Cross-Geography Generalization of Machine Learning Methods for Classification of Flooded Regions in Aerial Images

Identification of regions affected by floods is a crucial piece of information required for better planning and management of post-disaster relief and rescue efforts. Traditionally, remote sensing images are analysed to identify the extent of damage caused by flooding. The data acquired from sensors onboard earth observation satellites are analyzed to detect the flooded regions, which can be affected by low spatial and temporal resolution. However, in recent years, the images acquired from Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) have also been utilized to assess post-disaster damage. Indeed, a UAV based platform can be rapidly deployed with a customized flight plan and minimum dependence on the ground infrastructure. This work proposes two approaches for identifying flooded regions in UAV aerial images. The first approach utilizes texture-based unsupervised segmentation to detect flooded areas, while the second uses an artificial neural network on the texture features to classify images as flooded and non-flooded. Unlike the existing works where the models are trained and tested on images of the same geographical regions, this work studies the performance of the proposed model in identifying flooded regions across geographical regions. An F1-score of 0.89 is obtained using the proposed segmentation-based approach which is higher than existing classifiers. The robustness of the proposed approach demonstrates that it can be utilized to identify flooded regions of any region with minimum or no user intervention.

Combining Reinforcement Learning with Model Predictive Control for On-Ramp Merging

We consider the problem of designing an algorithm to allow a car to autonomously merge on to a highway from an on-ramp. Two broad classes of techniques have been proposed to solve motion planning problems in autonomous driving: Model Predictive Control (MPC) and Reinforcement Learning (RL). In this paper, we first establish the strengths and weaknesses of state-of-the-art MPC and RL-based techniques through simulations. We show that the performance of the RL agent is worse than that of the MPC solution from the perspective of safety and robustness to out-of-distribution traffic patterns, i.e., traffic patterns which were not seen by the RL agent during training. On the other hand, the performance of the RL agent is better than that of the MPC solution when it comes to efficiency and passenger comfort. We subsequently present an algorithm which blends the model-free RL agent with the MPC solution and show that it provides better trade-offs between all metrics -- passenger comfort, efficiency, crash rate and robustness.

Provably-Efficient Double Q-Learning

In this paper, we establish a theoretical comparison between the asymptotic mean-squared error of Double Q-learning and Q-learning. Our result builds upon an analysis for linear stochastic approximation based on Lyapunov equations and applies to both tabular setting and with linear function approximation, provided that the optimal policy is unique and the algorithms converge. We show that the asymptotic mean-squared error of Double Q-learning is exactly equal to that of Q-learning if Double Q-learning uses twice the learning rate of Q-learning and outputs the average of its two estimators. We also present some practical implications of this theoretical observation using simulations.

Mixed Logit Models and Network Formation

The study of network formation is pervasive in economics, sociology, and many other fields. In this paper, we model network formation as a ``choice'' that is made by nodes in a network to connect to other nodes. We study these ``choices'' using discrete-choice models, in which an agent chooses between two or more discrete alternatives. One framework for studying network formation is the multinomial logit (MNL) model. We highlight limitations of the MNL model on networks that are constructed from empirical data. We employ the ``repeated choice'' (RC) model to study network formation \cite{TrainRevelt97mixedlogit}. We argue that the RC model overcomes important limitations of the MNL model and is well-suited to study network formation. We also illustrate how to use the RC model to accurately study network formation using both synthetic and real-world networks. Using synthetic networks, we also compare the performance of the MNL model and the RC model; we find that the RC model estimates the data-generation process of our synthetic networks more accurately than the MNL model. We provide examples of qualitatively interesting questions -- the presence of homophily in a teen friendship network and the fact that new patents are more likely to cite older, more cited, and similar patents -- for which the RC model allows us to achieve insights.

Finite-Time Performance Bounds and Adaptive Learning Rate Selection for Two Time-Scale Reinforcement Learning

We study two time-scale linear stochastic approximation algorithms, which can be used to model well-known reinforcement learning algorithms such as GTD, GTD2, and TDC. We present finite-time performance bounds for the case where the learning rate is fixed. The key idea in obtaining these bounds is to use a Lyapunov function motivated by singular perturbation theory for linear differential equations. We use the bound to design an adaptive learning rate scheme which significantly improves the convergence rate over the known optimal polynomial decay rule in our experiments, and can be used to potentially improve the performance of any other schedule where the learning rate is changed at pre-determined time instants.

Almost Boltzmann Exploration

Boltzmann exploration is widely used in reinforcement learning to provide a trade-off between exploration and exploitation. Recently, in (Cesa-Bianchi et al., 2017) it has been shown that pure Boltzmann exploration does not perform well from a regret perspective, even in the simplest setting of stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) problems. In this paper, we show that a simple modification to Boltzmann exploration, motivated by a variation of the standard doubling trick, achieves $O(K\log^{1+\alpha} T)$ regret for a stochastic MAB problem with $K$ arms, where $\alpha>0$ is a parameter of the algorithm. This improves on the result in (Cesa-Bianchi et al., 2017), where an algorithm inspired by the Gumbel-softmax trick achieves $O(K\log^2 T)$ regret. We also show that our algorithm achieves $O(\beta(G) \log^{1+\alpha} T)$ regret in stochastic MAB problems with graph-structured feedback, without knowledge of the graph structure, where $\beta(G)$ is the independence number of the feedback graph. Additionally, we present extensive experimental results on real datasets and applications for multi-armed bandits with both traditional bandit feedback and graph-structured feedback. In all cases, our algorithm performs as well or better than the state-of-the-art.

Multimodal Content Analysis for Effective Advertisements on YouTube

The rapid advances in e-commerce and Web 2.0 technologies have greatly increased the impact of commercial advertisements on the general public. As a key enabling technology, a multitude of recommender systems exists which analyzes user features and browsing patterns to recommend appealing advertisements to users. In this work, we seek to study the characteristics or attributes that characterize an effective advertisement and recommend a useful set of features to aid the designing and production processes of commercial advertisements. We analyze the temporal patterns from multimedia content of advertisement videos including auditory, visual and textual components, and study their individual roles and synergies in the success of an advertisement. The objective of this work is then to measure the effectiveness of an advertisement, and to recommend a useful set of features to advertisement designers to make it more successful and approachable to users. Our proposed framework employs the signal processing technique of cross modality feature learning where data streams from different components are employed to train separate neural network models and are then fused together to learn a shared representation. Subsequently, a neural network model trained on this joint feature embedding representation is utilized as a classifier to predict advertisement effectiveness. We validate our approach using subjective ratings from a dedicated user study, the sentiment strength of online viewer comments, and a viewer opinion metric of the ratio of the Likes and Views received by each advertisement from an online platform.