Optimal No-Regret Learning in General Games: Bounded Regret with Unbounded Step-Sizes via Clairvoyant MWU

In this paper we solve the problem of no-regret learning in general games. Specifically, we provide a simple and practical algorithm that achieves constant regret with fixed step-sizes. The cumulative regret of our algorithm provably decreases linearly as the step-size increases. Our findings depart from the prevailing paradigm that vanishing step-sizes are a prerequisite for low regret as championed by all state-of-the-art methods to date. We shift away from this paradigm by defining a novel algorithm that we call Clairvoyant Multiplicative Weights Updates (CMWU). CMWU is Multiplicative Weights Updates (MWU) equipped with a mental model (jointly shared across all agents) about the state of the system in its next period. Each agent records its mixed strategy, i.e., its belief about what it expects to play in the next period, in this shared mental model which is internally updated using MWU without any changes to the real-world behavior up until it equilibrates, thus marking its consistency with the next day's real-world outcome. It is then and only then that agents take action in the real-world, effectively doing so with the "full knowledge" of the state of the system on the next day, i.e., they are clairvoyant. CMWU effectively acts as MWU with one day look-ahead, achieving bounded regret. At a technical level, we establish that self-consistent mental models exist for any choice of step-sizes and provide bounds on the step-size under which their uniqueness and linear-time computation are guaranteed via contraction mapping arguments. Our arguments extend well beyond normal-form games with little effort.

Online Learning in Periodic Zero-Sum Games

A seminal result in game theory is von Neumann's minmax theorem, which states that zero-sum games admit an essentially unique equilibrium solution. Classical learning results build on this theorem to show that online no-regret dynamics converge to an equilibrium in a time-average sense in zero-sum games. In the past several years, a key research direction has focused on characterizing the day-to-day behavior of such dynamics. General results in this direction show that broad classes of online learning dynamics are cyclic, and formally Poincar\'{e} recurrent, in zero-sum games. We analyze the robustness of these online learning behaviors in the case of periodic zero-sum games with a time-invariant equilibrium. This model generalizes the usual repeated game formulation while also being a realistic and natural model of a repeated competition between players that depends on exogenous environmental variations such as time-of-day effects, week-to-week trends, and seasonality. Interestingly, time-average convergence may fail even in the simplest such settings, in spite of the equilibrium being fixed. In contrast, using novel analysis methods, we show that Poincar\'{e} recurrence provably generalizes despite the complex, non-autonomous nature of these dynamical systems.

Constants of Motion: The Antidote to Chaos in Optimization and Game Dynamics

Several recent works in online optimization and game dynamics have established strong negative complexity results including the formal emergence of instability and chaos even in small such settings, e.g., $2\times 2$ games. These results motivate the following question: Which methodological tools can guarantee the regularity of such dynamics and how can we apply them in standard settings of interest such as discrete-time first-order optimization dynamics? We show how proving the existence of invariant functions, i.e., constant of motions, is a fundamental contribution in this direction and establish a plethora of such positive results (e.g. gradient descent, multiplicative weights update, alternating gradient descent and manifold gradient descent) both in optimization as well as in game settings. At a technical level, for some conservation laws we provide an explicit and concise closed form, whereas for other ones we present non-constructive proofs using tools from dynamical systems.

Evolutionary Dynamics and $Φ$-Regret Minimization in Games

Regret has been established as a foundational concept in online learning, and likewise has important applications in the analysis of learning dynamics in games. Regret quantifies the difference between a learner's performance against a baseline in hindsight. It is well-known that regret-minimizing algorithms converge to certain classes of equilibria in games; however, traditional forms of regret used in game theory predominantly consider baselines that permit deviations to deterministic actions or strategies. In this paper, we revisit our understanding of regret from the perspective of deviations over partitions of the full \emph{mixed} strategy space (i.e., probability distributions over pure strategies), under the lens of the previously-established $\Phi$-regret framework, which provides a continuum of stronger regret measures. Importantly, $\Phi$-regret enables learning agents to consider deviations from and to mixed strategies, generalizing several existing notions of regret such as external, internal, and swap regret, and thus broadening the insights gained from regret-based analysis of learning algorithms. We prove here that the well-studied evolutionary learning algorithm of replicator dynamics (RD) seamlessly minimizes the strongest possible form of $\Phi$-regret in generic $2 \times 2$ games, without any modification of the underlying algorithm itself. We subsequently conduct experiments validating our theoretical results in a suite of 144 $2 \times 2$ games wherein RD exhibits a diverse set of behaviors. We conclude by providing empirical evidence of $\Phi$-regret minimization by RD in some larger games, hinting at further opportunity for $\Phi$-regret based study of such algorithms from both a theoretical and empirical perspective.

