Cautious optimism for deep parameterized quantum circuits

A central challenge in quantum machine learning is understanding the scaling behavior of parameterized quantum circuits (PQCs). In particular, it remains unclear how their performance on unseen data changes as the number of trainable parameters increases. Prior works have derived formal generalization guarantees for quantum models, but it is well-known that many such results do not fully characterize generalization behavior in practice. In this work, we show that gradient-based PQCs can exhibit improved performance on unseen data as model size increases, displaying the phenomenon of double descent. This contrasts with the traditional view that larger models lead to degraded generalization. We provide analytical results rigorously underpinning this behavior by leveraging add-one-in perturbation techniques and spectral properties of random matrices. We support these results with numerical experiments on re-uploading PQCs across several data sets and training set sizes, consistently observing the predicted double descent behavior. While other obstacles on the path toward practical quantum machine learning remain, our finding that deeper parameterized quantum circuits do not necessarily exhibit degraded performance provides reasons for cautious optimism.

Provable learning separation for predicting time-evolution of quantum many-body systems

Given that quantum computers are naturally suited to simulate the behavior of quantum many-body systems, an immediate question arises: can one formulate physically motivated quantum machine learning (QML) tasks that exhibit learning separations? We address this problem by studying the learnability of quantum many-body dynamics from the perspective of probably approximately correct (PAC)-learning. Concretely, we devise a supervised learning problem where the training set consists of specifications of randomized stabilizer probe states, evolution times sampled uniformly from a polynomially large time interval $[0,T]$, coupled with expectation values of certain observables evaluated on the resulting time-evolved state under an unknown Hamiltonian. For this learning task, we provide an efficient quantum procedure whose training phase learns the underlying Hamiltonian from short-time training samples, and whose deployment phase combines Hamiltonian simulation with the classical shadows protocol to perform inference on a newly given data point. By contrast, the existence of $O(\mathsf{poly}(n))$-time instances ensures classical hardness: by embedding a $\mathsf{BQP}$-complete computation into the polynomially long time-dynamics of a low-intersection variant of the Feynman-Kitaev clock Hamiltonian construction, we show that, for a certain family of input distributions, no randomized classical polynomial-time algorithm can fulfill our learning condition, unless $\mathsf{BQP}\subseteq\mathsf{P/poly}$. Furthermore, we show that the classically hard instance maintains quantum learnability. We also give an interpretation of our results in learning-assisted certified quantum simulation. Taken together, our results demonstrate a rigorous learning separation for a natural ML task based on Hamiltonian evolution, while building connections between quantum learning theory, quantum simulation, and QML.

Optimal algorithmic complexity of inference in quantum kernel methods

Quantum kernel methods are among the leading candidates for achieving quantum advantage in supervised learning. A key bottleneck is the cost of inference: evaluating a trained model on new data requires estimating a weighted sum $\sum_{i=1}^N α_i k(x,x_i)$ of $N$ kernel values to additive precision $\varepsilon$, where $α$ is the vector of trained coefficients. The standard approach estimates each term independently via sampling, yielding a query complexity of $O(N\lVertα\rVert_2^2/\varepsilon^2)$. In this work, we identify two independent axes for improvement: (1) How individual kernel values are estimated (sampling versus quantum amplitude estimation), and (2) how the sum is approximated (term-by-term versus via a single observable), and systematically analyze all combinations thereof. The query-optimal combination, encoding the full inference sum as the expectation value of a single observable and applying quantum amplitude estimation, achieves a query complexity of $O(\lVertα\rVert_1/\varepsilon)$, removing the dependence on $N$ from the query count and yielding a quadratic improvement in both $\lVertα\rVert_1$ and $\varepsilon$. We prove a matching lower bound of $Ω(\lVertα\rVert_1/\varepsilon)$, establishing query-optimality of our approach up to logarithmic factors. Beyond query complexity, we also analyze how these improvements translate into gate costs and show that the query-optimal strategy is not always optimal in practice from the perspective of gate complexity. Our results provide both a query-optimal algorithm and a practically optimal choice of strategy depending on hardware capabilities, along with a complete landscape of intermediate methods to guide practitioners. All algorithms require only amplitude estimation as a subroutine and are thus natural candidates for early-fault-tolerant implementations.

A PAC-Bayesian approach to generalization for quantum models

Generalization is a central concept in machine learning theory, yet for quantum models, it is predominantly analyzed through uniform bounds that depend on a model's overall capacity rather than the specific function learned. These capacity-based uniform bounds are often too loose and entirely insensitive to the actual training and learning process. Previous theoretical guarantees have failed to provide non-uniform, data-dependent bounds that reflect the specific properties of the learned solution rather than the worst-case behavior of the entire hypothesis class. To address this limitation, we derive the first PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds for a broad class of quantum models by analyzing layered circuits composed of general quantum channels, which include dissipative operations such as mid-circuit measurements and feedforward. Through a channel perturbation analysis, we establish non-uniform bounds that depend on the norms of learned parameter matrices; we extend these results to symmetry-constrained equivariant quantum models; and we validate our theoretical framework with numerical experiments. This work provides actionable model design insights and establishes a foundational tool for a more nuanced understanding of generalization in quantum machine learning.

