Where Will They Go? Modelling Multimodal Pedestrian Manoeuvres from Ego-centric Videos

Pedestrian trajectory prediction from an ego-centric camera is challenging since it depends on complex interactions with vehicles and scene context, as well as the intention of the pedestrian. By modelling correlation and intent from the historical and future trajectories of the pedestrian, it will usually result in a multimodal (i.e. multiple modes) distribution. Existing stochastic predictors often sample multiple futures from a single unimodal distribution, which can yield sub-optimal 'mixed-mode' trajectories that lie between distinct motion patterns and become implausible in real scenes. In this paper, we propose MMPM, a mode-aware framework that separately models future trajectory distributions into semantically meaningful modes based on the pedestrian's crossing behavior. MMPM consists of two modules: behavior-aware Pedestrian Interaction Module (PIM) that jointly captures pedestrian-vehicle and pedestrian-environment interactions by introducing gaze, head and hand gesture, and a CVAE-based Mode-aware Trajectory Predictor (MTP) module to model the future trajectory distributions on two modes, crossing and non-crossing the road, separately. A query-based decoder further enforces mode consistency during decoding. Experiments on PIE and JAAD datasets show that our method surpasses state-of-the-art baselines. Our proposed MTP is model-agnostic, which can be integrated into existing frameworks such as BiTrap-NP and SGNet-ED to further improve future trajectory prediction performance. We additionally introduce a data-driven validation protocol that matches predictions to spatio-temporally consistent ground-truth trajectories, demonstrating improved frame-wise displacement errors over previous work.

MUSCLE-NET: Predicted-Multiscale-Aware Network for Pedestrian Trajectory Forecasting

Accurate pedestrian trajectory prediction is essential for safe navigation in autonomous driving and intelligent transportation systems. Despite substantial progress made by recent methods, most existing approaches are limited in fully exploiting diverse observations and often overlook the scale dependency of future motion, treating multiscale features uniformly regardless of underlying motion dynamics. This limits their robustness across diverse pedestrian behaviors. To address these challenges, we propose a Predicted-MUltiSCale-Aware Network (MUSCLE-NET) for Pedestrian Trajectory Forecasting that integrates complementary multimodal cues with scale-adaptive prediction mechanisms. The proposed framework is built upon a Multiscale Multimodal Feature Extraction (MMFE) module, which combines multiscale representation, modality-aware recalibration, and directional cross-modal fusion to construct semantically aligned representations from bounding boxes, velocities, and pose information. Building on these features, a Multiscale Enhanced Hierarchical Prediction (MEHP) module performs prediction-aware future-motion refinement via a probabilistic coarse predictor, scale-aligned fusion, and progressive refinement, adaptively selecting scale-relevant cues to mitigate spatial drift. Extensive experiments on the JAAD and PIE benchmarks demonstrate that the proposed MUSCLE-Net achieves competitive performance and consistent gains compared with state-of-the-art trajectory prediction methods.

PEDESTRIANQA: A Benchmark for Vision-Language Models on Pedestrian Intention and Trajectory Prediction

Pedestrian intention and trajectory prediction are critical for the safe deployment of autonomous driving systems, directly influencing navigation decisions in complex traffic environments. Recent advances in large vision-language models offer a powerful new paradigm for these tasks by combining high-capacity visual understanding with flexible natural language reasoning. In this work, we introduce PedestrianQA, a large-scale video-based dataset that formulates pedestrian intention and trajectory prediction as question-answering tasks augmented with structured rationales. PedestrianQA expresses richly annotated pedestrian sequences, in natural language, enabling VLMs to learn from visual dynamics, contextual cues, and interactions among traffic agents while generating concise explanations of their predictions without needing specialized architectures tailored for each task. Empirical evaluations across PIE, JAAD, TITAN, and IDD-PeD show that finetuning state-of-the-art VLMs on PedestrianQA significantly improves intention classification, trajectory forecasting accuracy, and the quality of explanatory rationales, demonstrating the strong potential of VLMs as a unified and explainable framework for safety-critical pedestrian behavior modeling.

TrajMamba: An Ego-Motion-Guided Mamba Model for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction from an Egocentric Perspective

Future trajectory prediction of a tracked pedestrian from an egocentric perspective is a key task in areas such as autonomous driving and robot navigation. The challenge of this task lies in the complex dynamic relative motion between the ego-camera and the tracked pedestrian. To address this challenge, we propose an ego-motion-guided trajectory prediction network based on the Mamba model. Firstly, two Mamba models are used as encoders to extract pedestrian motion and ego-motion features from pedestrian movement and ego-vehicle movement, respectively. Then, an ego-motion guided Mamba decoder that explicitly models the relative motion between the pedestrian and the vehicle by integrating pedestrian motion features as historical context with ego-motion features as guiding cues to capture decoded features. Finally, the future trajectory is generated from the decoded features corresponding to the future timestamps. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model, which achieves state-of-the-art performance on the PIE and JAAD datasets.

