A Stochastic Online Forecast-and-Optimize Framework for Real-Time Energy Dispatch in Virtual Power Plants under Uncertainty

Aggregating distributed energy resources in power systems significantly increases uncertainties, in particular caused by the fluctuation of renewable energy generation. This issue has driven the necessity of widely exploiting advanced predictive control techniques under uncertainty to ensure long-term economics and decarbonization. In this paper, we propose a real-time uncertainty-aware energy dispatch framework, which is composed of two key elements: (i) A hybrid forecast-and-optimize sequential task, integrating deep learning-based forecasting and stochastic optimization, where these two stages are connected by the uncertainty estimation at multiple temporal resolutions; (ii) An efficient online data augmentation scheme, jointly involving model pre-training and online fine-tuning stages. In this way, the proposed framework is capable to rapidly adapt to the real-time data distribution, as well as to target on uncertainties caused by data drift, model discrepancy and environment perturbations in the control process, and finally to realize an optimal and robust dispatch solution. The proposed framework won the championship in CityLearn Challenge 2022, which provided an influential opportunity to investigate the potential of AI application in the energy domain. In addition, comprehensive experiments are conducted to interpret its effectiveness in the real-life scenario of smart building energy management.

KDD CUP 2022 Wind Power Forecasting Team 88VIP Solution

KDD CUP 2022 proposes a time-series forecasting task on spatial dynamic wind power dataset, in which the participants are required to predict the future generation given the historical context factors. The evaluation metrics contain RMSE and MAE. This paper describes the solution of Team 88VIP, which mainly comprises two types of models: a gradient boosting decision tree to memorize the basic data patterns and a recurrent neural network to capture the deep and latent probabilistic transitions. Ensembling these models contributes to tackle the fluctuation of wind power, and training submodels targets on the distinguished properties in heterogeneous timescales of forecasting, from minutes to days. In addition, feature engineering, imputation techniques and the design of offline evaluation are also described in details. The proposed solution achieves an overall online score of -45.213 in Phase 3.

GUIM -- General User and Item Embedding with Mixture of Representation in E-commerce

Our goal is to build general representation (embedding) for each user and each product item across Alibaba's businesses, including Taobao and Tmall which are among the world's biggest e-commerce websites. The representation of users and items has been playing a critical role in various downstream applications, including recommendation system, search, marketing, demand forecasting and so on. Inspired from the BERT model in natural language processing (NLP) domain, we propose a GUIM (General User Item embedding with Mixture of representation) model to achieve the goal with massive, structured, multi-modal data including the interactions among hundreds of millions of users and items. We utilize mixture of representation (MoR) as a novel representation form to model the diverse interests of each user. In addition, we use the InfoNCE from contrastive learning to avoid intractable computational costs due to the numerous size of item (token) vocabulary. Finally, we propose a set of representative downstream tasks to serve as a standard benchmark to evaluate the quality of the learned user and/or item embeddings, analogous to the GLUE benchmark in NLP domain. Our experimental results in these downstream tasks clearly show the comparative value of embeddings learned from our GUIM model.

CoRe: An Efficient Coarse-refined Training Framework for BERT

In recent years, BERT has made significant breakthroughs on many natural language processing tasks and attracted great attentions. Despite its accuracy gains, the BERT model generally involves a huge number of parameters and needs to be trained on massive datasets, so training such a model is computationally very challenging and time-consuming. Hence, training efficiency should be a critical issue. In this paper, we propose a novel coarse-refined training framework named CoRe to speed up the training of BERT. Specifically, we decompose the training process of BERT into two phases. In the first phase, by introducing fast attention mechanism and decomposing the large parameters in the feed-forward network sub-layer, we construct a relaxed BERT model which has much less parameters and much lower model complexity than the original BERT, so the relaxed model can be quickly trained. In the second phase, we transform the trained relaxed BERT model into the original BERT and further retrain the model. Thanks to the desired initialization provided by the relaxed model, the retraining phase requires much less training steps, compared with training an original BERT model from scratch with a random initialization. Experimental results show that the proposed CoRe framework can greatly reduce the training time without reducing the performance.