The New Agronomists: Language Models are Experts in Crop Management

Crop management plays a crucial role in determining crop yield, economic profitability, and environmental sustainability. Despite the availability of management guidelines, optimizing these practices remains a complex and multifaceted challenge. In response, previous studies have explored using reinforcement learning with crop simulators, typically employing simple neural-network-based reinforcement learning (RL) agents. Building on this foundation, this paper introduces a more advanced intelligent crop management system. This system uniquely combines RL, a language model (LM), and crop simulations facilitated by the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT). We utilize deep RL, specifically a deep Q-network, to train management policies that process numerous state variables from the simulator as observations. A novel aspect of our approach is the conversion of these state variables into more informative language, facilitating the language model's capacity to understand states and explore optimal management practices. The empirical results reveal that the LM exhibits superior learning capabilities. Through simulation experiments with maize crops in Florida (US) and Zaragoza (Spain), the LM not only achieves state-of-the-art performance under various evaluation metrics but also demonstrates a remarkable improvement of over 49\% in economic profit, coupled with reduced environmental impact when compared to baseline methods. Our code is available at \url{https://github.com/jingwu6/LM_AG}.

A Semiparametric Instrumented Difference-in-Differences Approach to Policy Learning

Recently, there has been a surge in methodological development for the difference-in-differences (DiD) approach to evaluate causal effects. Standard methods in the literature rely on the parallel trends assumption to identify the average treatment effect on the treated. However, the parallel trends assumption may be violated in the presence of unmeasured confounding, and the average treatment effect on the treated may not be useful in learning a treatment assignment policy for the entire population. In this article, we propose a general instrumented DiD approach for learning the optimal treatment policy. Specifically, we establish identification results using a binary instrumental variable (IV) when the parallel trends assumption fails to hold. Additionally, we construct a Wald estimator, novel inverse probability weighting (IPW) estimators, and a class of semiparametric efficient and multiply robust estimators, with theoretical guarantees on consistency and asymptotic normality, even when relying on flexible machine learning algorithms for nuisance parameters estimation. Furthermore, we extend the instrumented DiD to the panel data setting. We evaluate our methods in extensive simulations and a real data application.

Positivity-free Policy Learning with Observational Data

Policy learning utilizing observational data is pivotal across various domains, with the objective of learning the optimal treatment assignment policy while adhering to specific constraints such as fairness, budget, and simplicity. This study introduces a novel positivity-free (stochastic) policy learning framework designed to address the challenges posed by the impracticality of the positivity assumption in real-world scenarios. This framework leverages incremental propensity score policies to adjust propensity score values instead of assigning fixed values to treatments. We characterize these incremental propensity score policies and establish identification conditions, employing semiparametric efficiency theory to propose efficient estimators capable of achieving rapid convergence rates, even when integrated with advanced machine learning algorithms. This paper provides a thorough exploration of the theoretical guarantees associated with policy learning and validates the proposed framework's finite-sample performance through comprehensive numerical experiments, ensuring the identification of causal effects from observational data is both robust and reliable.

$\mathcal{L}_1$Quad: $\mathcal{L}_1$ Adaptive Augmentation of Geometric Control for Agile Quadrotors with Performance Guarantees

Quadrotors that can operate safely in the presence of imperfect model knowledge and external disturbances are crucial in safety-critical applications. We present L1Quad, a control architecture for quadrotors based on the L1 adaptive control. L1Quad enables safe tubes centered around a desired trajectory that the quadrotor is always guaranteed to remain inside. Our design applies to both the rotational and the translational dynamics of the quadrotor. We lump various types of uncertainties and disturbances as unknown nonlinear (time- and state-dependent) forces and moments. Without assuming or enforcing parametric structures, L1Quad can accurately estimate and compensate for these unknown forces and moments. Extensive experimental results demonstrate that L1Quad is able to significantly outperform baseline controllers under a variety of uncertainties with consistently small tracking errors.

Efficient and robust transfer learning of optimal individualized treatment regimes with right-censored survival data

An individualized treatment regime (ITR) is a decision rule that assigns treatments based on patients' characteristics. The value function of an ITR is the expected outcome in a counterfactual world had this ITR been implemented. Recently, there has been increasing interest in combining heterogeneous data sources, such as leveraging the complementary features of randomized controlled trial (RCT) data and a large observational study (OS). Usually, a covariate shift exists between the source and target population, rendering the source-optimal ITR unnecessarily optimal for the target population. We present an efficient and robust transfer learning framework for estimating the optimal ITR with right-censored survival data that generalizes well to the target population. The value function accommodates a broad class of functionals of survival distributions, including survival probabilities and restrictive mean survival times (RMSTs). We propose a doubly robust estimator of the value function, and the optimal ITR is learned by maximizing the value function within a pre-specified class of ITRs. We establish the $N^{-1/3}$ rate of convergence for the estimated parameter indexing the optimal ITR, and show that the proposed optimal value estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal even with flexible machine learning methods for nuisance parameter estimation. We evaluate the empirical performance of the proposed method by simulation studies and a real data application of sodium bicarbonate therapy for patients with severe metabolic acidaemia in the intensive care unit (ICU), combining a RCT and an observational study with heterogeneity.

