Preliminary Insights in Chronos Frequency Data Understanding and Reconstruction

This paper presents a preliminary analysis of the ability of Chronos foundation model to process and internally represent frequency domain information. Foundation models that process time-series data offer practitioners a unified architecture capable of learning generic temporal representations across diverse tasks and domains, reducing the need for task-specific feature engineering and enabling transfer across signal modalities. Despite their growing adoption, the extent to which such models encode fundamental signal properties remains insufficiently characterised. We address this gap by analysing Chronos under controlled conditions, starting from the simplest class of signals: discrete sinusoids generated at fixed frequencies. Using lightweight online minimum description length probes applied to the decoder architecture, we test for the presence and separability of frequency information in the model's internal representations. The results provide insight into how frequential content is captured across the frequency spectrum and highlight regimes in which representation quality may degrade or require particular care. These findings offer practical guidance for users of Chronos in signal processing and information fusion contexts, and contribute to ongoing efforts to improve the interpretability and evaluation of foundation models for temporal data.

FinSTaR: Towards Financial Reasoning with Time Series Reasoning Models

Time series (TS) reasoning models (TSRMs) have shown promising capabilities in general domains, yet they consistently fail on financial domain, which exhibit unique characteristics. We propose a general 2x2 capability taxonomy for TSRMs by crossing 1) single-entity vs. multi-entity analysis with 2) assessment of the current state vs. prediction of future behavior. We instantiate this taxonomy in the financial domain -- where the distinction between deterministic assessment and stochastic prediction is particularly critical -- as ten financial reasoning tasks, forming the FinTSR-Bench benchmark based on S&P stocks. To this end, we propose FinSTaR (Financial Time Series Thinking and Reasoning), trained on FinTSR-Bench with distinct chain-of-thought (CoT) strategies tailored to each category. For assessment, which is deterministic (i.e., computable from observable data), we employ Compute-in-CoT, a programmatic CoT that enables models to derive answers directly from raw prices. For prediction, which is inherently stochastic (i.e., subject to unobservable factors), we adopt Scenario-Aware CoT, which generates diverse scenarios before making a judgment, mirroring how financial analysts reason under uncertainty. The proposed method achieves 78.9% average accuracy on FinTSR-Bench, substantially outperforming LLM and TSRM baselines. Furthermore, we show that the four capability categories are complementary and mutually reinforcing through joint training, and that Scenario-Aware CoT consistently improves prediction accuracy over standard CoT. Code is publicly available at: https://github.com/seunghan96/FinSTaR.

Positivity of a Hadamard Product

A notable difference between the ordinary and Hadamard products is that the Hadamard product of two singular positive semidefinite matrices can be nonsingular, and one of the factors can even be indefinite. We present an eigenvalue lower bound for a Hadamard product that depends on the rank, effective condition number, and diagonal entries of one factor, and the smallest eigenvalues of certain principal submatrices of the other factor. We give numerical examples and discuss its applications in array signal processing and matrix time series analysis.

Time Series Augmented Generation for Financial Applications

Evaluating the reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) for complex, quantitative financial tasks is a critical and unsolved challenge. Standard benchmarks often fail to isolate an agent's core ability to parse queries and orchestrate computations. To address this, we introduce a novel evaluation methodology and benchmark designed to rigorously measure an LLM agent's reasoning for financial time-series analysis. We apply this methodology in a large-scale empirical study using our framework, Time Series Augmented Generation (TSAG), where an LLM agent delegates quantitative tasks to verifiable, external tools. Our benchmark, consisting of 100 financial questions, is used to compare multiple SOTA agents (e.g., GPT-4o, Llama 3, Qwen2) on metrics assessing tool selection accuracy, faithfulness, and hallucination. The results demonstrate that capable agents can achieve near-perfect tool-use accuracy with minimal hallucination, validating the tool-augmented paradigm. Our primary contribution is this evaluation framework and the corresponding empirical insights into agent performance, which we release publicly to foster standardized research on reliable financial AI.

FLUID: Continuous-Time Hyperconnected Sparse Transformer for Sink-Free Learning

Continuous-time (CT) Transformers improve irregular and long-range modeling over CT-RNNs by exploiting inputs or outputs embeddings with continuous dynamics. However, the core scaled-dot-product-attention (SDPA) mechanism remains inherently discrete. We propose FLUID (Flexible Unified Information Dynamics), a CT Transformer that incorporates continuous dynamics directly into the attention computation by replacing it with Liquid Attention Network (LAN). LAN reinterprets attention logits as continuous dynamical system and reformulates them as the solution to a linear ODE modulated by input-dependent nonlinear recurrent gates. Theoretically, we establish stability guarantees for LAN dynamics and show that it serves as an interpolating middle ground between SDPA and CT-RNNs, recovering each as special case under well-defined parameterization of its gating functions. LAN also introduces an explicit attention-sink gate to eliminate disproportionate attention mass on uninformative nodes. FLUID replaces standard residual connections with input-dependent Liquid Hyper-Connections to adaptively regulate interlayer information flow. Empirically, we evaluate FLUID on a broad set of learning tasks, including (i) irregular time-series, (ii) long-range modeling, (iii) lane-keeping control of autonomous vehicles, and (iv) learning physical dynamics under a scarce data regime. Across all the tasks, FLUID consistently matches or outperforms CT baselines, achieving improvements of up to 47% in certain scenarios and enhancing generalization under distributional shifts. Additionally, FLUID demonstrates superior noise robustness and a self-correcting inductive bias in autonomous vehicle control. We also provide a detailed analysis of key hyperparameters to guide tuning and show that FLUID occupies an intermediate position among competing approaches in terms of runtime and memory efficiency.

