Time series analysis comprises statistical methods for analyzing a sequence of data points collected over an interval of time to identify interesting patterns and trends.
Effectively searching time-series data is essential for system analysis, but existing methods often require expert-designed similarity criteria or rely on global, series-level descriptions. We study language-driven segment retrieval: given a natural language query, the goal is to retrieve relevant local segments from large time-series repositories. We build large-scale segment--caption training data by applying TV2-based segmentation to LOTSA windows and generating segment descriptions with GPT-5.2, and then train a Conformer-based contrastive retriever in a shared text--time-series embedding space. On a held-out test split, we evaluate single-positive retrieval together with caption-side consistency (SBERT and VLM-as-a-judge) under multiple candidate pool sizes. Across all settings, LaSTR outperforms random and CLIP baselines, yielding improved ranking quality and stronger semantic agreement between retrieved segments and query intent.
Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP-OLS) and Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (SNPP-VIIRS) nighttime light (NTL) data are vital for monitoring urbanization, yet sensor incompatibilities hinder long-term analysis. This study proposes a cross-sensor calibration method using Contrastive Unpaired Translation (CUT) network to transform DMSP data into VIIRS-like format, correcting DMSP defects. The method employs multilayer patch-wise contrastive learning to maximize mutual information between corresponding patches, preserving content consistency while learning cross-domain similarity. Utilizing 2012-2013 overlapping data for training, the network processes 1992-2013 DMSP imagery to generate enhanced VIIRS-style raster data. Validation results demonstrate that generated VIIRS-like data exhibits high consistency with actual VIIRS observations (R-squared greater than 0.87) and socioeconomic indicators. This approach effectively resolves cross-sensor data fusion issues and calibrates DMSP defects, providing reliable attempt for extended NTL time-series.
Accurate forecasting of transportation dynamics is essential for urban mobility and infrastructure planning. Although recent work has achieved strong performance with deep learning models, these methods typically require dataset-specific training, architecture design and hyper-parameter tuning. This paper evaluates whether general-purpose time-series foundation models can serve as forecasters for transportation tasks by benchmarking the zero-shot performance of the state-of-the-art model, Chronos-2, across ten real-world datasets covering highway traffic volume and flow, urban traffic speed, bike-sharing demand, and electric vehicle charging station data. Under a consistent evaluation protocol, we find that, even without any task-specific fine-tuning, Chronos-2 delivers state-of-the-art or competitive accuracy across most datasets, frequently outperforming classical statistical baselines and specialized deep learning architectures, particularly at longer horizons. Beyond point forecasting, we evaluate its native probabilistic outputs using prediction-interval coverage and sharpness, demonstrating that Chronos-2 also provides useful uncertainty quantification without dataset-specific training. In general, this study supports the adoption of time-series foundation models as a key baseline for transportation forecasting research.
This paper introduces temporal-conditioned normalizing flows (tcNF), a novel framework that addresses anomaly detection in time series data with accurate modeling of temporal dependencies and uncertainty. By conditioning normalizing flows on previous observations, tcNF effectively captures complex temporal dynamics and generates accurate probability distributions of expected behavior. This autoregressive approach enables robust anomaly detection by identifying low-probability events within the learned distribution. We evaluate tcNF on diverse datasets, demonstrating good accuracy and robustness compared to existing methods. A comprehensive analysis of strengths and limitations and open-source code is provided to facilitate reproducibility and future research.
The extraction of invariant causal relationships from time series data with environmental attributes is critical for robust decision-making in domains such as climate science and environmental monitoring. However, existing methods either emphasize dynamic causal analysis without leveraging environmental contexts or focus on static invariant causal inference, leaving a gap in distributed temporal settings. In this paper, we propose Distributed Dynamic Invariant Causal Prediction in Time-series (DisDy-ICPT), a novel framework that learns dynamic causal relationships over time while mitigating spatial confounding variables without requiring data communication. We theoretically prove that DisDy-ICPT recovers stable causal predictors within a bounded number of communication rounds under standard sampling assumptions. Empirical evaluations on synthetic benchmarks and environment-segmented real-world datasets show that DisDy-ICPT achieves superior predictive stability and accuracy compared to baseline methods A and B. Our approach offers promising applications in carbon monitoring and weather forecasting. Future work will extend DisDy-ICPT to online learning scenarios.
Recently, there has been great success in leveraging pre-trained large language models (LLMs) for time series analysis. The core idea lies in effectively aligning the modality between natural language and time series. However, the multi-scale structures of natural language and time series have not been fully considered, resulting in insufficient utilization of LLMs capabilities. To this end, we propose MSH-LLM, a Multi-Scale Hypergraph method that aligns Large Language Models for time series analysis. Specifically, a hyperedging mechanism is designed to enhance the multi-scale semantic information of time series semantic space. Then, a cross-modality alignment (CMA) module is introduced to align the modality between natural language and time series at different scales. In addition, a mixture of prompts (MoP) mechanism is introduced to provide contextual information and enhance the ability of LLMs to understand the multi-scale temporal patterns of time series. Experimental results on 27 real-world datasets across 5 different applications demonstrate that MSH-LLM achieves the state-of-the-art results.