Exploration-Exploitation in Multi-Agent Competition: Convergence with Bounded Rationality

The interplay between exploration and exploitation in competitive multi-agent learning is still far from being well understood. Motivated by this, we study smooth Q-learning, a prototypical learning model that explicitly captures the balance between game rewards and exploration costs. We show that Q-learning always converges to the unique quantal-response equilibrium (QRE), the standard solution concept for games under bounded rationality, in weighted zero-sum polymatrix games with heterogeneous learning agents using positive exploration rates. Complementing recent results about convergence in weighted potential games, we show that fast convergence of Q-learning in competitive settings is obtained regardless of the number of agents and without any need for parameter fine-tuning. As showcased by our experiments in network zero-sum games, these theoretical results provide the necessary guarantees for an algorithmic approach to the currently open problem of equilibrium selection in competitive multi-agent settings.

Online Optimization in Games via Control Theory: Connecting Regret, Passivity and Poincaré Recurrence

We present a novel control-theoretic understanding of online optimization and learning in games, via the notion of passivity. Passivity is a fundamental concept in control theory, which abstracts energy conservation and dissipation in physical systems. It has become a standard tool in analysis of general feedback systems, to which game dynamics belong. Our starting point is to show that all continuous-time Follow-the-Regularized-Leader (FTRL) dynamics, which include the well-known Replicator Dynamic, are lossless, i.e. it is passive with no energy dissipation. Interestingly, we prove that passivity implies bounded regret, connecting two fundamental primitives of control theory and online optimization. The observation of energy conservation in FTRL inspires us to present a family of lossless learning dynamics, each of which has an underlying energy function with a simple gradient structure. This family is closed under convex combination; as an immediate corollary, any convex combination of FTRL dynamics is lossless and thus has bounded regret. This allows us to extend the framework of Fox and Shamma [Games, 2013] to prove not just global asymptotic stability results for game dynamics, but Poincar\'e recurrence results as well. Intuitively, when a lossless game (e.g. graphical constant-sum game) is coupled with lossless learning dynamics, their feedback interconnection is also lossless, which results in a pendulum-like energy-preserving recurrent behavior, generalizing the results of Piliouras and Shamma [SODA, 2014] and Mertikopoulos, Papadimitriou and Piliouras [SODA, 2018].

Efficient Online Learning for Dynamic k-Clustering

We study dynamic clustering problems from the perspective of online learning. We consider an online learning problem, called \textit{Dynamic $k$-Clustering}, in which $k$ centers are maintained in a metric space over time (centers may change positions) such as a dynamically changing set of $r$ clients is served in the best possible way. The connection cost at round $t$ is given by the \textit{$p$-norm} of the vector consisting of the distance of each client to its closest center at round $t$, for some $p\geq 1$ or $p = \infty$. We present a \textit{$\Theta\left( \min(k,r) \right)$-regret} polynomial-time online learning algorithm and show that, under some well-established computational complexity conjectures, \textit{constant-regret} cannot be achieved in polynomial-time. In addition to the efficient solution of Dynamic $k$-Clustering, our work contributes to the long line of research on combinatorial online learning.

Global Convergence of Multi-Agent Policy Gradient in Markov Potential Games

Potential games are arguably one of the most important and widely studied classes of normal form games. They define the archetypal setting of multi-agent coordination as all agent utilities are perfectly aligned with each other via a common potential function. Can this intuitive framework be transplanted in the setting of Markov Games? What are the similarities and differences between multi-agent coordination with and without state dependence? We present a novel definition of Markov Potential Games (MPG) that generalizes prior attempts at capturing complex stateful multi-agent coordination. Counter-intuitively, insights from normal-form potential games do not carry over as MPGs can consist of settings where state-games can be zero-sum games. In the opposite direction, Markov games where every state-game is a potential game are not necessarily MPGs. Nevertheless, MPGs showcase standard desirable properties such as the existence of deterministic Nash policies. In our main technical result, we prove fast convergence of independent policy gradient to Nash policies by adapting recent gradient dominance property arguments developed for single agent MDPs to multi-agent learning settings.