Non-Stationary Contextual Bandit Learning via Neural Predictive Ensemble Sampling

Real-world applications of contextual bandits often exhibit non-stationarity due to seasonality, serendipity, and evolving social trends. While a number of non-stationary contextual bandit learning algorithms have been proposed in the literature, they excessively explore due to a lack of prioritization for information of enduring value, or are designed in ways that do not scale in modern applications with high-dimensional user-specific features and large action set, or both. In this paper, we introduce a novel non-stationary contextual bandit algorithm that addresses these concerns. It combines a scalable, deep-neural-network-based architecture with a carefully designed exploration mechanism that strategically prioritizes collecting information with the most lasting value in a non-stationary environment. Through empirical evaluations on two real-world recommendation datasets, which exhibit pronounced non-stationarity, we demonstrate that our approach significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art baselines.

Continual Learning as Computationally Constrained Reinforcement Learning

An agent that efficiently accumulates knowledge to develop increasingly sophisticated skills over a long lifetime could advance the frontier of artificial intelligence capabilities. The design of such agents, which remains a long-standing challenge of artificial intelligence, is addressed by the subject of continual learning. This monograph clarifies and formalizes concepts of continual learning, introducing a framework and set of tools to stimulate further research.

A Semi-Supervised Framework for Misinformation Detection

The spread of misinformation in social media outlets has become a prevalent societal problem and is the cause of many kinds of social unrest. Curtailing its prevalence is of great importance and machine learning has shown significant promise. However, there are two main challenges when applying machine learning to this problem. First, while much too prevalent in one respect, misinformation, actually, represents only a minor proportion of all the postings seen on social media. Second, labeling the massive amount of data necessary to train a useful classifier becomes impractical. Considering these challenges, we propose a simple semi-supervised learning framework in order to deal with extreme class imbalances that has the advantage, over other approaches, of using actual rather than simulated data to inflate the minority class. We tested our framework on two sets of Covid-related Twitter data and obtained significant improvement in F1-measure on extremely imbalanced scenarios, as compared to simple classical and deep-learning data generation methods such as SMOTE, ADASYN, or GAN-based data generation.

A Definition of Non-Stationary Bandits

The subject of non-stationary bandit learning has attracted much recent attention. However, non-stationary bandits lack a formal definition. Loosely speaking, non-stationary bandits have typically been characterized in the literature as those for which the reward distribution changes over time. We demonstrate that this informal definition is ambiguous. Further, a widely-used notion of regret -- the dynamic regret -- is motivated by this ambiguous definition and thus problematic. In particular, even for an optimal agent, dynamic regret can suggest poor performance. The ambiguous definition also motivates a measure of the degree of non-stationarity experienced by a bandit, which often overestimates and can give rise to extremely loose regret bounds. The primary contribution of this paper is a formal definition that resolves ambiguity. This definition motivates a new notion of regret, an alternative measure of the degree of non-stationarity, and a regret analysis that leads to tighter bounds for non-stationary bandit learning. The regret analysis applies to any bandit, stationary or non-stationary, and any agent.

Brain Model State Space Reconstruction Using an LSTM Neural Network

Objective Kalman filtering has previously been applied to track neural model states and parameters, particularly at the scale relevant to EEG. However, this approach lacks a reliable method to determine the initial filter conditions and assumes that the distribution of states remains Gaussian. This study presents an alternative, data-driven method to track the states and parameters of neural mass models (NMMs) from EEG recordings using deep learning techniques, specifically an LSTM neural network. Approach An LSTM filter was trained on simulated EEG data generated by a neural mass model using a wide range of parameters. With an appropriately customised loss function, the LSTM filter can learn the behaviour of NMMs. As a result, it can output the state vector and parameters of NMMs given observation data as the input. Main Results Test results using simulated data yielded correlations with R squared of around 0.99 and verified that the method is robust to noise and can be more accurate than a nonlinear Kalman filter when the initial conditions of the Kalman filter are not accurate. As an example of real-world application, the LSTM filter was also applied to real EEG data that included epileptic seizures, and revealed changes in connectivity strength parameters at the beginnings of seizures. Significance Tracking the state vector and parameters of mathematical brain models is of great importance in the area of brain modelling, monitoring, imaging and control. This approach has no need to specify the initial state vector and parameters, which is very difficult to do in practice because many of the variables being estimated cannot be measured directly in physiological experiments. This method may be applied using any neural mass model and, therefore, provides a general, novel, efficient approach to estimate brain model variables that are often difficult to measure.

