StatABench: Dataset and Framework for Evaluating Statistical Analysis Capabilities of LLMs

Statistical analysis is a broad, complex field requiring both domain knowledge and tool proficiency. While prior work has evaluated large language models (LLMs) in this domain, existing benchmarks remain limited in scope and format. To bridge this gap, we introduce StatABench (Statistical AnalysisBenchmark), a benchmark designed to systematically assess LLMs' statistical analysis capabilities. StatABench comprises two complementary components: Stat-Closed, containing 404 questions across 18 statistical topics in multiple formats (multiple-choice, fill-in-the-blank, decision-making, and practical application), and Stat-Open, featuring 30 complex open-ended modeling tasks adapted from professional competitions. We evaluate diverse LLMs using the LangChain MCP framework and multiple data science agents, and assess Stat-Open solutions via a validated LLM-as-Judge protocol. Experiments show that even GPT-5.1 achieves only 68.6% on Stat-Closed, while the best open-source model reaches 60.6%. On Stat-Open, the top agent framework scores 61.86 on average. These results reveal the gap between current LLMs and reliable statistical analysis, highlighting persistent challenges in tool-grounded reasoning, methodological decision-making, and end-to-end statistical modeling.

Bridging the Agent-World Gap: Text World Models for LLM-based Agents

Large language model (LLM)-based agents are increasingly used in interactive textual environments, from web navigation and code editing to tool use and long-horizon dialogue. Yet many remain largely reactive, mapping observations to actions without an explicit model of how these environments are structured and evolve. This motivates text world models (TWMs): transition models over textual states that, given a state and a candidate action, predict the resulting webpage, terminal output, API response, or user reply, thereby supporting planning, efficient learning, and principled evaluation. We systematically review text world models for LLM-based agents, organized around a formal framework and the agent lifecycle: (1) Foundations, defining text world models and characterizing them by state representation and grounding domain; (2) Construction, taxonomizing LLM-as-WM and code-as-WM paradigms and reviewing methods for building them; (3) Application, examining how world models support agents at training time through experience synthesis and at inference time through planning, verification, and adaptation; and (4) Evaluation, covering both evaluation of the world model itself and its use as an evaluation environment for agents. We aim to consolidate this rapidly developing area, clarify its design space, and highlight open challenges for future research.

Anytime Safe PAC Efficient Reasoning

Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) have demonstrated remarkable performance on complex tasks but suffer from high computational costs and latency. While selective thinking strategies improve efficiency by routing easy queries to non-thinking models, existing approaches often incur uncontrollable errors, especially in online settings where the performance loss of a non-thinking model is only partially observed and data are non-stationary. To address this, we propose Betting Probably Approximately Correct (B-PAC) reasoning, a principled method that enables anytime safe and efficient online reasoning under partial feedback. Specifically, we utilize inverse propensity scoring estimators to construct test supermartingales for candidate thresholds, and then dynamically adjust the routing threshold based on the accumulated statistical evidence of safety. Theoretically, we establish the anytime-valid performance loss control and the efficiency of B-PAC reasoning. Extensive experiments demonstrate that B-PAC reasoning significantly reduces computational overhead, decreasing thinking model usage by up to 81.01\%, while controlling the performance loss below the user-specified level.