Prospects for quantum advantage in machine learning from the representability of functions

Demonstrating quantum advantage in machine learning tasks requires navigating a complex landscape of proposed models and algorithms. To bring clarity to this search, we introduce a framework that connects the structure of parametrized quantum circuits to the mathematical nature of the functions they can actually learn. Within this framework, we show how fundamental properties, like circuit depth and non-Clifford gate count, directly determine whether a model's output leads to efficient classical simulation or surrogation. We argue that this analysis uncovers common pathways to dequantization that underlie many existing simulation methods. More importantly, it reveals critical distinctions between models that are fully simulatable, those whose function space is classically tractable, and those that remain robustly quantum. This perspective provides a conceptual map of this landscape, clarifying how different models relate to classical simulability and pointing to where opportunities for quantum advantage may lie.

Artificial intelligence for representing and characterizing quantum systems

Efficient characterization of large-scale quantum systems, especially those produced by quantum analog simulators and megaquop quantum computers, poses a central challenge in quantum science due to the exponential scaling of the Hilbert space with respect to system size. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI), with its aptitude for high-dimensional pattern recognition and function approximation, have emerged as a powerful tool to address this challenge. A growing body of research has leveraged AI to represent and characterize scalable quantum systems, spanning from theoretical foundations to experimental realizations. Depending on how prior knowledge and learning architectures are incorporated, the integration of AI into quantum system characterization can be categorized into three synergistic paradigms: machine learning, and, in particular, deep learning and language models. This review discusses how each of these AI paradigms contributes to two core tasks in quantum systems characterization: quantum property prediction and the construction of surrogates for quantum states. These tasks underlie diverse applications, from quantum certification and benchmarking to the enhancement of quantum algorithms and the understanding of strongly correlated phases of matter. Key challenges and open questions are also discussed, together with future prospects at the interface of AI and quantum science.

Quantum computing and artificial intelligence: status and perspectives

This white paper discusses and explores the various points of intersection between quantum computing and artificial intelligence (AI). It describes how quantum computing could support the development of innovative AI solutions. It also examines use cases of classical AI that can empower research and development in quantum technologies, with a focus on quantum computing and quantum sensing. The purpose of this white paper is to provide a long-term research agenda aimed at addressing foundational questions about how AI and quantum computing interact and benefit one another. It concludes with a set of recommendations and challenges, including how to orchestrate the proposed theoretical work, align quantum AI developments with quantum hardware roadmaps, estimate both classical and quantum resources - especially with the goal of mitigating and optimizing energy consumption - advance this emerging hybrid software engineering discipline, and enhance European industrial competitiveness while considering societal implications.

Towards efficient quantum algorithms for diffusion probability models

A diffusion probabilistic model (DPM) is a generative model renowned for its ability to produce high-quality outputs in tasks such as image and audio generation. However, training DPMs on large, high-dimensional datasets such as high-resolution images or audio incurs significant computational, energy, and hardware costs. In this work, we introduce efficient quantum algorithms for implementing DPMs through various quantum ODE solvers. These algorithms highlight the potential of quantum Carleman linearization for diverse mathematical structures, leveraging state-of-the-art quantum linear system solvers (QLSS) or linear combination of Hamiltonian simulations (LCHS). Specifically, we focus on two approaches: DPM-solver-$k$ which employs exact $k$-th order derivatives to compute a polynomial approximation of $\epsilon_\theta(x_\lambda,\lambda)$; and UniPC which uses finite difference of $\epsilon_\theta(x_\lambda,\lambda)$ at different points $(x_{s_m}, \lambda_{s_m})$ to approximate higher-order derivatives. As such, this work represents one of the most direct and pragmatic applications of quantum algorithms to large-scale machine learning models, presumably talking substantial steps towards demonstrating the practical utility of quantum computing.

Opportunities and limitations of explaining quantum machine learning

A common trait of many machine learning models is that it is often difficult to understand and explain what caused the model to produce the given output. While the explainability of neural networks has been an active field of research in the last years, comparably little is known for quantum machine learning models. Despite a few recent works analyzing some specific aspects of explainability, as of now there is no clear big picture perspective as to what can be expected from quantum learning models in terms of explainability. In this work, we address this issue by identifying promising research avenues in this direction and lining out the expected future results. We additionally propose two explanation methods designed specifically for quantum machine learning models, as first of their kind to the best of our knowledge. Next to our pre-view of the field, we compare both existing and novel methods to explain the predictions of quantum learning models. By studying explainability in quantum machine learning, we can contribute to the sustainable development of the field, preventing trust issues in the future.

Interactive proofs for verifying (quantum) learning and testing

We consider the problem of testing and learning from data in the presence of resource constraints, such as limited memory or weak data access, which place limitations on the efficiency and feasibility of testing or learning. In particular, we ask the following question: Could a resource-constrained learner/tester use interaction with a resource-unconstrained but untrusted party to solve a learning or testing problem more efficiently than they could without such an interaction? In this work, we answer this question both abstractly and for concrete problems, in two complementary ways: For a wide variety of scenarios, we prove that a resource-constrained learner cannot gain any advantage through classical interaction with an untrusted prover. As a special case, we show that for the vast majority of testing and learning problems in which quantum memory is a meaningful resource, a memory-constrained quantum algorithm cannot overcome its limitations via classical communication with a memory-unconstrained quantum prover. In contrast, when quantum communication is allowed, we construct a variety of interactive proof protocols, for specific learning and testing problems, which allow memory-constrained quantum verifiers to gain significant advantages through delegation to untrusted provers. These results highlight both the limitations and potential of delegating learning and testing problems to resource-rich but untrusted third parties.