TeraSim: Uncovering Unknown Unsafe Events for Autonomous Vehicles through Generative Simulation

Traffic simulation is essential for autonomous vehicle (AV) development, enabling comprehensive safety evaluation across diverse driving conditions. However, traditional rule-based simulators struggle to capture complex human interactions, while data-driven approaches often fail to maintain long-term behavioral realism or generate diverse safety-critical events. To address these challenges, we propose TeraSim, an open-source, high-fidelity traffic simulation platform designed to uncover unknown unsafe events and efficiently estimate AV statistical performance metrics, such as crash rates. TeraSim is designed for seamless integration with third-party physics simulators and standalone AV stacks, to construct a complete AV simulation system. Experimental results demonstrate its effectiveness in generating diverse safety-critical events involving both static and dynamic agents, identifying hidden deficiencies in AV systems, and enabling statistical performance evaluation. These findings highlight TeraSim's potential as a practical tool for AV safety assessment, benefiting researchers, developers, and policymakers. The code is available at https://github.com/mcity/TeraSim.

DECODE: Domain-aware Continual Domain Expansion for Motion Prediction

Motion prediction is critical for autonomous vehicles to effectively navigate complex environments and accurately anticipate the behaviors of other traffic participants. As autonomous driving continues to evolve, the need to assimilate new and varied driving scenarios necessitates frequent model updates through retraining. To address these demands, we introduce DECODE, a novel continual learning framework that begins with a pre-trained generalized model and incrementally develops specialized models for distinct domains. Unlike existing continual learning approaches that attempt to develop a unified model capable of generalizing across diverse scenarios, DECODE uniquely balances specialization with generalization, dynamically adjusting to real-time demands. The proposed framework leverages a hypernetwork to generate model parameters, significantly reducing storage requirements, and incorporates a normalizing flow mechanism for real-time model selection based on likelihood estimation. Furthermore, DECODE merges outputs from the most relevant specialized and generalized models using deep Bayesian uncertainty estimation techniques. This integration ensures optimal performance in familiar conditions while maintaining robustness in unfamiliar scenarios. Extensive evaluations confirm the effectiveness of the framework, achieving a notably low forgetting rate of 0.044 and an average minADE of 0.584 m, significantly surpassing traditional learning strategies and demonstrating adaptability across a wide range of driving conditions.

Evaluating Roadside Perception for Autonomous Vehicles: Insights from Field Testing

Roadside perception systems are increasingly crucial in enhancing traffic safety and facilitating cooperative driving for autonomous vehicles. Despite rapid technological advancements, a major challenge persists for this newly arising field: the absence of standardized evaluation methods and benchmarks for these systems. This limitation hampers the ability to effectively assess and compare the performance of different systems, thus constraining progress in this vital field. This paper introduces a comprehensive evaluation methodology specifically designed to assess the performance of roadside perception systems. Our methodology encompasses measurement techniques, metric selection, and experimental trial design, all grounded in real-world field testing to ensure the practical applicability of our approach. We applied our methodology in Mcity\footnote{\url{https://mcity.umich.edu/}}, a controlled testing environment, to evaluate various off-the-shelf perception systems. This approach allowed for an in-depth comparative analysis of their performance in realistic scenarios, offering key insights into their respective strengths and limitations. The findings of this study are poised to inform the development of industry-standard benchmarks and evaluation methods, thereby enhancing the effectiveness of roadside perception system development and deployment for autonomous vehicles. We anticipate that this paper will stimulate essential discourse on standardizing evaluation methods for roadside perception systems, thus pushing the frontiers of this technology. Furthermore, our results offer both academia and industry a comprehensive understanding of the capabilities of contemporary infrastructure-based perception systems.

Evaluation of automated driving system safety metrics with logged vehicle trajectory data

Real-time safety metrics are important for the automated driving system (ADS) to assess the risk of driving situations and to assist the decision-making. Although a number of real-time safety metrics have been proposed in the literature, systematic performance evaluation of these safety metrics has been lacking. As different behavioral assumptions are adopted in different safety metrics, it is difficult to compare the safety metrics and evaluate their performance. To overcome this challenge, in this study, we propose an evaluation framework utilizing logged vehicle trajectory data, in that vehicle trajectories for both subject vehicle (SV) and background vehicles (BVs) are obtained and the prediction errors caused by behavioral assumptions can be eliminated. Specifically, we examine whether the SV is in a collision unavoidable situation at each moment, given all near-future trajectories of BVs. In this way, we level the ground for a fair comparison of different safety metrics, as a good safety metric should always alarm in advance to the collision unavoidable moment. When trajectory data from a large number of trips are available, we can systematically evaluate and compare different metrics' statistical performance. In the case study, three representative real-time safety metrics, including the time-to-collision (TTC), the PEGASUS Criticality Metric (PCM), and the Model Predictive Instantaneous Safety Metric (MPrISM), are evaluated using a large-scale simulated trajectory dataset. The proposed evaluation framework is important for researchers, practitioners, and regulators to characterize different metrics, and to select appropriate metrics for different applications. Moreover, by conducting failure analysis on moments when a safety metric failed, we can identify its potential weaknesses which are valuable for its potential refinements and improvements.

