ControlMTR: Control-Guided Motion Transformer with Scene-Compliant Intention Points for Feasible Motion Prediction

The ability to accurately predict feasible multimodal future trajectories of surrounding traffic participants is crucial for behavior planning in autonomous vehicles. The Motion Transformer (MTR), a state-of-the-art motion prediction method, alleviated mode collapse and instability during training and enhanced overall prediction performance by replacing conventional dense future endpoints with a small set of fixed prior motion intention points. However, the fixed prior intention points make the MTR multi-modal prediction distribution over-scattered and infeasible in many scenarios. In this paper, we propose the ControlMTR framework to tackle the aforementioned issues by generating scene-compliant intention points and additionally predicting driving control commands, which are then converted into trajectories by a simple kinematic model with soft constraints. These control-generated trajectories will guide the directly predicted trajectories by an auxiliary loss function. Together with our proposed scene-compliant intention points, they can effectively restrict the prediction distribution within the road boundaries and suppress infeasible off-road predictions while enhancing prediction performance. Remarkably, without resorting to additional model ensemble techniques, our method surpasses the baseline MTR model across all performance metrics, achieving notable improvements of 5.22% in SoftmAP and a 4.15% reduction in MissRate. Our approach notably results in a 41.85% reduction in the cross-boundary rate of the MTR, effectively ensuring that the prediction distribution is confined within the drivable area.

Online Multi-Target Tracking for Maneuvering Vehicles in Dynamic Road Context

Target detection and tracking provides crucial information for motion planning and decision making in autonomous driving. This paper proposes an online multi-object tracking (MOT) framework with tracking-by-detection for maneuvering vehicles under motion uncertainty in dynamic road context. We employ a point cloud based vehicle detector to provide real-time 3D bounding boxes of detected vehicles and conduct the online bipartite optimization of the maneuver-orientated data association between the detections and the targets. Kalman Filter (KF) is adopted as the backbone for multi-object tracking. In order to entertain the maneuvering uncertainty, we leverage the interacting multiple model (IMM) approach to obtain the \textit{a-posterior} residual as the cost for each association hypothesis, which is calculated with the hybrid model posterior (after mode-switch). Road context is integrated to conduct adjustments of the time varying transition probability matrix (TPM) of the IMM to regulate the maneuvers according to road segments and traffic sign/signals, with which the data association is performed in a unified spatial-temporal fashion. Experiments show our framework is able to effectively track multiple vehicles with maneuvers subject to dynamic road context and localization drift.