Learning county from pixels: Corn yield prediction with attention-weighted multiple instance learning

Remote sensing technology has become a promising tool in yield prediction. Most prior work employs satellite imagery for county-level corn yield prediction by spatially aggregating all pixels within a county into a single value, potentially overlooking the detailed information and valuable insights offered by more granular data. To this end, this research examines each county at the pixel level and applies multiple instance learning to leverage detailed information within a county. In addition, our method addresses the "mixed pixel" issue caused by the inconsistent resolution between feature datasets and crop mask, which may introduce noise into the model and therefore hinder accurate yield prediction. Specifically, the attention mechanism is employed to automatically assign weights to different pixels, which can mitigate the influence of mixed pixels. The experimental results show that the developed model outperforms four other machine learning models over the past five years in the U.S. corn belt and demonstrates its best performance in 2022, achieving a coefficient of determination (R2) value of 0.84 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.83. This paper demonstrates the advantages of our approach from both spatial and temporal perspectives. Furthermore, through an in-depth study of the relationship between mixed pixels and attention, it is verified that our approach can capture critical feature information while filtering out noise from mixed pixels.

DAOT: Domain-Agnostically Aligned Optimal Transport for Domain-Adaptive Crowd Counting

Domain adaptation is commonly employed in crowd counting to bridge the domain gaps between different datasets. However, existing domain adaptation methods tend to focus on inter-dataset differences while overlooking the intra-differences within the same dataset, leading to additional learning ambiguities. These domain-agnostic factors, e.g., density, surveillance perspective, and scale, can cause significant in-domain variations, and the misalignment of these factors across domains can lead to a drop in performance in cross-domain crowd counting. To address this issue, we propose a Domain-agnostically Aligned Optimal Transport (DAOT) strategy that aligns domain-agnostic factors between domains. The DAOT consists of three steps. First, individual-level differences in domain-agnostic factors are measured using structural similarity (SSIM). Second, the optimal transfer (OT) strategy is employed to smooth out these differences and find the optimal domain-to-domain misalignment, with outlier individuals removed via a virtual "dustbin" column. Third, knowledge is transferred based on the aligned domain-agnostic factors, and the model is retrained for domain adaptation to bridge the gap across domains. We conduct extensive experiments on five standard crowd-counting benchmarks and demonstrate that the proposed method has strong generalizability across diverse datasets. Our code will be available at: https://github.com/HopooLinZ/DAOT/.