CausalBench: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Causal Learning Capability of Large Language Models

Causality reveals fundamental principles behind data distributions in real-world scenarios, and the capability of large language models (LLMs) to understand causality directly impacts their efficacy across explaining outputs, adapting to new evidence, and generating counterfactuals. With the proliferation of LLMs, the evaluation of this capacity is increasingly garnering attention. However, the absence of a comprehensive benchmark has rendered existing evaluation studies being straightforward, undiversified, and homogeneous. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a comprehensive benchmark, namely CausalBench, to evaluate the causality understanding capabilities of LLMs. Originating from the causal research community, CausalBench encompasses three causal learning-related tasks, which facilitate a convenient comparison of LLMs' performance with classic causal learning algorithms. Meanwhile, causal networks of varying scales and densities are integrated in CausalBench, to explore the upper limits of LLMs' capabilities across task scenarios of varying difficulty. Notably, background knowledge and structured data are also incorporated into CausalBench to thoroughly unlock the underlying potential of LLMs for long-text comprehension and prior information utilization. Based on CausalBench, this paper evaluates nineteen leading LLMs and unveils insightful conclusions in diverse aspects. Firstly, we present the strengths and weaknesses of LLMs and quantitatively explore the upper limits of their capabilities across various scenarios. Meanwhile, we further discern the adaptability and abilities of LLMs to specific structural networks and complex chain of thought structures. Moreover, this paper quantitatively presents the differences across diverse information sources and uncovers the gap between LLMs' capabilities in causal understanding within textual contexts and numerical domains.

Exploring the True Potential: Evaluating the Black-box Optimization Capability of Large Language Models

Large language models (LLMs) have gained widespread popularity and demonstrated exceptional performance not only in natural language processing (NLP) tasks but also in non-linguistic domains. Their potential as artificial general intelligence extends beyond NLP, showcasing promising capabilities in diverse optimization scenarios. Despite this rising trend, whether the integration of LLMs into these black-box optimization problems is genuinely beneficial remains unexplored. This paper endeavors to tackle this issue by offering deeper insights into the potential of LLMs in optimization tasks through a comprehensive investigation. Our approach involves a comprehensive evaluation, covering both discrete and continuous optimization problems, aiming to assess the efficacy and distinctive characteristics that LLMs bring to the realm of optimization. Our findings reveal both the limitations and advantages of LLMs in optimization. On one hand, despite consuming the significant power required to run the model, LLMs exhibit subpar performance and lack desirable properties in pure numerical tasks, primarily due to a mismatch between the problem domain and their processing capabilities. On the other hand, although LLMs may not be ideal for traditional numerical optimization, their potential in broader optimization contexts remains promising. LLMs exhibit the ability to solve problems in non-numerical domains and can leverage heuristics from the prompt to enhance their performance. To the best of our knowledge, this work presents the first systematic evaluation of LLMs for numerical optimization, offering a progressive, wide-coverage, and behavioral analysis. Our findings pave the way for a deeper understanding of LLMs' role in optimization and guide future application in diverse scenarios for LLMs.

How Multimodal Integration Boost the Performance of LLM for Optimization: Case Study on Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problems

Recently, large language models (LLMs) have notably positioned them as capable tools for addressing complex optimization challenges. Despite this recognition, a predominant limitation of existing LLM-based optimization methods is their struggle to capture the relationships among decision variables when relying exclusively on numerical text prompts, especially in high-dimensional problems. Keeping this in mind, we first propose to enhance the optimization performance using multimodal LLM capable of processing both textual and visual prompts for deeper insights of the processed optimization problem. This integration allows for a more comprehensive understanding of optimization problems, akin to human cognitive processes. We have developed a multimodal LLM-based optimization framework that simulates human problem-solving workflows, thereby offering a more nuanced and effective analysis. The efficacy of this method is evaluated through extensive empirical studies focused on a well-known combinatorial optimization problem, i.e., capacitated vehicle routing problem. The results are compared against those obtained from the LLM-based optimization algorithms that rely solely on textual prompts, demonstrating the significant advantages of our multimodal approach.

