Dish-TS: A General Paradigm for Alleviating Distribution Shift in Time Series Forecasting

The distribution shift in Time Series Forecasting (TSF), indicating series distribution changes over time, largely hinders the performance of TSF models. Existing works towards distribution shift in time series are mostly limited in the quantification of distribution and, more importantly, overlook the potential shift between lookback and horizon windows. To address above challenges, we systematically summarize the distribution shift in TSF into two categories. Regarding lookback windows as input-space and horizon windows as output-space, there exist (i) intra-space shift, that the distribution within the input-space keeps shifted over time, and (ii) inter-space shift, that the distribution is shifted between input-space and output-space. Then we introduce, Dish-TS, a general neural paradigm for alleviating distribution shift in TSF. Specifically, for better distribution estimation, we propose the coefficient net (CONET), which can be any neural architectures, to map input sequences into learnable distribution coefficients. To relieve intra-space and inter-space shift, we organize Dish-TS as a Dual-CONET framework to separately learn the distribution of input- and output-space, which naturally captures the distribution difference of two spaces. In addition, we introduce a more effective training strategy for intractable CONET learning. Finally, we conduct extensive experiments on several datasets coupled with different state-of-the-art forecasting models. Experimental results show Dish-TS consistently boosts them with a more than 20% average improvement. Code is available.

Multi-View MOOC Quality Evaluation via Information-Aware Graph Representation Learning

In this paper, we study the problem of MOOC quality evaluation which is essential for improving the course materials, promoting students' learning efficiency, and benefiting user services. While achieving promising performances, current works still suffer from the complicated interactions and relationships of entities in MOOC platforms. To tackle the challenges, we formulate the problem as a course representation learning task-based and develop an Information-aware Graph Representation Learning(IaGRL) for multi-view MOOC quality evaluation. Specifically, We first build a MOOC Heterogeneous Network (HIN) to represent the interactions and relationships among entities in MOOC platforms. And then we decompose the MOOC HIN into multiple single-relation graphs based on meta-paths to depict the multi-view semantics of courses. The course representation learning can be further converted to a multi-view graph representation task. Different from traditional graph representation learning, the learned course representations are expected to match the following three types of validity: (1) the agreement on expressiveness between the raw course portfolio and the learned course representations; (2) the consistency between the representations in each view and the unified representations; (3) the alignment between the course and MOOC platform representations. Therefore, we propose to exploit mutual information for preserving the validity of course representations. We conduct extensive experiments over real-world MOOC datasets to demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed method.

Toward Efficient Automated Feature Engineering

Automated Feature Engineering (AFE) refers to automatically generate and select optimal feature sets for downstream tasks, which has achieved great success in real-world applications. Current AFE methods mainly focus on improving the effectiveness of the produced features, but ignoring the low-efficiency issue for large-scale deployment. Therefore, in this work, we propose a generic framework to improve the efficiency of AFE. Specifically, we construct the AFE pipeline based on reinforcement learning setting, where each feature is assigned an agent to perform feature transformation \com{and} selection, and the evaluation score of the produced features in downstream tasks serve as the reward to update the policy. We improve the efficiency of AFE in two perspectives. On the one hand, we develop a Feature Pre-Evaluation (FPE) Model to reduce the sample size and feature size that are two main factors on undermining the efficiency of feature evaluation. On the other hand, we devise a two-stage policy training strategy by running FPE on the pre-evaluation task as the initialization of the policy to avoid training policy from scratch. We conduct comprehensive experiments on 36 datasets in terms of both classification and regression tasks. The results show $2.9\%$ higher performance in average and 2x higher computational efficiency comparing to state-of-the-art AFE methods.

