Teacher Forcing as Generalized Bayes: Optimization Geometry Mismatch in Switching Surrogates for Chaotic Dynamics

Identity teacher forcing (ITF) enables stable training of deterministic recurrent surrogates for chaotic dynamical systems and has been highly effective for dynamical systems reconstruction (DSR) with recurrent neural networks (RNNs), including interpretable almost-linear RNNs (AL-RNNs). However, as an intervention-based prediction loss (and thus a generalized Bayes update), teacher forcing need not match the free-running model's marginal likelihood geometry. We compare the objective-induced curvatures of ITF and marginal likelihood in a probabilistic switching augmentation of AL-RNNs, estimating ambiguity-aware observed information via Louis' identity. In the switching setting studied here, conditioning on a single forced regime path (as ITF does) inflates curvature, while marginal likelihood curvature is reduced by a missing-information correction when multiple switching explanations remain plausible. In Lorenz-63 experiments, windowed evidence fine-tuning improves held-out evidence but can degrade dynamical quantities of interest (QoIs) relative to ITF-pretrained models.

Explainable AI for Jet Tagging: A Comparative Study of GNNExplainer, GNNShap, and GradCAM for Jet Tagging in the Lund Jet Plane

Graph neural networks such as ParticleNet and transformer based networks on point clouds such as ParticleTransformer achieve state-of-the-art performance on jet tagging benchmarks at the Large Hadron Collider, yet the physical reasoning behind their predictions remains opaque. We present different methods, i.e. perturbation-based (GNNExplainer), Shapley-value-based (GNNShap), and gradient-based (GRADCam); adapted to operate on LundNet's Lund-plane graph representation. Leveraging the fact that each node in the Lund plane corresponds to a physically meaningful parton splitting, we construct Monte Carlo truth explanation masks and introduce a physics-informed evaluation framework that goes beyond standard fidelity metrics. We perform the analysis in three transverse-momentum bins ($\mathrm{p_T} \in [500,700]$, $[800,1000]$, and the inclusive region $[500,1000]$ GeV), revealing how explanation quality and focus shift between non-perturbative and perturbative regimes. We further quantify the correlation between explainer-assigned node importance and classical jet substructure observables -- $N$-subjettiness ratios $τ_{21}$ and $τ_{32}$ and the energy correlation functions -- establishing the degree to which the model has learned known QCD features. We find that overall the weight assigned by explainability methods has a correlation with analytic observables, with expected shift across different phase space regimes, indicating that a trained neural network indeed learns some aspects of jet-substructure moments. Our open-source implementation enables reproducible explainability studies for graph-based jet taggers.

From Syntax to Emotion: A Mechanistic Analysis of Emotion Inference in LLMs

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in emotionally sensitive human-AI applications, yet little is known about how emotion recognition is internally represented. In this work, we investigate the internal mechanisms of emotion recognition in LLMs using sparse autoencoders (SAEs). By analyzing sparse feature activations across layers, we identify a consistent three-phase information flow, in which emotion-related features emerge only in the final phase. We further show that emotion representations comprise both shared features across emotions and emotion-specific features. Using phase-stratified causal tracing, we identify a small set of features that strongly influence emotion predictions, and show that both their number and causal impact vary across emotions; in particular, Disgust is more weakly and diffusely represented than other emotions. Finally, we propose an interpretable and data-efficient causal feature steering method that significantly improves emotion recognition performance across multiple models while largely preserving language modeling ability, and demonstrate that these improvements generalize across multiple emotion recognition datasets. Overall, our findings provide a systematic analysis of the internal mechanisms underlying emotion recognition in LLMs and introduce an efficient, interpretable, and controllable approach for improving model performance.

