AutoMPC is a Python package that automates and optimizes data-driven model predictive control. However, it can be computationally expensive and unstable when exploring large search spaces using pure Bayesian Optimization (BO). To address these issues, this paper proposes to employ a meta-learning approach called Portfolio that improves AutoMPC's efficiency and stability by warmstarting BO. Portfolio optimizes initial designs for BO using a diverse set of configurations from previous tasks and stabilizes the tuning process by fixing initial configurations instead of selecting them randomly. Experimental results demonstrate that Portfolio outperforms the pure BO in finding desirable solutions for AutoMPC within limited computational resources on 11 nonlinear control simulation benchmarks and 1 physical underwater soft robot dataset.
This paper studies speculative reasoning task on real-world knowledge graphs (KG) that contain both \textit{false negative issue} (i.e., potential true facts being excluded) and \textit{false positive issue} (i.e., unreliable or outdated facts being included). State-of-the-art methods fall short in the speculative reasoning ability, as they assume the correctness of a fact is solely determined by its presence in KG, making them vulnerable to false negative/positive issues. The new reasoning task is formulated as a noisy Positive-Unlabeled learning problem. We propose a variational framework, namely nPUGraph, that jointly estimates the correctness of both collected and uncollected facts (which we call \textit{label posterior}) and updates model parameters during training. The label posterior estimation facilitates speculative reasoning from two perspectives. First, it improves the robustness of a label posterior-aware graph encoder against false positive links. Second, it identifies missing facts to provide high-quality grounds of reasoning. They are unified in a simple yet effective self-training procedure. Empirically, extensive experiments on three benchmark KG and one Twitter dataset with various degrees of false negative/positive cases demonstrate the effectiveness of nPUGraph.