Debiasing Sequential Recommendation with Time-aware Inverse Propensity Scoring

Sequential Recommendation (SR) predicts users next interactions by modeling the temporal order of their historical behaviors. Existing approaches, including traditional sequential models and generative recommenders, achieve strong performance but primarily rely on explicit interactions such as clicks or purchases while overlooking item exposures. This ignorance introduces selection bias, where exposed but unclicked items are misinterpreted as disinterest, and exposure bias, where unexposed items are treated as irrelevant. Effectively addressing these biases requires distinguishing between items that were "not exposed" and those that were "not of interest", which cannot be reliably inferred from correlations in historical data. Counterfactual reasoning provides a natural solution by estimating user preferences under hypothetical exposure, and Inverse Propensity Scoring (IPS) is a common tool for such estimation. However, conventional IPS methods are static and fail to capture the sequential dependencies and temporal dynamics of user behavior. To overcome these limitations, we propose Time aware Inverse Propensity Scoring (TIPS). Unlike traditional static IPS, TIPS effectively accounts for sequential dependencies and temporal dynamics, thereby capturing user preferences more accurately. Extensive experiments show that TIPS consistently enhances recommendation performance as a plug-in for various sequential recommenders. Our code will be publicly available upon acceptance.

Robust Node Affinities via Jaccard-Biased Random Walks and Rank Aggregation

Estimating node similarity is a fundamental task in network analysis and graph-based machine learning, with applications in clustering, community detection, classification, and recommendation. We propose TopKGraphs, a method based on start-node-anchored random walks that bias transitions toward nodes with structurally similar neighborhoods, measured via Jaccard similarity. Rather than computing stationary distributions, walks are treated as stochastic neighborhood samplers, producing partial node rankings that are aggregated using robust rank aggregation to construct interpretable node-to-node affinity matrices. TopKGraphs provides a non-parametric, interpretable, and general-purpose representation of node similarity that can be applied in both network analysis and machine learning workflows. We evaluate the method on synthetic graphs (stochastic block models, Lancichinetti-Fortunato-Radicchi benchmark graphs), k-nearest-neighbor graphs from tabular datasets, and a curated high-confidence protein-protein interaction network. Across all scenarios, TopKGraphs achieves competitive or superior performance compared to standard similarity measures (Jaccard, Dice), a diffusion-based method (personalized PageRank), and an embedding-based approach (Node2Vec), demonstrating robustness in sparse, noisy, or heterogeneous networks. These results suggest that TopKGraphs is a versatile and interpretable tool for bridging simple local similarity measures with more complex embedding-based approaches, facilitating both data mining and network analysis applications.

Not All Trust is the Same: Effects of Decision Workflow and Explanations in Human-AI Decision Making

A central challenge in AI-assisted decision making is achieving warranted, well-calibrated trust. Both overtrust (accepting incorrect AI recommendations) and undertrust (rejecting correct advice) should be prevented. Prior studies differ in the design of the decision workflow - whether users see the AI suggestion immediately (1-step setup) or have to submit a first decision beforehand (2-step setup) -, and in how trust is measured - through self-reports or as behavioral trust, that is, reliance. We examined the effects and interactions of (a) the type of decision workflow, (b) the presence of explanations, and (c) users' domain knowledge and prior AI experience. We compared reported trust, reliance (agreement rate and switch rate), and overreliance. Results showed no evidence that a 2-step setup reduces overreliance. The decision workflow also did not directly affect self-reported trust, but there was a crossover interaction effect with domain knowledge and explanations, suggesting that the effects of explanations alone may not generalize across workflow setups. Finally, our findings confirm that reported trust and reliance behavior are distinct constructs that should be evaluated separately in AI-assisted decision making.