Luminol-AIDetect: Fast Zero-shot Machine-Generated Text Detection based on Perplexity under Text Shuffling

Machine-generated text (MGT) detection requires identifying structurally invariant signals across generation models, rather than relying on model-specific fingerprints. In this respect, we hypothesize that while large language models excel at local semantic consistency, their autoregressive nature results in a specific kind of structural fragility compared to human writing. We propose Luminol-AIDetect, a novel, zero-shot statistical approach that exposes this fragility through coherence disruption. By applying a simple randomized text-shuffling procedure, we demonstrate that the resulting shift in perplexity serves as a principled, model-agnostic discriminant, as MGT displays a characteristic dispersion in perplexity-under-shuffling that differs markedly from the more stable structural variability of human-written text. Luminol-AIDetect leverages this distinction to inform its decision process, where a handful of perplexity-based scalar features are extracted from an input text and its shuffled version, then detection is performed via density estimation and ensemble-based prediction. Evaluated across 8 content domains, 11 adversarial attack types, and 18 languages, Luminol-AIDetect demonstrates state-of-the-art performance, with gains up to 17x lower FPR while being cheaper than prior methods.

Privileged Foresight Distillation: Zero-Cost Future Correction for World Action Models

World action models jointly predict future video and action during training, raising an open question about what role the future-prediction branch actually plays. A recent finding shows that this branch can be removed at inference with little to no loss on common manipulation benchmarks, suggesting that future information may act merely as a regularizer on the shared visual backbone. We propose instead that joint training induces an action-conditioned correction that privileged future observations impose on action denoising, and that current-only policies capture this correction only partially. Making the account precise, we formulate privileged foresight as a residual in the action-denoising direction -- the difference between what a model predicts given the true future and what it predicts given only the current frame -- and introduce \emph{Privileged Foresight Distillation (PFD)}, which transfers this residual from a training-time teacher into a small adapter on a current-only student. The teacher and student share the same backbone and differ only in the attention mask over video tokens; future video is never generated at inference. Controlled experiments verify that this gain reflects a genuine future-conditioned correction rather than a side effect of capacity or regularization. Empirically, PFD achieves consistent improvements on LIBERO and RoboTwin manipulation benchmarks while preserving the current-only inference interface at negligible added latency. This view reframes the role of future information in world action models: not as a target to predict, nor as a regularizer to absorb, but as a compressible correction to be distilled.

Investigation into In-Context Learning Capabilities of Transformers

Transformers have demonstrated a strong ability for in-context learning (ICL), enabling models to solve previously unseen tasks using only example input output pairs provided at inference time. While prior theoretical work has established conditions under which transformers can perform linear classification in-context, the empirical scaling behavior governing when this mechanism succeeds remains insufficiently characterized. In this paper, we conduct a systematic empirical study of in-context learning for Gaussian-mixture binary classification tasks. Building on the theoretical framework of Frei and Vardi (2024), we analyze how in-context test accuracy depends on three fundamental factors: the input dimension, the number of in-context examples, and the number of pre-training tasks. Using a controlled synthetic setup and a linear in-context classifier formulation, we isolate the geometric conditions under which models successfully infer task structure from context alone. We additionally investigate the emergence of benign overfitting, where models memorize noisy in-context labels while still achieving strong generalization performance on clean test data. Through extensive sweeps across dimensionality, sequence length, task diversity, and signal-to-noise regimes, we identify the parameter regions in which this phenomenon arises and characterize how it depends on data geometry and training exposure. Our results provide a comprehensive empirical map of scaling behavior in in-context classification, highlighting the critical role of dimensionality, signal strength, and contextual information in determining when in-context learning succeeds and when it fails.

Model-agnostic information transfer and fusion for classification with label noise

Label noise presents a fundamental challenge in modern machine learning, especially when large-scale datasets are generated via automated processes. An increasingly common and important data paradigm, particularly in domains like medical imaging, involves learning from a large dataset with coarse, noisy labels supplemented by a small, expert-verified, clean dataset. This setting constitutes a typical information transfer and fusion problem. However, the significant distribution shift between the noisy and clean data violates the core overall parametric similarity assumptions of existing statistical transfer learning methods, while their reliance on parametric models is ill-suited for complex data like images. To address these limitations, this paper develops a generic model-agnostic nonparametric framework for classification with label noise, which applies to a broad class of classifiers. Our approach leverages the small clean dataset to ``purify'' the large noisy one and carefully manages the remaining ambiguous samples. This framework is underpinned by a rigorous statistical theory. Its empirical performance is demonstrated through simulations and a real-world application to medical image analysis for pneumonia diagnosis.

