A plug-and-play generative framework for multi-satellite precipitation estimation

Reliable precipitation monitoring is essential for disaster risk reduction, water resources management, and agricultural decision-making. Multi-source satellite observations, particularly the combination of geostationary infrared and passive microwave measurements, have become a primary means of precipitation detection. Traditional multi-source satellite precipitation estimation methods remain computationally inefficient, and many deep learning methods lack the flexibility to incorporate new sensors without retraining the full model. Here we introduce PRISMA (Precipitation Inference from Satellite Modalities via generAtive modeling), a plug-and-play latent generative framework for multi-sensor precipitation estimation. PRISMA learns an unconditional precipitation prior from IMERG Final fields and constrains it through independently trained, sensor-specific conditional branches, allowing new observation sources to be incorporated without retraining the generative backbone. Applied to FY-4B AGRI infrared and GPM GMI microwave observations, PRISMA improves Critical Success Index by up to 40.3% and reduces root-mean-square error by 22.6% relative to infrared-only estimation within microwave swaths, while also improving probabilistic skill and maintaining an average inference time of about 37 s. Independent rain-gauge validation across China confirms consistent gains, and typhoon case studies show that microwave conditioning restores eyewall and spiral rainband structures, reducing storm-core mean absolute error by up to 42.3%. PRISMA thus provides an extensible and efficient framework for multi-sensor precipitation estimation.

When Normality Shifts: Risk-Aware Test-Time Adaptation for Unsupervised Tabular Anomaly Detection

Unsupervised tabular anomaly detection methods typically learn feature patterns from normal samples during training and subsequently identify samples that deviate from these patterns as anomalies during testing. However, in practical scenarios, the limited scale and diversity of training data often lead to an incomplete characterization of normal patterns. While test-time adaptation offers a remedy, its isolated focus on test-time optimization ignores the critical synergy with training-phase learning. Furthermore, indiscriminate adaptation to unlabeled test data inevitably triggers anomaly contamination, preventing the model from fully realizing its discriminative capability between normal and anomalous samples. To address these issues, we propose RTTAD, a Risk-aware Test-time adaptation method for unsupervised Tabular Anomaly Detection. RTTAD holistically tackles normality shifts via a synergistic two-stage mechanism. During training, collaborative dual-task learning captures multi-level representations to establish a robust normal prior. During testing, a Test-Time Contrastive Learning (TTCL) module explicitly accounts for adaptation risk by selectively updating the model using high-confidence pseudo-normal samples while constraining anomalous ones. Additionally, TTCL incorporates a k-nearest neighbor-based contrastive objective to refine embedding distributions, thereby further enhancing the model's discriminative capacity. Extensive experiments on 15 tabular datasets demonstrate that RTTAD achieves state-of-the-art overall detection performance.

GCCM: Enhancing Generative Graph Prediction via Contrastive Consistency Model

Conditional generative models, particularly diffusion-based methods, have recently been applied to graph prediction by modeling the target as a conditional distribution given the input graph, yielding competitive results compared to deterministic predictor. However, existing diffusion-based prediction methods typically require expensive iterative denoising at inference and often suffer from unstable sampling, which motivates recent efforts to reduce inference denoising steps and enable stable sampling via techniques such as consistency training. Despite this progress, we find that existing consistency training methods for graph prediction could potentially fall into a shortcut solution: the model may attempt to satisfy the self-consistency constraint by ignoring the noisy target (i.e., assigning it negligible weight), ultimately collapsing into a purely deterministic predictor. To mitigate such shortcut solution, we propose GCCM, a graph contrastive consistency model that goes beyond isolated pairwise matching between the same target at different noise levels by introducing negative pairs into a contrastive consistency objective. This adds an additional separation requirement, making the shortcut solution no longer trivially sufficient to satisfy the proposed objective. Moreover, we apply feature perturbation to the input node/edge features to break identical conditioning on the input graph, so that the shortcut no longer yields the same predictions across noise levels and becomes less attractive. Extensive experiments on benchmark datasets demonstrate that GCCM mitigates the shortcut solution and yields consistent performance improvements in graph prediction compared to deterministic predictors.