Safe Model-Free Reinforcement Learning using Disturbance-Observer-Based Control Barrier Functions

Safe reinforcement learning (RL) with assured satisfaction of hard state constraints during training has recently received a lot of attention. Safety filters, e.g., based on control barrier functions (CBFs), provide a promising way for safe RL via modifying the unsafe actions of an RL agent on the fly. Existing safety filter-based approaches typically involve learning of uncertain dynamics and quantifying the learned model error, which leads to conservative filters before a large amount of data is collected to learn a good model, thereby preventing efficient exploration. This paper presents a method for safe and efficient model-free RL using disturbance observers (DOBs) and control barrier functions (CBFs). Unlike most existing safe RL methods that deal with hard state constraints, our method does not involve model learning, and leverages DOBs to accurately estimate the pointwise value of the uncertainty, which is then incorporated into a robust CBF condition to generate safe actions. The DOB-based CBF can be used as a safety filter with any model-free RL algorithms by minimally modifying the actions of an RL agent whenever necessary to ensure safety throughout the learning process. Simulation results on a unicycle and a 2D quadrotor demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms a state-of-the-art safe RL algorithm using CBFs and Gaussian processes-based model learning, in terms of safety violation rate, and sample and computational efficiency.

Optimizing Crop Management with Reinforcement Learning and Imitation Learning

Crop management, including nitrogen (N) fertilization and irrigation management, has a significant impact on the crop yield, economic profit, and the environment. Although management guidelines exist, it is challenging to find the optimal management practices given a specific planting environment and a crop. Previous work used reinforcement learning (RL) and crop simulators to solve the problem, but the trained policies either have limited performance or are not deployable in the real world. In this paper, we present an intelligent crop management system which optimizes the N fertilization and irrigation simultaneously via RL, imitation learning (IL), and crop simulations using the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT). We first use deep RL, in particular, deep Q-network, to train management policies that require all state information from the simulator as observations (denoted as full observation). We then invoke IL to train management policies that only need a limited amount of state information that can be readily obtained in the real world (denoted as partial observation) by mimicking the actions of the previously RL-trained policies under full observation. We conduct experiments on a case study using maize in Florida and compare trained policies with a maize management guideline in simulations. Our trained policies under both full and partial observations achieve better outcomes, resulting in a higher profit or a similar profit with a smaller environmental impact. Moreover, the partial-observation management policies are directly deployable in the real world as they use readily available information.

Optimizing Nitrogen Management with Deep Reinforcement Learning and Crop Simulations

Nitrogen (N) management is critical to sustain soil fertility and crop production while minimizing the negative environmental impact, but is challenging to optimize. This paper proposes an intelligent N management system using deep reinforcement learning (RL) and crop simulations with Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT). We first formulate the N management problem as an RL problem. We then train management policies with deep Q-network and soft actor-critic algorithms, and the Gym-DSSAT interface that allows for daily interactions between the simulated crop environment and RL agents. According to the experiments on the maize crop in both Iowa and Florida in the US, our RL-trained policies outperform previous empirical methods by achieving higher or similar yield while using less fertilizers

CVFNet: Real-time 3D Object Detection by Learning Cross View Features

In recent years 3D object detection from LiDAR point clouds has made great progress thanks to the development of deep learning technologies. Although voxel or point based methods are popular in 3D object detection, they usually involve time-consuming operations such as 3D convolutions on voxels or ball query among points, making the resulting network inappropriate for time critical applications. On the other hand, 2D view-based methods feature high computing efficiency while usually obtaining inferior performance than the voxel or point based methods. In this work, we present a real-time view-based single stage 3D object detector, namely CVFNet to fulfill this task. To strengthen the cross-view feature learning under the condition of demanding efficiency, our framework extracts the features of different views and fuses them in an efficient progressive way. We first propose a novel Point-Range feature fusion module that deeply integrates point and range view features in multiple stages. Then, a special Slice Pillar is designed to well maintain the 3D geometry when transforming the obtained deep point-view features into bird's eye view. To better balance the ratio of samples, a sparse pillar detection head is presented to focus the detection on the nonempty grids. We conduct experiments on the popular KITTI and NuScenes benchmark, and state-of-the-art performances are achieved in terms of both accuracy and speed.

Guaranteed Contraction Control in the Presence of Imperfectly Learned Dynamics

This paper presents an approach for trajectory-centric learning control based on contraction metrics and disturbance estimation for nonlinear systems subject to matched uncertainties. The approach allows for the use of a broad class of model learning tools including deep neural networks to learn uncertain dynamics while still providing guarantees of transient tracking performance throughout the learning phase, including the special case of no learning. Within the proposed approach, a disturbance estimation law is proposed to estimate the pointwise value of the uncertainty, with pre-computable estimation error bounds (EEBs). The learned dynamics, the estimated disturbances, and the EEBs are then incorporated in a robust Riemannian energy condition to compute the control law that guarantees exponential convergence of actual trajectories to desired ones throughout the learning phase, even when the learned model is poor. On the other hand, with improved accuracy, the learned model can be incorporated in a high-level planner to plan better trajectories with improved performance, e.g., lower energy consumption and shorter travel time. The proposed framework is validated on a planar quadrotor navigation example.