Training Large Language Models for Reasoning through Reverse Curriculum Reinforcement Learning

In this paper, we propose R$^3$: Learning Reasoning through Reverse Curriculum Reinforcement Learning (RL), a novel method that employs only outcome supervision to achieve the benefits of process supervision for large language models. The core challenge in applying RL to complex reasoning is to identify a sequence of actions that result in positive rewards and provide appropriate supervision for optimization. Outcome supervision provides sparse rewards for final results without identifying error locations, whereas process supervision offers step-wise rewards but requires extensive manual annotation. R$^3$ overcomes these limitations by learning from correct demonstrations. Specifically, R$^3$ progressively slides the start state of reasoning from a demonstration's end to its beginning, facilitating easier model exploration at all stages. Thus, R$^3$ establishes a step-wise curriculum, allowing outcome supervision to offer step-level signals and precisely pinpoint errors. Using Llama2-7B, our method surpasses RL baseline on eight reasoning tasks by $4.1$ points on average. Notebaly, in program-based reasoning on GSM8K, it exceeds the baseline by $4.2$ points across three backbone models, and without any extra data, Codellama-7B + R$^3$ performs comparable to larger models or closed-source models.

Multimodal Urban Areas of Interest Generation via Remote Sensing Imagery and Geographical Prior

Urban area-of-interest (AOI) refers to an integrated urban functional zone with defined boundaries. The rapid development of urban commerce has resulted in an increased demand for more precise requirements in defining AOIs. However, existing research primarily concentrates on broad AOI mining for urban planning or regional economic analysis, failing to cater to the precise requirements of mobile Internet online-to-offline businesses. These businesses necessitate accuracy down to a specific community, school, or hospital. In this paper, we propose an end-to-end multimodal deep learning algorithm for detecting AOI fence polygon using remote sensing images and multi-semantics reference information. We then evaluate its timeliness through a cascaded module that incorporates dynamic human mobility and logistics address information. Specifically, we begin by selecting a point-of-interest (POI) of specific category, and use it to recall corresponding remote sensing images, nearby POIs, road nodes, human mobility, and logistics addresses to build a multimodal detection model based on transformer encoder-decoder architecture, titled AOITR. In the model, in addition to the remote sensing images, multi-semantic information including core POI and road nodes is embedded and reorganized as the query content part for the transformer decoder to generate the AOI polygon. Meanwhile, relatively dynamic distribution features of human mobility, nearby POIs, and logistics addresses are used for AOI reliability evaluation through a cascaded feedforward network. The experimental results demonstrate that our algorithm significantly outperforms two existing methods.

Transportation Market Rate Forecast Using Signature Transform

Currently, Amazon relies on third parties for transportation marketplace rate forecasts, despite the poor quality and lack of interpretability of these forecasts. While transportation marketplace rates are typically very challenging to forecast accurately, we have developed a novel signature-based statistical technique to address these challenges and built a predictive and adaptive model to forecast marketplace rates. This novel technique is based on two key properties of the signature transform. The first is its universal nonlinearity which linearizes the feature space and hence translates the forecasting problem into a linear regression analysis; the second is the signature kernel which allows for comparing computationally efficiently similarities between time series data. Combined, these properties allow for efficient feature generation and more precise identification of seasonality and regime switching in the forecasting process. Preliminary result by the model shows that this new technique leads to far superior forecast accuracy versus commercially available industry models with better interpretability, even during the period of Covid-19 and with the sudden onset of the Ukraine war.

SkySense: A Multi-Modal Remote Sensing Foundation Model Towards Universal Interpretation for Earth Observation Imagery

Prior studies on Remote Sensing Foundation Model (RSFM) reveal immense potential towards a generic model for Earth Observation. Nevertheless, these works primarily focus on a single modality without temporal and geo-context modeling, hampering their capabilities for diverse tasks. In this study, we present SkySense, a generic billion-scale model, pre-trained on a curated multi-modal Remote Sensing Imagery (RSI) dataset with 21.5 million temporal sequences. SkySense incorporates a factorized multi-modal spatiotemporal encoder taking temporal sequences of optical and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data as input. This encoder is pre-trained by our proposed Multi-Granularity Contrastive Learning to learn representations across different modal and spatial granularities. To further enhance the RSI representations by the geo-context clue, we introduce Geo-Context Prototype Learning to learn region-aware prototypes upon RSI's multi-modal spatiotemporal features. To our best knowledge, SkySense is the largest Multi-Modal RSFM to date, whose modules can be flexibly combined or used individually to accommodate various tasks. It demonstrates remarkable generalization capabilities on a thorough evaluation encompassing 16 datasets over 7 tasks, from single- to multi-modal, static to temporal, and classification to localization. SkySense surpasses 18 recent RSFMs in all test scenarios. Specifically, it outperforms the latest models such as GFM, SatLas and Scale-MAE by a large margin, i.e., 2.76%, 3.67% and 3.61% on average respectively. We will release the pre-trained weights to facilitate future research and Earth Observation applications.