Nemotron 3 Nano Omni: Efficient and Open Multimodal Intelligence

We introduce Nemotron 3 Nano Omni, the latest model in the Nemotron multimodal series and the first to natively support audio inputs alongside text, images, and video. Nemotron 3 Nano Omni delivers consistent accuracy improvements over its predecessor, Nemotron Nano V2 VL, across all modalities, enabled by advances in architecture, training data and recipes. In particular, Nemotron 3 delivers leading results in real-world document understanding, long audio-video comprehension, and agentic computer use. Built on the highly efficient Nemotron 3 Nano 30B-A3B backbone, Nemotron 3 Nano Omni further incorporates innovative multimodal token-reduction techniques to deliver substantially lower inference latency and higher throughput than other models of similar size. We are releasing model checkpoints in BF16, FP8, and FP4 formats, along with portions of the training data and codebase to facilitate further research and development.

DPRM: A Plug-in Doob h transform-induced Token-Ordering Module for Diffusion Language Models

Diffusion language models generate without a fixed left-to-right order, making token ordering a central algorithmic choice: which tokens should be revealed, retained, revised or verified at each step? Existing systems mainly use random masking or confidence-driven ordering. Random masking creates train--test mismatch, while confidence-only rules are efficient but can be myopic and suppress useful exploration. We introduce DPRM (Doob h-transform Process Reward Model), a plug-in token-ordering module for diffusion language models. DPRM keeps the host architecture, denoising objective and supervision unchanged, and changes only the ordering policy. It starts from confidence-driven progressive ordering and gradually shifts to Doob h transform Process Reward guided ordering through online estimates. We characterize the exact DPRM policy as a reward-tilted Gibbs reveal law, prove O(1/N) convergence of the stagewise Soft-BoN approximation, and show that the online bucketized controller tracks the exact DPRM score at empirical-Bernstein rates. Under tractable optimization assumptions, DPRM also yields a sample-complexity advantage over random and confidence-only ordering. DPRM improves over confidence-based baselines in pretraining, post-training, test-time scaling, and single-cell masked diffusion, with particularly strong gains on harder reasoning subsets. In protein, molecular generation and DNA design, the effect is more multi-objective: ordering-aware variants significantly improve selected structural or fragment-constrained metrics while not uniformly dominating the host baseline on every quality metric. These results identify token ordering as a fundamental control axis in diffusion language models and establish DPRM as a general-purpose module for improving it. Code is available at https://github.com/DakeBU/DPRM-DLLM.

Agentic World Modeling: Foundations, Capabilities, Laws, and Beyond

As AI systems move from generating text to accomplishing goals through sustained interaction, the ability to model environment dynamics becomes a central bottleneck. Agents that manipulate objects, navigate software, coordinate with others, or design experiments require predictive environment models, yet the term world model carries different meanings across research communities. We introduce a "levels x laws" taxonomy organized along two axes. The first defines three capability levels: L1 Predictor, which learns one-step local transition operators; L2 Simulator, which composes them into multi-step, action-conditioned rollouts that respect domain laws; and L3 Evolver, which autonomously revises its own model when predictions fail against new evidence. The second identifies four governing-law regimes: physical, digital, social, and scientific. These regimes determine what constraints a world model must satisfy and where it is most likely to fail. Using this framework, we synthesize over 400 works and summarize more than 100 representative systems spanning model-based reinforcement learning, video generation, web and GUI agents, multi-agent social simulation, and AI-driven scientific discovery. We analyze methods, failure modes, and evaluation practices across level-regime pairs, propose decision-centric evaluation principles and a minimal reproducible evaluation package, and outline architectural guidance, open problems, and governance challenges. The resulting roadmap connects previously isolated communities and charts a path from passive next-step prediction toward world models that can simulate, and ultimately reshape, the environments in which agents operate.

