Stochastic MPC with Multi-modal Predictions for Traffic Intersections

We propose a Stochastic MPC (SMPC) formulation for autonomous driving at traffic intersections which incorporates multi-modal predictions of surrounding vehicles for collision avoidance constraints. The multi-modal predictions are obtained with Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) and constraints are formulated as chance-constraints. Our main theoretical contribution is a SMPC formulation that optimizes over a novel feedback policy class designed to exploit additional structure in the GMM predictions, and that is amenable to convex programming. The use of feedback policies for prediction is motivated by the need for reduced conservatism in handling multi-modal predictions of the surrounding vehicles, especially prevalent in traffic intersection scenarios. We evaluate our algorithm along axes of mobility, comfort, conservatism and computational efficiency at a simulated intersection in CARLA. Our simulations use a kinematic bicycle model and multimodal predictions trained on a subset of the Lyft Level 5 prediction dataset. To demonstrate the impact of optimizing over feedback policies, we compare our algorithm with two SMPC baselines that handle multi-modal collision avoidance chance constraints by optimizing over open-loop sequences.

ParkPredict: Motion and Intent Prediction of Vehicles in Parking Lots

We investigate the problem of predicting driver behavior in parking lots, an environment which is less structured than typical road networks and features complex, interactive maneuvers in a compact space. Using the CARLA simulator, we develop a parking lot environment and collect a dataset of human parking maneuvers. We then study the impact of model complexity and feature information by comparing a multi-modal Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) prediction model and a Convolution Neural Network LSTM (CNN-LSTM) to a physics-based Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) baseline. Our results show that 1) intent can be estimated well (roughly 85% top-1 accuracy and nearly 100% top-3 accuracy with the LSTM and CNN-LSTM model); 2) knowledge of the human driver's intended parking spot has a major impact on predicting parking trajectory; and 3) the semantic representation of the environment improves long term predictions.

A Hybrid Control Design for Autonomous Vehicles at Uncontrolled Intersections

As autonomous vehicles (AVs) inch closer to reality, a central requirement for acceptance will be earning the trust of humans in everyday driving situations. In particular, the interaction between AVs and pedestrians is of high importance, as every human is a pedestrian at some point of the day. This paper considers the interaction of a pedestrian and an autonomous vehicle at a mid-block, unsignalized intersection where there is ambiguity over when the pedestrian should cross and when and how the vehicle should yield. By modeling pedestrian behavior through the concept of gap acceptance, the authors show that a hybrid controller with just four distinct modes allows an autonomous vehicle to successfully interact with a pedestrian across a continuous spectrum of possible crosswalk entry behaviors. The controller is validated through extensive simulation and compared to an alternate POMDP solution and experimental results are provided on a research vehicle for a virtual pedestrian.