Fast Policy Learning for Linear Quadratic Control with Entropy Regularization

This paper proposes and analyzes two new policy learning methods: regularized policy gradient (RPG) and iterative policy optimization (IPO), for a class of discounted linear-quadratic control (LQC) problems over an infinite time horizon with entropy regularization. Assuming access to the exact policy evaluation, both proposed approaches are proven to converge linearly in finding optimal policies of the regularized LQC. Moreover, the IPO method can achieve a super-linear convergence rate once it enters a local region around the optimal policy. Finally, when the optimal policy for an RL problem with a known environment is appropriately transferred as the initial policy to an RL problem with an unknown environment, the IPO method is shown to enable a super-linear convergence rate if the two environments are sufficiently close. Performances of these proposed algorithms are supported by numerical examples.

Risk of Transfer Learning and its Applications in Finance

Transfer learning is an emerging and popular paradigm for utilizing existing knowledge from previous learning tasks to improve the performance of new ones. In this paper, we propose a novel concept of transfer risk and and analyze its properties to evaluate transferability of transfer learning. We apply transfer learning techniques and this concept of transfer risk to stock return prediction and portfolio optimization problems. Numerical results demonstrate a strong correlation between transfer risk and overall transfer learning performance, where transfer risk provides a computationally efficient way to identify appropriate source tasks in transfer learning, including cross-continent, cross-sector, and cross-frequency transfer for portfolio optimization.

The Rise and Potential of Large Language Model Based Agents: A Survey

For a long time, humanity has pursued artificial intelligence (AI) equivalent to or surpassing the human level, with AI agents considered a promising vehicle for this pursuit. AI agents are artificial entities that sense their environment, make decisions, and take actions. Many efforts have been made to develop intelligent agents, but they mainly focus on advancement in algorithms or training strategies to enhance specific capabilities or performance on particular tasks. Actually, what the community lacks is a general and powerful model to serve as a starting point for designing AI agents that can adapt to diverse scenarios. Due to the versatile capabilities they demonstrate, large language models (LLMs) are regarded as potential sparks for Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), offering hope for building general AI agents. Many researchers have leveraged LLMs as the foundation to build AI agents and have achieved significant progress. In this paper, we perform a comprehensive survey on LLM-based agents. We start by tracing the concept of agents from its philosophical origins to its development in AI, and explain why LLMs are suitable foundations for agents. Building upon this, we present a general framework for LLM-based agents, comprising three main components: brain, perception, and action, and the framework can be tailored for different applications. Subsequently, we explore the extensive applications of LLM-based agents in three aspects: single-agent scenarios, multi-agent scenarios, and human-agent cooperation. Following this, we delve into agent societies, exploring the behavior and personality of LLM-based agents, the social phenomena that emerge from an agent society, and the insights they offer for human society. Finally, we discuss several key topics and open problems within the field. A repository for the related papers at https://github.com/WooooDyy/LLM-Agent-Paper-List.

FinEval: A Chinese Financial Domain Knowledge Evaluation Benchmark for Large Language Models

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated exceptional performance in various natural language processing tasks, yet their efficacy in more challenging and domain-specific tasks remains largely unexplored. This paper presents FinEval, a benchmark specifically designed for the financial domain knowledge in the LLMs. FinEval is a collection of high-quality multiple-choice questions covering Finance, Economy, Accounting, and Certificate. It includes 4,661 questions spanning 34 different academic subjects. To ensure a comprehensive model performance evaluation, FinEval employs a range of prompt types, including zero-shot and few-shot prompts, as well as answer-only and chain-of-thought prompts. Evaluating state-of-the-art Chinese and English LLMs on FinEval, the results show that only GPT-4 achieved an accuracy close to 70% in different prompt settings, indicating significant growth potential for LLMs in the financial domain knowledge. Our work offers a more comprehensive financial knowledge evaluation benchmark, utilizing data of mock exams and covering a wide range of evaluated LLMs.

Transfer Learning for Portfolio Optimization

In this work, we explore the possibility of utilizing transfer learning techniques to address the financial portfolio optimization problem. We introduce a novel concept called "transfer risk", within the optimization framework of transfer learning. A series of numerical experiments are conducted from three categories: cross-continent transfer, cross-sector transfer, and cross-frequency transfer. In particular, 1. a strong correlation between the transfer risk and the overall performance of transfer learning methods is established, underscoring the significance of transfer risk as a viable indicator of "transferability"; 2. transfer risk is shown to provide a computationally efficient way to identify appropriate source tasks in transfer learning, enhancing the efficiency and effectiveness of the transfer learning approach; 3. additionally, the numerical experiments offer valuable new insights for portfolio management across these different settings.

MESOB: Balancing Equilibria & Social Optimality

Motivated by bid recommendation in online ad auctions, this paper considers a general class of multi-level and multi-agent games, with two major characteristics: one is a large number of anonymous agents, and the other is the intricate interplay between competition and cooperation. To model such complex systems, we propose a novel and tractable bi-objective optimization formulation with mean-field approximation, called MESOB (Mean-field Equilibria & Social Optimality Balancing), as well as an associated occupation measure optimization (OMO) method called MESOB-OMO to solve it. MESOB-OMO enables obtaining approximately Pareto efficient solutions in terms of the dual objectives of competition and cooperation in MESOB, and in particular allows for Nash equilibrium selection and social equalization in an asymptotic manner. We apply MESOB-OMO to bid recommendation in a simulated pay-per-click ad auction. Experiments demonstrate its efficacy in balancing the interests of different parties and in handling the competitive nature of bidders, as well as its advantages over baselines that only consider either the competitive or the cooperative aspects.