Times Series Forecasting for Urban Building Energy Consumption Based on Graph Convolutional Network

The world is increasingly urbanizing and the building industry accounts for more than 40% of energy consumption in the United States. To improve urban sustainability, many cities adopt ambitious energy-saving strategies through retrofitting existing buildings and constructing new communities. In this situation, an accurate urban building energy model (UBEM) is the foundation to support the design of energy-efficient communities. However, current UBEM are limited in their abilities to capture the inter-building interdependency due to their dynamic and non-linear characteristics. Those models either ignored or oversimplified these building interdependencies, which can substantially affect the accuracy of urban energy modeling. To fill the research gap, this study proposes a novel data-driven UBEM synthesizing the solar-based building interdependency and spatial-temporal graph convolutional network (ST-GCN) algorithm. Especially, we took a university campus located in downtown Atlanta as an example to predict the hourly energy consumption. Furthermore, we tested the feasibility of the proposed model by comparing the performance of the ST-GCN model with other common time-series machine learning models. The results indicate that the ST-GCN model overall outperforms all others. In addition, the physical knowledge embedded in the model is well interpreted. After discussion, it is found that data-driven models integrated engineering or physical knowledge can significantly improve the urban building energy simulation.

You Can Still Achieve Fairness Without Sensitive Attributes: Exploring Biases in Non-Sensitive Features

Though machine learning models are achieving great success, ex-tensive studies have exposed their disadvantage of inheriting latent discrimination and societal bias from the training data, which hinders their adoption on high-state applications. Thus, many efforts have been taken for developing fair machine learning models. Most of them require that sensitive attributes are available during training to learn fair models. However, in many real-world applications, it is usually infeasible to obtain the sensitive attribute due to privacy or legal issues, which challenges existing fair classifiers. Though the sensitive attribute of each data sample is unknown, we observe that there are usually some non-sensitive features in the training data that are highly correlated with sensitive attributes, which can be used to alleviate the bias. Therefore, in this paper, we study a novel problem of exploring features that are highly correlated with sensitive attributes for learning fair and accurate classifier without sensitive attributes. We theoretically show that by minimizing the correlation between these related features and model prediction, we can learn a fair classifier. Based on this motivation, we propose a novel framework which simultaneously uses these related features for accurate prediction and regularizing the model to be fair. In addition, the model can dynamically adjust the importance weight of each related feature to balance the contribution of the feature on model classification and fairness. Experimental results on real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model for learning fair models with high classification accuracy.

Semi-Supervised Graph-to-Graph Translation

Graph translation is very promising research direction and has a wide range of potential real-world applications. Graph is a natural structure for representing relationship and interactions, and its translation can encode the intrinsic semantic changes of relationships in different scenarios. However, despite its seemingly wide possibilities, usage of graph translation so far is still quite limited. One important reason is the lack of high-quality paired dataset. For example, we can easily build graphs representing peoples' shared music tastes and those representing co-purchase behavior, but a well paired dataset is much more expensive to obtain. Therefore, in this work, we seek to provide a graph translation model in the semi-supervised scenario. This task is non-trivial, because graph translation involves changing the semantics in the form of link topology and node attributes, which is difficult to capture due to the combinatory nature and inter-dependencies. Furthermore, due to the high order of freedom in graph's composition, it is difficult to assure the generalization ability of trained models. These difficulties impose a tighter requirement for the exploitation of unpaired samples. Addressing them, we propose to construct a dual representation space, where transformation is performed explicitly to model the semantic transitions. Special encoder/decoder structures are designed, and auxiliary mutual information loss is also adopted to enforce the alignment of unpaired/paired examples. We evaluate the proposed method in three different datasets.

GraphSMOTE: Imbalanced Node Classification on Graphs with Graph Neural Networks

Node classification is an important research topic in graph learning. Graph neural networks (GNNs) have achieved state-of-the-art performance of node classification. However, existing GNNs address the problem where node samples for different classes are balanced; while for many real-world scenarios, some classes may have much fewer instances than others. Directly training a GNN classifier in this case would under-represent samples from those minority classes and result in sub-optimal performance. Therefore, it is very important to develop GNNs for imbalanced node classification. However, the work on this is rather limited. Hence, we seek to extend previous imbalanced learning techniques for i.i.d data to the imbalanced node classification task to facilitate GNN classifiers. In particular, we choose to adopt synthetic minority over-sampling algorithms, as they are found to be the most effective and stable. This task is non-trivial, as previous synthetic minority over-sampling algorithms fail to provide relation information for newly synthesized samples, which is vital for learning on graphs. Moreover, node attributes are high-dimensional. Directly over-sampling in the original input domain could generates out-of-domain samples, which may impair the accuracy of the classifier. We propose a novel framework, GraphSMOTE, in which an embedding space is constructed to encode the similarity among the nodes. New samples are synthesize in this space to assure genuineness. In addition, an edge generator is trained simultaneously to model the relation information, and provide it for those new samples. This framework is general and can be easily extended into different variations. The proposed framework is evaluated using three different datasets, and it outperforms all baselines with a large margin.

