Forged Peer Judgments Mislead Multimodal LLM Judge Panels: Source-Blind Anchoring and Panel-Consensus Verification

Multimodal LLM judge panels can cross-reference peers, but a quoted peer judgment may itself be untrusted. We expose source-blind anchoring as a text-level attack surface in vision-language model (VLM) panels. Quoting independent visual judgments creates large anchoring gaps (19--26 percentage points) under both self and peer framing. A matched-content, label-only control changes the broken rate by only $-0.17$pp (95\% CI $[-0.68,0.35]$), showing that the self/peer label itself does not explain the effect. Under our tested construction, deliberately generated, concise wrong quotes overturn originally-correct verdicts 1.5--2.7$\times$ more often than naturally occurring wrong peer statements, with bootstrap 95\% CIs excluding parity across two datasets and seven VLM judges. Because the two statement populations differ in selection and form, this ratio measures differential damage under the tested attack rather than a provenance-only causal effect. We then introduce panel-consensus verification, which cross-checks a quote against independently collected blind votes. It blocks 84.9\% of fabricated attacks, cuts their net harm by 97.5\%, and preserves the positive but statistically inconclusive point estimate for genuine peer information under leave-one-out re-verification. These results identify a low-cost attack surface and a concrete defense for safer multimodal collaborative evaluation.

Blind to the Pivotal Vote: Aggregate Independence Metrics Miss Where Verification Actually Helps

LLM judge panels are a standard evaluation tool, but prior work reports highly correlated panel errors: nine judges provide roughly the effective information of two independent ones, and aggregation closes only a small fraction of the gap. A natural remedy--a signal from a different evidence source, e.g., executing a test suite--produced no distinguishable change in the panel's effective-vote count at scale (-0.04, 95\% CI [-0.10, +0.02]). Aggregate dependence and conditional decision utility are different questions. Elementary majority arithmetic fixes the affected set for single-ballot substitution: only decisions with a one-vote margin can change. The empirical question is whether panel error rates rise and useful substitutions concentrate there. They do: the entire accuracy gain concentrates on these pivotal queries, where it is large (+10.4 to +23.3 percentage points across three headline configurations), and is exactly zero elsewhere. We confirm the pattern across three code benchmarks and four panel sizes (a 9-judge extension and 56 dependent subsampling checks, gain +6.5 to +16.1 percentage points). On HumanEval+/MBPP+, a majority-side replacement rule raises overall accuracy from 82.44\% to 85.62\% while invoking the signal on 16.2\% of queries; signal-only remains stronger at 87.60\%. Thus population-level dependence diagnostics and margin-stratified utility are complementary, and the affected-set characterization yields a call-reduction rule for any specified single-ballot substitution policy.

Faster but Different: Diagnosing and Controlling Content Drift in Accelerated Multimodal Diffusion Language Models

Training-free acceleration makes diffusion-based multimodal large language models (dMLLMs) more deployable, but it may silently change generated content. We study this serving-time consistency problem on 300 real images, comparing Fast-dLLM outputs with the same model's unaccelerated outputs. Across the mild parallelism induced in our long-form setting (1.05--1.25 committed tokens per step), confidence-threshold tuning changes decoding behavior but not baseline agreement. State-refresh ablations and an image-swap intervention instead identify stale visual and generated-text states as contributors to drift. For the tested Fast-dLLM implementation, shortening the KV-cache refresh interval yields a monotonic speed--agreement frontier and near-exact agreement at a measured 1.3x speedup. The initial diagnosis also appears with dLLM-Cache and LaViDa, although dLLM-Cache recovers agreement only after both caches are tightened, which removes its speed advantage. Independent prompts and images reproduce the threshold-insensitivity and refresh recovery. A targeted audit finds genuine content substitution in half of 50 low-agreement pairs. In a separate blinded two-annotator evaluation, the pooled accelerated-minus-baseline factual-error difference is 0.00 (95% CI [-0.17,+0.17]); this sample detects no difference but does not establish factual equivalence. Finally, none of the tested adaptive or smoothed-refresh variants beats the fixed interval at matched compute. Our contribution is a paired diagnostic and an implementation-scoped consistency control, not an accuracy or safety guarantee.

