CREAD: A Classification-Restoration Framework with Error Adaptive Discretization for Watch Time Prediction in Video Recommender Systems

The watch time is a significant indicator of user satisfaction in video recommender systems. However, the prediction of watch time as a target variable is often hindered by its highly imbalanced distribution with a scarcity of observations for larger target values and over-populated samples for small values. State-of-the-art watch time prediction models discretize the continuous watch time into a set of buckets in order to consider the distribution of watch time. However, it is highly uninvestigated how these discrete buckets should be created from the continuous watch time distribution, and existing discretization approaches suffer from either a large learning error or a large restoration error. To address this challenge, we propose a Classification-Restoration framework with Error-Adaptive-Discretization (CREAD) to accurately predict the watch time. The proposed framework contains a discretization module, a classification module, and a restoration module. It predicts the watch time through multiple classification problems. The discretization process is a key contribution of the CREAD framework. We theoretically analyze the impacts of the discretization on the learning error and the restoration error, and then propose the error-adaptive discretization (EAD) technique to better balance the two errors, which achieves better performance over traditional discretization approaches. We conduct detailed offline evaluations on a public dataset and an industrial dataset, both showing performance gains through the proposed approach. Moreover, We have fully launched our framework to Kwai App, an online video platform, which resulted in a significant increase in users' video watch time by 0.29% through A/B testing. These results highlight the effectiveness of the CREAD framework in watch time prediction in video recommender systems.

UNEX-RL: Reinforcing Long-Term Rewards in Multi-Stage Recommender Systems with UNidirectional EXecution

In recent years, there has been a growing interest in utilizing reinforcement learning (RL) to optimize long-term rewards in recommender systems. Since industrial recommender systems are typically designed as multi-stage systems, RL methods with a single agent face challenges when optimizing multiple stages simultaneously. The reason is that different stages have different observation spaces, and thus cannot be modeled by a single agent. To address this issue, we propose a novel UNidirectional-EXecution-based multi-agent Reinforcement Learning (UNEX-RL) framework to reinforce the long-term rewards in multi-stage recommender systems. We show that the unidirectional execution is a key feature of multi-stage recommender systems, bringing new challenges to the applications of multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL), namely the observation dependency and the cascading effect. To tackle these challenges, we provide a cascading information chain (CIC) method to separate the independent observations from action-dependent observations and use CIC to train UNEX-RL effectively. We also discuss practical variance reduction techniques for UNEX-RL. Finally, we show the effectiveness of UNEX-RL on both public datasets and an online recommender system with over 100 million users. Specifically, UNEX-RL reveals a 0.558% increase in users' usage time compared with single-agent RL algorithms in online A/B experiments, highlighting the effectiveness of UNEX-RL in industrial recommender systems.