KairosVL: Orchestrating Time Series and Semantics for Unified Reasoning

Driven by the increasingly complex and decision-oriented demands of time series analysis, we introduce the Semantic-Conditional Time Series Reasoning task, which extends conventional time series analysis beyond purely numerical modeling to incorporate contextual and semantic understanding. To further enhance the mode's reasoning capabilities on complex time series problems, we propose a two-round reinforcement learning framework: the first round strengthens the mode's perception of fundamental temporal primitives, while the second focuses on semantic-conditioned reasoning. The resulting model, KairosVL, achieves competitive performance across both synthetic and real-world tasks. Extensive experiments and ablation studies demonstrate that our framework not only boosts performance but also preserves intrinsic reasoning ability and significantly improves generalization to unseen scenarios. To summarize, our work highlights the potential of combining semantic reasoning with temporal modeling and provides a practical framework for real-world time series intelligence, which is in urgent demand.

Hybrid Quantum Temporal Convolutional Networks

Quantum machine learning models for sequential data face scalability challenges with complex multivariate signals. We introduce the Hybrid Quantum Temporal Convolutional Network (HQTCN), which combines classical temporal windowing with a quantum convolutional neural network core. By applying a shared quantum circuit across temporal windows, HQTCN captures long-range dependencies while achieving significant parameter reduction. Evaluated on synthetic NARMA sequences and high-dimensional EEG time-series, HQTCN performs competitively with classical baselines on univariate data and outperforms all baselines on multivariate tasks. The model demonstrates particular strength under data-limited conditions, maintaining high performance with substantially fewer parameters than conventional approaches. These results establish HQTCN as a parameter-efficient approach for multivariate time-series analysis.

Unpaired Cross-Domain Calibration of DMSP to VIIRS Nighttime Light Data Based on CUT Network

Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP-OLS) and Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (SNPP-VIIRS) nighttime light (NTL) data are vital for monitoring urbanization, yet sensor incompatibilities hinder long-term analysis. This study proposes a cross-sensor calibration method using Contrastive Unpaired Translation (CUT) network to transform DMSP data into VIIRS-like format, correcting DMSP defects. The method employs multilayer patch-wise contrastive learning to maximize mutual information between corresponding patches, preserving content consistency while learning cross-domain similarity. Utilizing 2012-2013 overlapping data for training, the network processes 1992-2013 DMSP imagery to generate enhanced VIIRS-style raster data. Validation results demonstrate that generated VIIRS-like data exhibits high consistency with actual VIIRS observations (R-squared greater than 0.87) and socioeconomic indicators. This approach effectively resolves cross-sensor data fusion issues and calibrates DMSP defects, providing reliable attempt for extended NTL time-series.

Cross-Task Benchmarking of CNN Architectures

This project provides a comparative study of dynamic convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for various tasks, including image classification, segmentation, and time series analysis. Based on the ResNet-18 architecture, we compare five variants of CNNs: the vanilla CNN, the hard attention-based CNN, the soft attention-based CNN with local (pixel-wise) and global (image-wise) feature attention, and the omni-directional CNN (ODConv). Experiments on Tiny ImageNet, Pascal VOC, and the UCR Time Series Classification Archive illustrate that attention mechanisms and dynamic convolution methods consistently exceed conventional CNNs in accuracy, efficiency, and computational performance. ODConv was especially effective on morphologically complex images by being able to dynamically adjust to varying spatial patterns. Dynamic CNNs enhanced feature representation and cross-task generalization through adaptive kernel modulation. This project provides perspectives on advanced CNN design architecture for multiplexed data modalities and indicates promising directions in neural network engineering.

ConTSG-Bench: A Unified Benchmark for Conditional Time Series Generation

Conditional time series generation plays a critical role in addressing data scarcity and enabling causal analysis in real-world applications. Despite its increasing importance, the field lacks a standardized and systematic benchmarking framework for evaluating generative models across diverse conditions. To address this gap, we introduce the Conditional Time Series Generation Benchmark (ConTSG-Bench). ConTSG-Bench comprises a large-scale, well-aligned dataset spanning diverse conditioning modalities and levels of semantic abstraction, first enabling systematic evaluation of representative generation methods across these dimensions with a comprehensive suite of metrics for generation fidelity and condition adherence. Both the quantitative benchmarking and in-depth analyses of conditional generation behaviors have revealed the traits and limitations of the current approaches, highlighting critical challenges and promising research directions, particularly with respect to precise structural controllability and downstream task utility under complex conditions.

Towards plausibility in time series counterfactual explanations

We present a new method for generating plausible counterfactual explanations for time series classification problems. The approach performs gradient-based optimization directly in the input space. To enforce plausibility, we integrate soft-DTW (dynamic time warping) alignment with $k$-nearest neighbors from the target class, which effectively encourages the generated counterfactuals to adopt a realistic temporal structure. The overall optimization objective is a multi-faceted loss function that balances key counterfactual properties. It incorporates losses for validity, sparsity, and proximity, alongside the novel soft-DTW-based plausibility component. We conduct an evaluation of our method against several strong reference approaches, measuring the key properties of the generated counterfactuals across multiple dimensions. The results demonstrate that our method achieves competitive performance in validity while significantly outperforming existing approaches in distributional alignment with the target class, indicating superior temporal realism. Furthermore, a qualitative analysis highlights the critical limitations of existing methods in preserving realistic temporal structure. This work shows that the proposed method consistently generates counterfactual explanations for time series classifiers that are not only valid but also highly plausible and consistent with temporal patterns.

