Automating Psychological Hypothesis Generation with AI: Large Language Models Meet Causal Graph

Leveraging the synergy between causal knowledge graphs and a large language model (LLM), our study introduces a groundbreaking approach for computational hypothesis generation in psychology. We analyzed 43,312 psychology articles using a LLM to extract causal relation pairs. This analysis produced a specialized causal graph for psychology. Applying link prediction algorithms, we generated 130 potential psychological hypotheses focusing on `well-being', then compared them against research ideas conceived by doctoral scholars and those produced solely by the LLM. Interestingly, our combined approach of a LLM and causal graphs mirrored the expert-level insights in terms of novelty, clearly surpassing the LLM-only hypotheses (t(59) = 3.34, p=0.007 and t(59) = 4.32, p<0.001, respectively). This alignment was further corroborated using deep semantic analysis. Our results show that combining LLM with machine learning techniques such as causal knowledge graphs can revolutionize automated discovery in psychology, extracting novel insights from the extensive literature. This work stands at the crossroads of psychology and artificial intelligence, championing a new enriched paradigm for data-driven hypothesis generation in psychological research.

Enhancing Vital Sign Estimation Performance of FMCW MIMO Radar by Prior Human Shape Recognition

Radio technology enabled contact-free human posture and vital sign estimation is promising for health monitoring. Radio systems at millimeter-wave (mmWave) frequencies advantageously bring large bandwidth, multi-antenna array and beam steering capability. \textit{However}, the human point cloud obtained by mmWave radar and utilized for posture estimation is likely to be sparse and incomplete. Additionally, human's random body movements deteriorate the estimation of breathing and heart rates, therefore the information of the chest location and a narrow radar beam toward the chest are demanded for more accurate vital sign estimation. In this paper, we propose a pipeline aiming to enhance the vital sign estimation performance of mmWave FMCW MIMO radar. The first step is to recognize human body part and posture, where we exploit a trained Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) to efficiently process the imperfect human form point cloud. The CNN framework outputs the key point of different body parts, and was trained by using RGB image reference and Augmentative Ellipse Fitting Algorithm (AEFA). The next step is to utilize the chest information of the prior estimated human posture for vital sign estimation. While CNN is initially trained based on the frame-by-frame point clouds of human for posture estimation, the vital signs are extracted through beamforming toward the human chest. The numerical results show that this spatial filtering improves the estimation of the vital signs in regard to lowering the level of side harmonics and detecting the harmonics of vital signs efficiently, i.e., peak-to-average power ratio in the harmonics of vital signal is improved up to 0.02 and 0.07dB for the studied cases.

Channel Modeling for UAV-to-Ground Communications with Posture Variation and Fuselage Scattering Effect

Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-to-ground (U2G) channel models play a pivotal role for reliable communications between UAV and ground terminal. This paper proposes a three-dimensional (3D) non-stationary hybrid model including both large-scale and small-scale fading for U2G multiple-input-multiple-output (MIMO) channels. Distinctive channel characteristics under U2G scenarios, i.e., 3D trajectory and posture of UAV, fuselage scattering effect (FSE), and posture variation fading (PVF), are incorporated into the proposed model. The channel parameters, i.e., path loss (PL), shadow fading (SF), path delay, and path angle, are generated incorporating machine learning (ML) and ray tracing (RT) techniques to capture the structure-related characteristics. In order to guarantee the physical continuity of channel parameters such as Doppler phase and path power, the time evolution methods of inter- and intra- stationary intervals are proposed. Key statistical properties , i.e., temporal autocorrection function (ACF), power delay profile (PDP), level crossing rate (LCR), average fading duration (AFD), and stationary interval (SI) are given, and the impact of the change of fuselage and posture variation is analyzed. It is demonstrated that both posture variation and fuselage scattering have crucial effects on channel characteristics. The validity and practicability of the proposed model are verified by comparing the simulation results with the measured ones.

A Realistic 3D Non-Stationary Channel Model for UAV-to-Vehicle Communications Incorporating Fuselage Posture

Considering the unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) three-dimensional (3D) posture, a novel 3D non-stationary geometry-based stochastic model (GBSM) is proposed for multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) UAV-to-vehicle (U2V) channels. It consists of a line-of-sight (LoS) and non-line-of-sight (NLoS) components. The factor of fuselage posture is considered by introducing a time-variant 3D posture matrix. Some important statistical properties, i.e. the temporal autocorrelation function (ACF) and spatial cross correlation function (CCF), are derived and investigated. Simulation results show that the fuselage posture has significant impact on the U2V channel characteristic and aggravate the non-stationarity. The agreements between analytical, simulated, and measured results verify the correctness of proposed model and derivations. Moreover, it is demonstrated that the proposed model is also compatible to the existing GBSM without considering fuselage posture.