Evolutionary Computation in the Era of Large Language Model: Survey and Roadmap

Large Language Models (LLMs), built upon Transformer-based architectures with massive pretraining on diverse data, have not only revolutionized natural language processing but also extended their prowess to various domains, marking a significant stride towards artificial general intelligence. The interplay between LLMs and Evolutionary Algorithms (EAs), despite differing in objectives and methodologies, reveals intriguing parallels, especially in their shared optimization nature, black-box characteristics, and proficiency in handling complex problems. Meanwhile, EA can not only provide an optimization framework for LLM's further enhancement under black-box settings but also empower LLM with flexible global search and iterative mechanism in applications. On the other hand, LLM's abundant domain knowledge enables EA to perform smarter searches, while its text processing capability assist in deploying EA across various tasks. Based on their complementary advantages, this paper presents a comprehensive review and forward-looking roadmap, categorizing their mutual inspiration into LLM-enhanced evolutionary optimization and EA-enhanced LLM. Some integrated synergy methods are further introduced to exemplify the amalgamation of LLMs and EAs in various application scenarios, including neural architecture search, code generation, software engineering, and text generation. As the first comprehensive review specifically focused on the EA research in the era of LLMs, this paper provides a foundational stepping stone for understanding and harnessing the collaborative potential of LLMs and EAs. By presenting a comprehensive review, categorization, and critical analysis, we contribute to the ongoing discourse on the cross-disciplinary study of these two powerful paradigms. The identified challenges and future directions offer guidance to unlock the full potential of this innovative collaboration.

AS-LLM: When Algorithm Selection Meets Large Language Model

Algorithm selection aims to identify the most suitable algorithm for solving a specific problem before execution, which has become a critical process of the AutoML. Current mainstream algorithm selection techniques rely heavily on feature representations of various problems and employ the performance of each algorithm as supervised information. However, there is a significant research gap concerning the consideration of algorithm features. This gap is primarily attributed to the inherent complexity of algorithms, making it particularly challenging to find a universally effective feature extraction method that is applicable across a diverse range of algorithms. Unfortunately, neglecting this aspect undoubtedly impacts the accuracy of algorithm selection and indirectly necessitates an increased volume of problem data for training purposes. This paper takes a significant stride towards addressing this gap by proposing an approach that integrates algorithm representation into the algorithm selection process. Specifically, our proposed model employs distinct modules to extract representations of both problems and algorithms, where the algorithm representation leverages the capabilities of pre-trained LLMs in the realm of code comprehension. Following the extraction of embedding vectors for both algorithms and problems, the most suitable algorithm is determined through calculations of matching degrees. Our experiments not only validate the effectiveness of the proposed model but also showcase the performance of different embedded pre-trained LLMs, which suggests that the proposed algorithm selection framework holds the potential to serve as a baseline task for evaluating the code representation capabilities of LLMs.

Fair Causal Feature Selection

Causal feature selection has recently received increasing attention in machine learning. Existing causal feature selection algorithms select unique causal features of a class variable as the optimal feature subset. However, a class variable usually has multiple states, and it is unfair to select the same causal features for different states of a class variable. To address this problem, we employ the class-specific mutual information to evaluate the causal information carried by each state of the class attribute, and theoretically analyze the unique relationship between each state and the causal features. Based on this, a Fair Causal Feature Selection algorithm (FairCFS) is proposed to fairly identifies the causal features for each state of the class variable. Specifically, FairCFS uses the pairwise comparisons of class-specific mutual information and the size of class-specific mutual information values from the perspective of each state, and follows a divide-and-conquer framework to find causal features. The correctness and application condition of FairCFS are theoretically proved, and extensive experiments are conducted to demonstrate the efficiency and superiority of FairCFS compared to the state-of-the-art approaches.

