Crime Forecasting: A Spatio-temporal Analysis with Deep Learning Models

This study uses deep-learning models to predict city partition crime counts on specific days. It helps police enhance surveillance, gather intelligence, and proactively prevent crimes. We formulate crime count prediction as a spatiotemporal sequence challenge, where both input data and prediction targets are spatiotemporal sequences. In order to improve the accuracy of crime forecasting, we introduce a new model that combines Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. We conducted a comparative analysis to access the effects of various data sequences, including raw and binned data, on the prediction errors of four deep learning forecasting models. Directly inputting raw crime data into the forecasting model causes high prediction errors, making the model unsuitable for real - world use. The findings indicate that the proposed CNN-LSTM model achieves optimal performance when crime data is categorized into 10 or 5 groups. Data binning can enhance forecasting model performance, but poorly defined intervals may reduce map granularity. Compared to dividing into 5 bins, binning into 10 intervals strikes an optimal balance, preserving data characteristics and surpassing raw data in predictive modelling efficacy.

Demystifying Singular Defects in Large Language Models

Large transformer models are known to produce high-norm tokens. In vision transformers (ViTs), such tokens have been mathematically modeled through the singular vectors of the linear approximations of layers. However, in large language models (LLMs), the underlying causes of high-norm tokens remain largely unexplored, and their different properties from those of ViTs require a new analysis framework. In this paper, we provide both theoretical insights and empirical validation across a range of recent models, leading to the following observations: i) The layer-wise singular direction predicts the abrupt explosion of token norms in LLMs. ii) The negative eigenvalues of a layer explain its sudden decay. iii) The computational pathways leading to high-norm tokens differ between initial and noninitial tokens. iv) High-norm tokens are triggered by the right leading singular vector of the matrix approximating the corresponding modules. We showcase two practical applications of these findings: the improvement of quantization schemes and the design of LLM signatures. Our findings not only advance the understanding of singular defects in LLMs but also open new avenues for their application. We expect that this work will stimulate further research into the internal mechanisms of LLMs and will therefore publicly release our code.

Nearly Optimal Sample Complexity of Offline KL-Regularized Contextual Bandits under Single-Policy Concentrability

KL-regularized policy optimization has become a workhorse in learning-based decision making, while its theoretical understanding is still very limited. Although recent progress has been made towards settling the sample complexity of KL-regularized contextual bandits, existing sample complexity bounds are either $\tilde{O}(\epsilon^{-2})$ under single-policy concentrability or $\tilde{O}(\epsilon^{-1})$ under all-policy concentrability. In this paper, we propose the \emph{first} algorithm with $\tilde{O}(\epsilon^{-1})$ sample complexity under single-policy concentrability for offline contextual bandits. Our algorithm is designed for general function approximation and based on the principle of \emph{pessimism in the face of uncertainty}. The core of our proof leverages the strong convexity of the KL regularization, and the conditional non-negativity of the gap between the true reward and its pessimistic estimator to refine a mean-value-type risk upper bound to its extreme. This in turn leads to a novel covariance-based analysis, effectively bypassing the need for uniform control over the discrepancy between any two functions in the function class. The near-optimality of our algorithm is demonstrated by an $\tilde{\Omega}(\epsilon^{-1})$ lower bound. Furthermore, we extend our algorithm to contextual dueling bandits and achieve a similar nearly optimal sample complexity.

Adapt-Pruner: Adaptive Structural Pruning for Efficient Small Language Model Training

Small language models (SLMs) have attracted considerable attention from both academia and industry due to their broad range of applications in edge devices. To obtain SLMs with strong performance, conventional approaches either pre-train the models from scratch, which incurs substantial computational costs, or compress/prune existing large language models (LLMs), which results in performance drops and falls short in comparison to pre-training. In this paper, we investigate the family of acceleration methods that involve both structured pruning and model training. We found 1) layer-wise adaptive pruning (Adapt-Pruner) is extremely effective in LLMs and yields significant improvements over existing pruning techniques, 2) adaptive pruning equipped with further training leads to models comparable to those pre-training from scratch, 3) incremental pruning brings non-trivial performance gain by interleaving pruning with training and only removing a small portion of neurons ($\sim$5%) at a time. Experimental results on LLaMA-3.1-8B demonstrate that Adapt-Pruner outperforms conventional pruning methods, such as LLM-Pruner, FLAP, and SliceGPT, by an average of 1%-7% in accuracy on commonsense benchmarks. Additionally, Adapt-Pruner restores the performance of MobileLLM-125M to 600M on the MMLU benchmark with 200$\times$ fewer tokens via pruning from its larger counterparts, and discovers a new 1B model that surpasses LLaMA-3.2-1B in multiple benchmarks.

Catoni Contextual Bandits are Robust to Heavy-tailed Rewards

Typical contextual bandit algorithms assume that the rewards at each round lie in some fixed range $[0, R]$, and their regret scales polynomially with this reward range $R$. However, many practical scenarios naturally involve heavy-tailed rewards or rewards where the worst-case range can be substantially larger than the variance. In this paper, we develop an algorithmic approach building on Catoni's estimator from robust statistics, and apply it to contextual bandits with general function approximation. When the variance of the reward at each round is known, we use a variance-weighted regression approach and establish a regret bound that depends only on the cumulative reward variance and logarithmically on the reward range $R$ as well as the number of rounds $T$. For the unknown-variance case, we further propose a careful peeling-based algorithm and remove the need for cumbersome variance estimation. With additional dependence on the fourth moment, our algorithm also enjoys a variance-based bound with logarithmic reward-range dependence. Moreover, we demonstrate the optimality of the leading-order term in our regret bound through a matching lower bound.