Boosting Urban Traffic Speed Prediction via Integrating Implicit Spatial Correlations

Urban traffic speed prediction aims to estimate the future traffic speed for improving the urban transportation services. Enormous efforts have been made on exploiting spatial correlations and temporal dependencies of traffic speed evolving patterns by leveraging explicit spatial relations (geographical proximity) through pre-defined geographical structures ({\it e.g.}, region grids or road networks). While achieving promising results, current traffic speed prediction methods still suffer from ignoring implicit spatial correlations (interactions), which cannot be captured by grid/graph convolutions. To tackle the challenge, we propose a generic model for enabling the current traffic speed prediction methods to preserve implicit spatial correlations. Specifically, we first develop a Dual-Transformer architecture, including a Spatial Transformer and a Temporal Transformer. The Spatial Transformer automatically learns the implicit spatial correlations across the road segments beyond the boundary of geographical structures, while the Temporal Transformer aims to capture the dynamic changing patterns of the implicit spatial correlations. Then, to further integrate both explicit and implicit spatial correlations, we propose a distillation-style learning framework, in which the existing traffic speed prediction methods are considered as the teacher model, and the proposed Dual-Transformer architectures are considered as the student model. The extensive experiments over three real-world datasets indicate significant improvements of our proposed framework over the existing methods.

Graph Soft-Contrastive Learning via Neighborhood Ranking

Graph contrastive learning (GCL) has been an emerging solution for graph self-supervised learning. The core principle of GCL is to reduce the distance between samples in the positive view, but increase the distance between samples in the negative view. While achieving promising performances, current GCL methods still suffer from two limitations: (1) uncontrollable validity of augmentation, that graph perturbation may produce invalid views against semantics and feature-topology correspondence of graph data; and (2) unreliable binary contrastive justification, that the positiveness and negativeness of the constructed views are difficult to be determined for non-euclidean graph data. To tackle the above limitations, we propose a new contrastive learning paradigm for graphs, namely Graph Soft-Contrastive Learning (GSCL), that conducts contrastive learning in a finer-granularity via ranking neighborhoods without any augmentations and binary contrastive justification. GSCL is built upon the fundamental assumption of graph proximity that connected neighbors are more similar than far-distant nodes. Specifically, we develop pair-wise and list-wise Gated Ranking infoNCE Loss functions to preserve the relative ranking relationship in the neighborhood. Moreover, as the neighborhood size exponentially expands with more hops considered, we propose neighborhood sampling strategies to improve learning efficiency. The extensive experimental results show that our proposed GSCL can consistently achieve state-of-the-art performances on various public datasets with comparable practical complexity to GCL.

Hierarchical Interdisciplinary Topic Detection Model for Research Proposal Classification

The peer merit review of research proposals has been the major mechanism for deciding grant awards. However, research proposals have become increasingly interdisciplinary. It has been a longstanding challenge to assign interdisciplinary proposals to appropriate reviewers, so proposals are fairly evaluated. One of the critical steps in reviewer assignment is to generate accurate interdisciplinary topic labels for proposal-reviewer matching. Existing systems mainly collect topic labels manually generated by principal investigators. However, such human-reported labels can be non-accurate, incomplete, labor intensive, and time costly. What role can AI play in developing a fair and precise proposal reviewer assignment system? In this study, we collaborate with the National Science Foundation of China to address the task of automated interdisciplinary topic path detection. For this purpose, we develop a deep Hierarchical Interdisciplinary Research Proposal Classification Network (HIRPCN). Specifically, we first propose a hierarchical transformer to extract the textual semantic information of proposals. We then design an interdisciplinary graph and leverage GNNs for learning representations of each discipline in order to extract interdisciplinary knowledge. After extracting the semantic and interdisciplinary knowledge, we design a level-wise prediction component to fuse the two types of knowledge representations and detect interdisciplinary topic paths for each proposal. We conduct extensive experiments and expert evaluations on three real-world datasets to demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed model.