Fixation Sequences as Time Series: A Topological Approach to Dyslexia Detection

Persistent homology, a method from topological data analysis, extracts robust, multi-scale features from data. It produces stable representations of time series by applying varying thresholds to their values (a process known as a \textit{filtration}). We develop novel filtrations for time series and introduce topological methods for the analysis of eye-tracking data, by interpreting fixation sequences as time series, and constructing ``hybrid models'' that combine topological features with traditional statistical features. We empirically evaluate our method by applying it to the task of dyslexia detection from eye-tracking-while-reading data using the Copenhagen Corpus, which contains scanpaths from dyslexic and non-dyslexic L1 and L2 readers. Our hybrid models outperform existing approaches that rely solely on traditional features, showing that persistent homology captures complementary information encoded in fixation sequences. The strength of these topological features is further underscored by their achieving performance comparable to established baseline methods. Importantly, our proposed filtrations outperform existing ones.

RamanBench: A Large-Scale Benchmark for Machine Learning on Raman Spectroscopy

Machine Learning (ML) has transformed many scientific fields, yet key applications still lack standardized benchmarks. Raman spectroscopy, a widely used technique for non-invasive molecular analysis, is one such field where progress is limited by fragmented datasets, inconsistent evaluation, and models that fail to capture the structure of spectral data. We introduce RamanBench, the first large-scale, fully reproducible benchmark for ML on Raman spectroscopy, consisting of streamlined data access, evaluation protocols and code, as well as a live leaderboard. It unifies 74 datasets (including 16 first released with this benchmark) across four domains, comprising 325,668 spectra and spanning classification and regression tasks under diverse experimental conditions. We benchmark 28 models under a standardized protocol, including classical methods (e.g., PLS), Raman-specific (e.g., RamanNet), Tabular Foundation Model (TFM) (e.g., TabPFN), and time-series approaches (e.g., ROCKET). TFM consistently outperform domain-specific and gradient boosting baselines, while time-series models remain competitive. However, no method generalizes across datasets, revealing a fundamental gap. Therefore, we invite the community to contribute new approaches to our living benchmark, with the potential to accelerate advances in critical applications such as medical diagnostics, biological research, and materials science.

Markov reads Pushkin, again: A statistical journey into the poetic world of Evgenij Onegin

This study applies symbolic time series analysis and Markov modeling to explore the phonological structure of Evgenij Onegin-as captured through a graphemic vowel/consonant (V/C) encoding-and one contemporary Italian translation. Using a binary encoding inspired by Markov's original scheme, we construct minimalist probabilistic models that capture both local V/C dependencies and large-scale sequential patterns. A compact four-state Markov chain is shown to be descriptively accurate and generative, reproducing key features of the original sequences such as autocorrelation and memory depth. All findings are exploratory in nature and aim to highlight structural regularities while suggesting hypotheses about underlying narrative dynamics. The analysis reveals a marked asymmetry between the Russian and Italian texts: the original exhibits a gradual decline in memory depth, whereas the translation maintains a more uniform profile. To further investigate this divergence, we introduce phonological probes-short symbolic patterns that link surface structure to narrative-relevant cues. Tracked across the unfolding text, these probes reveal subtle connections between graphemic form and thematic development, particularly in the Russian original. By revisiting Markov's original proposal of applying symbolic analysis to a literary text and pairing it with contemporary tools from computational statistics and data science, this study shows that even minimalist Markov models can support exploratory analysis of complex poetic material. When complemented by a coarse layer of linguistic annotation, such models provide a general framework for comparative poetics and demonstrate that stylized structural patterns remain accessible through simple representations grounded in linguistic form.

Conditional Attribution for Root Cause Analysis in Time-Series Anomaly Detection

Root cause analysis (RCA) for time-series anomaly detection is critical for the reliable operation of complex real-world systems. Existing explanation methods often rely on unrealistic feature perturbations and ignore temporal and cross-feature dependencies, leading to unreliable attributions. We propose a conditional attribution framework that explains anomalies relative to contextually similar normal system states. Instead of using marginal or randomly sampled baselines, our method retrieves representative normal instances conditioned on the anomalous observation, enabling dependency-preserving and operationally meaningful explanations. To support high-dimensional time-series data, contextual retrieval is performed in learned low-dimensional representations using both variational autoencoder latent spaces and UMAP manifold embeddings. By grounding the retrieval process in the system's learned manifold, this strategy avoids out-of-distribution artifacts and ensures attribution fidelity while maintaining computational efficiency. We further introduce confidence-aware and temporal evaluation metrics for assessing explanation reliability and responsiveness. Experiments on the SWaT and MSDS benchmarks demonstrate that the proposed approach consistently improves root-cause identification accuracy, temporal localization, and robustness across multiple anomaly detection models. These results highlight the practical utility of conditional attribution for explainable anomaly diagnosis in complex time-series systems. Code and models will be publicly released.

On Solving the Multiple Variable Gapped Longest Common Subsequence Problem

This paper addresses the Variable Gapped Longest Common Subsequence (VGLCS) problem, a generalization of the classical LCS problem involving flexible gap constraints between consecutive solutions' characters. The problem arises in molecular sequence comparison, where structural distance constraints between residues must be respected, and in time-series analysis where events are required to occur within specified temporal delays. We propose a search framework based on the root-based state graph representation, in which the state space comprises a generally large number of rooted state subgraphs. To cope with the resulting combinatorial explosion, an iterative beam search strategy is employed, dynamically maintaining a global pool of promising candidate root nodes, enabling effective control of diversification across iterations. To exploit the search for high-quality solutions, several known heuristics from the LCS literature are utilized into the standalone beam search procedure. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first comprehensive computational study on the VGLCS problem comprising 320 synthetic instances with up to 10 input sequences and up to 500 characters. Experimental results show robustness of the designed approach over the baseline beam search in comparable runtimes.