Improving short-term bike sharing demand forecast through an irregular convolutional neural network

As an important task for the management of bike sharing systems, accurate forecast of travel demand could facilitate dispatch and relocation of bicycles to improve user satisfaction. In recent years, many deep learning algorithms have been introduced to improve bicycle usage forecast. A typical practice is to integrate convolutional (CNN) and recurrent neural network (RNN) to capture spatial-temporal dependency in historical travel demand. For typical CNN, the convolution operation is conducted through a kernel that moves across a "matrix-format" city to extract features over spatially adjacent urban areas. This practice assumes that areas close to each other could provide useful information that improves prediction accuracy. However, bicycle usage in neighboring areas might not always be similar, given spatial variations in built environment characteristics and travel behavior that affect cycling activities. Yet, areas that are far apart can be relatively more similar in temporal usage patterns. To utilize the hidden linkage among these distant urban areas, the study proposes an irregular convolutional Long-Short Term Memory model (IrConv+LSTM) to improve short-term bike sharing demand forecast. The model modifies traditional CNN with irregular convolutional architecture to extract dependency among "semantic neighbors". The proposed model is evaluated with a set of benchmark models in five study sites, which include one dockless bike sharing system in Singapore, and four station-based systems in Chicago, Washington, D.C., New York, and London. We find that IrConv+LSTM outperforms other benchmark models in the five cities. The model also achieves superior performance in areas with varying levels of bicycle usage and during peak periods. The findings suggest that "thinking beyond spatial neighbors" can further improve short-term travel demand prediction of urban bike sharing systems.

HistBERT: A Pre-trained Language Model for Diachronic Lexical Semantic Analysis

Contextualized word embeddings have demonstrated state-of-the-art performance in various natural language processing tasks including those that concern historical semantic change. However, language models such as BERT was trained primarily on contemporary corpus data. To investigate whether training on historical corpus data improves diachronic semantic analysis, we present a pre-trained BERT-based language model, HistBERT, trained on the balanced Corpus of Historical American English. We examine the effectiveness of our approach by comparing the performance of the original BERT and that of HistBERT, and we report promising results in word similarity and semantic shift analysis. Our work suggests that the effectiveness of contextual embeddings in diachronic semantic analysis is dependent on the temporal profile of the input text and care should be taken in applying this methodology to study historical semantic change.

ML4CO-KIDA: Knowledge Inheritance in Dataset Aggregation

The Machine Learning for Combinatorial Optimization (ML4CO) NeurIPS 2021 competition aims to improve state-of-the-art combinatorial optimization solvers by replacing key heuristic components with machine learning models. On the dual task, we design models to make branching decisions to promote the dual bound increase faster. We propose a knowledge inheritance method to generalize knowledge of different models from the dataset aggregation process, named KIDA. Our improvement overcomes some defects of the baseline graph-neural-networks-based methods. Further, we won the $1$\textsuperscript{st} Place on the dual task. We hope this report can provide useful experience for developers and researchers. The code is available at https://github.com/megvii-research/NeurIPS2021-ML4CO-KIDA.

ML4CO-KIDA: Knowledge Inheritance in Data Aggregation

The Machine Learning for Combinatorial Optimization (ML4CO) NeurIPS 2021 competition aims to improve state-of-the-art combinatorial optimization solvers by replacing key heuristic components with machine learning models. On the dual task, we design models to make branching decisions to promote the dual bound increase faster. We propose a knowledge inheritance method to generalize knowledge of different models from the dataset aggregation process, named KIDA. Our improvement overcomes some defects of the baseline graph-neural-networks-based methods. Further, we won the $1$\textsuperscript{st} Place on the dual task. We hope this report can provide useful experience for developers and researchers. The code is available at \url{https://github.com/megvii-research/NeurIPS2021-ML4CO-KIDA}

Nonlinear Intensity Underwater Sonar Image Matching Method Based on Phase Information and Deep Convolution Features

In the field of deep-sea exploration, sonar is presently the only efficient long-distance sensing device. The complicated underwater environment, such as noise interference, low target intensity or background dynamics, has brought many negative effects on sonar imaging. Among them, the problem of nonlinear intensity is extremely prevalent. It is also known as the anisotropy of acoustic sensor imaging, that is, when autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) carry sonar to detect the same target from different angles, the intensity variation between image pairs is sometimes very large, which makes the traditional matching algorithm almost ineffective. However, image matching is the basis of comprehensive tasks such as navigation, positioning, and mapping. Therefore, it is very valuable to obtain robust and accurate matching results. This paper proposes a combined matching method based on phase information and deep convolution features. It has two outstanding advantages: one is that the deep convolution features could be used to measure the similarity of the local and global positions of the sonar image; the other is that local feature matching could be performed at the key target position of the sonar image. This method does not need complex manual designs, and completes the matching task of nonlinear intensity sonar images in a close end-to-end manner. Feature matching experiments are carried out on the deep-sea sonar images captured by AUVs, and the results show that our proposal has preeminent matching accuracy and robustness.

