Self-Interpretable Time Series Prediction with Counterfactual Explanations

Interpretable time series prediction is crucial for safety-critical areas such as healthcare and autonomous driving. Most existing methods focus on interpreting predictions by assigning important scores to segments of time series. In this paper, we take a different and more challenging route and aim at developing a self-interpretable model, dubbed Counterfactual Time Series (CounTS), which generates counterfactual and actionable explanations for time series predictions. Specifically, we formalize the problem of time series counterfactual explanations, establish associated evaluation protocols, and propose a variational Bayesian deep learning model equipped with counterfactual inference capability of time series abduction, action, and prediction. Compared with state-of-the-art baselines, our self-interpretable model can generate better counterfactual explanations while maintaining comparable prediction accuracy.

UUKG: Unified Urban Knowledge Graph Dataset for Urban Spatiotemporal Prediction

Accurate Urban SpatioTemporal Prediction (USTP) is of great importance to the development and operation of the smart city. As an emerging building block, multi-sourced urban data are usually integrated as urban knowledge graphs (UrbanKGs) to provide critical knowledge for urban spatiotemporal prediction models. However, existing UrbanKGs are often tailored for specific downstream prediction tasks and are not publicly available, which limits the potential advancement. This paper presents UUKG, the unified urban knowledge graph dataset for knowledge-enhanced urban spatiotemporal predictions. Specifically, we first construct UrbanKGs consisting of millions of triplets for two metropolises by connecting heterogeneous urban entities such as administrative boroughs, POIs, and road segments. Moreover, we conduct qualitative and quantitative analysis on constructed UrbanKGs and uncover diverse high-order structural patterns, such as hierarchies and cycles, that can be leveraged to benefit downstream USTP tasks. To validate and facilitate the use of UrbanKGs, we implement and evaluate 15 KG embedding methods on the KG completion task and integrate the learned KG embeddings into 9 spatiotemporal models for five different USTP tasks. The extensive experimental results not only provide benchmarks of knowledge-enhanced USTP models under different task settings but also highlight the potential of state-of-the-art high-order structure-aware UrbanKG embedding methods. We hope the proposed UUKG fosters research on urban knowledge graphs and broad smart city applications. The dataset and source code are available at https://github.com/usail-hkust/UUKG/.

Minimum Eigenvalue Based Covariance Matrix Estimation with Limited Samples

In this paper, we consider the interference rejection combining (IRC) receiver, which improves the cell-edge user throughput via suppressing inter-cell interference and requires estimating the covariance matrix including the inter-cell interference with high accuracy. In order to solve the problem of sample covariance matrix estimation with limited samples, a regularization parameter optimization based on the minimum eigenvalue criterion is developed. It is different from traditional methods that aim at minimizing the mean squared error, but goes straight at the objective of optimizing the final performance of the IRC receiver. A lower bound of the minimum eigenvalue that is easier to calculate is also derived. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed approach is effective and can approach the performance of the oracle estimator in terms of the mutual information metric.

Taxonomy-Structured Domain Adaptation

Domain adaptation aims to mitigate distribution shifts among different domains. However, traditional formulations are mostly limited to categorical domains, greatly simplifying nuanced domain relationships in the real world. In this work, we tackle a generalization with taxonomy-structured domains, which formalizes domains with nested, hierarchical similarity structures such as animal species and product catalogs. We build on the classic adversarial framework and introduce a novel taxonomist, which competes with the adversarial discriminator to preserve the taxonomy information. The equilibrium recovers the classic adversarial domain adaptation's solution if given a non-informative domain taxonomy (e.g., a flat taxonomy where all leaf nodes connect to the root node) while yielding non-trivial results with other taxonomies. Empirically, our method achieves state-of-the-art performance on both synthetic and real-world datasets with successful adaptation. Code is available at https://github.com/Wang-ML-Lab/TSDA.

Skellam Rank: Fair Learning to Rank Algorithm Based on Poisson Process and Skellam Distribution for Recommender Systems

Recommender system is a widely adopted technology in a diversified class of product lines. Modern day recommender system approaches include matrix factorization, learning to rank and deep learning paradigms, etc. Unlike many other approaches, learning to rank builds recommendation results based on maximization of the probability of ranking orders. There are intrinsic issues related to recommender systems such as selection bias, exposure bias and popularity bias. In this paper, we propose a fair recommender system algorithm that uses Poisson process and Skellam distribution. We demonstrate in our experiments that our algorithm is competitive in accuracy metrics and far more superior than other modern algorithms in fairness metrics.

Variational Imbalanced Regression

Existing regression models tend to fall short in both accuracy and uncertainty estimation when the label distribution is imbalanced. In this paper, we propose a probabilistic deep learning model, dubbed variational imbalanced regression (VIR), which not only performs well in imbalanced regression but naturally produces reasonable uncertainty estimation as a byproduct. Different from typical variational autoencoders assuming I.I.D. representations (a data point's representation is not directly affected by other data points), our VIR borrows data with similar regression labels to compute the latent representation's variational distribution; furthermore, different from deterministic regression models producing point estimates, VIR predicts the entire normal-inverse-gamma distributions and modulates the associated conjugate distributions to impose probabilistic reweighting on the imbalanced data, thereby providing better uncertainty estimation. Experiments in several real-world datasets show that our VIR can outperform state-of-the-art imbalanced regression models in terms of both accuracy and uncertainty estimation.

A Peer-to-peer Federated Continual Learning Network for Improving CT Imaging from Multiple Institutions

Deep learning techniques have been widely used in computed tomography (CT) but require large data sets to train networks. Moreover, data sharing among multiple institutions is limited due to data privacy constraints, which hinders the development of high-performance DL-based CT imaging models from multi-institutional collaborations. Federated learning (FL) strategy is an alternative way to train the models without centralizing data from multi-institutions. In this work, we propose a novel peer-to-peer federated continual learning strategy to improve low-dose CT imaging performance from multiple institutions. The newly proposed method is called peer-to-peer continual FL with intermediate controllers, i.e., icP2P-FL. Specifically, different from the conventional FL model, the proposed icP2P-FL does not require a central server that coordinates training information for a global model. In the proposed icP2P-FL method, the peer-to-peer federated continual learning is introduced wherein the DL-based model is continually trained one client after another via model transferring and inter institutional parameter sharing due to the common characteristics of CT data among the clients. Furthermore, an intermediate controller is developed to make the overall training more flexible. Numerous experiments were conducted on the AAPM low-dose CT Grand Challenge dataset and local datasets, and the experimental results showed that the proposed icP2P-FL method outperforms the other comparative methods both qualitatively and quantitatively, and reaches an accuracy similar to a model trained with pooling data from all the institutions.

A Survey on Large Language Models for Recommendation

Large Language Models (LLMs) have emerged as powerful tools in the field of Natural Language Processing (NLP) and have recently gained significant attention in the domain of Recommendation Systems (RS). These models, trained on massive amounts of data using self-supervised learning, have demonstrated remarkable success in learning universal representations and have the potential to enhance various aspects of recommendation systems by some effective transfer techniques such as fine-tuning and prompt tuning, and so on. The crucial aspect of harnessing the power of language models in enhancing recommendation quality is the utilization of their high-quality representations of textual features and their extensive coverage of external knowledge to establish correlations between items and users. To provide a comprehensive understanding of the existing LLM-based recommendation systems, this survey presents a taxonomy that categorizes these models into two major paradigms, respectively Discriminative LLM for Recommendation (DLLM4Rec) and Generative LLM for Recommendation (GLLM4Rec), with the latter being systematically sorted out for the first time. Furthermore, we systematically review and analyze existing LLM-based recommendation systems within each paradigm, providing insights into their methodologies, techniques, and performance. Additionally, we identify key challenges and several valuable findings to provide researchers and practitioners with inspiration. We have also created a GitHub repository to index relevant papers on LLMs for recommendation, https://github.com/WLiK/LLM4Rec.