Break the Inaccessible Boundary: Distilling Post-Conversion Content for User Retention Modeling

User retention is a key metric to measure long-term engagement in modern platforms. In real-time bidding (RTB) advertising system for user re-engagement, the retention model is required to predict future revisit probability at bidding time, before the user converts and consumes any content. Although post-conversion content, termed Onboarding Content, provides highly informative signals for retention prediction, directly using it in training causes severe feature leakage and creates a gap between training and serving. To address this issue, we propose OCARM, a two-stage distillation-aligned framework for Onboarding Content Augmented Retention Modeling, enabling the model to implicitly capture future content using only observable features during inference. In the first stage, we deliberately expose onboarding content to train a hierarchical encoder that produces teacher representations. In the second stage, a user encoder is aligned with the frozen teacher through distillation, allowing the model to approximate the inaccessible onboarding signals without leakage. Extensive offline experiments and online A/B tests demonstrate that our framework achieves consistent improvements in a real-world growth scenario.

Action-Aware Generative Sequence Modeling for Short Video Recommendation

With the rapid development of the Internet, users have increasingly higher expectations for the recommendation accuracy of online content consumption platforms. However, short videos often contain diverse segments, and users may not hold the same attitude toward all of them. Traditional binary-classification recommendation models, which treat a video as a single holistic entity, face limitations in accurately capturing such nuanced preferences. Considering that user consumption is a temporal process, this paper demonstrates that the timing of user actions can represent diverse intentions through statistical analysis and examination of action patterns. Based on this insight, we propose a novel modeling paradigm: Action-Aware Generative Sequence Network (A2Gen), which refines user actions along the temporal dimension and chains them into sequences for unified processing and prediction. First, we introduce the Context-aware Attention Module (CAM) to model action sequences enriched with item-specific contextual features. Building upon this, we develop the Hierarchical Sequence Encoder (HSE) to learn temporal action patterns from users' historical actions. Finally, through leveraging CAM, we design a module for action sequence generation: the Action-seq Autoregressive Generator (AAG). Extensive offline experiments on the Kuaishou's dataset and the Tmall public dataset demonstrate the superiority of our proposed model. Furthermore, through large-scale online A/B testing deployed on Kuaishou's platform, our model achieves significant improvements over baseline methods in multi-task prediction by leveraging sequential information. Specifically, it yields increases of 0.34% in user watch time, 8.1% in interaction rate, and 0.162% in overall user retention (LifeTime-7), leading to successful deployment across all traffic, serving over 400 million users every day.

TrialCalibre: A Fully Automated Causal Engine for RCT Benchmarking and Observational Trial Calibration

Real-world evidence (RWE) studies that emulate target trials increasingly inform regulatory and clinical decisions, yet residual, hard-to-quantify biases still limit their credibility. The recently proposed BenchExCal framework addresses this challenge via a two-stage Benchmark, Expand, Calibrate process, which first compares an observational emulation against an existing randomized controlled trial (RCT), then uses observed divergence to calibrate a second emulation for a new indication causal effect estimation. While methodologically powerful, BenchExCal is resource intensive and difficult to scale. We introduce TrialCalibre, a conceptualized multiagent system designed to automate and scale the BenchExCal workflow. Our framework features specialized agents such as the Orchestrator, Protocol Design, Data Synthesis, Clinical Validation, and Quantitative Calibration Agents that coordi-nate the the overall process. TrialCalibre incorpo-rates agent learning (e.g., RLHF) and knowledge blackboards to support adaptive, auditable, and transparent causal effect estimation.