Nonstationary Bandit Learning via Predictive Sampling

We propose predictive sampling as an approach to selecting actions that balance between exploration and exploitation in nonstationary bandit environments. When specialized to stationary environments, predictive sampling is equivalent to Thompson sampling. However, predictive sampling is effective across a range of nonstationary environments in which Thompson sampling suffers. We establish a general information-theoretic bound on the Bayesian regret of predictive sampling. We then specialize this bound to study a modulated Bernoulli bandit environment. Our analysis highlights a key advantage of predictive sampling over Thompson sampling: predictive sampling deprioritizes investments in exploration where acquired information will quickly become less relevant.

Gaussian Imagination in Bandit Learning

Assuming distributions are Gaussian often facilitates computations that are otherwise intractable. We study the performance of an agent that attains a bounded information ratio with respect to a bandit environment with a Gaussian prior distribution and a Gaussian likelihood function when applied instead to a Bernoulli bandit. Relative to an information-theoretic bound on the Bayesian regret the agent would incur when interacting with the Gaussian bandit, we bound the increase in regret when the agent interacts with the Bernoulli bandit. If the Gaussian prior distribution and likelihood function are sufficiently diffuse, this increase grows at a rate which is at most linear in the square-root of the time horizon, and thus the per-timestep increase vanishes. Our results formalize the folklore that so-called Bayesian agents remain effective when instantiated with diffuse misspecified distributions.

An Attention Score Based Attacker for Black-box NLP Classifier

Deep neural networks have a wide range of applications in solving various real-world tasks and have achieved satisfactory results, in domains such as computer vision, image classification, and natural language processing. Meanwhile, the security and robustness of neural networks have become imperative, as diverse researches have shown the vulnerable aspects of neural networks. Case in point, in Natural language processing tasks, the neural network may be fooled by an attentively modified text, which has a high similarity to the original one. As per previous research, most of the studies are focused on the image domain; Different from image adversarial attacks, the text is represented in a discrete sequence, traditional image attack methods are not applicable in the NLP field. In this paper, we propose a word-level NLP sentiment classifier attack model, which includes a self-attention mechanism-based word selection method and a greedy search algorithm for word substitution. We experiment with our attack model by attacking GRU and 1D-CNN victim models on IMDB datasets. Experimental results demonstrate that our model achieves a higher attack success rate and more efficient than previous methods due to the efficient word selection algorithms are employed and minimized the word substitute number. Also, our model is transferable, which can be used in the image domain with several modifications.

Robust Convergence in Federated Learning through Label-wise Clustering

Non-IID dataset and heterogeneous environment of the local clients are regarded as a major issue in Federated Learning (FL), causing a downturn in the convergence without achieving satisfactory performance. In this paper, we propose a novel Label-wise clustering algorithm that guarantees the trainability among geographically dispersed heterogeneous local clients, by selecting only the local models trained with a dataset that approximates into uniformly distributed class labels, which is likely to obtain faster minimization of the loss and increment the accuracy among the FL network. Through conducting experiments on the suggested six common non-IID scenarios, we empirically show that the vanilla FL aggregation model is incapable of gaining robust convergence generating biased pre-trained local models and drifting the local weights to mislead the trainability in the worst case. Moreover, we quantitatively estimate the expected performance of the local models before training, which offers a global server to select the optimal clients, saving additional computational costs. Ultimately, in order to gain resolution of the non-convergence in such non-IID situations, we design clustering algorithms based on local input class labels, accommodating the diversity and assorting clients that could lead the overall system to attain the swift convergence as global training continues. Our paper shows that proposed Label-wise clustering demonstrates prompt and robust convergence compared to other FL algorithms when local training datasets are non-IID or coexist with IID through multiple experiments.