Hierarchical Multi-robot Strategies Synthesis and Optimization under Individual and Collaborative Temporal Logic Specifications

This paper presents a hierarchical framework to solve the multi-robot temporal task planning problem. We assume that each robot has its individual task specification and the robots have to jointly satisfy a global collaborative task specification, both described in linear temporal logic. Specifically, a central server firstly extracts and decomposes a collaborative task sequence from the automaton corresponding to the collaborative task specification, and allocates the subtasks in the sequence to robots. The robots can then synthesize their initial execution strategies based on locally constructed product automatons, combining the assigned collaborative tasks and their individual task specifications. Furthermore, we propose a distributed execution strategy adjusting mechanism to iteratively improve the time efficiency, by reducing wait time in collaborations caused by potential synchronization constraints. We prove the completeness of the proposed framework under assumptions, and analyze its time complexity and optimality. Extensive simulation results verify the scalability and optimization efficiency of the proposed method.

Breaking the curse of dimensionality with Isolation Kernel

The curse of dimensionality has been studied in different aspects. However, breaking the curse has been elusive. We show for the first time that it is possible to break the curse using the recently introduced Isolation Kernel. We show that only Isolation Kernel performs consistently well in indexed search, spectral & density peaks clustering, SVM classification and t-SNE visualization in both low and high dimensions, compared with distance, Gaussian and linear kernels. This is also supported by our theoretical analyses that Isolation Kernel is the only kernel that has the provable ability to break the curse, compared with existing metric-based Lipschitz continuous kernels.

Predicting emergent linguistic compositions through time: Syntactic frame extension via multimodal chaining

Natural language relies on a finite lexicon to express an unbounded set of emerging ideas. One result of this tension is the formation of new compositions, such that existing linguistic units can be combined with emerging items into novel expressions. We develop a framework that exploits the cognitive mechanisms of chaining and multimodal knowledge to predict emergent compositional expressions through time. We present the syntactic frame extension model (SFEM) that draws on the theory of chaining and knowledge from "percept", "concept", and "language" to infer how verbs extend their frames to form new compositions with existing and novel nouns. We evaluate SFEM rigorously on the 1) modalities of knowledge and 2) categorization models of chaining, in a syntactically parsed English corpus over the past 150 years. We show that multimodal SFEM predicts newly emerged verb syntax and arguments substantially better than competing models using purely linguistic or unimodal knowledge. We find support for an exemplar view of chaining as opposed to a prototype view and reveal how the joint approach of multimodal chaining may be fundamental to the creation of literal and figurative language uses including metaphor and metonymy.

An unsupervised framework for tracing textual sources of moral change

Morality plays an important role in social well-being, but people's moral perception is not stable and changes over time. Recent advances in natural language processing have shown that text is an effective medium for informing moral change, but no attempt has been made to quantify the origins of these changes. We present a novel unsupervised framework for tracing textual sources of moral change toward entities through time. We characterize moral change with probabilistic topical distributions and infer the source text that exerts prominent influence on the moral time course. We evaluate our framework on a diverse set of data ranging from social media to news articles. We show that our framework not only captures fine-grained human moral judgments, but also identifies coherent source topics of moral change triggered by historical events. We apply our methodology to analyze the news in the COVID-19 pandemic and demonstrate its utility in identifying sources of moral change in high-impact and real-time social events.

Evolution of emotion semantics

Humans possess the unique ability to communicate emotions through language. Although concepts like anger or awe are abstract, there is a shared consensus about what these English emotion words mean. This consensus may give the impression that their meaning is static, but we propose this is not the case. We cannot travel back to earlier periods to study emotion concepts directly, but we can examine text corpora, which have partially preserved the meaning of emotion words. Using natural language processing of historical text, we found evidence for semantic change in emotion words over the past century and that varying rates of change were predicted in part by an emotion concept's prototypicality - how representative it is of the broader category of "emotion". Prototypicality negatively correlated with historical rates of emotion semantic change obtained from text-based word embeddings, beyond more established variables including usage frequency in English and a second comparison language, French. This effect for prototypicality did not consistently extend to the semantic category of birds, suggesting its relevance for predicting semantic change may be category-dependent. Our results suggest emotion semantics are evolving over time, with prototypical emotion words remaining semantically stable, while other emotion words evolve more freely.