Height-Dependent LoS Probability Model for A2G MmWave Communications under Built-up Scenarios

Based on the three-dimensional propagation characteristic under built-up scenarios, a height-dependent line-of-sight (LoS) probability model for air-to-ground (A2G) millimeter wave (mmWave) communications is proposed in this paper. With comprehensive considerations of scenario factors, i.e., building height distribution, building width, building space, and the heights of transceivers, this paper upgrades the prediction method of International Telecommunication Union-Radio (ITU-R) standard to both low altitude and high altitude cases. In order to speed up the LoS probability prediction, an approximate parametric model is also developed based on the theoretical expression. The simulation results based on ray-tracing (RT) method show that the proposed model has good consistency with existing models at the low altitude. However, it has better performance at the high altitude. The new model can be used for the A2G channel modeling and performance analysis such as cell coverage, outage probability, and bit error rate of A2G communication systems.

Geometry-Based Stochastic Line-of-Sight Probability Model for A2G Channels under Urban Scenarios

Line-of-sight (LoS) path is essential for the reliability of air-to-ground (A2G) communications, but the existence of LoS path is difficult to predict due to random obstacles on the ground. Based on the statistical geographic information and Fresnel clearance zone, a general stochastic LoS probability model for three-dimensional (3D) A2G channels under urban scenarios is developed. By considering the factors, i.e., building height distribution, building width, building space, carrier frequency, and transceiver's heights, the proposed model is suitable for different frequencies and altitudes. Moreover, in order to get a closed-form expression and reduce the computational complexity, an approximate parametric model is also built with the machine-learning (ML) method to estimate model parameters. The simulation results show that the proposed model has good consistency with existing models at the low altitude. When the altitude increases, it has better performance by comparing with that of the ray-tracing Monte-Carlo simulation data. The analytical results of proposed model are helpful for the channel modeling and performance analysis such as cell coverage, outage probability, and bit error rate in A2G communications.

Machine Learning-Based 3D Channel Modeling for U2V mmWave Communications

Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) millimeter wave (mmWave) technologies can provide flexible link and high data rate for future communication networks. By considering the new features of three-dimensional (3D) scattering space, 3D velocity, 3D antenna array, and especially 3D rotations, a machine learning (ML) integrated UAV-to-Vehicle (U2V) mmWave channel model is proposed. Meanwhile, a ML-based network for channel parameter calculation and generation is developed. The deterministic parameters are calculated based on the simplified geometry information, while the random ones are generated by the back propagation based neural network (BPNN) and generative adversarial network (GAN), where the training data set is obtained from massive ray-tracing (RT) simulations. Moreover, theoretical expressions of channel statistical properties, i.e., power delay profile (PDP), autocorrelation function (ACF), Doppler power spectrum density (DPSD), and cross-correlation function (CCF) are derived and analyzed. Finally, the U2V mmWave channel is generated under a typical urban scenario at 28 GHz. The generated PDP and DPSD show good agreement with RT-based results, which validates the effectiveness of proposed method. Moreover, the impact of 3D rotations, which has rarely been reported in previous works, can be observed in the generated CCF and ACF, which are also consistent with the theoretical and measurement results.

Map-based Channel Modeling and Generation for U2V mmWave Communication

Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) aided millimeter wave (mmWave) technologies have a promising prospect in the future communication networks. By considering the factors of three-dimensional (3D) scattering space, 3D trajectory, and 3D antenna array, a non-stationary channel model for UAV-to-vehicle (U2V) mmWave communications is proposed. The computation and generation methods of channel parameters including interpath and intra-path are analyzed in detail. The inter-path parameters are calculated in a deterministic way, while the parameters of intra-path rays are generated in a stochastic way. The statistical properties are obtained by using a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) on the massive ray tracing (RT) data. Then, a modified method of equal areas (MMEA) is developed to generate the random intra-path variables. Meanwhile, to reduce the complexity of RT method, the 3D propagation space is reconstructed based on the user-defined digital map. The simulated and analyzed results show that the proposed model and generation method can reproduce non-stationary U2V channels in accord with U2V scenarios. The generated statistical properties are consistent with the theoretical and measured ones as well.