National Institute of Health Data Science, Peking University, Beijing, China, Department of Emergency Medicine, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China
Abstract:Digital biomarkers of cardiovascular aging, often termed heart or vascular age, have been widely studied, but most rely on resting electrocardiography (ECG), imaging, or specialized vascular assessments. Evidence linking wearable photoplethysmography (PPG) to arterial stiffness and hypertension remains limited. We developed an ECG-guided cross-modal framework that uses synchronized smartwatch ECG to enhance PPG representation learning during pretraining while requiring only PPG at inference. The study included three OPPO cohorts across China, comprising 581,804 participants and 7,452,131 recordings. The Vascular Health Study cohort supported ECG-PPG self-supervised pretraining, fine-tuning, and internal validation, while two external cohorts assessed associations with pulse wave velocity (PWV) and prevalent hypertension. Combining subject-aware learning with ECG-PPG contrastive alignment, the PPG-only model achieved subject-level mean absolute errors of 5.895 years (Pearson r=0.819) in the PWV cohort and 4.344 years (r=0.800) in the home blood pressure monitoring cohort. Aggregating repeated recordings further improved short-term stability. After adjustment for chronological age, heart age gap was associated with PWV (partial r=0.2627, P<0.001); each 1-year increase corresponded to 0.062 m/s higher PWV, and accelerated versus decelerated heart aging was associated with 0.91 m/s higher adjusted PWV. Each 1-SD increase in adjusted heart age gap was associated with greater odds of prevalent hypertension (OR 1.72, 95% CI 1.49-1.99), while the highest versus lowest quartile had an OR of 4.25. These findings support smartwatch PPG-derived heart age gap as a scalable digital biomarker of arterial stiffness and prevalent hypertension.
Abstract:Standardized echocardiography conclusions provide meaningful supervision for learning ECG representations of echocardiography-derived cardiac findings. Global ECG--text alignment may entangle modality-specific factors, while long-tailed finding distributions provide sparse positive supervision for low-prevalence conditions. We propose EchoBridge with Complementary Shared--Private Projection (CSPP) and Adaptive Prototype Boundary Calibration (APBC). CSPP maps each modality into shared and auxiliary private projections, reduces directional redundancy via within-modality orthogonality, and bidirectionally aligns normalized shared projections. APBC organizes the shared hypersphere with class-specific prototypes, training-frequency-adaptive angular margins, and spherical Riesz repulsion. We evaluate EchoBridge on EchoNext-Mini and independent PKUPH and SHTMU cohorts under four protocols: prompt-based inference without downstream classifier training, in-domain frozen linear probing, target-domain cross-center frozen linear probing, and source-only cross-center transfer, supplemented by finding-specific analyses. EchoBridge improves classifier-free AUROC, AUPRC, and F1 over the strongest baselines by 7.88, 5.61, and 4.54 points, respectively, and achieves the highest point estimates across all in-domain and target-domain probing budgets and both source-only transfer cohorts. Finding-specific analyses show gains for most conditions, including several low-prevalence valvular findings.
Abstract:Complete digital 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECGs) are essential for AI-enabled cardiovascular assessment, yet many clinical ECG records, particularly those digitized from ECG images, remain incomplete because of short display formats, incomplete waveform digitization, lead loss, or signal corruption. We developed ImputeECG, a mask-conditioned one-dimensional Transformer autoencoder that completes 12-lead, 10-s ECGs while retaining all observed samples. The model was trained on PTB-XL and evaluated on PTB-XL and CPSC2018 under simulated incomplete settings, with additional real-world validation in a 43,633-record Kailuan clinical cohort after ECG image digitization. Metrics were computed over originally missing regions, with analyses of morphology and downstream diagnostic utility. On PTB-XL, ImputeECG reduced missing-region MAE by 41.7-51.0% and MSE by 54.0-63.7% versus the strongest baseline, with lower errors in R-peak timing, RR interval, QRS duration, QT interval, and P-wave, QRS-complex, and T-wave reconstruction. On CPSC2018, ImputeECG reduced MAE by 49.7-51.9%, supporting external generalization. In downstream multi-label classification, ImputeECG restored performance to 92.28% AUROC and 33.88% AUPRC in the most incomplete PTB-XL setting, approaching complete-ECG performance. On CPSC2018, completed ECGs achieved 94.75-95.89% AUROC and 78.83-81.86% AUPRC across settings. In Kailuan, ECG completion improved zero-shot sex prediction AUROC from 82.6% to 85.8% and reduced age prediction MAE from 10.72 to 9.87 years after image-based ECG digitization. These findings support ECG completion as a practical strategy for converting incomplete ECG records into AI-ready 12-lead, 10-s digital signals and extending the usable scope of ECG archives for digital cardiac assessment.