Semi-supervised Drifted Stream Learning with Short Lookback

In many scenarios, 1) data streams are generated in real time; 2) labeled data are expensive and only limited labels are available in the beginning; 3) real-world data is not always i.i.d. and data drift over time gradually; 4) the storage of historical streams is limited and model updating can only be achieved based on a very short lookback window. This learning setting limits the applicability and availability of many Machine Learning (ML) algorithms. We generalize the learning task under such setting as a semi-supervised drifted stream learning with short lookback problem (SDSL). SDSL imposes two under-addressed challenges on existing methods in semi-supervised learning, continuous learning, and domain adaptation: 1) robust pseudo-labeling under gradual shifts and 2) anti-forgetting adaptation with short lookback. To tackle these challenges, we propose a principled and generic generation-replay framework to solve SDSL. The framework is able to accomplish: 1) robust pseudo-labeling in the generation step; 2) anti-forgetting adaption in the replay step. To achieve robust pseudo-labeling, we develop a novel pseudo-label classification model to leverage supervised knowledge of previously labeled data, unsupervised knowledge of new data, and, structure knowledge of invariant label semantics. To achieve adaptive anti-forgetting model replay, we propose to view the anti-forgetting adaptation task as a flat region search problem. We propose a novel minimax game-based replay objective function to solve the flat region search problem and develop an effective optimization solver. Finally, we present extensive experiments to demonstrate our framework can effectively address the task of anti-forgetting learning in drifted streams with short lookback.

Reinforced Imitative Graph Learning for Mobile User Profiling

Mobile user profiling refers to the efforts of extracting users' characteristics from mobile activities. In order to capture the dynamic varying of user characteristics for generating effective user profiling, we propose an imitation-based mobile user profiling framework. Considering the objective of teaching an autonomous agent to imitate user mobility based on the user's profile, the user profile is the most accurate when the agent can perfectly mimic the user behavior patterns. The profiling framework is formulated into a reinforcement learning task, where an agent is a next-visit planner, an action is a POI that a user will visit next, and the state of the environment is a fused representation of a user and spatial entities. An event in which a user visits a POI will construct a new state, which helps the agent predict users' mobility more accurately. In the framework, we introduce a spatial Knowledge Graph (KG) to characterize the semantics of user visits over connected spatial entities. Additionally, we develop a mutual-updating strategy to quantify the state that evolves over time. Along these lines, we develop a reinforcement imitative graph learning framework for mobile user profiling. Finally, we conduct extensive experiments to demonstrate the superiority of our approach.

Who Should Review Your Proposal? Interdisciplinary Topic Path Detection for Research Proposals

The peer merit review of research proposals has been the major mechanism to decide grant awards. Nowadays, research proposals have become increasingly interdisciplinary. It has been a longstanding challenge to assign proposals to appropriate reviewers. One of the critical steps in reviewer assignment is to generate accurate interdisciplinary topic labels for proposals. Existing systems mainly collect topic labels manually reported by discipline investigators. However, such human-reported labels can be non-accurate and incomplete. What role can AI play in developing a fair and precise proposal review system? In this evidential study, we collaborate with the National Science Foundation of China to address the task of automated interdisciplinary topic path detection. For this purpose, we develop a deep Hierarchical Interdisciplinary Research Proposal Classification Network (HIRPCN). We first propose a hierarchical transformer to extract the textual semantic information of proposals. We then design an interdisciplinary graph and leverage GNNs to learn representations of each discipline in order to extract interdisciplinary knowledge. After extracting the semantic and interdisciplinary knowledge, we design a level-wise prediction component to fuse the two types of knowledge representations and detect interdisciplinary topic paths for each proposal. We conduct extensive experiments and expert evaluations on three real-world datasets to demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed model.

Automated Urban Planning for Reimagining City Configuration via Adversarial Learning: Quantification, Generation, and Evaluation

Urban planning refers to the efforts of designing land-use configurations given a region. However, to obtain effective urban plans, urban experts have to spend much time and effort analyzing sophisticated planning constraints based on domain knowledge and personal experiences. To alleviate the heavy burden of them and produce consistent urban plans, we want to ask that can AI accelerate the urban planning process, so that human planners only adjust generated configurations for specific needs? The recent advance of deep generative models provides a possible answer, which inspires us to automate urban planning from an adversarial learning perspective. However, three major challenges arise: 1) how to define a quantitative land-use configuration? 2) how to automate configuration planning? 3) how to evaluate the quality of a generated configuration? In this paper, we systematically address the three challenges. Specifically, 1) We define a land-use configuration as a longitude-latitude-channel tensor. 2) We formulate the automated urban planning problem into a task of deep generative learning. The objective is to generate a configuration tensor given the surrounding contexts of a target region. 3) We provide quantitative evaluation metrics and conduct extensive experiments to demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework.