Learning to Infer Counterfactuals: Meta-Learning for Estimating Multiple Imbalanced Treatment Effects

We regularly consider answering counterfactual questions in practice, such as "Would people with diabetes take a turn for the better had they choose another medication?". Observational studies are growing in significance in answering such questions due to their widespread accumulation and comparatively easier acquisition than Randomized Control Trials (RCTs). Recently, some works have introduced representation learning and domain adaptation into counterfactual inference. However, most current works focus on the setting of binary treatments. None of them considers that different treatments' sample sizes are imbalanced, especially data examples in some treatment groups are relatively limited due to inherent user preference. In this paper, we design a new algorithmic framework for counterfactual inference, which brings an idea from Meta-learning for Estimating Individual Treatment Effects (MetaITE) to fill the above research gaps, especially considering multiple imbalanced treatments. Specifically, we regard data episodes among treatment groups in counterfactual inference as meta-learning tasks. We train a meta-learner from a set of source treatment groups with sufficient samples and update the model by gradient descent with limited samples in target treatment. Moreover, we introduce two complementary losses. One is the supervised loss on multiple source treatments. The other loss which aligns latent distributions among various treatment groups is proposed to reduce the discrepancy. We perform experiments on two real-world datasets to evaluate inference accuracy and generalization ability. Experimental results demonstrate that the model MetaITE matches/outperforms state-of-the-art methods.

Interventional Recommendation with Contrastive Counterfactual Learning for Better Understanding User Preferences

Recently, there has been a surging interest in formulating recommendations in the context of causal inference. The studies regard the recommendation as an intervention in causal inference and frame the users' preferences as interventional effects to improve recommender systems' generalization. Many studies in the field of causal inference for recommender systems have been focusing on utilizing propensity scores from the causal community that reduce the bias while inducing additional variance. Alternatively, some studies suggest the existence of a set of unbiased data from randomized controlled trials while it requires to satisfy certain assumptions that may be challenging in practice. In this paper, we first design a causal graph representing recommender systems' data generation and propagation process. Then, we reveal that the underlying exposure mechanism biases the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) on observational feedback. In order to figure out users' preferences in terms of causality behind data, we leverage the back-door adjustment and do-calculus, which induces an interventional recommendation model (IREC). Furthermore, considering the confounder may be inaccessible for measurement, we propose a contrastive counterfactual learning method (CCL) for simulating the intervention. In addition, we present two extra novel sampling strategies and show an intriguing finding that sampling from counterfactual sets contributes to superior performance. We perform extensive experiments on two real-world datasets to evaluate and analyze the performance of our model IREC-CCL on unbiased test sets. Experimental results demonstrate our model outperforms the state-of-the-art methods.

See What You See: Self-supervised Cross-modal Retrieval of Visual Stimuli from Brain Activity

Recent studies demonstrate the use of a two-stage supervised framework to generate images that depict human perception to visual stimuli from EEG, referring to EEG-visual reconstruction. They are, however, unable to reproduce the exact visual stimulus, since it is the human-specified annotation of images, not their data, that determines what the synthesized images are. Moreover, synthesized images often suffer from noisy EEG encodings and unstable training of generative models, making them hard to recognize. Instead, we present a single-stage EEG-visual retrieval paradigm where data of two modalities are correlated, as opposed to their annotations, allowing us to recover the exact visual stimulus for an EEG clip. We maximize the mutual information between the EEG encoding and associated visual stimulus through optimization of a contrastive self-supervised objective, leading to two additional benefits. One, it enables EEG encodings to handle visual classes beyond seen ones during training, since learning is not directed at class annotations. In addition, the model is no longer required to generate every detail of the visual stimulus, but rather focuses on cross-modal alignment and retrieves images at the instance level, ensuring distinguishable model output. Empirical studies are conducted on the largest single-subject EEG dataset that measures brain activities evoked by image stimuli. We demonstrate the proposed approach completes an instance-level EEG-visual retrieval task which existing methods cannot. We also examine the implications of a range of EEG and visual encoder structures. Furthermore, for a mostly studied semantic-level EEG-visual classification task, despite not using class annotations, the proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art supervised EEG-visual reconstruction approaches, particularly on the capability of open class recognition.

Deep Reinforcement Learning for Dynamic Recommendation with Model-agnostic Counterfactual Policy Synthesis

Recent advances in recommender systems have proved the potential of Reinforcement Learning (RL) to handle the dynamic evolution processes between users and recommender systems. However, learning to train an optimal RL agent is generally impractical with commonly sparse user feedback data in the context of recommender systems. To circumvent the lack of interaction of current RL-based recommender systems, we propose to learn a general Model-agnostic Counterfactual Synthesis Policy for counterfactual user interaction data augmentation. The counterfactual synthesis policy aims to synthesise counterfactual states while preserving significant information in the original state relevant to the user's interests, building upon two different training approaches we designed: learning with expert demonstrations and joint training. As a result, the synthesis of each counterfactual data is based on the current recommendation agent interaction with the environment to adapt to users' dynamic interests. We integrate the proposed policy Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (DDPG), Soft Actor Critic (SAC) and Twin Delayed DDPG in an adaptive pipeline with a recommendation agent that can generate counterfactual data to improve the performance of recommendation. The empirical results on both online simulation and offline datasets demonstrate the effectiveness and generalisation of our counterfactual synthesis policy and verify that it improves the performance of RL recommendation agents.

