Adaptive Prediction Ensemble: Improving Out-of-Distribution Generalization of Motion Forecasting

Deep learning-based trajectory prediction models for autonomous driving often struggle with generalization to out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios, sometimes performing worse than simple rule-based models. To address this limitation, we propose a novel framework, Adaptive Prediction Ensemble (APE), which integrates deep learning and rule-based prediction experts. A learned routing function, trained concurrently with the deep learning model, dynamically selects the most reliable prediction based on the input scenario. Our experiments on large-scale datasets, including Waymo Open Motion Dataset (WOMD) and Argoverse, demonstrate improvement in zero-shot generalization across datasets. We show that our method outperforms individual prediction models and other variants, particularly in long-horizon prediction and scenarios with a high proportion of OOD data. This work highlights the potential of hybrid approaches for robust and generalizable motion prediction in autonomous driving.

Towards Scalable & Efficient Interaction-Aware Planning in Autonomous Vehicles using Knowledge Distillation

Real-world driving involves intricate interactions among vehicles navigating through dense traffic scenarios. Recent research focuses on enhancing the interaction awareness of autonomous vehicles to leverage these interactions in decision-making. These interaction-aware planners rely on neural-network-based prediction models to capture inter-vehicle interactions, aiming to integrate these predictions with traditional control techniques such as Model Predictive Control. However, this integration of deep learning-based models with traditional control paradigms often results in computationally demanding optimization problems, relying on heuristic methods. This study introduces a principled and efficient method for combining deep learning with constrained optimization, employing knowledge distillation to train smaller and more efficient networks, thereby mitigating complexity. We demonstrate that these refined networks maintain the problem-solving efficacy of larger models while significantly accelerating optimization. Specifically, in the domain of interaction-aware trajectory planning for autonomous vehicles, we illustrate that training a smaller prediction network using knowledge distillation speeds up optimization without sacrificing accuracy.

Competition-Aware Decision-Making Approach for Mobile Robots in Racing Scenarios

This paper presents a game-theoretic strategy for racing, where the autonomous ego agent seeks to block a racing opponent that aims to overtake the ego agent. After a library of trajectory candidates and an associated reward matrix are constructed, the optimal trajectory in terms of maximizing the cumulative reward over the planning horizon is determined based on the level-K reasoning framework. In particular, the level of the opponent is estimated online according to its behavior over a past window and is then used to determine the trajectory for the ego agent. Taking into account that the opponent may change its level and strategy during the decision process of the ego agent, we introduce a trajectory mixing strategy that blends the level-K optimal trajectory with a fail-safe trajectory. The overall algorithm was tested and evaluated in various simulated racing scenarios, which also includes human-in-the-loop experiments. Comparative analysis against the conventional level-K framework demonstrates the superiority of our proposed approach in terms of overtake-blocking success rates.

Efficient and Interaction-Aware Trajectory Planning for Autonomous Vehicles with Particle Swarm Optimization

This paper introduces a novel numerical approach to achieving smooth lane-change trajectories in autonomous driving scenarios. Our trajectory generation approach leverages particle swarm optimization (PSO) techniques, incorporating Neural Network (NN) predictions for trajectory refinement. The generation of smooth and dynamically feasible trajectories for the lane change maneuver is facilitated by combining polynomial curve fitting with particle propagation, which can account for vehicle dynamics. The proposed planning algorithm is capable of determining feasible trajectories with real-time computation capability. We conduct comparative analyses with two baseline methods for lane changing, involving analytic solutions and heuristic techniques in numerical simulations. The simulation results validate the efficacy and effectiveness of our proposed approach.

Multi-Profile Quadratic Programming (MPQP) for Optimal Gap Selection and Speed Planning of Autonomous Driving

Smooth and safe speed planning is imperative for the successful deployment of autonomous vehicles. This paper presents a mathematical formulation for the optimal speed planning of autonomous driving, which has been validated in high-fidelity simulations and real-road demonstrations with practical constraints. The algorithm explores the inter-traffic gaps in the time and space domain using a breadth-first search. For each gap, quadratic programming finds an optimal speed profile, synchronizing the time and space pair along with dynamic obstacles. Qualitative and quantitative analysis in Carla is reported to discuss the smoothness and robustness of the proposed algorithm. Finally, we present a road demonstration result for urban city driving.

