Obeying the Order: Introducing Ordered Transfer Hyperparameter Optimisation

We introduce ordered transfer hyperparameter optimisation (OTHPO), a version of transfer learning for hyperparameter optimisation (HPO) where the tasks follow a sequential order. Unlike for state-of-the-art transfer HPO, the assumption is that each task is most correlated to those immediately before it. This matches many deployed settings, where hyperparameters are retuned as more data is collected; for instance tuning a sequence of movie recommendation systems as more movies and ratings are added. We propose a formal definition, outline the differences to related problems and propose a basic OTHPO method that outperforms state-of-the-art transfer HPO. We empirically show the importance of taking order into account using ten benchmarks. The benchmarks are in the setting of gradually accumulating data, and span XGBoost, random forest, approximate k-nearest neighbor, elastic net, support vector machines and a separate real-world motivated optimisation problem. We open source the benchmarks to foster future research on ordered transfer HPO.

Optimizing Hyperparameters with Conformal Quantile Regression

Many state-of-the-art hyperparameter optimization (HPO) algorithms rely on model-based optimizers that learn surrogate models of the target function to guide the search. Gaussian processes are the de facto surrogate model due to their ability to capture uncertainty but they make strong assumptions about the observation noise, which might not be warranted in practice. In this work, we propose to leverage conformalized quantile regression which makes minimal assumptions about the observation noise and, as a result, models the target function in a more realistic and robust fashion which translates to quicker HPO convergence on empirical benchmarks. To apply our method in a multi-fidelity setting, we propose a simple, yet effective, technique that aggregates observed results across different resource levels and outperforms conventional methods across many empirical tasks.

HPOBench: A Collection of Reproducible Multi-Fidelity Benchmark Problems for HPO

To achieve peak predictive performance, hyperparameter optimization (HPO) is a crucial component of machine learning and its applications. Over the last years,the number of efficient algorithms and tools for HPO grew substantially. At the same time, the community is still lacking realistic, diverse, computationally cheap,and standardized benchmarks. This is especially the case for multi-fidelity HPO methods. To close this gap, we propose HPOBench, which includes 7 existing and 5 new benchmark families, with in total more than 100 multi-fidelity benchmark problems. HPOBench allows to run this extendable set of multi-fidelity HPO benchmarks in a reproducible way by isolating and packaging the individual benchmarks in containers. It also provides surrogate and tabular benchmarks for computationally affordable yet statistically sound evaluations. To demonstrate the broad compatibility of HPOBench and its usefulness, we conduct an exemplary large-scale study evaluating 6 well known multi-fidelity HPO tools.

Overfitting in Bayesian Optimization: an empirical study and early-stopping solution

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a successful methodology to tune the hyperparameters of machine learning algorithms. The user defines a metric of interest, such as the validation error, and BO finds the optimal hyperparameters that minimize it. However, the metric improvements on the validation set may not translate to the test set, especially on small datasets. In other words, BO can overfit. While cross-validation mitigates this, it comes with high computational cost. In this paper, we carry out the first systematic investigation of overfitting in BO and demonstrate that this is a serious yet often overlooked concern in practice. We propose the first problem-adaptive and interpretable criterion to early stop BO, reducing overfitting while mitigating the cost of cross-validation. Experimental results on real-world hyperparameter optimization tasks show that our approach can substantially reduce compute time with little to no loss of test accuracy,demonstrating a clear practical advantage over existing techniques.

Hyperparameter Transfer Learning with Adaptive Complexity

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sample efficient approach to automatically tune the hyperparameters of machine learning models. In practice, one frequently has to solve similar hyperparameter tuning problems sequentially. For example, one might have to tune a type of neural network learned across a series of different classification problems. Recent work on multi-task BO exploits knowledge gained from previous tuning tasks to speed up a new tuning task. However, previous approaches do not account for the fact that BO is a sequential decision making procedure. Hence, there is in general a mismatch between the number of evaluations collected in the current tuning task compared to the number of evaluations accumulated in all previously completed tasks. In this work, we enable multi-task BO to compensate for this mismatch, such that the transfer learning procedure is able to handle different data regimes in a principled way. We propose a new multi-task BO method that learns a set of ordered, non-linear basis functions of increasing complexity via nested drop-out and automatic relevance determination. Experiments on a variety of hyperparameter tuning problems show that our method improves the sample ef

