Abstract:Financial markets are characterized by extreme non-stationarity, low signal-to-noise ratios, and strong dependence on external information such as news, company fundamentals, and macroeconomic signals. Yet, existing approaches either abstract time-series into text or decouple forecasting from language-based reasoning, leading to a fundamental mismatch between qualitative reasoning and quantitative outcomes. To address this, we introduce StockR1, a time-series-enhanced LLM that unifies stock forecasting and financial reasoning through a verifiable forecast action. Based on a tool-call design, the model first emits a forecast action, which is a structured and interpretable representation of its qualitative market outlook. It then invokes a time-series decoder conditioned on this action to generate distributional future trajectories, leading to more informed question answering and financial reasoning. We optimize the full pipeline with reinforcement learning, where rewards jointly reflect answer validity, forecast accuracy, and consistency between generated actions and observed time-series dynamics. In addition, rewards are reweighted by a sample-level uncertainty scalar, encouraging the model to accommodate varying uncertainty in market dynamics. We evaluate StockR1 on financial question answering and stock forecasting over a large-scale 10-year benchmark. Our method consistently outperforms time-series baselines and general-purpose LLMs, improving reasoning accuracy by 17.7% (4B) and 25.9% (8B). These findings demonstrate that structuring the forecast actions establishes a powerful synergy between language reasoning and temporal prediction, enabling LLMs to reason through verifiable, interpretable, and numerically grounded decisions.
Abstract:Deep research agents increasingly automate complex information-seeking tasks, producing evidence-grounded reports via multi-step reasoning, tool use, and synthesis. Their growing role demands scalable, reliable evaluation, positioning LLM-as-judge as a supervision paradigm for assessing factual accuracy, evidence use, and reasoning quality. Yet the reliability of these judges for deep research agents remains poorly understood, posing a critical meta-evaluation problem: before deploying LLM judges to supervise research agents, we must first evaluate the judges themselves. Existing meta-evaluations fall short in two ways: (1) reliance on coarse, subjective human-preference agreement; (2) focus on instruction-following or verifiable tasks, leaving open-ended agent executions unexplored. To address these gaps, we introduce REFLECT (REliable Fine-grained LLM judge Evaluation via Controlled inTervention), a meta-evaluation benchmark targeting fine-grained failure detection in agentic environments. REFLECT defines a detailed taxonomy of process- and outcome-level failure modes, instantiated by performing controlled and localized interventions on quality-screened agent execution traces. This yields verifiable, comprehensive, and fine-grained instances for validating the judge models. Our experiments show that current LLM judges remain unreliable: even the best-performing models achieve overall accuracies below 55% across reasoning, tool-use, and report-quality failures, with especially poor performance on evidence verification. Together, our taxonomy and findings expose systematic judge limitations, reveal tradeoffs in cost and reliability, and offer actionable guidance for building more reliable evaluation pipelines for deep research agents.
Abstract:The key-value (KV) cache is a major bottleneck in long-context inference, where memory and computation grow with sequence length. Existing KV eviction methods reduce this cost but typically degrade performance relative to full-cache inference. Our key insight is that full-cache attention is not always optimal: in long contexts, irrelevant tokens can dilute attention away from useful evidence, so selective, learnable eviction can improve generation rather than merely approximate the full cache. We introduce a global retention-based KV eviction method that learns each token's future utility under a unified memory budget. Lightweight retention gates assign utility scores to cached KV entries, and a shared final scoring projection calibrates these scores across all layers and heads. This enables a single global eviction policy in which tokens from different layers, heads, and modalities compete directly for cache capacity. We further provide theoretical analysis showing that preferentially retaining useful tokens reduces attention dilution, and we justify geometric retention as a query-agnostic proxy for future utility. Across diverse long-context language and vision-language reasoning, and multi-turn dialogue benchmarks, our method substantially reduces KV memory while matching or surpassing full-cache inference. These results suggest that learned, globally calibrated KV eviction is not only a compression technique, but also a mechanism for improving long-context reasoning.