Online-BLS: An Accurate and Efficient Online Broad Learning System for Data Stream Classification

The state-of-the-art online learning models generally conduct a single online gradient descent when a new sample arrives and thus suffer from suboptimal model weights. To this end, we introduce an online broad learning system framework with closed-form solutions for each online update. Different from employing existing incremental broad learning algorithms for online learning tasks, which tend to incur degraded accuracy and expensive online update overhead, we design an effective weight estimation algorithm and an efficient online updating strategy to remedy the above two deficiencies, respectively. Specifically, an effective weight estimation algorithm is first developed by replacing notorious matrix inverse operations with Cholesky decomposition and forward-backward substitution to improve model accuracy. Second, we devise an efficient online updating strategy that dramatically reduces online update time. Theoretical analysis exhibits the splendid error bound and low time complexity of our model. The most popular test-then-training evaluation experiments on various real-world datasets prove its superiority and efficiency. Furthermore, our framework is naturally extended to data stream scenarios with concept drift and exceeds state-of-the-art baselines.

Divergence-Augmented Policy Optimization

In deep reinforcement learning, policy optimization methods need to deal with issues such as function approximation and the reuse of off-policy data. Standard policy gradient methods do not handle off-policy data well, leading to premature convergence and instability. This paper introduces a method to stabilize policy optimization when off-policy data are reused. The idea is to include a Bregman divergence between the behavior policy that generates the data and the current policy to ensure small and safe policy updates with off-policy data. The Bregman divergence is calculated between the state distributions of two policies, instead of only on the action probabilities, leading to a divergence augmentation formulation. Empirical experiments on Atari games show that in the data-scarce scenario where the reuse of off-policy data becomes necessary, our method can achieve better performance than other state-of-the-art deep reinforcement learning algorithms.

Computer Vision-Driven Gesture Recognition: Toward Natural and Intuitive Human-Computer

This study mainly explores the application of natural gesture recognition based on computer vision in human-computer interaction, aiming to improve the fluency and naturalness of human-computer interaction through gesture recognition technology. In the fields of virtual reality, augmented reality and smart home, traditional input methods have gradually failed to meet the needs of users for interactive experience. As an intuitive and convenient interaction method, gestures have received more and more attention. This paper proposes a gesture recognition method based on a three-dimensional hand skeleton model. By simulating the three-dimensional spatial distribution of hand joints, a simplified hand skeleton structure is constructed. By connecting the palm and each finger joint, a dynamic and static gesture model of the hand is formed, which further improves the accuracy and efficiency of gesture recognition. Experimental results show that this method can effectively recognize various gestures and maintain high recognition accuracy and real-time response capabilities in different environments. In addition, combined with multimodal technologies such as eye tracking, the intelligence level of the gesture recognition system can be further improved, bringing a richer and more intuitive user experience. In the future, with the continuous development of computer vision, deep learning and multimodal interaction technology, natural interaction based on gestures will play an important role in a wider range of application scenarios and promote revolutionary progress in human-computer interaction.

QADM-Net: Quality-adaptive Dynamic Network for Reliable Multimodal Classification

Integrating complementary information from different data modalities can yield representation with stronger expressive ability. However, data quality varies across multimodal samples, highlighting the need for learning reliable multimodal representations, especially in safety-critical applications. This paper focuses on an aspect that existing methods in this domain commonly overlook: the importance of network dynamics and adaptability in providing reliable results from diverse samples. Specifically, it highlights the model's ability to dynamically adjust its capacity and behaviour according to different samples, using the adjusted network for predicting each sample. To this end, we propose a novel framework for multimodal reliable classification termed Quality-adaptive Dynamic Multimodal Network (QADM-Net). QADM-Net first introduces a confidence-guided dynamic depths mechanism to achieve the appropriate network capacity. This mechanism adjusts the network depth according to the difficulty of each sample, which is determined by the quality of its modalities. Subsequently, we develop an informativeness-based dynamic parameters mechanism that enables QADM-Net to perform unique inference behaviour on each of the diverse samples with feature-level quality variation presented in their feature vectors. In this way, QADM-Net adequately adapts its capacity and behaviour on each sample by investigating the quality variation of samples at both modality and feature levels, thus enhancing the reliability of classification results. Experiments conducted on four datasets demonstrate that QADM-Net significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in classification performance and exhibits strong adaptability to data with diverse quality.

Entropy-Regularized Process Reward Model

Large language models (LLMs) have shown promise in performing complex multi-step reasoning, yet they continue to struggle with mathematical reasoning, often making systematic errors. A promising solution is reinforcement learning (RL) guided by reward models, particularly those focusing on process rewards, which score each intermediate step rather than solely evaluating the final outcome. This approach is more effective at guiding policy models towards correct reasoning trajectories. In this work, we propose an entropy-regularized process reward model (ER-PRM) that integrates KL-regularized Markov Decision Processes (MDP) to balance policy optimization with the need to prevent the policy from shifting too far from its initial distribution. We derive a novel reward construction method based on the theoretical results. Our theoretical analysis shows that we could derive the optimal reward model from the initial policy sampling. Our empirical experiments on the MATH and GSM8K benchmarks demonstrate that ER-PRM consistently outperforms existing process reward models, achieving 1% improvement on GSM8K and 2-3% improvement on MATH under best-of-N evaluation, and more than 1% improvement under RLHF. These results highlight the efficacy of entropy-regularization in enhancing LLMs' reasoning capabilities.