Abstract:In multi-source ECG deployment, models may need to incorporate new data sources when earlier raw ECGs cannot be retained or replayed. Freezing a pretrained backbone and assigning each source an isolated classifier prevents parameter interference, but deployment still requires selecting an expert when source metadata are unavailable. We study this distinction through \ours{}, an incremental expert bank built on frozen 1024-dimensional ECGFounder features. Each arriving domain adds a balanced-softmax linear expert, while a lightweight router is fitted only on retained training features and domain labels from sources observed so far. A validation-calibrated margin rule fuses the two most likely experts instead of committing to a single routed expert. On CPSC, PTB-XL, Georgia, and Chapman-Shaoxing, source-aware expert selection reaches $0.7915\pm0.0036$ Macro-F1 and a matched offline independent-head reference reaches $0.7885\pm0.0009$, supporting strong source-aware expert retention. Without source IDs, an MLP router reaches $0.7756\pm0.0027$ and top-2 margin fusion reaches $0.7782\pm0.0022$. The top-2 gain over hard MLP routing is small ($+0.0026$), with a 95\% confidence interval from paired bootstrap that includes zero. Across three domain orders, the top-2-to-oracle gap remains $0.0111$--$0.0133$, identifying autonomous source inference as the main remaining bottleneck. No raw ECGs are replayed, but frozen training features are retained for router updates; the method is therefore not memory-free.
Abstract:Mammography is an essential tool for breast cancer detection, with millions of examinations conducted annually. However, publicly available high-quality mammography datasets for AI development remain limited in both scale and annotation richness, particularly regarding pathological subtype coverage and structured diagnostic reasoning annotations. In this paper, we present MammoExpert, the first mammography dataset with Chain-of-Thought reasoning annotations across three diagnostic phases: (i) primal observation, (ii) factual assessment, and (iii) diagnostic synthesis. Comprising 2,379 mammography images covering 67 WHO-classified histopathology subtypes, each exam provides 42 radiographic features annotated by nine senior radiologists. We evaluate its performance on the breast lesion classification task, demonstrating superior accuracy and reasonability compared to existing classification models. Combining public dataset CBIS-DDSM with MammoExpert yields 7.1\% classification accuracy improvement, while the training model to learn CoT reasoning achieves another 4\% gain on the MammoExpert test set. Similar improvements are observed on INBreast and Vindr datasets, where the full approach yields accuracy gains of 6.9\% and 6.7\%, respectively. MammoExpert can serve as a benchmark for interpretable breast lesion diagnosis through explicit CoT reasoning.
Abstract:Granger Causal Discovery (GCD) is fundamental for analyzing temporal dependencies in complex systems. However, existing neural GCD methods predominantly rely on a "one-size-fits-all" paradigm, struggling to capture distribution shifts and dynamic regime changes inherent in real-world time series. This often leads to entangled representations and spurious causal graphs. In this paper, we propose CausalMoE, a billion-scale multimodal Granger causal foundation model that explicitly models patch-level heterogeneity. CausalMoE introduces a Pattern-Routed Mixture of Heterogeneous Experts, which dynamically identifies latent temporal patterns and routes patches to specialized domain experts, effectively decoupling regime-specific mechanisms from shared dynamics. To ensure interpretable graph recovery, we design a Causality-Aware Self-Attention mechanism operating across variables, yielding sparse Granger causal graphs via proximal optimization. Furthermore, CausalMoE is the first to integrate LLMs and VLMs to align numerical signals with textual and visual priors, regularizing causal estimation in complex scenarios. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CausalMoE establishes a new state-of-the-art on fully supervised benchmarks, while effectively generalizing to few-shot settings where traditional methods fail.