RCMS: Risk-Aware Crash Mitigation System for Autonomous Vehicles

We propose a risk-aware crash mitigation system (RCMS), to augment any existing motion planner (MP), that enables an autonomous vehicle to perform evasive maneuvers in high-risk situations and minimize the severity of collision if a crash is inevitable. In order to facilitate a smooth transition between RCMS and MP, we develop a novel activation mechanism that combines instantaneous as well as predictive collision risk evaluation strategies in a unified hysteresis-band approach. For trajectory planning, we deploy a modular receding horizon optimization-based approach that minimizes a smooth situational risk profile, while adhering to the physical road limits as well as vehicular actuator limits. We demonstrate the performance of our approach in a simulation environment.

SLAS: Speed and Lane Advisory System for Highway Navigation

This paper proposes a hierarchical autonomous vehicle navigation architecture, composed of a high-level speed and lane advisory system (SLAS) coupled with low-level trajectory generation and trajectory following modules. Specifically, we target a multi-lane highway driving scenario where an autonomous ego vehicle navigates in traffic. We propose a novel receding horizon mixed-integer optimization based method for SLAS with the objective to minimize travel time while accounting for passenger comfort. We further incorporate various modifications in the proposed approach to improve the overall computational efficiency and achieve real-time performance. We demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed approach in contrast to the existing methods, when applied in conjunction with state-of-the-art trajectory generation and trajectory following frameworks, in a CARLA simulation environment.

Active Uncertainty Reduction for Safe and Efficient Interaction Planning: A Shielding-Aware Dual Control Approach

The ability to accurately predict the opponent's behavior is central to the safety and efficiency of robotic systems in interactive settings, such as human-robot interaction and multi-robot teaming tasks. Unfortunately, robots often lack access to key information on which these predictions may hinge, such as opponent's goals, attention, and willingness to cooperate. Dual control theory addresses this challenge by treating unknown parameters of a predictive model as hidden states and inferring their values at runtime using information gathered during system operation. While able to optimally and automatically trade off exploration and exploitation, dual control is computationally intractable for general interactive motion planning. In this paper, we present a novel algorithmic approach to enable active uncertainty reduction for interactive motion planning based on the implicit dual control paradigm. Our approach relies on sampling-based approximation of stochastic dynamic programming, leading to a model predictive control problem. The resulting policy is shown to preserve the dual control effect for a broad class of predictive models with both continuous and categorical uncertainty. To ensure the safe operation of the interacting agents, we leverage a supervisory control scheme, oftentimes referred to as ``shielding'', which overrides the ego agent's dual control policy with a safety fallback strategy when a safety-critical event is imminent. We then augment the dual control framework with an improved variant of the recently proposed shielding-aware robust planning scheme, which proactively balances the nominal planning performance with the risk of high-cost emergency maneuvers triggered by low-probability opponent's behaviors. We demonstrate the efficacy of our approach with both simulated driving examples and hardware experiments using 1/10 scale autonomous vehicles.

Predicting Parameters for Modeling Traffic Participants

Accurately modeling the behavior of traffic participants is essential for safely and efficiently navigating an autonomous vehicle through heavy traffic. We propose a method, based on the intelligent driver model, that allows us to accurately model individual driver behaviors from only a small number of frames using easily observable features. On average, this method makes prediction errors that have less than 1 meter difference from an oracle with full-information when analyzed over a 10-second horizon of highway driving. We then validate the efficiency of our method through extensive analysis against a competitive data-driven method such as Reinforcement Learning that may be of independent interest.

Game Theoretic Decision Making by Actively Learning Human Intentions Applied on Autonomous Driving

The ability to estimate human intentions and interact with human drivers intelligently is crucial for autonomous vehicles to successfully achieve their objectives. In this paper, we propose a game theoretic planning algorithm that models human opponents with an iterative reasoning framework and estimates human latent cognitive states through probabilistic inference and active learning. By modeling the interaction as a partially observable Markov decision process with adaptive state and action spaces, our algorithm is able to accomplish real-time lane changing tasks in a realistic driving simulator. We compare our algorithm's lane changing performance in dense traffic with a state-of-the-art autonomous lane changing algorithm to show the advantage of iterative reasoning and active learning in terms of avoiding overly conservative behaviors and achieving the driving objective successfully.