MSight: An Edge-Cloud Infrastructure-based Perception System for Connected Automated Vehicles

As vehicular communication and networking technologies continue to advance, infrastructure-based roadside perception emerges as a pivotal tool for connected automated vehicle (CAV) applications. Due to their elevated positioning, roadside sensors, including cameras and lidars, often enjoy unobstructed views with diminished object occlusion. This provides them a distinct advantage over onboard perception, enabling more robust and accurate detection of road objects. This paper presents MSight, a cutting-edge roadside perception system specifically designed for CAVs. MSight offers real-time vehicle detection, localization, tracking, and short-term trajectory prediction. Evaluations underscore the system's capability to uphold lane-level accuracy with minimal latency, revealing a range of potential applications to enhance CAV safety and efficiency. Presently, MSight operates 24/7 at a two-lane roundabout in the City of Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Robust Roadside Perception for Autonomous Driving: an Annotation-free Strategy with Synthesized Data

Recently, with the rapid development in vehicle-to-infrastructure communication technologies, the infrastructure-based, roadside perception system for cooperative driving has become a rising field. This paper focuses on one of the most critical challenges - the data-insufficiency problem. The lacking of high-quality labeled roadside sensor data with high diversity leads to low robustness, and low transfer-ability of current roadside perception systems. In this paper, a novel approach is proposed to address this problem by creating synthesized training data using Augmented Reality and Generative Adversarial Network. This method creates synthesized dataset that is capable of training or fine-tuning a roadside perception detector which is robust to different weather and lighting conditions, or to adapt a new deployment location. We validate our approach at two intersections: Mcity intersection and State St/Ellsworth Rd roundabout. Our experiments show that (1) the detector can achieve good performance in all conditions when trained on synthesized data only, and (2) the performance of an existing detector trained with labeled data can be enhanced by synthesized data in harsh conditions.

ROCO: A Roundabout Traffic Conflict Dataset

Traffic conflicts have been studied by the transportation research community as a surrogate safety measure for decades. However, due to the rarity of traffic conflicts, collecting large-scale real-world traffic conflict data becomes extremely challenging. In this paper, we introduce and analyze ROCO - a real-world roundabout traffic conflict dataset. The data is collected at a two-lane roundabout at the intersection of State St. and W. Ellsworth Rd. in Ann Arbor, Michigan. We use raw video dataflow captured from four fisheye cameras installed at the roundabout as our input data source. We adopt a learning-based conflict identification algorithm from video to find potential traffic conflicts, and then manually label them for dataset collection and annotation. In total 557 traffic conflicts and 17 traffic crashes are collected from August 2021 to October 2021. We provide trajectory data of the traffic conflict scenes extracted using our roadside perception system. Taxonomy based on traffic conflict severity, reason for the traffic conflict, and its effect on the traffic flow is provided. With the traffic conflict data collected, we discover that failure to yield to circulating vehicles when entering the roundabout is the largest contributing reason for traffic conflicts. ROCO dataset will be made public in the short future.

"Curse of rarity" for autonomous vehicles

Achieving the human-level safety performance for autonomous vehicles (AVs) remains a challenge. One critical bottleneck is the so-called "long-tail challenge", which usually refers to the problem that AVs should be able to handle seemingly endless low-probability safety-critical driving scenarios, even though millions of testing miles have been accumulated on public roads. However, there is neither rigorous definition nor analysis of properties of such problems, which hinders the progress of addressing them. In this paper, we systematically analyze the "long-tail challenge" and propose the concept of "curse of rarity" (CoR) for AVs. We conclude that the compounding effects of the CoR on top of the "curse of dimensionality" (CoD) are the root cause of the "long-tail challenge", because of the rarity of safety-critical events in high dimensionality of driving environments. We discuss the CoR in various aspects of AV development including perception, prediction, and planning, as well as validation and verification. Based on these analyses and discussions, we propose potential solutions to address the CoR in order to accelerate AV development and deployment.

Real-time Full-stack Traffic Scene Perception for Autonomous Driving with Roadside Cameras

We propose a novel and pragmatic framework for traffic scene perception with roadside cameras. The proposed framework covers a full-stack of roadside perception pipeline for infrastructure-assisted autonomous driving, including object detection, object localization, object tracking, and multi-camera information fusion. Unlike previous vision-based perception frameworks rely upon depth offset or 3D annotation at training, we adopt a modular decoupling design and introduce a landmark-based 3D localization method, where the detection and localization can be well decoupled so that the model can be easily trained based on only 2D annotations. The proposed framework applies to either optical or thermal cameras with pinhole or fish-eye lenses. Our framework is deployed at a two-lane roundabout located at Ellsworth Rd. and State St., Ann Arbor, MI, USA, providing 7x24 real-time traffic flow monitoring and high-precision vehicle trajectory extraction. The whole system runs efficiently on a low-power edge computing device with all-component end-to-end delay of less than 20ms.

A hierarchical behavior prediction framework at signalized intersections

Road user behavior prediction is one of the most critical components in trajectory planning for autonomous driving, especially in urban scenarios involving traffic signals. In this paper, a hierarchical framework is proposed to predict vehicle behaviors at a signalized intersection, using the traffic signal information of the intersection. The framework is composed of two phases: a discrete intention prediction phase and a continuous trajectory prediction phase. In the discrete intention prediction phase, a Bayesian network is adopted to predict the vehicle's high-level intention, after that, maximum entropy inverse reinforcement learning is utilized to learn the human driving model offline; during the online trajectory prediction phase, a driver characteristic is designed and updated to capture the different driving preferences between human drivers. We applied the proposed framework to one of the most challenging scenarios in autonomous driving: the yellow light running scenario. Numerical experiment results are presented in the later part of the paper which show the viability of the method. The accuracy of the Bayesian network for discrete intention prediction is 91.1%, and the prediction results are getting more and more accurate as the yellow time elapses. The average Euclidean distance error in continuous trajectory prediction is only 0.85 m in the yellow light running scenario.