Temporal-Conditioned Normalizing Flows for Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection

This paper introduces temporal-conditioned normalizing flows (tcNF), a novel framework that addresses anomaly detection in time series data with accurate modeling of temporal dependencies and uncertainty. By conditioning normalizing flows on previous observations, tcNF effectively captures complex temporal dynamics and generates accurate probability distributions of expected behavior. This autoregressive approach enables robust anomaly detection by identifying low-probability events within the learned distribution. We evaluate tcNF on diverse datasets, demonstrating good accuracy and robustness compared to existing methods. A comprehensive analysis of strengths and limitations and open-source code is provided to facilitate reproducibility and future research.

Multimodal Deep Learning for Early Prediction of Patient Deterioration in the ICU: Integrating Time-Series EHR Data with Clinical Notes

Early identification of patients at risk for clinical deterioration in the intensive care unit (ICU) remains a critical challenge. Delayed recognition of impending adverse events, including mortality, vasopressor initiation, and mechanical ventilation, contributes to preventable morbidity and mortality. We present a multimodal deep learning approach that combines structured time-series data (vital signs and laboratory values) with unstructured clinical notes to predict patient deterioration within 24 hours. Using the MIMIC-IV database, we constructed a cohort of 74,822 ICU stays and generated 5.7 million hourly prediction samples. Our architecture employs a bidirectional LSTM encoder for temporal patterns in physiologic data and ClinicalBERT embeddings for clinical notes, fused through a cross-modal attention mechanism. We also present a systematic review of existing approaches to ICU deterioration prediction, identifying 31 studies published between 2015 and 2024. Most existing models rely solely on structured data and achieve area under the curve (AUC) values between 0.70 and 0.85. Studies incorporating clinical notes remain rare but show promise for capturing information not present in structured fields. Our multimodal model achieves a test AUROC of 0.7857 and AUPRC of 0.1908 on 823,641 held-out samples, with a validation-to-test gap of only 0.6 percentage points. Ablation analysis validates the multimodal approach: clinical notes improve AUROC by 2.5 percentage points and AUPRC by 39.2% relative to a structured-only baseline, while deep learning models consistently outperform classical baselines (XGBoost AUROC: 0.7486, logistic regression: 0.7171). This work contributes both a thorough review of the field and a reproducible multimodal framework for clinical deterioration prediction.

Geometric Framework for Robust Order Detection in Delay-Coordinates Dynamic Mode Decomposition

Delay-coordinates dynamic mode decomposition (DC-DMD) is widely used to extract coherent spatiotemporal modes from high-dimensional time series. A central challenge is distinguishing dynamically meaningful modes from spurious modes induced by noise and order overestimation. We show that model order detection and mode selection in DC-DMD are fundamentally problems of subspace geometry. Specifically, true modes are characterized by concentration within a low-dimensional signal subspace, whereas spurious modes necessarily retain non-negligible components outside any moderate overestimate of that subspace. This geometric distinction yields a perturbation-robust definition of true and spurious modes and yields fully data-driven selection criteria. This geometric framework leads to two complementary data-driven selection criteria. The first is derived directly from the geometric distinction and uses a data-driven proxy of the signal-subspace to compute a residual score. The second arises from a new operator-theoretic analysis of delay embedding. Using a block-companion formulation, we show that all modes exhibit a Kronecker-Vandermonde (KV) structure induced by the delay-coordinates, and true modes are distinguished by the degree to which they conform to it. Importantly, we also show that this deviation is governed precisely by the geometric residual. In addition, our analysis provides a principled explanation for the empirical behavior of magnitude- and norm-based heuristics, clarifying when and why they fail under delay-coordinates. Extensive numerical experiments confirm the theoretical predictions and demonstrate that the proposed geometric and structure-based methods achieve robust and accurate order detection and mode selection, consistently better than existing baselines across noise levels, spectral separations, damping regimes, and embedding lengths.

LaSTR: Language-Driven Time-Series Segment Retrieval

Effectively searching time-series data is essential for system analysis, but existing methods often require expert-designed similarity criteria or rely on global, series-level descriptions. We study language-driven segment retrieval: given a natural language query, the goal is to retrieve relevant local segments from large time-series repositories. We build large-scale segment--caption training data by applying TV2-based segmentation to LOTSA windows and generating segment descriptions with GPT-5.2, and then train a Conformer-based contrastive retriever in a shared text--time-series embedding space. On a held-out test split, we evaluate single-positive retrieval together with caption-side consistency (SBERT and VLM-as-a-judge) under multiple candidate pool sizes. Across all settings, LaSTR outperforms random and CLIP baselines, yielding improved ranking quality and stronger semantic agreement between retrieved segments and query intent.