Bridge the Performance Gap in Peak-hour Series Forecasting: The Seq2Peak Framework

Peak-Hour Series Forecasting (PHSF) is a crucial yet underexplored task in various domains. While state-of-the-art deep learning models excel in regular Time Series Forecasting (TSF), they struggle to achieve comparable results in PHSF. This can be attributed to the challenges posed by the high degree of non-stationarity in peak-hour series, which makes direct forecasting more difficult than standard TSF. Additionally, manually extracting the maximum value from regular forecasting results leads to suboptimal performance due to models minimizing the mean deficit. To address these issues, this paper presents Seq2Peak, a novel framework designed specifically for PHSF tasks, bridging the performance gap observed in TSF models. Seq2Peak offers two key components: the CyclicNorm pipeline to mitigate the non-stationarity issue, and a simple yet effective trainable-parameter-free peak-hour decoder with a hybrid loss function that utilizes both the original series and peak-hour series as supervised signals. Extensive experimentation on publicly available time series datasets demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed framework, yielding a remarkable average relative improvement of 37.7\% across four real-world datasets for both transformer- and non-transformer-based TSF models.

BiTe-GCN: A New GCN Architecture via BidirectionalConvolution of Topology and Features on Text-Rich Networks

Graph convolutional networks (GCNs), aiming to integrate high-order neighborhood information through stacked graph convolution layers, have demonstrated remarkable power in many network analysis tasks. However, topological limitations, including over-smoothing and local topology homophily, limit its capability to represent networks. Existing studies only perform feature convolution on network topology, which inevitably introduces unbalance between topology and features. Considering that in real world, the information network consists of not only the node-level citation information but also the local text-sequence information. We propose BiTe-GCN, a novel GCN architecture with bidirectional convolution of both topology and features on text-rich networks to solve these limitations. We first transform the original text-rich network into an augmented bi-typed heterogeneous network, capturing both the global node-level information and the local text-sequence information from texts. We then introduce discriminative convolution mechanisms to performs convolutions of both topology and features simultaneously. Extensive experiments on text-rich networks demonstrate that our new architecture outperforms state-of-the-art by a breakout improvement. Moreover, this architecture can also be applied to several e-commerce searching scenes such as JD\ searching. The experiments on the JD dataset validate the superiority of the proposed architecture over the related methods.

Learning to Communicate: A Machine Learning Framework for Heterogeneous Multi-Agent Robotic Systems

We present a machine learning framework for multi-agent systems to learn both the optimal policy for maximizing the rewards and the encoding of the high dimensional visual observation. The encoding is useful for sharing local visual observations with other agents under communication resource constraints. The actor-encoder encodes the raw images and chooses an action based on local observations and messages sent by the other agents. The machine learning agent generates not only an actuator command to the physical device, but also a communication message to the other agents. We formulate a reinforcement learning problem, which extends the action space to consider the communication action as well. The feasibility of the reinforcement learning framework is demonstrated using a 3D simulation environment with two collaborating agents. The environment provides realistic visual observations to be used and shared between the two agents.