Goal-Oriented Reactive Simulation for Closed-Loop Trajectory Prediction

Current trajectory prediction models are primarily trained in an open-loop manner, which often leads to covariate shift and compounding errors when deployed in real-world, closed-loop settings. Furthermore, relying on static datasets or non-reactive log-replay simulators severs the interactive loop, preventing the ego agent from learning to actively negotiate surrounding traffic. In this work, we propose an on-policy closed-loop training paradigm optimized for high-frequency, receding horizon ego prediction. To ground the ego prediction in a realistic representation of traffic interactions and to achieve reactive consistency, we introduce a goal-oriented, transformer-based scene decoder, resulting in an inherently reactive training simulation. By exposing the ego agent to a mixture of open-loop data and simulated, self-induced states, the model learns recovery behaviors to correct its own execution errors. Extensive evaluation demonstrates that closed-loop training significantly enhances collision avoidance capabilities at high replanning frequencies, yielding relative collision rate reductions of up to 27.0% on nuScenes and 79.5% in dense DeepScenario intersections compared to open-loop baselines. Additionally, we show that a hybrid simulation combining reactive with non-reactive surrounding agents achieves optimal balance between immediate interactivity and long-term behavioral stability.

Rectify, Don't Regret: Avoiding Pitfalls of Differentiable Simulation in Trajectory Prediction

Current open-loop trajectory models struggle in real-world autonomous driving because minor initial deviations often cascade into compounding errors, pushing the agent into out-of-distribution states. While fully differentiable closed-loop simulators attempt to address this, they suffer from shortcut learning: the loss gradients flow backward through induced state inputs, inadvertently leaking future ground truth information directly into the model's own previous predictions. The model exploits these signals to artificially avoid drift, non-causally "regretting" past mistakes rather than learning genuinely reactive recovery. To address this, we introduce a detached receding horizon rollout. By explicitly severing the computation graph between simulation steps, the model learns genuine recovery behaviors from drifted states, forcing it to "rectify" mistakes rather than non-causally optimizing past predictions. Extensive evaluations on the nuScenes and DeepScenario datasets show our approach yields more robust recovery strategies, reducing target collisions by up to 33.24% compared to fully differentiable closed-loop training at high replanning frequencies. Furthermore, compared to standard open-loop baselines, our non-differentiable framework decreases collisions by up to 27.74% in dense environments while simultaneously improving multi-modal prediction diversity and lane alignment.

An Invariant Compiler for Neural ODEs in AI-Accelerated Scientific Simulation

Neural ODEs are increasingly used as continuous-time models for scientific and sensor data, but unconstrained neural ODEs can drift and violate domain invariants (e.g., conservation laws), yielding physically implausible solutions. In turn, this can compound error in long-horizon prediction and surrogate simulation. Existing solutions typically aim to enforce invariance by soft penalties or other forms of regularization, which can reduce overall error but do not guarantee that trajectories will not leave the constraint manifold. We introduce the invariant compiler, a framework that enforces invariants by construction: it treats invariants as first-class types and uses an LLM-driven compilation workflow to translate a generic neural ODE specification into a structure-preserving architecture whose trajectories remain on the admissible manifold in continuous time (and up to numerical integration error in practice). This compiler view cleanly separates what must be preserved (scientific structure) from what is learned from data (dynamics within that structure). It provides a systematic design pattern for invariant-respecting neural surrogates across scientific domains.

TETO: Tracking Events with Teacher Observation for Motion Estimation and Frame Interpolation

Event cameras capture per-pixel brightness changes with microsecond resolution, offering continuous motion information lost between RGB frames. However, existing event-based motion estimators depend on large-scale synthetic data that often suffers from a significant sim-to-real gap. We propose TETO (Tracking Events with Teacher Observation), a teacher-student framework that learns event motion estimation from only $\sim$25 minutes of unannotated real-world recordings through knowledge distillation from a pretrained RGB tracker. Our motion-aware data curation and query sampling strategy maximizes learning from limited data by disentangling object motion from dominant ego-motion. The resulting estimator jointly predicts point trajectories and dense optical flow, which we leverage as explicit motion priors to condition a pretrained video diffusion transformer for frame interpolation. We achieve state-of-the-art point tracking on EVIMO2 and optical flow on DSEC using orders of magnitude less training data, and demonstrate that accurate motion estimation translates directly to superior frame interpolation quality on BS-ERGB and HQ-EVFI.

MolEvolve: LLM-Guided Evolutionary Search for Interpretable Molecular Optimization

Despite deep learning's success in chemistry, its impact is hindered by a lack of interpretability and an inability to resolve activity cliffs, where minor structural nuances trigger drastic property shifts. Current representation learning, bound by the similarity principle, often fails to capture these structural-activity discontinuities. To address this, we introduce MolEvolve, an evolutionary framework that reformulates molecular discovery as an autonomous, look-ahead planning problem. Unlike traditional methods that depend on human-engineered features or rigid prior knowledge, MolEvolve leverages a Large Language Model (LLM) to actively explore and evolve a library of executable chemical symbolic operations. By utilizing the LLM to cold start and an Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) engine for test-time planning with external tools (e.g. RDKit), the system self-discovers optimal trajectories autonomously. This process evolves transparent reasoning chains that translate complex structural transformations into actionable, human-readable chemical insights. Experimental results demonstrate that MolEvolve's autonomous search not only evolves transparent, human-readable chemical insights, but also outperforms baselines in both property prediction and molecule optimization tasks.

TAG: Target-Agnostic Guidance for Stable Object-Centric Inference in Vision-Language-Action Models

Vision--Language--Action (VLA) policies have shown strong progress in mapping language instructions and visual observations to robotic actions, yet their reliability degrades in cluttered scenes with distractors. By analyzing failure cases, we find that many errors do not arise from infeasible motions, but from instance-level grounding failures: the policy often produces a plausible grasp trajectory that lands slightly off-target or even on the wrong object instance. To address this issue, we propose TAG (Target-Agnostic Guidance), a simple inference-time guidance mechanism that explicitly reduces distractor- and appearance-induced bias in VLA policies. Inspired by classifier-free guidance (CFG), TAG contrasts policy predictions under the original observation and an object-erased observation, and uses their difference as a residual steering signal that strengthens the influence of object evidence in the decision process. TAG does not require modifying the policy architecture and can be integrated with existing VLA policies with minimal training and inference changes. We evaluate TAG on standard manipulation benchmarks, including LIBERO, LIBERO-Plus, and VLABench, where it consistently improves robustness under clutter and reduces near-miss and wrong-object executions.

SpecEyes: Accelerating Agentic Multimodal LLMs via Speculative Perception and Planning

Agentic multimodal large language models (MLLMs) (e.g., OpenAI o3 and Gemini Agentic Vision) achieve remarkable reasoning capabilities through iterative visual tool invocation. However, the cascaded perception, reasoning, and tool-calling loops introduce significant sequential overhead. This overhead, termed agentic depth, incurs prohibitive latency and seriously limits system-level concurrency. To this end, we propose SpecEyes, an agentic-level speculative acceleration framework that breaks this sequential bottleneck. Our key insight is that a lightweight, tool-free MLLM can serve as a speculative planner to predict the execution trajectory, enabling early termination of expensive tool chains without sacrificing accuracy. To regulate this speculative planning, we introduce a cognitive gating mechanism based on answer separability, which quantifies the model's confidence for self-verification without requiring oracle labels. Furthermore, we design a heterogeneous parallel funnel that exploits the stateless concurrency of the small model to mask the stateful serial execution of the large model, maximizing system throughput. Extensive experiments on V* Bench, HR-Bench, and POPE demonstrate that SpecEyes achieves 1.1-3.35x speedup over the agentic baseline while preserving or even improving accuracy (up to +6.7%), thereby boosting serving throughput under concurrent workloads.

Future-Interactions-Aware Trajectory Prediction via Braid Theory

To safely operate, an autonomous vehicle must know the future behavior of a potentially high number of interacting agents around it, a task often posed as multi-agent trajectory prediction. Many previous attempts to model social interactions and solve the joint prediction task either add extensive computational requirements or rely on heuristics to label multi-agent behavior types. Braid theory, in contrast, provides a powerful exact descriptor of multi-agent behavior by projecting future trajectories into braids that express how trajectories cross with each other over time; a braid then corresponds to a specific mode of coordination between the multiple agents in the future. In past work, braids have been used lightly to reason about interacting agents and restrict the attention window of predicted agents. We show that leveraging more fully the expressivity of the braid representation and using it to condition the trajectories themselves leads to even further gains in joint prediction performance, with negligible added complexity either in training or at inference time. We do so by proposing a novel auxiliary task, braid prediction, done in parallel with the trajectory prediction task. By classifying edges between agents into their correct crossing types in the braid representation, the braid prediction task is able to imbue the model with improved social awareness, which is reflected in joint predictions that more closely adhere to the actual multi-agent behavior. This simple auxiliary task allowed us to obtain significant improvements in joint metrics on three separate datasets. We show how the braid prediction task infuses the model with future intention awareness, leading to more accurate joint predictions. Code is available at github.com/caiocj1/traj-pred-braid-theory.

Latent-WAM: Latent World Action Modeling for End-to-End Autonomous Driving

We introduce Latent-WAM, an efficient end-to-end autonomous driving framework that achieves strong trajectory planning through spatially-aware and dynamics-informed latent world representations. Existing world-model-based planners suffer from inadequately compressed representations, limited spatial understanding, and underutilized temporal dynamics, resulting in sub-optimal planning under constrained data and compute budgets. Latent-WAM addresses these limitations with two core modules: a Spatial-Aware Compressive World Encoder (SCWE) that distills geometric knowledge from a foundation model and compresses multi-view images into compact scene tokens via learnable queries, and a Dynamic Latent World Model (DLWM) that employs a causal Transformer to autoregressively predict future world status conditioned on historical visual and motion representations. Extensive experiments on NAVSIM v2 and HUGSIM demonstrate new state-of-the-art results: 89.3 EPDMS on NAVSIM v2 and 28.9 HD-Score on HUGSIM, surpassing the best prior perception-free method by 3.2 EPDMS with significantly less training data and a compact 104M-parameter model.

TrajLoom: Dense Future Trajectory Generation from Video

Predicting future motion is crucial in video understanding and controllable video generation. Dense point trajectories are a compact, expressive motion representation, but modeling their future evolution from observed video remains challenging. We propose a framework that predicts future trajectories and visibility from past trajectories and video context. Our method has three components: (1) Grid-Anchor Offset Encoding, which reduces location-dependent bias by representing each point as an offset from its pixel-center anchor; (2) TrajLoom-VAE, which learns a compact spatiotemporal latent space for dense trajectories with masked reconstruction and a spatiotemporal consistency regularizer; and (3) TrajLoom-Flow, which generates future trajectories in latent space via flow matching, with boundary cues and on-policy K-step fine-tuning for stable sampling. We also introduce TrajLoomBench, a unified benchmark spanning real and synthetic videos with a standardized setup aligned with video-generation benchmarks. Compared with state-of-the-art methods, our approach extends the prediction horizon from 24 to 81 frames while improving motion realism and stability across datasets. The predicted trajectories directly support downstream video generation and editing. Code, model checkpoints, and datasets are available at https://trajloom.github.io/.