Abstract:Reasoning-focused large language models (LLMs) have advanced in many NLP tasks, yet their evaluation remains challenging: final answers alone do not expose the intermediate reasoning steps, making it difficult to determine whether a model truly reasons correctly and where failures occur, while existing multi-hop QA benchmarks lack step-level annotations for diagnosing reasoning failures. To address this gap, we propose Omanic, an open-domain multi-hop QA resource that provides decomposed sub-questions and intermediate answers as structural annotations for analyzing reasoning processes. It contains 10,296 machine-generated training examples (OmanicSynth) and 967 expert-reviewed human-annotated evaluation examples (OmanicBench). Systematic evaluations show that state-of-the-art LLMs achieve only 73.11% multiple-choice accuracy on OmanicBench, confirming its high difficulty. Stepwise analysis reveals that CoT's performance hinges on factual completeness, with its gains diminishing under knowledge gaps and errors amplifying in later hops. Additionally, supervised fine-tuning on OmanicSynth brings substantial transfer gains (7.41 average points) across six reasoning and math benchmarks, validating the dataset's quality and further supporting the effectiveness of OmanicSynth as supervision for reasoning-capability transfer. We release the data at https://huggingface.co/datasets/li-lab/Omanic and the code at https://github.com/XiaojieGu/Omanic.
Abstract:Modern recommender systems must adapt to dynamic, need-specific objectives for diverse recommendation scenarios, yet most traditional recommenders are optimized for a single static target and struggle to reconfigure behavior on demand. Recent advances in reinforcement-learning-based post-training have unlocked strong instruction-following and reasoning capabilities in LLMs, suggesting a principled route for aligning them to complex recommendation goals. Motivated by this, we study closed-set autoregressive ranking, where an LLM generates a permutation over a fixed candidate set conditioned on user context and an explicit need instruction. However, applying RL to this setting faces two key obstacles: (i) sequence-level rewards yield coarse credit assignment that fails to provide fine-grained training signals, and (ii) interaction feedback is sparse and noisy, which together lead to inefficient and unstable updates. We propose FlexRec, a post-training RL framework that addresses both issues with (1) a causally grounded item-level reward based on counterfactual swaps within the remaining candidate pool, and (2) critic-guided, uncertainty-aware scaling that explicitly models reward uncertainty and down-weights low-confidence rewards to stabilize learning under sparse supervision. Across diverse recommendation scenarios and objectives, FlexRec achieves substantial gains: it improves NDCG@5 by up to \textbf{59\%} and Recall@5 by up to \textbf{109.4\%} in need-specific ranking, and further achieves up to \textbf{24.1\%} Recall@5 improvement under generalization settings, outperforming strong traditional recommenders and LLM-based baselines.
Abstract:Multiphase flow in porous media underpins subsurface energy and environmental technologies, including geological CO$_2$ storage and underground hydrogen storage, yet pore-scale dynamics in realistic three-dimensional materials remain difficult to characterize and predict. Here we introduce a multimodal learning framework that infers multiphase pore-scale flow directly from time-resolved four-dimensional (4D) micro-velocimetry measurements. The model couples a graph network simulator for Lagrangian tracer-particle motion with a 3D U-Net for voxelized interface evolution. The imaged pore geometry serves as a boundary constraint to the flow velocity and the multiphase interface predictions, which are coupled and updated iteratively at each time step. Trained autoregressively on experimental sequences in capillary-dominated conditions ($Ca\approx10^{-6}$), the learned surrogate captures transient, nonlocal flow perturbations and abrupt interface rearrangements (Haines jumps) over rollouts spanning seconds of physical time, while reducing hour-to-day--scale direct numerical simulations to seconds of inference. By providing rapid, experimentally informed predictions, the framework opens a route to ''digital experiments'' to replicate pore-scale physics observed in multiphase flow experiments, offering an efficient tool for exploring injection conditions and pore-geometry effects relevant to subsurface carbon and hydrogen storage.