BORE: Bayesian Optimization by Density-Ratio Estimation

Bayesian optimization (BO) is among the most effective and widely-used blackbox optimization methods. BO proposes solutions according to an explore-exploit trade-off criterion encoded in an acquisition function, many of which are computed from the posterior predictive of a probabilistic surrogate model. Prevalent among these is the expected improvement (EI) function. The need to ensure analytical tractability of the predictive often poses limitations that can hinder the efficiency and applicability of BO. In this paper, we cast the computation of EI as a binary classification problem, building on the link between class-probability estimation and density-ratio estimation, and the lesser-known link between density-ratios and EI. By circumventing the tractability constraints, this reformulation provides numerous advantages, not least in terms of expressiveness, versatility, and scalability.

Model-based Asynchronous Hyperparameter Optimization

We introduce a model-based asynchronous multi-fidelity hyperparameter optimization (HPO) method, combining strengths of asynchronous Hyperband and Gaussian process-based Bayesian optimization. Our method obtains substantial speed-ups in wall-clock time over, both, synchronous and asynchronous Hyperband, as well as a prior model-based extension of the former. Candidate hyperparameters to evaluate are selected by a novel jointly dependent Gaussian process-based surrogate model over all resource levels, allowing evaluations at one level to be informed by evaluations gathered at all others. We benchmark several covariance functions and conduct extensive experiments on hyperparameter tuning for multi-layer perceptrons on tabular data, convolutional networks on image classification, and recurrent networks on language modelling, demonstrating the benefits of our approach.

Probabilistic Rollouts for Learning Curve Extrapolation Across Hyperparameter Settings

We propose probabilistic models that can extrapolate learning curves of iterative machine learning algorithms, such as stochastic gradient descent for training deep networks, based on training data with variable-length learning curves. We study instantiations of this framework based on random forests and Bayesian recurrent neural networks. Our experiments show that these models yield better predictions than state-of-the-art models from the hyperparameter optimization literature when extrapolating the performance of neural networks trained with different hyperparameter settings.

Meta-Surrogate Benchmarking for Hyperparameter Optimization

Despite the recent progress in hyperparameter optimization (HPO), available benchmarks that resemble real-world scenarios consist of a few and very large problem instances that are expensive to solve. This blocks researchers and practitioners not only from systematically running large-scale comparisons that are needed to draw statistically significant results but also from reproducing experiments that were conducted before. This work proposes a method to alleviate these issues by means of a meta-surrogate model for HPO tasks trained on off-line generated data. The model combines a probabilistic encoder with a multi-task model such that it can generate inexpensive and realistic tasks of the class of problems of interest. We demonstrate that benchmarking HPO methods on samples of the generative model allows us to draw more coherent and statistically significant conclusions that can be reached orders of magnitude faster than using the original tasks. We provide evidence of our findings for various HPO methods on a wide class of problems.

Tabular Benchmarks for Joint Architecture and Hyperparameter Optimization

Due to the high computational demands executing a rigorous comparison between hyperparameter optimization (HPO) methods is often cumbersome. The goal of this paper is to facilitate a better empirical evaluation of HPO methods by providing benchmarks that are cheap to evaluate, but still represent realistic use cases. We believe these benchmarks provide an easy and efficient way to conduct reproducible experiments for neural hyperparameter search. Our benchmarks consist of a large grid of configurations of a feed forward neural network on four different regression datasets including architectural hyperparameters and hyperparameters concerning the training pipeline. Based on this data, we performed an in-depth analysis to gain a better understanding of the properties of the optimization problem, as well as of the importance of different types of hyperparameters. Second, we exhaustively compared various different state-of-the-art methods from the hyperparameter optimization literature on these benchmarks in terms of performance and robustness.