Optimizing Bus Travel: A Novel Approach to Feature Mining with P-KMEANS and P-LDA Algorithms

Customizing services for bus travel can bolster its attractiveness, optimize usage, alleviate traffic congestion, and diminish carbon emissions. This potential is realized by harnessing recent advancements in positioning communication facilities, the Internet of Things, and artificial intelligence for feature mining in public transportation. However, the inherent complexities of disorganized and unstructured public transportation data introduce substantial challenges to travel feature extraction. This study presents a bus travel feature extraction method rooted in Point of Interest (POI) data, employing enhanced P-KMENAS and P-LDA algorithms to overcome these limitations. While the KMEANS algorithm adeptly segments passenger travel paths into distinct clusters, its outcomes can be influenced by the initial K value. On the other hand, Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) excels at feature identification and probabilistic interpretations yet encounters difficulties with feature intermingling and nuanced sub-feature interactions. Incorporating the POI dimension enhances our understanding of travel behavior, aligning it more closely with passenger attributes and facilitating easier data analysis. By incorporating POI data, our refined P-KMENAS and P-LDA algorithms grant a holistic insight into travel behaviors and attributes, effectively mitigating the limitations above. Consequently, this POI-centric algorithm effectively amalgamates diverse POI attributes, delineates varied travel contexts, and imparts probabilistic metrics to feature properties. Our method successfully mines the diverse aspects of bus travel, such as age, occupation, gender, sports, cost, safety, and personality traits. It effectively calculates relationships between individual travel behaviors and assigns explanatory and evaluative probabilities to POI labels, thereby enhancing bus travel optimization.

A Physics Enhanced Residual Learning (PERL) Framework for Traffic State Prediction

In vehicle trajectory prediction, physics models and data-driven models are two predominant methodologies. However, each approach presents its own set of challenges: physics models fall short in predictability, while data-driven models lack interpretability. Addressing these identified shortcomings, this paper proposes a novel framework, the Physics-Enhanced Residual Learning (PERL) model. PERL integrates the strengths of physics-based and data-driven methods for traffic state prediction. PERL contains a physics model and a residual learning model. Its prediction is the sum of the physics model result and a predicted residual as a correction to it. It preserves the interpretability inherent to physics-based models and has reduced data requirements compared to data-driven methods. Experiments were conducted using a real-world vehicle trajectory dataset. We proposed a PERL model, with the Intelligent Driver Model (IDM) as its physics car-following model and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) as its residual learning model. We compare this PERL model with the physics car-following model, data-driven model, and other physics-informed neural network (PINN) models. The result reveals that PERL achieves better prediction with a small dataset, compared to the physics model, data-driven model, and PINN model. Second, the PERL model showed faster convergence during training, offering comparable performance with fewer training samples than the data-driven model and PINN model. Sensitivity analysis also proves comparable performance of PERL using another residual learning model and a physics car-following model.

Graph-Based Interaction-Aware Multimodal 2D Vehicle Trajectory Prediction using Diffusion Graph Convolutional Networks

Predicting vehicle trajectories is crucial for ensuring automated vehicle operation efficiency and safety, particularly on congested multi-lane highways. In such dynamic environments, a vehicle's motion is determined by its historical behaviors as well as interactions with surrounding vehicles. These intricate interactions arise from unpredictable motion patterns, leading to a wide range of driving behaviors that warrant in-depth investigation. This study presents the Graph-based Interaction-aware Multi-modal Trajectory Prediction (GIMTP) framework, designed to probabilistically predict future vehicle trajectories by effectively capturing these interactions. Within this framework, vehicles' motions are conceptualized as nodes in a time-varying graph, and the traffic interactions are represented by a dynamic adjacency matrix. To holistically capture both spatial and temporal dependencies embedded in this dynamic adjacency matrix, the methodology incorporates the Diffusion Graph Convolutional Network (DGCN), thereby providing a graph embedding of both historical states and future states. Furthermore, we employ a driving intention-specific feature fusion, enabling the adaptive integration of historical and future embeddings for enhanced intention recognition and trajectory prediction. This model gives two-dimensional predictions for each mode of longitudinal and lateral driving behaviors and offers probabilistic future paths with corresponding probabilities, addressing the challenges of complex vehicle interactions and multi-modality of driving behaviors. Validation using real-world trajectory datasets demonstrates the efficiency and potential.