Learnable WSN Deployment of Evidential Collaborative Sensing Model

In wireless sensor networks (WSNs), coverage and deployment are two most crucial issues when conducting detection tasks. However, the detection information collected from sensors is oftentimes not fully utilized and efficiently integrated. Such sensing model and deployment strategy, thereby, cannot reach the maximum quality of coverage, particularly when the amount of sensors within WSNs expands significantly. In this article, we aim at achieving the optimal coverage quality of WSN deployment. We develop a collaborative sensing model of sensors to enhance detection capabilities of WSNs, by leveraging the collaborative information derived from the combination rule under the framework of evidence theory. In this model, the performance evaluation of evidential fusion systems is adopted as the criterion of the sensor selection. A learnable sensor deployment network (LSDNet) considering both sensor contribution and detection capability, is proposed for achieving the optimal deployment of WSNs. Moreover, we deeply investigate the algorithm for finding the requisite minimum number of sensors that realizes the full coverage of WSNs. A series of numerical examples, along with an application of forest area monitoring, are employed to demonstrate the effectiveness and the robustness of the proposed algorithms.

Random Graph Set and Evidence Pattern Reasoning Model

Evidence theory is widely used in decision-making and reasoning systems. In previous research, Transferable Belief Model (TBM) is a commonly used evidential decision making model, but TBM is a non-preference model. In order to better fit the decision making goals, the Evidence Pattern Reasoning Model (EPRM) is proposed. By defining pattern operators and decision making operators, corresponding preferences can be set for different tasks. Random Permutation Set (RPS) expands order information for evidence theory. It is hard for RPS to characterize the complex relationship between samples such as cycling, paralleling relationships. Therefore, Random Graph Set (RGS) were proposed to model complex relationships and represent more event types. In order to illustrate the significance of RGS and EPRM, an experiment of aircraft velocity ranking was designed and 10,000 cases were simulated. The implementation of EPRM called Conflict Resolution Decision optimized 18.17\% of the cases compared to Mean Velocity Decision, effectively improving the aircraft velocity ranking. EPRM provides a unified solution for evidence-based decision making.

Differential Convolutional Fuzzy Time Series Forecasting

Fuzzy time series forecasting (FTSF) is a typical forecasting method with wide application. Traditional FTSF is regarded as an expert system which leads to lose the ability to recognize undefined feature. The mentioned is main reason of poor forecasting with FTSF. To solve the problem, the proposed model Differential Fuzzy Convolutional Neural Network (DFCNN) utilizes convolution neural network to re-implement FTSF with learnable ability. DFCNN is capable of recognizing the potential information and improve the forecasting accuracy. Thanks to learnable ability of neural network, length of fuzzy rules established in FTSF is expended to arbitrary length which expert is not able to be handle by expert system. At the same time, FTSF usually cannot achieve satisfactory performance of non-stationary time series due to trend of non-stationary time series. The trend of non-stationary time series causes the fuzzy set established by FTSF to invalid and cause the forecasting to fail. DFCNN utilizes the Difference algorithm to weaken the non-stationarity of time series, so that DFCNN can forecast the non-stationary time series with low error that FTSF cannot forecast in satisfactory performance. After mass of experiments, DFCNN has excellent prediction effect, which is ahead of the existing FTSF and common time series forecasting algorithms. Finally, DFCNN provides further ideas for improving FTSF and holds continued research value.

Evaluating importance of nodes in complex networks with local volume information dimension

How to evaluate the importance of nodes is essential in research of complex network. There are many methods proposed for solving this problem, but they still have room to be improved. In this paper, a new approach called local volume information dimension is proposed. In this method, the sum of degree of nodes within different distances of central node is calculated. The information within the certain distance is described by the information entropy. Compared to other methods, the proposed method considers the information of the nodes from different distances more comprehensively. For the purpose of showing the effectiveness of the proposed method, experiments on real-world networks are implemented. Promising results indicate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

DVS: Deep Visibility Series and its Application in Construction Cost Index Forecasting

Time series forecasting has always been a hot spot in scientific research. With the development of artificial intelligence, new time series forecasting methods have obtained better forecasting effects and forecasting performance through bionic research and improvements to the past methods. Visibility Graph (VG) algorithm is often used for time series prediction in previous research, but the prediction effect is not as good as deep learning prediction methods such as Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory Network (LSTM) prediction. The VG algorithm contains a wealth of network information, but previous studies did not effectively use the network information to make predictions, resulting in relatively large prediction errors. In order to solve this problem, this paper proposes the Deep Visibility Series (DVS) module through the bionic design of VG and the expansion of the past research, which is the first time to combine VG with bionic design and deep network. By applying the bionic design of biological vision to VG, the time series of DVS has obtained superior forecast accuracy, which has made a contribution to time series forecasting. At the same time, this paper applies the DVS forecasting method to the construction cost index forecast, which has practical significance.

Construction Cost Index Forecasting: A Multi-feature Fusion Approach

The construction cost index is an important indicator in the construction industry. Predicting CCI has great practical significance. This paper combines information fusion with machine learning, and proposes a Multi-feature Fusion framework for time series forecasting. MFF uses a sliding window algorithm and proposes a function sequence to convert the time sequence into a feature sequence for information fusion. MFF replaces the traditional information method with machine learning to achieve information fusion, which greatly improves the CCI prediction effect. MFF is of great significance to CCI and time series forecasting.

Uncertainty Measurement of Basic Probability Assignment Integrity Based on Approximate Entropy in Evidence Theory

Evidence theory is that the extension of probability can better deal with unknowns and inaccurate information. Uncertainty measurement plays a vital role in both evidence theory and probability theory. Approximate Entropy (ApEn) is proposed by Pincus to describe the irregularities of complex systems. The more irregular the time series, the greater the approximate entropy. The ApEn of the network represents the ability of a network to generate new nodes, or the possibility of undiscovered nodes. Through the association of network characteristics and basic probability assignment (BPA) , a measure of the uncertainty of BPA regarding completeness can be obtained. The main contribution of paper is to define the integrity of the basic probability assignment then the approximate entropy of the BPA is proposed to measure the uncertainty of the integrity of the BPA. The proposed method is based on the logical network structure to calculate the uncertainty of BPA in evidence theory. The uncertainty based on the proposed method represents the uncertainty of integrity of BPA and contributes to the identification of the credibility of BPA.

A Fast Evidential Approach for Stock Forecasting

In the framework of evidence theory, data fusion combines the confidence functions of multiple different information sources to obtain a combined confidence function. Stock price prediction is the focus of economics. Stock price forecasts can provide reference data. The Dempster combination rule is a classic method of fusing different information. By using the Dempster combination rule and confidence function based on the entire time series fused at each time point and future time points, and the preliminary forecast value obtained through the time relationship, the accurate forecast value can be restored. This article will introduce the prediction method of evidence theory. This method has good running performance, can make a rapid response on a large amount of stock price data, and has far-reaching significance.

Time series forecasting based on complex network in weighted node similarity

Time series have attracted widespread attention in many fields today. Based on the analysis of complex networks and visibility graph theory, a new time series forecasting method is proposed. In time series analysis, visibility graph theory transforms time series data into a network model. In the network model, the node similarity index is an important factor. On the basis of directly using the node prediction method with the largest similarity, the node similarity index is used as the weight coefficient to optimize the prediction algorithm. Compared with the single-point sampling node prediction algorithm, the multi-point sampling prediction algorithm can provide more accurate prediction values when the data set is sufficient. According to results of experiments on four real-world representative datasets, the method has more accurate forecasting ability and can provide more accurate forecasts in the field of time series and actual scenes.