Harnessing Synthetic Data from Generative AI for Statistical Inference

The emergence of generative AI models has dramatically expanded the availability and use of synthetic data across scientific, industrial, and policy domains. While these developments open new possibilities for data analysis, they also raise fundamental statistical questions about when synthetic data can be used in a valid, reliable, and principled manner. This paper reviews the current landscape of synthetic data generation and use from a statistical perspective, with the goal of clarifying the assumptions under which synthetic data can meaningfully support downstream discovery, inference, and prediction. We survey major classes of modern generative models, their intended use cases, and the benefits they offer, while also highlighting their limitations and characteristic failure modes. We additionally examine common pitfalls that arise when synthetic data are treated as surrogates for real observations, including biases from model misspecification, attenuated uncertainty, and difficulties in generalization. Building on these insights, we discuss emerging frameworks for the principled use of synthetic data. We conclude with practical recommendations, open problems, and cautions intended to guide both method developers and applied researchers.

PACE: A Personalized Adaptive Curriculum Engine for 9-1-1 Call-taker Training

9-1-1 call-taking training requires mastery of over a thousand interdependent skills, covering diverse incident types and protocol-specific nuances. A nationwide labor shortage is already straining training capacity, but effective instruction still demands that trainers tailor objectives to each trainee's evolving competencies. This personalization burden is one that current practice cannot scale. Partnering with Metro Nashville Department of Emergency Communications (MNDEC), we propose PACE (Personalized Adaptive Curriculum Engine), a co-pilot system that augments trainer decision-making by (1) maintaining probabilistic beliefs over trainee skill states, (2) modeling individual learning and forgetting dynamics, and (3) recommending training scenarios that balance acquisition of new competencies with retention of existing ones. PACE propagates evidence over a structured skill graph to accelerate diagnostic coverage and applies contextual bandits to select scenarios that target gaps the trainee is prepared to address. Empirical results show that PACE achieves 19.50% faster time-to-competence and 10.95% higher terminal mastery compared to state-of-the-art frameworks. Co-pilot studies with practicing training officers further demonstrate a 95.45% alignment rate between PACE's and experts' pedagogical judgments on real-world cases. Under estimation, PACE cuts turnaround time to merely 34 seconds from 11.58 minutes, up to 95.08% reduction.

Turning Trust to Transactions: Tracking Affiliate Marketing and FTC Compliance in YouTube's Influencer Economy

YouTube has evolved into a powerful platform that where creators monetize their influence through affiliate marketing, raising concerns about transparency and ethics, especially when creators fail to disclose their affiliate relationships. Although regulatory agencies like the US Federal Trade Commission (FTC) have issued guidelines to address these issues, non-compliance and consumer harm persist, and the extent of these problems remains unclear. In this paper, we introduce tools, developed with insights from recent advances in Web measurement and NLP research, to examine the state of the affiliate marketing ecosystem on YouTube. We apply these tools to a 10-year dataset of 2 million videos from nearly 540,000 creators, analyzing the prevalence of affiliate marketing on YouTube and the rates of non-compliant behavior. Our findings reveal that affiliate links are widespread, yet dis- closure compliance remains low, with most videos failing to meet FTC standards. Furthermore, we analyze the effects of different stakeholders in improving disclosure behavior. Our study suggests that the platform is highly associated with improved compliance through standardized disclosure features. We recommend that regulators and affiliate partners collaborate with platforms to enhance transparency, accountability, and trust in the influencer economy.

How Predicted Links Influence Network Evolution: Disentangling Choice and Algorithmic Feedback in Dynamic Graphs

Link prediction models are increasingly used to recommend interactions in evolving networks, yet their impact on network structure is typically assessed from static snapshots. In particular, observed homophily conflates intrinsic interaction tendencies with amplification effects induced by network dynamics and algorithmic feedback. We propose a temporal framework based on multivariate Hawkes processes that disentangles these two sources and introduce an instantaneous bias measure derived from interaction intensities, capturing current reinforcement dynamics beyond cumulative metrics. We provide a theoretical characterization of the stability and convergence of the induced dynamics, and experiments show that the proposed measure reliably reflects algorithmic feedback effects across different link prediction strategies.