Explainable Multivariate Time Series Classification: A Deep Neural Network Which Learns To Attend To Important Variables As Well As Informative Time Intervals

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building explainable classifiers from multi-variate time series data. A key criterion to understand such predictive models involves elucidating and quantifying the contribution of time varying input variables to the classification. Hence, we introduce a novel, modular, convolution-based feature extraction and attention mechanism that simultaneously identifies the variables as well as time intervals which determine the classifier output. We present results of extensive experiments with several benchmark data sets that show that the proposed method outperforms the state-of-the-art baseline methods on multi-variate time series classification task. The results of our case studies demonstrate that the variables and time intervals identified by the proposed method make sense relative to available domain knowledge.

MALCOM: Generating Malicious Comments to Attack Neural Fake News Detection Models

In recent years, the proliferation of so-called "fake news" has caused much disruptions in society and weakened the news ecosystem. Therefore, to mitigate such problems, researchers have developed state-of-the-art models to auto-detect fake news on social media using sophisticated data science and machine learning techniques. In this work, then, we ask "what if adversaries attempt to attack such detection models?" and investigate related issues by (i) proposing a novel threat model against fake news detectors, in which adversaries can post malicious comments toward news articles to mislead fake news detectors, and (ii) developing MALCOM, an end-to-end adversarial comment generation framework to achieve such an attack. Through a comprehensive evaluation, we demonstrate that about 94% and 93.5% of the time on average MALCOM can successfully mislead five of the latest neural detection models to always output targeted real and fake news labels. Furthermore, MALCOM can also fool black box fake news detectors to always output real news labels 90% of the time on average. We also compare our attack model with four baselines across two real-world datasets, not only on attack performance but also on generated quality, coherency, transferability, and robustness.

FairGNN: Eliminating the Discrimination in Graph Neural Networks with Limited Sensitive Attribute Information

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have shown great power in modeling graph structured data. However, similar to other machine learning models, GNNs may make predictions biased on protected sensitive attributes, e.g., skin color, gender, and nationality. Because machine learning algorithms including GNNs are trained to faithfully reflect the distribution of the training data which often contains historical bias towards sensitive attributes. In addition, the discrimination in GNNs can be magnified by graph structures and the message-passing mechanism. As a result, the applications of GNNs in sensitive domains such as crime rate prediction would be largely limited. Though extensive studies of fair classification have been conducted on i.i.d data, methods to address the problem of discrimination on non-i.i.d data are rather limited. Furthermore, the practical scenario of sparse annotations in sensitive attributes is rarely considered in existing works. Therefore, we study the novel and important problem of learning fair GNNs with limited sensitive attribute information. FairGNN is proposed to eliminate the bias of GNNs whilst maintaining high node classification accuracy by leveraging graph structures and limited sensitive information. Our theoretical analysis shows that FairGNN can ensure the fairness of GNNs under mild conditions given limited nodes with known sensitive attributes. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets also demonstrate the effectiveness of FairGNN in debiasing and keeping high accuracy.

Graph Convolutional Networks against Degree-Related Biases

In recent years, Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) show competitive performance in different domains, such as social network analysis, recommendation, and smart city. However, training GCNs with insufficient supervision is very difficult. The performance of GCNs becomes unsatisfying with few labeled data. Although some pioneering work try to understand why GCNs work or fail, their analysis focus more on the entire model level. Profiling GCNs on different nodes is still underexplored. To address the limitations, we study GCNs with respect to the node degree distribution. We show that GCNs have a higher accuracy on nodes with larger degrees even if they are underrepresented in most graphs, with both empirical observation and theoretical proof. We then propose Self-Supervised-Learning Degree-Specific GCN (SL-DSGCN) which handles the degree-related biases of GCNs from model and data aspects. Firstly, we design a degree-specific GCN layer that models both discrepancies and similarities of nodes with different degrees, and reduces the inner model-aspect biases of GCNs caused by sharing the same parameters with all nodes. Secondly, we develop a self-supervised-learning algorithm that assigns pseudo labels with uncertainty scores on unlabeled nodes using a Bayesian neural network. Pseudo labels increase the chance of connecting to labeled neighbors for low-degree nodes, thus reducing the biases of GCNs from the data perspective. We further exploit uncertainty scores as dynamic weights on pseudo labels in the stochastic gradient descent for SL-DSGCN. We validate \ours on three benchmark datasets, and confirm SL-DSGCN not only outperforms state-of-the-art self-training/self-supervised-learning GCN methods, but also improves GCN accuracy dramatically for low-degree nodes.