FiP: a Fixed-Point Approach for Causal Generative Modeling

Modeling true world data-generating processes lies at the heart of empirical science. Structural Causal Models (SCMs) and their associated Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) provide an increasingly popular answer to such problems by defining the causal generative process that transforms random noise into observations. However, learning them from observational data poses an ill-posed and NP-hard inverse problem in general. In this work, we propose a new and equivalent formalism that does not require DAGs to describe them, viewed as fixed-point problems on the causally ordered variables, and we show three important cases where they can be uniquely recovered given the topological ordering (TO). To the best of our knowledge, we obtain the weakest conditions for their recovery when TO is known. Based on this, we design a two-stage causal generative model that first infers the causal order from observations in a zero-shot manner, thus by-passing the search, and then learns the generative fixed-point SCM on the ordered variables. To infer TOs from observations, we propose to amortize the learning of TOs on generated datasets by sequentially predicting the leaves of graphs seen during training. To learn fixed-point SCMs, we design a transformer-based architecture that exploits a new attention mechanism enabling the modeling of causal structures, and show that this parameterization is consistent with our formalism. Finally, we conduct an extensive evaluation of each method individually, and show that when combined, our model outperforms various baselines on generated out-of-distribution problems.

The Essential Role of Causality in Foundation World Models for Embodied AI

Recent advances in foundation models, especially in large multi-modal models and conversational agents, have ignited interest in the potential of generally capable embodied agents. Such agents would require the ability to perform new tasks in many different real-world environments. However, current foundation models fail to accurately model physical interactions with the real world thus not sufficient for Embodied AI. The study of causality lends itself to the construction of veridical world models, which are crucial for accurately predicting the outcomes of possible interactions. This paper focuses on the prospects of building foundation world models for the upcoming generation of embodied agents and presents a novel viewpoint on the significance of causality within these. We posit that integrating causal considerations is vital to facilitate meaningful physical interactions with the world. Finally, we demystify misconceptions about causality in this context and present our outlook for future research.

Robust Linear Regression: Phase-Transitions and Precise Tradeoffs for General Norms

In this paper, we investigate the impact of test-time adversarial attacks on linear regression models and determine the optimal level of robustness that any model can reach while maintaining a given level of standard predictive performance (accuracy). Through quantitative estimates, we uncover fundamental tradeoffs between adversarial robustness and accuracy in different regimes. We obtain a precise characterization which distinguishes between regimes where robustness is achievable without hurting standard accuracy and regimes where a tradeoff might be unavoidable. Our findings are empirically confirmed with simple experiments that represent a variety of settings. This work applies to feature covariance matrices and attack norms of any nature, and extends beyond previous works in this area.

Unbalanced Low-rank Optimal Transport Solvers

The relevance of optimal transport methods to machine learning has long been hindered by two salient limitations. First, the $O(n^3)$ computational cost of standard sample-based solvers (when used on batches of $n$ samples) is prohibitive. Second, the mass conservation constraint makes OT solvers too rigid in practice: because they must match \textit{all} points from both measures, their output can be heavily influenced by outliers. A flurry of recent works in OT has addressed these computational and modelling limitations, but has resulted in two separate strains of methods: While the computational outlook was much improved by entropic regularization, more recent $O(n)$ linear-time \textit{low-rank} solvers hold the promise to scale up OT further. On the other hand, modelling rigidities have been eased owing to unbalanced variants of OT, that rely on penalization terms to promote, rather than impose, mass conservation. The goal of this paper is to merge these two strains, to achieve the promise of \textit{both} versatile/scalable unbalanced/low-rank OT solvers. We propose custom algorithms to implement these extensions for the linear OT problem and its Fused-Gromov-Wasserstein generalization, and demonstrate their practical relevance to challenging spatial transcriptomics matching problems.

Polynomial-Time Solvers for the Discrete $\infty$-Optimal Transport Problems

In this note, we propose polynomial-time algorithms solving the Monge and Kantorovich formulations of the $\infty$-optimal transport problem in the discrete and finite setting. It is the first time, to the best of our knowledge, that efficient numerical methods for these problems have been proposed.

Robust Linear Regression: Gradient-descent, Early-stopping, and Beyond

In this work we study the robustness to adversarial attacks, of early-stopping strategies on gradient-descent (GD) methods for linear regression. More precisely, we show that early-stopped GD is optimally robust (up to an absolute constant) against Euclidean-norm adversarial attacks. However, we show that this strategy can be arbitrarily sub-optimal in the case of general Mahalanobis attacks. This observation is compatible with recent findings in the case of classification~\cite{Vardi2022GradientMP} that show that GD provably converges to non-robust models. To alleviate this issue, we propose to apply instead a GD scheme on a transformation of the data adapted to the attack. This data transformation amounts to apply feature-depending learning rates and we show that this modified GD is able to handle any Mahalanobis attack, as well as more general attacks under some conditions. Unfortunately, choosing such adapted transformations can be hard for general attacks. To the rescue, we design a simple and tractable estimator whose adversarial risk is optimal up to within a multiplicative constant of 1.1124 in the population regime, and works for any norm.

Low-rank Optimal Transport: Approximation, Statistics and Debiasing

The matching principles behind optimal transport (OT) play an increasingly important role in machine learning, a trend which can be observed when OT is used to disambiguate datasets in applications (e.g. single-cell genomics) or used to improve more complex methods (e.g. balanced attention in transformers or self-supervised learning). To scale to more challenging problems, there is a growing consensus that OT requires solvers that can operate on millions, not thousands, of points. The low-rank optimal transport (LOT) approach advocated in \cite{scetbon2021lowrank} holds several promises in that regard, and was shown to complement more established entropic regularization approaches, being able to insert itself in more complex pipelines, such as quadratic OT. LOT restricts the search for low-cost couplings to those that have a low-nonnegative rank, yielding linear time algorithms in cases of interest. However, these promises can only be fulfilled if the LOT approach is seen as a legitimate contender to entropic regularization when compared on properties of interest, where the scorecard typically includes theoretical properties (statistical bounds, relation to other methods) or practical aspects (debiasing, hyperparameter tuning, initialization). We target each of these areas in this paper in order to cement the impact of low-rank approaches in computational OT.

Triangular Flows for Generative Modeling: Statistical Consistency, Smoothness Classes, and Fast Rates

Triangular flows, also known as Kn\"{o}the-Rosenblatt measure couplings, comprise an important building block of normalizing flow models for generative modeling and density estimation, including popular autoregressive flow models such as real-valued non-volume preserving transformation models (Real NVP). We present statistical guarantees and sample complexity bounds for triangular flow statistical models. In particular, we establish the statistical consistency and the finite sample convergence rates of the Kullback-Leibler estimator of the Kn\"{o}the-Rosenblatt measure coupling using tools from empirical process theory. Our results highlight the anisotropic geometry of function classes at play in triangular flows, shed light on optimal coordinate ordering, and lead to statistical guarantees for Jacobian flows. We conduct numerical experiments on synthetic data to illustrate the practical implications of our theoretical findings.

An $\ell^p$-based Kernel Conditional Independence Test

We propose a new computationally efficient test for conditional independence based on the $L^{p}$ distance between two kernel-based representatives of well suited distributions. By evaluating the difference of these two representatives at a finite set of locations, we derive a finite dimensional approximation of the $L^{p}$ metric, obtain its asymptotic distribution under the null hypothesis of conditional independence and design a simple statistical test from it. The test obtained is consistent and computationally efficient. We conduct a series of experiments showing that the performance of our new tests outperforms state-of-the-art methods both in term of statistical power and type-I error even in the high dimensional setting.