IDNP: Interest Dynamics Modeling using Generative Neural Processes for Sequential Recommendation

Recent sequential recommendation models rely increasingly on consecutive short-term user-item interaction sequences to model user interests. These approaches have, however, raised concerns about both short- and long-term interests. (1) {\it short-term}: interaction sequences may not result from a monolithic interest, but rather from several intertwined interests, even within a short period of time, resulting in their failures to model skip behaviors; (2) {\it long-term}: interaction sequences are primarily observed sparsely at discrete intervals, other than consecutively over the long run. This renders difficulty in inferring long-term interests, since only discrete interest representations can be derived, without taking into account interest dynamics across sequences. In this study, we address these concerns by learning (1) multi-scale representations of short-term interests; and (2) dynamics-aware representations of long-term interests. To this end, we present an \textbf{I}nterest \textbf{D}ynamics modeling framework using generative \textbf{N}eural \textbf{P}rocesses, coined IDNP, to model user interests from a functional perspective. IDNP learns a global interest function family to define each user's long-term interest as a function instantiation, manifesting interest dynamics through function continuity. Specifically, IDNP first encodes each user's short-term interactions into multi-scale representations, which are then summarized as user context. By combining latent global interest with user context, IDNP then reconstructs long-term user interest functions and predicts interactions at upcoming query timestep. Moreover, IDNP can model such interest functions even when interaction sequences are limited and non-consecutive. Extensive experiments on four real-world datasets demonstrate that our model outperforms state-of-the-arts on various evaluation metrics.

A Survey on Participant Selection for Federated Learning in Mobile Networks

Federated Learning (FL) is an efficient distributed machine learning paradigm that employs private datasets in a privacy-preserving manner. The main challenges of FL is that end devices usually possess various computation and communication capabilities and their training data are not independent and identically distributed (non-IID). Due to limited communication bandwidth and unstable availability of such devices in a mobile network, only a fraction of end devices (also referred to as the participants or clients in a FL process) can be selected in each round. Hence, it is of paramount importance to utilize an efficient participant selection scheme to maximize the performance of FL including final model accuracy and training time. In this paper, we provide a review of participant selection techniques for FL. First, we introduce FL and highlight the main challenges during participant selection. Then, we review the existing studies and categorize them based on their solutions. Finally, we provide some future directions on participant selection for FL based on our analysis of the state-of-the-art in this topic area.

Enabling Harmonious Human-Machine Interaction with Visual-Context Augmented Dialogue System: A Review

The intelligent dialogue system, aiming at communicating with humans harmoniously with natural language, is brilliant for promoting the advancement of human-machine interaction in the era of artificial intelligence. With the gradually complex human-computer interaction requirements (e.g., multimodal inputs, time sensitivity), it is difficult for traditional text-based dialogue system to meet the demands for more vivid and convenient interaction. Consequently, Visual Context Augmented Dialogue System (VAD), which has the potential to communicate with humans by perceiving and understanding multimodal information (i.e., visual context in images or videos, textual dialogue history), has become a predominant research paradigm. Benefiting from the consistency and complementarity between visual and textual context, VAD possesses the potential to generate engaging and context-aware responses. For depicting the development of VAD, we first characterize the concepts and unique features of VAD, and then present its generic system architecture to illustrate the system workflow. Subsequently, several research challenges and representative works are detailed investigated, followed by the summary of authoritative benchmarks. We conclude this paper by putting forward some open issues and promising research trends for VAD, e.g., the cognitive mechanisms of human-machine dialogue under cross-modal dialogue context, and knowledge-enhanced cross-modal semantic interaction.

Unsupervised Knowledge Adaptation for Passenger Demand Forecasting

Considering the multimodal nature of transport systems and potential cross-modal correlations, there is a growing trend of enhancing demand forecasting accuracy by learning from multimodal data. These multimodal forecasting models can improve accuracy but be less practical when different parts of multimodal datasets are owned by different institutions who cannot directly share data among them. While various institutions may can not share their data with each other directly, they may share forecasting models trained by their data, where such models cannot be used to identify the exact information from their datasets. This study proposes an Unsupervised Knowledge Adaptation Demand Forecasting framework to forecast the demand of the target mode by utilizing a pre-trained model based on data of another mode, which does not require direct data sharing of the source mode. The proposed framework utilizes the potential shared patterns among multiple transport modes to improve forecasting performance while avoiding the direct sharing of data among different institutions. Specifically, a pre-trained forecasting model is first learned based on the data of a source mode, which can capture and memorize the source travel patterns. Then, the demand data of the target dataset is encoded into an individual knowledge part and a sharing knowledge part which will extract travel patterns by individual extraction network and sharing extraction network, respectively. The unsupervised knowledge adaptation strategy is utilized to form the sharing features for further forecasting by making the pre-trained network and the sharing extraction network analogous. Our findings illustrate that unsupervised knowledge adaptation by sharing the pre-trained model to the target mode can improve the forecasting performance without the dependence on direct data sharing.

Towards Explanation for Unsupervised Graph-Level Representation Learning

Due to the superior performance of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) in various domains, there is an increasing interest in the GNN explanation problem "\emph{which fraction of the input graph is the most crucial to decide the model's decision?}" Existing explanation methods focus on the supervised settings, \eg, node classification and graph classification, while the explanation for unsupervised graph-level representation learning is still unexplored. The opaqueness of the graph representations may lead to unexpected risks when deployed for high-stake decision-making scenarios. In this paper, we advance the Information Bottleneck principle (IB) to tackle the proposed explanation problem for unsupervised graph representations, which leads to a novel principle, \textit{Unsupervised Subgraph Information Bottleneck} (USIB). We also theoretically analyze the connection between graph representations and explanatory subgraphs on the label space, which reveals that the expressiveness and robustness of representations benefit the fidelity of explanatory subgraphs. Experimental results on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate the superiority of our developed explainer and the validity of our theoretical analysis.