Dual Graph Multitask Framework for Imbalanced Delivery Time Estimation

Delivery Time Estimation (DTE) is a crucial component of the e-commerce supply chain that predicts delivery time based on merchant information, sending address, receiving address, and payment time. Accurate DTE can boost platform revenue and reduce customer complaints and refunds. However, the imbalanced nature of industrial data impedes previous models from reaching satisfactory prediction performance. Although imbalanced regression methods can be applied to the DTE task, we experimentally find that they improve the prediction performance of low-shot data samples at the sacrifice of overall performance. To address the issue, we propose a novel Dual Graph Multitask framework for imbalanced Delivery Time Estimation (DGM-DTE). Our framework first classifies package delivery time as head and tail data. Then, a dual graph-based model is utilized to learn representations of the two categories of data. In particular, DGM-DTE re-weights the embedding of tail data by estimating its kernel density. We fuse two graph-based representations to capture both high- and low-shot data representations. Experiments on real-world Taobao logistics datasets demonstrate the superior performance of DGM-DTE compared to baselines.

Inductive Graph Transformer for Delivery Time Estimation

Providing accurate estimated time of package delivery on users' purchasing pages for e-commerce platforms is of great importance to their purchasing decisions and post-purchase experiences. Although this problem shares some common issues with the conventional estimated time of arrival (ETA), it is more challenging with the following aspects: 1) Inductive inference. Models are required to predict ETA for orders with unseen retailers and addresses; 2) High-order interaction of order semantic information. Apart from the spatio-temporal features, the estimated time also varies greatly with other factors, such as the packaging efficiency of retailers, as well as the high-order interaction of these factors. In this paper, we propose an inductive graph transformer (IGT) that leverages raw feature information and structural graph data to estimate package delivery time. Different from previous graph transformer architectures, IGT adopts a decoupled pipeline and trains transformer as a regression function that can capture the multiplex information from both raw feature and dense embeddings encoded by a graph neural network (GNN). In addition, we further simplify the GNN structure by removing its non-linear activation and the learnable linear transformation matrix. The reduced parameter search space and linear information propagation in the simplified GNN enable the IGT to be applied in large-scale industrial scenarios. Experiments on real-world logistics datasets show that our proposed model can significantly outperform the state-of-the-art methods on estimation of delivery time. The source code is available at: https://github.com/enoche/IGT-WSDM23.

An AIoT-enabled Autonomous Dementia Monitoring System

An autonomous Artificial Internet of Things (AIoT) system for elderly dementia patients monitoring in a smart home is presented. The system mainly implements two functions based on the activity inference of the sensor data, which are real time abnormal activity monitoring and trend prediction of disease related activities. Specifically, CASAS dataset is employed to train a Random Forest (RF) model for activity inference. Then, another RF model trained by the output data of activity inference is used for abnormal activity monitoring. Particularly, RF is chosen for these tasks because of its balanced trade offs between accuracy, time efficiency, flexibility, and interpretability. Moreover, Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) is utilised to forecast the disease related activity trend of a patient. Consequently, the accuracy of two RF classifiers designed for activity inference and abnormal activity detection is greater than 99 percent and 94 percent, respectively. Furthermore, using the duration of sleep as an example, the LSTM model achieves accurate and evident future trends prediction.

Do Models Learn the Directionality of Relations? A New Evaluation Task: Relation Direction Recognition

Deep neural networks such as BERT have made great progress in relation classification. Although they can achieve good performance, it is still a question of concern whether these models recognize the directionality of relations, especially when they may lack interpretability. To explore the question, a novel evaluation task, called Relation Direction Recognition (RDR), is proposed to explore whether models learn the directionality of relations. Three metrics for RDR are introduced to measure the degree to which models recognize the directionality of relations. Several state-of-the-art models are evaluated on RDR. Experimental results on a real-world dataset indicate that there are clear gaps among them in recognizing the directionality of relations, even though these models obtain similar performance in the traditional metric (e.g. Macro-F1). Finally, some suggestions are discussed to enhance models to recognize the directionality of relations from the perspective of model design or training.