-driven RecSys. Centering on user-preference modeling, we aim to foster more personalized, transparent, and explainable RecSys online platforms.

Artiverse: A Diverse and Physically Grounded Dataset for Articulated Objects

We present Artiverse, a diverse and physically grounded dataset of high-quality articulated 3D objects designed for realistic functional modeling and simulation. Artiverse contains 5.4K human-authored objects across a broad range of 88 categories, aggregated from multiple 3D static repositories. Objects are annotated with functional parts, interior structures, realistic kinematic relationships and articulated joints including multi-DoF joints, and physical attributes such as metric scale, material, and mass. We develop a semi-automated annotation pipeline that combines few-shot segmentation, geometric reasoning, and multi-stage human verification to achieve high-quality and efficient annotation, reducing manual annotation time by over 30%. We demonstrate the value of Artiverse on tasks of part mobility analysis, articulated object generation, and physics-based interaction. Artiverse provides a data resource to advance functional understanding for articulated objects.

Synthetic Sandbox for Training Machine Learning Engineering Agents

As large language model agents advance beyond software engineering (SWE) tasks toward machine learning engineering (MLE), verifying agent behavior becomes orders of magnitude more expensive: while SWE tasks can be verified via fast-executing unit tests, MLE verification requires running full ML pipelines -- data preprocessing, model training, and metric evaluation -- on large datasets at each rollout step, rendering trajectory-wise on-policy reinforcement learning (RL) prohibitively slow. Existing approaches retreat to supervised fine-tuning (SFT) or offline proxy rewards, sacrificing the exploration and generalization benefits of on-policy RL. We observe that sandbox data size is the primary source of this bottleneck. Based on this insight, we introduce SandMLE, a multi-agent framework that generates diverse, verifiable synthetic MLE environments from a small number of seed tasks, preserving the structural and technical complexity of real-world problems while constraining datasets to micro-scale (each task is paired with only 50-200 training samples). Through extensive experiments, we show that SandMLE reduces execution time by over 13 times, enabling large-scale, on-policy trajectory-wise RL for the first time in the MLE domain. On MLE-bench-lite, SandMLE yields significant gains over SFT baselines across Qwen3-8B, 14B, and 30B-A3B, with relative medal rate improvements ranging from 20.3% to 66.9%. Furthermore, the trained policy generalizes across unseen agentic scaffolds, achieving up to 32.4% better HumanRank score on MLE-Dojo.

GISTBench: Evaluating LLM User Understanding via Evidence-Based Interest Verification

We introduce GISTBench, a benchmark for evaluating Large Language Models' (LLMs) ability to understand users from their interaction histories in recommendation systems. Unlike traditional RecSys benchmarks that focus on item prediction accuracy, our benchmark evaluates how well LLMs can extract and verify user interests from engagement data. We propose two novel metric families: Interest Groundedness (IG), decomposed into precision and recall components to separately penalize hallucinated interest categories and reward coverage, and Interest Specificity (IS), which assesses the distinctiveness of verified LLM-predicted user profiles. We release a synthetic dataset constructed on real user interactions on a global short-form video platform. Our dataset contains both implicit and explicit engagement signals and rich textual descriptions. We validate our dataset fidelity against user surveys, and evaluate eight open-weight LLMs spanning 7B to 120B parameters. Our findings reveal performance bottlenecks in current LLMs, particularly their limited ability to accurately count and attribute engagement signals across heterogeneous interaction types.

LLM-Driven Reasoning for Constraint-Aware Feature Selection in Industrial Systems

Feature selection is a crucial step in large-scale industrial machine learning systems, directly affecting model accuracy, efficiency, and maintainability. Traditional feature selection methods rely on labeled data and statistical heuristics, making them difficult to apply in production environments where labeled data are limited and multiple operational constraints must be satisfied. To address this, we propose Model Feature Agent (MoFA), a model-driven framework that performs sequential, reasoning-based feature selection using both semantic and quantitative feature information. MoFA incorporates feature definitions, importance scores, correlations, and metadata (e.g., feature groups or types) into structured prompts and selects features through interpretable, constraint-aware reasoning. We evaluate MoFA in three real-world industrial applications: (1) True Interest and Time-Worthiness Prediction, where it improves accuracy while reducing feature group complexity, (2) Value Model Enhancement, where it discovers high-order interaction terms that yield substantial engagement gains in online experiments, and (3) Notification Behavior Prediction, where it selects compact, high-value feature subsets that improve both model accuracy and inference efficiency. Together, these results demonstrate the practicality and effectiveness of LLM-based reasoning for feature selection in real production systems.

QuarkMedBench: A Real-World Scenario Driven Benchmark for Evaluating Large Language Models

While Large Language Models (LLMs) excel on standardized medical exams, high scores often fail to translate to high-quality responses for real-world medical queries. Current evaluations rely heavily on multiple-choice questions, failing to capture the unstructured, ambiguous, and long-tail complexities inherent in genuine user inquiries. To bridge this gap, we introduce QuarkMedBench, an ecologically valid benchmark tailored for real-world medical LLM assessment. We compiled a massive dataset spanning Clinical Care, Wellness Health, and Professional Inquiry, comprising 20,821 single-turn queries and 3,853 multi-turn sessions. To objectively evaluate open-ended answers, we propose an automated scoring framework that integrates multi-model consensus with evidence-based retrieval to dynamically generate 220,617 fine-grained scoring rubrics (~9.8 per query). During evaluation, hierarchical weighting and safety constraints structurally quantify medical accuracy, key-point coverage, and risk interception, effectively mitigating the high costs and subjectivity of human grading. Experimental results demonstrate that the generated rubrics achieve a 91.8% concordance rate with clinical expert blind audits, establishing highly dependable medical reliability. Crucially, baseline evaluations on this benchmark reveal significant performance disparities among state-of-the-art models when navigating real-world clinical nuances, highlighting the limitations of conventional exam-based metrics. Ultimately, QuarkMedBench establishes a rigorous, reproducible yardstick for measuring LLM performance on complex health issues, while its framework inherently supports dynamic knowledge updates to prevent benchmark obsolescence.