SCAN: Enhance Time Series Anomaly Detection via Multi-Scale Neighborhood-Centered Clustering

Time series anomaly detection plays a crucial role in a wide range of real-world applications. Reconstruction-based methods have become the mainstream paradigm, but they suffer from over-generalization and under-generalization problems, which are challenging to balance. To address this, we introduce multi-scale clustering to enhance reconstruction-based methods. At the representation level, we integrate the cluster center representations of normal patterns to constrain the model to target representative normal patterns for reconstruction, preventing dominance of powerful capacity and representation capability. At the anomaly criterion level, we derive anomaly confidence score based on cluster membership probability and combine it with reconstruction error, providing dual criteria for detection. Furthermore, the effectiveness of the cluster center representations and anomaly confidence score depends on the clustering performance. Accordingly, we extract neighborhood-centered representations for multi-view clustering to improve clustering performance. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world datasets from diverse application domains demonstrate the state-of-the-art performance of SCAN.

Structure from Reasoning, Numbers from Search: On-Premise Open LLMs as Structural Priors for Coupled MIMO Controller Tuning

Tuning controllers for strongly coupled multi-input multi-output (MIMO) industrial processes is hard: decentralized classical auto-tuning ignores loop interaction, and local numerical optimization from natural initializations stalls in the resulting non-convex cost landscape. We ask whether on-premise open-source large language models (LLMs), which keep data on-site and need no plant model, can help. On a single-loop CSTR, classical relay-feedback tuning (IAE 0.106, near the 0.102 optimum) beats an LLM tuner (0.162): for simple loops the LLM adds nothing. The picture inverts on a strongly coupled quadruple-tank with conflicting set-points, scored by a penalized cost J = IAE + lambda*TV(u) that rewards tracking without chattering actuators. There, naive relay tuning (J ~ 28.6) and naive LLM tuning (29.7) are no better than open loop (22.7), and a local optimizer from balanced starts fails in 10/10 runs. A scaffolded open LLM instead reasons about the coupling, proposes the counter-intuitive asymmetric structure, and reaches J ~ 16.9 +/- 0.2 from any start; refining it with a classical optimizer attains the smooth global optimum (J ~ 12.0, 10/10 vs. 0/10), which even applies a non-obvious negative integral correction decentralized tuning cannot. A global optimizer (differential evolution) also reaches this optimum, so the LLM is not the only route; its advantage is sample efficiency and interpretability: a usable controller in 18 evaluations (where the global optimizer is worse than open loop) plus a stated rationale. This edge grows with dimension, reaching ~6x fewer evaluations on a 3x3 plant. The behaviour generalizes across four open models, and on a benign plant the LLM offers no advantage, sharpening the boundary. We contribute a reproducible benchmark delimiting when open LLMs help in control tuning: not as optimizers, but as a sample-efficient, interpretable structural prior.

Time Series Causal Discovery via Context-Conditioned and Causality-Augmented Pretraining

Causal discovery from time series is critical for many real-world applications, such as tracing the root causes of anomalies. Existing approaches typically rely on dataset-specific optimization, making it difficult to transfer their causal discovery capabilities to new time series governed by diverse causal mechanisms. In this paper, we propose \textbf{PTCD}, a novel \textbf{P}retraining framework for \textbf{T}ime-series \textbf{C}ausal \textbf{D}iscovery, which improves cross-task generalization through context-conditioned modeling and transferable causal augmentation. To model complex temporal causal dependencies, PTCD employs a dual-scale iterative attention mechanism to capture window-level causal relationships, and a Gaussian mixture with a context-level routing mechanism to handle heterogeneous exogenous distributions. To further address distribution shifts across causal graphs, PTCD adopts a pretraining paradigm on synthetic datasets that integrates intervention-based learning and a causal mixup strategy, promoting stable causal discovery and stronger generalization. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world out-of-distribution (OOD) datasets demonstrate that PTCD excels in both causal discovery and root cause identification.

