Long-lead forecasts of wintertime air stagnation index in southern China using oceanic memory effects

Stagnant weather condition is one of the major contributors to air pollution as it is favorable for the formation and accumulation of pollutants. To measure the atmosphere's ability to dilute air pollutants, Air Stagnation Index (ASI) has been introduced as an important meteorological index. Therefore, making long-lead ASI forecasts is vital to make plans in advance for air quality management. In this study, we found that autumn Ni\~no indices derived from sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies show a negative correlation with wintertime ASI in southern China, offering prospects for a prewinter forecast. We developed an LSTM-based model to predict the future wintertime ASI. Results demonstrated that multivariate inputs (past ASI and Ni\~no indices) achieve better forecast performance than univariate input (only past ASI). The model achieves a correlation coefficient of 0.778 between the actual and predicted ASI, exhibiting a high degree of consistency.

Exploring Semantic Relationships for Unpaired Image Captioning

Recently, image captioning has aroused great interest in both academic and industrial worlds. Most existing systems are built upon large-scale datasets consisting of image-sentence pairs, which, however, are time-consuming to construct. In addition, even for the most advanced image captioning systems, it is still difficult to realize deep image understanding. In this work, we achieve unpaired image captioning by bridging the vision and the language domains with high-level semantic information. The motivation stems from the fact that the semantic concepts with the same modality can be extracted from both images and descriptions. To further improve the quality of captions generated by the model, we propose the Semantic Relationship Explorer, which explores the relationships between semantic concepts for better understanding of the image. Extensive experiments on MSCOCO dataset show that we can generate desirable captions without paired datasets. Furthermore, the proposed approach boosts five strong baselines under the paired setting, where the most significant improvement in CIDEr score reaches 8%, demonstrating that it is effective and generalizes well to a wide range of models.