Accurate and Efficient Hybrid-Ensemble Atmospheric Data Assimilation in Latent Space with Uncertainty Quantification

Data assimilation (DA) combines model forecasts and observations to estimate the optimal state of the atmosphere with its uncertainty, providing initial conditions for weather prediction and reanalyses for climate research. Yet, existing traditional and machine-learning DA methods struggle to achieve accuracy, efficiency and uncertainty quantification simultaneously. Here, we propose HLOBA (Hybrid-Ensemble Latent Observation-Background Assimilation), a three-dimensional hybrid-ensemble DA method that operates in an atmospheric latent space learned via an autoencoder (AE). HLOBA maps both model forecasts and observations into a shared latent space via the AE encoder and an end-to-end Observation-to-Latent-space mapping network (O2Lnet), respectively, and fuses them through a Bayesian update with weights inferred from time-lagged ensemble forecasts. Both idealized and real-observation experiments demonstrate that HLOBA matches dynamically constrained four-dimensional DA methods in both analysis and forecast skill, while achieving end-to-end inference-level efficiency and theoretical flexibility applies to any forecasting model. Moreover, by exploiting the error decorrelation property of latent variables, HLOBA enables element-wise uncertainty estimates for its latent analysis and propagates them to model space via the decoder. Idealized experiments show that this uncertainty highlights large-error regions and captures their seasonal variability.

Baichuan 2: Open Large-scale Language Models

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable performance on a variety of natural language tasks based on just a few examples of natural language instructions, reducing the need for extensive feature engineering. However, most powerful LLMs are closed-source or limited in their capability for languages other than English. In this technical report, we present Baichuan 2, a series of large-scale multilingual language models containing 7 billion and 13 billion parameters, trained from scratch, on 2.6 trillion tokens. Baichuan 2 matches or outperforms other open-source models of similar size on public benchmarks like MMLU, CMMLU, GSM8K, and HumanEval. Furthermore, Baichuan 2 excels in vertical domains such as medicine and law. We will release all pre-training model checkpoints to benefit the research community in better understanding the training dynamics of Baichuan 2.

BeaverTails: Towards Improved Safety Alignment of LLM via a Human-Preference Dataset

In this paper, we introduce the BeaverTails dataset, aimed at fostering research on safety alignment in large language models (LLMs). This dataset uniquely separates annotations of helpfulness and harmlessness for question-answering pairs, thus offering distinct perspectives on these crucial attributes. In total, we have compiled safety meta-labels for 30,207 question-answer (QA) pairs and gathered 30,144 pairs of expert comparison data for both the helpfulness and harmlessness metrics. We further showcase applications of BeaverTails in content moderation and reinforcement learning with human feedback (RLHF), emphasizing its potential for practical safety measures in LLMs. We believe this dataset provides vital resources for the community, contributing towards the safe development and deployment of LLMs. Our project page is available at the following URL: https://sites.google.com/view/pku-beavertails.