Abstract:General-purpose 3D chemical modeling encompasses molecules and materials, requiring both generative and predictive capabilities. However, most existing AI approaches are optimized for a single domain (molecules or materials) and a single task (generation or prediction), which limits representation sharing and transfer. We introduce Zatom-1, the first foundation model that unifies generative and predictive learning of 3D molecules and materials. Zatom-1 is a Transformer trained with a multimodal flow matching objective that jointly models discrete atom types and continuous 3D geometries. This approach supports scalable pretraining with predictable gains as model capacity increases, while enabling fast and stable sampling. We use joint generative pretraining as a universal initialization for downstream multi-task prediction of properties, energies, and forces. Empirically, Zatom-1 matches or outperforms specialized baselines on both generative and predictive benchmarks, while reducing the generative inference time by more than an order of magnitude. Our experiments demonstrate positive predictive transfer between chemical domains from joint generative pretraining: modeling materials during pretraining improves molecular property prediction accuracy.
Abstract:Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable progress, with Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning (PEFT) emerging as a key technique for downstream task adaptation. However, existing PEFT methods mainly operate in Euclidean space, fundamentally limiting their capacity to capture complex geometric structures inherent in language data. While alternative geometric spaces, like hyperbolic geometries for hierarchical data and spherical manifolds for circular patterns, offer theoretical advantages, forcing representations into a single manifold type ultimately limits expressiveness, even when curvature parameters are learnable. To address this, we propose Mixture of Space (MoS), a unified framework that leverages multiple geometric spaces simultaneously to learn richer, curvature-aware representations. Building on this scheme, we develop MoSLoRA, which extends Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) with heterogeneous geometric experts, enabling models to dynamically select or combine appropriate geometric spaces based on input context. Furthermore, to address the computational overhead of frequent manifold switching, we develop a lightweight routing mechanism. Moreover, we provide empirical insights into how curvature optimization impacts training stability and model performance. Our experiments across diverse benchmarks demonstrate that MoSLoRA consistently outperforms strong baselines, achieving up to 5.6% improvement on MATH500 and 15.9% on MAWPS.
Abstract:Embedding geometry plays a fundamental role in retrieval quality, yet dense retrievers for retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) remain largely confined to Euclidean space. However, natural language exhibits hierarchical structure from broad topics to specific entities that Euclidean embeddings fail to preserve, causing semantically distant documents to appear spuriously similar and increasing hallucination risk. To address these limitations, we introduce hyperbolic dense retrieval, developing two model variants in the Lorentz model of hyperbolic space: HyTE-FH, a fully hyperbolic transformer, and HyTE-H, a hybrid architecture projecting pre-trained Euclidean embeddings into hyperbolic space. To prevent representational collapse during sequence aggregation, we introduce the Outward Einstein Midpoint, a geometry-aware pooling operator that provably preserves hierarchical structure. On MTEB, HyTE-FH outperforms equivalent Euclidean baselines, while on RAGBench, HyTE-H achieves up to 29% gains over Euclidean baselines in context relevance and answer relevance using substantially smaller models than current state-of-the-art retrievers. Our analysis also reveals that hyperbolic representations encode document specificity through norm-based separation, with over 20% radial increase from general to specific concepts, a property absent in Euclidean embeddings, underscoring the critical role of geometric inductive bias in faithful RAG systems.
Abstract:With increasing deployment of Large Language Models (LLMs) in the finance domain, LLMs are increasingly expected to parse complex regulatory disclosures. However, existing benchmarks often focus on isolated details, failing to reflect the complexity of professional analysis that requires synthesizing information across multiple documents, reporting periods, and corporate entities. They do not distinguish whether errors stem from retrieval failures, generation flaws, finance-specific reasoning mistakes, or misunderstanding of the query or context. This makes it difficult to pinpoint performance bottlenecks. To bridge these gaps, we introduce Fin-RATE, a benchmark built on U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings and mirror financial analyst workflows through three pathways: detail-oriented reasoning within individual disclosures, cross-entity comparison under shared topics, and longitudinal tracking of the same firm across reporting periods. We benchmark 17 leading LLMs, spanning open-source, closed-source, and finance-specialized models, under both ground-truth context and retrieval-augmented settings. Results show substantial performance degradation, with accuracy dropping by 18.60% and 14.35% as tasks shift from single-document reasoning to longitudinal and cross-entity analysis. This is driven by rising comparison hallucinations, time and entity mismatches, and mirrored by declines in reasoning and factuality--limitations that prior benchmarks have yet to formally categorize or quantify.