Abstract:Structural heart disease (SHD) is a primary driver of heart failure and cardiovascular mortality, yet early detection remains constrained by the limited accessibility of echocardiography. While single-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is ubiquitous through wearables, existing AI screening models often depend on 12-lead inputs, generalize poorly across institutions, or require massive, condition-specific labeled datasets. Recent work has demonstrated the feasibility of contrastive pre-training between single-lead ECGs and echocardiography reports within a single health system. Here, we present AnyECG-Echo, a framework that advance this paradigm toward clinical translation through three key developments: (1) evaluation in a geographically independent external cohort (n = 16,621); (2) diagnostic coverage of 13 fine-grained SHD subtypes spanning myocardial, chamber, valvular, and great-vessel pathologies; and (3) dual-axis mechanistic interpretability combining electrophysiology-grounded Shapley attribution with emergent correlations to quantitative measurements. Across validation cohorts totaling n = 25,222, the model demonstrated high AUROC for high-impact subtypes, including reduced left ventricular systolic function (AUROC 0.866-0.924), global heart enlargement (0.877-0.931), and mitral stenosis (0.836-0.906). Furthermore, we successfully validated the alignment of model outputs with established medical physiological traits, thereby enhancing interpretability. Notably, we discovered that AnyECG-Echo's outputs function as physiologically grounded digital biomarkers that accurately track objective metrics such as LVEF and myocardial wall thickness. These findings prove that wearable single-lead ECGs can effectively detect fine-grained structural heart disease, offering a practical solution for population-scale screening.
Abstract:Medical time-series data captures the dynamic progression of patient conditions, playing a vital role in modern clinical decision support systems. However, real-world clinical data is highly heterogeneous and inconsistently formatted. Furthermore, existing machine learning tools often have steep learning curves and fragmented workflows. Consequently, a significant gap remains between cutting-edge AI technologies and clinical application. To address this, we introduce mtslearn, an end-to-end integrated toolkit specifically designed for medical time-series data. First, the framework provides a unified data interface that automates the parsing and alignment of wide, long, and flat data formats. This design significantly reduces data cleaning overhead. Building on this, mtslearn provides a complete pipeline from data reading and feature engineering to model training and result visualization. Furthermore, it offers flexible interfaces for custom algorithms. Through a modular design, mtslearn simplifies complex data engineering tasks into a few lines of code. This significantly lowers the barrier to entry for clinicians with limited programming experience, empowering them to focus more on exploring medical hypotheses and accelerating the translation of advanced algorithms into real-world clinical practice. mtslearn is publicly available at https://github.com/PKUDigitalHealth/mtslearn.
Abstract:Sleep disturbances are tightly linked to cardiovascular risk, yet polysomnography (PSG)-the clinical reference standard-remains resource-intensive and poorly suited for multi-night, home-based, and large-scale screening. Single-lead electrocardiography (ECG), already ubiquitous in Holter and patch-based devices, enables comfortable long-term acquisition and encodes sleep-relevant physiology through autonomic modulation and cardiorespiratory coupling. Here, we present a proof-of-concept Holter-to-Sleep framework that, using single-lead ECG as the sole input, jointly supports overnight sleep phenotyping and Holter-grade cardiac phenotyping within the same recording, and further provides an explicit analytic pathway for scalable cardio-sleep association studies. The framework is developed and validated on a pooled multi-center PSG sample of 10,439 studies spanning four public cohorts, with independent external evaluation to assess cross-cohort generalizability, and additional real-world feasibility assessment using overnight patch-ECG recordings via objective-subjective consistency analysis. This integrated design enables robust extraction of clinically meaningful overnight sleep phenotypes under heterogeneous populations and acquisition conditions, and facilitates systematic linkage between ECG-derived sleep metrics and arrhythmia-related Holter phenotypes. Collectively, the Holter-to-Sleep paradigm offers a practical foundation for low-burden, home-deployable, and scalable cardio-sleep monitoring and research beyond traditional PSG-centric workflows.
Abstract:Hyperkalemia is a life-threatening electrolyte disorder that is common in patients with chronic kidney disease and heart failure, yet frequent monitoring remains difficult outside hospital settings. We developed and validated Pocket-K, a single-lead AI-ECG system initialized from the ECGFounder foundation model for non-invasive hyperkalemia screening and handheld deployment. In this multicentre observational study using routinely collected clinical ECG and laboratory data, 34,439 patients contributed 62,290 ECG--potassium pairs. Lead I data were used to fine-tune the model. Data from Peking University People's Hospital were divided into development and temporal validation sets, and data from The Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University served as an independent external validation set. Hyperkalemia was defined as venous serum potassium > 5.5 mmol/L. Pocket-K achieved AUROCs of 0.936 in internal testing, 0.858 in temporal validation, and 0.808 in external validation. For KDIGO-defined moderate-to-severe hyperkalemia (serum potassium >= 6.0 mmol/L), AUROCs increased to 0.940 and 0.861 in the temporal and external sets, respectively. External negative predictive value exceeded 99.3%. Model-predicted high risk below the hyperkalemia threshold was more common in patients with chronic kidney disease and heart failure. A handheld prototype enabled near-real-time inference, supporting future prospective evaluation in native handheld and wearable settings.