Accurate classification of autonomous vehicle (AV) driving behaviors is critical for safety validation, performance diagnosis, and traffic integration analysis. However, existing approaches primarily rely on numerical time-series modeling and often lack semantic abstraction, limiting interpretability and robustness in complex traffic environments. This paper presents LLM-MLFFN, a novel large language model (LLM)-enhanced multi-level feature fusion network designed to address the complexities of multi-dimensional driving data. The proposed LLM-MLFFN framework integrates priors from largescale pre-trained models and employs a multi-level approach to enhance classification accuracy. LLM-MLFFN comprises three core components: (1) a multi-level feature extraction module that extracts statistical, behavioral, and dynamic features to capture the quantitative aspects of driving behaviors; (2) a semantic description module that leverages LLMs to transform raw data into high-level semantic features; and (3) a dual-channel multi-level feature fusion network that combines numerical and semantic features using weighted attention mechanisms to improve robustness and prediction accuracy. Evaluation on the Waymo open trajectory dataset demonstrates the superior performance of the proposed LLM-MLFFN, achieving a classification accuracy of over 94%, surpassing existing machine learning models. Ablation studies further validate the critical contributions of multi-level fusion, feature extraction strategies, and LLM-derived semantic reasoning. These results suggest that integrating structured feature modeling with language-driven semantic abstraction provides a principled and interpretable pathway for robust autonomous driving behavior classification.
Electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis is vital for detecting cardiac abnormalities, yet robust automated classification is challenging due to the complexity and variability of physiological signals. In this work, we investigate transformer-based ECG classification using features derived from the Koopman operator and wavelet transforms. Two tasks are studied: (1) binary classification (Normal vs. Non-normal), and (2) four-class classification (Normal, Atrial Fibrillation, Ventricular Arrhythmia, Block). We use Extended Dynamic Mode Decomposition (EDMD) to approximate the Koopman operator. Our results show that wavelet features excel in binary classification, while Koopman features, when paired with transformers, achieve superior performance in the four-class setting. A simple hybrid of Koopman and wavelet features does not improve accuracy. However, selecting an appropriate EDMD dictionary -- specifically a radial basis function dictionary with tuned parameters -- yields significant gains, surpassing the wavelet-only baseline and the hybrid wavelet-Koopman system. We also present a Koopman-based reconstruction analysis for interpretable insights into the learned dynamics and compare against a recurrent neural network baseline. Overall, our findings demonstrate the effectiveness of Koopman-based feature learning with transformers and highlight promising directions for integrating dynamical systems theory into time-series classification.
The analysis of non-stationary time-series data requires insight into its local and global patterns with physical interpretability. However, traditional smoothing algorithms, such as B-splines, Savitzky-Golay filtering, and Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD), lack the ability to perform parametric optimization with guaranteed continuity. In this paper, we propose Functional Continuous Decomposition (FCD), a JAX-accelerated framework that performs parametric, continuous optimization on a wide range of mathematical functions. By using Levenberg-Marquardt optimization to achieve up to $C^1$ continuous fitting, FCD transforms raw time-series data into $M$ modes that capture different temporal patterns from short-term to long-term trends. Applications of FCD include physics, medicine, financial analysis, and machine learning, where it is commonly used for the analysis of signal temporal patterns, optimized parameters, derivatives, and integrals of decomposition. Furthermore, FCD can be applied for physical analysis and feature extraction with an average SRMSE of 0.735 per segment and a speed of 0.47s on full decomposition of 1,000 points. Finally, we demonstrate that a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) enhanced with FCD features, such as optimized function values, parameters, and derivatives, achieved 16.8% faster convergence and 2.5% higher accuracy over a standard CNN.
Deep learning has significantly improved time series classification, yet the lack of explainability in these models remains a major challenge. While Explainable AI (XAI) techniques aim to make model decisions more transparent, their effectiveness is often hindered by the high dimensionality and noise present in raw time series data. In this work, we investigate whether transforming time series into discrete latent representations-using methods such as Vector Quantized Variational Autoencoders (VQ-VAE) and Discrete Variational Autoencoders (DVAE)-not only preserves but enhances explainability by reducing redundancy and focusing on the most informative patterns. We show that applying XAI methods to these compressed representations leads to concise and structured explanations that maintain faithfulness without sacrificing classification performance. Additionally, we propose Similar Subsequence Accuracy (SSA), a novel metric that quantitatively assesses the alignment between XAI-identified salient subsequences and the label distribution in the training data. SSA provides a systematic way to validate whether the features highlighted by XAI methods are truly representative of the learned classification patterns. Our findings demonstrate that discrete latent representations not only retain the essential characteristics needed for classification but also offer a pathway to more compact, interpretable, and computationally efficient explanations in time series analysis.