OSS: Open Suturing Skills Vision-Based Assessment Challenge 2024-2025

Achieving high levels of surgical skill through effective training is essential for optimal patient outcomes. Automated, data-driven skill assessment holds significant potential to improve surgical training. While machine learning-based methods are increasingly popular for assessing skills in minimally invasive surgery, their application to open surgery remains limited. We present the results of a dedicated MICCAI challenge designed to benchmark and advance vision-based skill assessment in open surgery. The challenge dataset comprises videos of an open suturing training task recorded with a static GoPro camera in a dry-lab setting, with instrument trajectories available in addition to the primary video modality. The OSS Challenge was hosted over two consecutive years, comprising two and three independent tasks, respectively: (1) classifying skill level into four classes, (2) predicting the full Objective Structured Assessment of Technical Skills across eight categories, and (3) tracking hands and surgical tools. Participants submitted diverse solutions including deep learning-based video models, tracking-driven methods, and hybrid approaches. General-purpose spatiotemporal video models consistently achieved the strongest performance, though conceptually diverse approaches reached competitive levels when well-executed. Predicting fine-grained OSATS scores remains challenging but benefits substantially from increased training data. Keypoint tracking proves difficult given frequent occlusions and out-of-frame instances, limiting current applicability for motion-based skill analysis. This work benchmarks innovative and diverse solutions for surgical skill assessment, highlighting both the promise and current limitations of video-based evaluation in open surgery and identifying critical directions for advancing automated skill assessment toward clinical impact.

Towards Multimodal Time Series Anomaly Detection with Semantic Alignment and Condensed Interaction

Time series anomaly detection plays a critical role in many dynamic systems. Despite its importance, previous approaches have primarily relied on unimodal numerical data, overlooking the importance of complementary information from other modalities. In this paper, we propose a novel multimodal time series anomaly detection model (MindTS) that focuses on addressing two key challenges: (1) how to achieve semantically consistent alignment across heterogeneous multimodal data, and (2) how to filter out redundant modality information to enhance cross-modal interaction effectively. To address the first challenge, we propose Fine-grained Time-text Semantic Alignment. It integrates exogenous and endogenous text information through cross-view text fusion and a multimodal alignment mechanism, achieving semantically consistent alignment between time and text modalities. For the second challenge, we introduce Content Condenser Reconstruction, which filters redundant information within the aligned text modality and performs cross-modal reconstruction to enable interaction. Extensive experiments on six real-world multimodal datasets demonstrate that the proposed MindTS achieves competitive or superior results compared to existing methods. The code is available at: https://github.com/decisionintelligence/MindTS.

CoRA: Boosting Time Series Foundation Models for Multivariate Forecasting through Correlation-aware Adapter

Most existing Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) use channel independent modeling and focus on capturing and generalizing temporal dependencies, while neglecting the correlations among channels or overlooking the different aspects of correlations. However, these correlations play a vital role in Multivariate time series forecasting. To address this, we propose a CoRrelation-aware Adapter (CoRA), a lightweight plug-and-play method that requires only fine-tuning with TSFMs and is able to capture different types of correlations, so as to improve forecast performance. Specifically, to reduce complexity, we innovatively decompose the correlation matrix into low-rank Time-Varying and Time-Invariant components. For the Time-Varying component, we further design learnable polynomials to learn dynamic correlations by capturing trends or periodic patterns. To learn positive and negative correlations that appear only among some channels, we introduce a novel dual contrastive learning method that identifies correlations through projection layers, regulated by a Heterogeneous-Partial contrastive loss during training, without introducing additional complexity in the inference stage. Extensive experiments on 10 real-world datasets demonstrate that CoRA can improve TSFMs in multivariate forecasting performance.

Unlocking the Value of Text: Event-Driven Reasoning and Multi-Level Alignment for Time Series Forecasting

Existing time series forecasting methods primarily rely on the numerical data itself. However, real-world time series exhibit complex patterns associated with multimodal information, making them difficult to predict with numerical data alone. While several multimodal time series forecasting methods have emerged, they either utilize text with limited supplementary information or focus merely on representation extraction, extracting minimal textual information for forecasting. To unlock the Value of Text, we propose VoT, a method with Event-driven Reasoning and Multi-level Alignment. Event-driven Reasoning combines the rich information in exogenous text with the powerful reasoning capabilities of LLMs for time series forecasting. To guide the LLMs in effective reasoning, we propose the Historical In-context Learning that retrieves and applies historical examples as in-context guidance. To maximize the utilization of text, we propose Multi-level Alignment. At the representation level, we utilize the Endogenous Text Alignment to integrate the endogenous text information with the time series. At the prediction level, we design the Adaptive Frequency Fusion to fuse the frequency components of event-driven prediction and numerical prediction to achieve complementary advantages. Experiments on real-world datasets across 10 domains demonstrate significant improvements over existing methods, validating the effectiveness of our approach in the utilization of text. The code is made available at https://github.com/decisionintelligence/VoT.