FuXi-S2S: An accurate machine learning model for global subseasonal forecasts

Skillful subseasonal forecasts beyond 2 weeks are crucial for a wide range of applications across various sectors of society. Recently, state-of-the-art machine learning based weather forecasting models have made significant advancements, outperforming the high-resolution forecast (HRES) from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). However, the full potential of machine learning models in subseasonal forecasts has yet to be fully explored. In this study, we introduce FuXi Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (FuXi-S2S), a machine learning based subseasonal forecasting model that provides global daily mean forecasts up to 42 days, covering 5 upper-air atmospheric variables at 13 pressure levels and 11 surface variables. FuXi-S2S integrates an enhanced FuXi base model with a perturbation module for flow-dependent perturbations in hidden features, and incorporates Perlin noise to perturb initial conditions. The model is developed using 72 years of daily statistics from ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis data. When compared to the ECMWF Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) reforecasts, the FuXi-S2S forecasts demonstrate superior deterministic and ensemble forecasts for total precipitation (TP), outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), and geopotential at 500 hPa (Z500). Although it shows slightly inferior performance in predicting 2-meter temperature (T2M), it has clear advantages over land area. Regarding the extreme forecasts, FuXi-S2S outperforms ECMWF S2S globally for TP. Furthermore, FuXi-S2S forecasts surpass the ECMWF S2S reforecasts in predicting the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), a key source of subseasonal predictability. They extend the skillful prediction of MJO from 30 days to 36 days.

CoGANPPIS: Coevolution-enhanced Global Attention Neural Network for Protein-Protein Interaction Site Prediction

Protein-protein interactions are essential in biochemical processes. Accurate prediction of the protein-protein interaction sites (PPIs) deepens our understanding of biological mechanism and is crucial for new drug design. However, conventional experimental methods for PPIs prediction are costly and time-consuming so that many computational approaches, especially ML-based methods, have been developed recently. Although these approaches have achieved gratifying results, there are still two limitations: (1) Most models have excavated some useful input features, but failed to take coevolutionary features into account, which could provide clues for inter-residue relationships; (2) The attention-based models only allocate attention weights for neighboring residues, instead of doing it globally, neglecting that some residues being far away from the target residues might also matter. We propose a coevolution-enhanced global attention neural network, a sequence-based deep learning model for PPIs prediction, called CoGANPPIS. It utilizes three layers in parallel for feature extraction: (1) Local-level representation aggregation layer, which aggregates the neighboring residues' features; (2) Global-level representation learning layer, which employs a novel coevolution-enhanced global attention mechanism to allocate attention weights to all the residues on the same protein sequences; (3) Coevolutionary information learning layer, which applies CNN & pooling to coevolutionary information to obtain the coevolutionary profile representation. Then, the three outputs are concatenated and passed into several fully connected layers for the final prediction. Application on two benchmark datasets demonstrated a state-of-the-art performance of our model. The source code is publicly available at https://github.com/Slam1423/CoGANPPIS_source_code.