k-hop Fairness: Addressing Disparities in Graph Link Prediction Beyond First-Order Neighborhoods

Link prediction (LP) plays a central role in graph-based applications, particularly in social recommendation. However, real-world graphs often reflect structural biases, most notably homophily, the tendency of nodes with similar attributes to connect. While this property can improve predictive performance, it also risks reinforcing existing social disparities. In response, fairness-aware LP methods have emerged, often seeking to mitigate these effects by promoting inter-group connections, that is, links between nodes with differing sensitive attributes (e.g., gender), following the principle of dyadic fairness. However, dyadic fairness overlooks potential disparities within the sensitive groups themselves. To overcome this issue, we propose $k$-hop fairness, a structural notion of fairness for LP, that assesses disparities conditioned on the distance between nodes in the graph. We formalize this notion through predictive fairness and structural bias metrics, and propose pre- and post-processing mitigation strategies. Experiments across standard LP benchmarks reveal: (1) a strong tendency of models to reproduce structural biases at different $k$-hops; (2) interdependence between structural biases at different hops when rewiring graphs; and (3) that our post-processing method achieves favorable $k$-hop performance-fairness trade-offs compared to existing fair LP baselines.

Fairness Begins with State: Purifying Latent Preferences for Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning in Interactive Recommendation

Interactive recommender systems (IRS) are increasingly optimized with Reinforcement Learning (RL) to capture the sequential nature of user-system dynamics. However, existing fairness-aware methods often suffer from a fundamental oversight: they assume the observed user state is a faithful representation of true preferences. In reality, implicit feedback is contaminated by popularity-driven noise and exposure bias, creating a distorted state that misleads the RL agent. We argue that the persistent conflict between accuracy and fairness is not merely a reward-shaping issue, but a state estimation failure. In this work, we propose \textbf{DSRM-HRL}, a framework that reformulates fairness-aware recommendation as a latent state purification problem followed by decoupled hierarchical decision-making. We introduce a Denoising State Representation Module (DSRM) based on diffusion models to recover the low-entropy latent preference manifold from high-entropy, noisy interaction histories. Built upon this purified state, a Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning (HRL) agent is employed to decouple conflicting objectives: a high-level policy regulates long-term fairness trajectories, while a low-level policy optimizes short-term engagement under these dynamic constraints. Extensive experiments on high-fidelity simulators (KuaiRec, KuaiRand) demonstrate that DSRM-HRL effectively breaks the "rich-get-richer" feedback loop, achieving a superior Pareto frontier between recommendation utility and exposure equity.

DisenReason: Behavior Disentanglement and Latent Reasoning for Shared-Account Sequential Recommendation

Shared-account usage is common on streaming and e-commerce platforms, where multiple users share one account. Existing shared-account sequential recommendation (SSR) methods often assume a fixed number of latent users per account, limiting their ability to adapt to diverse sharing patterns and reducing recommendation accuracy. Recent latent reasoning technique applied in sequential recommendation (SR) generate intermediate embeddings from the user embedding (e.g, last item embedding) to uncover users' potential interests, which inspires us to treat the problem of inferring the number of latent users as generating a series of intermediate embeddings, shifting from inferring preferences behind user to inferring the users behind account. However, the last item cannot be directly used for reasoning in SSR, as it can only represent the behavior of the most recent latent user, rather than the collective behavior of the entire account. To address this, we propose DisenReason, a two-stage reasoning method tailored to SSR. DisenReason combines behavior disentanglement stage from frequency-domain perspective to create a collective and unified account behavior representation, which serves as a pivot for latent user reasoning stage to infer the number of users behind the account. Experiments on four benchmark datasets show that DisenReason consistently outperforms all state-of-the-art baselines across four benchmark datasets, achieving relative improvements of up to 12.56\% in MRR@5 and 6.06\% in Recall@20.