Enhancing Tabular Anomaly Detection via Pseudo-Label-Guided Generation

Identifying anomalous instances in tabular data is essential for improving data reliability and maintaining system stability. Due to the scarcity of ground-truth anomaly labels, existing methods mainly rely on unsupervised anomaly detection models, or exploit a small number of labeled anomalies to facilitate detection via sample generation or contrastive learning. However, unsupervised methods lack sufficient anomaly awareness, while current generation and contrastive approaches tend to compute anomalies globally, overlooking the localized anomaly patterns of tabular features, resulting in suboptimal detection performance. To address these limitations, we propose PLAG, a pseudo-label-guided anomaly generation method designed to enhance tabular anomaly detection. Specifically, by utilizing pseudo-anomalies as guidance signals and decoupling the overall anomaly quantification of a sample into an accumulation of feature-level abnormalities, PLAG not only effectively obviates the need for scarce ground-truth labels but also provides a novel perspective for the model to comprehend localized anomalous signals at a fine-grained level. Furthermore, a two-stage data selection strategy is proposed, integrating format verification and uncertainty estimation to rigorously filter candidate samples, thereby ensuring the fidelity and diversity of the synthetic anomalies. Ultimately, these filtered synthetic anomalies serve as robust discriminative guidance, empowering the model to better separate normal and anomalous instances. Extensive experiments demonstrate that PLAG achieves state-of-the-art performance against eight representative baselines. Moreover, as a flexible framework, it integrates seamlessly with existing unsupervised detectors, consistently boosting F1-scores by 0.08 to 0.21.

Chatting about Upper-Body Expressive Human Pose and Shape Estimation

Expressive Human Pose and Shape Estimation (EHPS) plays a crucial role in various AR/VR applications and has witnessed significant progress in recent years. However, current state-of-the-art methods still struggle with accurate parameter estimation for facial and hand regions and exhibit limited generalization to wild images. To address these challenges, we present CoEvoer, a novel one-stage synergistic cross-dependency transformer framework tailored for upper-body EHPS. CoEvoer enables explicit feature-level interaction across different body parts, allowing for mutual enhancement through contextual information exchange. Specifically, larger and more easily estimated regions such as the torso provide global semantics and positional priors to guide the estimation of finer, more complex regions like the face and hands. Conversely, the localized details captured in facial and hand regions help refine and calibrate adjacent body parts. To the best of our knowledge, CoEvoer is the first framework designed specifically for upper-body EHPS, with the goal of capturing the strong coupling and semantic dependencies among the face, hands, and torso through joint parameter regression. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CoEvoer achieves state-of-the-art performance on upper-body benchmarks and exhibits strong generalization capability even on unseen wild images.

Chatting about Conditional Trajectory Prediction

Human behavior has the nature of mutual dependencies, which requires human-robot interactive systems to predict surrounding agents trajectories by modeling complex social interactions, avoiding collisions and executing safe path planning. While there exist many trajectory prediction methods, most of them do not incorporate the own motion of the ego agent and only model interactions based on static information. We are inspired by the humans theory of mind during trajectory selection and propose a Cross time domain intention-interactive method for conditional Trajectory prediction(CiT). Our proposed CiT conducts joint analysis of behavior intentions over time, and achieves information complementarity and integration across different time domains. The intention in its own time domain can be corrected by the social interaction information from the other time domain to obtain a more precise intention representation. In addition, CiT is designed to closely integrate with robotic motion planning and control modules, capable of generating a set of optional trajectory prediction results for all surrounding agents based on potential motions of the ego agent. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed CiT significantly outperforms the existing methods, achieving state-of-the-art performance in the benchmarks.

How Transformers Learn to Plan via Multi-Token Prediction

While next-token prediction (NTP) has been the standard objective for training language models, it often struggles to capture global structure in reasoning tasks. Multi-token prediction (MTP) has recently emerged as a promising alternative, yet its underlying mechanisms remain poorly understood. In this paper, we study how MTP facilitates reasoning, with a focus on planning. Empirically, we show that MTP consistently outperforms NTP on both synthetic graph path-finding tasks and more realistic reasoning benchmarks, such as Countdown and boolean satisfiability problems. Theoretically, we analyze a simplified two-layer Transformer on a star graph task. We prove that MTP induces a two-stage reverse reasoning process: the model first attends to the end node and then reconstructs the path by tracing intermediate nodes backward. This behavior arises from a gradient decoupling property of MTP, which provides a cleaner training signal compared to NTP. Ultimately, our results highlight how multi-token objectives inherently bias optimization toward robust and interpretable reasoning circuits.