VIT-Ped: Visionary Intention Transformer for Pedestrian Behavior Analysis

Pedestrian Intention prediction is one of the key technologies in the transition from level 3 to level 4 autonomous driving. To understand pedestrian crossing behaviour, several elements and features should be taken into consideration to make the roads of tomorrow safer for everybody. We introduce a transformer / video vision transformer based algorithm of different sizes which uses different data modalities .We evaluated our algorithms on popular pedestrian behaviour dataset, JAAD, and have reached SOTA performance and passed the SOTA in metrics like Accuracy, AUC and F1-score. The advantages brought by different model design choices are investigated via extensive ablation studies.

DVS-PedX: Synthetic-and-Real Event-Based Pedestrian Dataset

Event cameras like Dynamic Vision Sensors (DVS) report micro-timed brightness changes instead of full frames, offering low latency, high dynamic range, and motion robustness. DVS-PedX (Dynamic Vision Sensor Pedestrian eXploration) is a neuromorphic dataset designed for pedestrian detection and crossing-intention analysis in normal and adverse weather conditions across two complementary sources: (1) synthetic event streams generated in the CARLA simulator for controlled "approach-cross" scenes under varied weather and lighting; and (2) real-world JAAD dash-cam videos converted to event streams using the v2e tool, preserving natural behaviors and backgrounds. Each sequence includes paired RGB frames, per-frame DVS "event frames" (33 ms accumulations), and frame-level labels (crossing vs. not crossing). We also provide raw AEDAT 2.0/AEDAT 4.0 event files and AVI DVS video files and metadata for flexible re-processing. Baseline spiking neural networks (SNNs) using SpikingJelly illustrate dataset usability and reveal a sim-to-real gap, motivating domain adaptation and multimodal fusion. DVS-PedX aims to accelerate research in event-based pedestrian safety, intention prediction, and neuromorphic perception.

Temporal-contextual Event Learning for Pedestrian Crossing Intent Prediction

Ensuring the safety of vulnerable road users through accurate prediction of pedestrian crossing intention (PCI) plays a crucial role in the context of autonomous and assisted driving. Analyzing the set of observation video frames in ego-view has been widely used in most PCI prediction methods to forecast the cross intent. However, they struggle to capture the critical events related to pedestrian behaviour along the temporal dimension due to the high redundancy of the video frames, which results in the sub-optimal performance of PCI prediction. Our research addresses the challenge by introducing a novel approach called \underline{T}emporal-\underline{c}ontextual Event \underline{L}earning (TCL). The TCL is composed of the Temporal Merging Module (TMM), which aims to manage the redundancy by clustering the observed video frames into multiple key temporal events. Then, the Contextual Attention Block (CAB) is employed to adaptively aggregate multiple event features along with visual and non-visual data. By synthesizing the temporal feature extraction and contextual attention on the key information across the critical events, TCL can learn expressive representation for the PCI prediction. Extensive experiments are carried out on three widely adopted datasets, including PIE, JAAD-beh, and JAAD-all. The results show that TCL substantially surpasses the state-of-the-art methods. Our code can be accessed at https://github.com/dadaguailhb/TCL.

SGNetPose+: Stepwise Goal-Driven Networks with Pose Information for Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving

Predicting pedestrian trajectories is essential for autonomous driving systems, as it significantly enhances safety and supports informed decision-making. Accurate predictions enable the prevention of collisions, anticipation of crossing intent, and improved overall system efficiency. In this study, we present SGNetPose+, an enhancement of the SGNet architecture designed to integrate skeleton information or body segment angles with bounding boxes to predict pedestrian trajectories from video data to avoid hazards in autonomous driving. Skeleton information was extracted using a pose estimation model, and joint angles were computed based on the extracted joint data. We also apply temporal data augmentation by horizontally flipping video frames to increase the dataset size and improve performance. Our approach achieves state-of-the-art results on the JAAD and PIE datasets using pose data with the bounding boxes, outperforming the SGNet model. Code is available on Github: SGNetPose+.

Can Reasons Help Improve Pedestrian Intent Estimation? A Cross-Modal Approach

With the increased importance of autonomous navigation systems has come an increasing need to protect the safety of Vulnerable Road Users (VRUs) such as pedestrians. Predicting pedestrian intent is one such challenging task, where prior work predicts the binary cross/no-cross intention with a fusion of visual and motion features. However, there has been no effort so far to hedge such predictions with human-understandable reasons. We address this issue by introducing a novel problem setting of exploring the intuitive reasoning behind a pedestrian's intent. In particular, we show that predicting the 'WHY' can be very useful in understanding the 'WHAT'. To this end, we propose a novel, reason-enriched PIE++ dataset consisting of multi-label textual explanations/reasons for pedestrian intent. We also introduce a novel multi-task learning framework called MINDREAD, which leverages a cross-modal representation learning framework for predicting pedestrian intent as well as the reason behind the intent. Our comprehensive experiments show significant improvement of 5.6% and 7% in accuracy and F1-score for the task of intent prediction on the PIE++ dataset using MINDREAD. We also achieved a 4.4% improvement in accuracy on a commonly used JAAD dataset. Extensive evaluation using quantitative/qualitative metrics and user studies shows the effectiveness of our approach.

GTransPDM: A Graph-embedded Transformer with Positional Decoupling for Pedestrian Crossing Intention Prediction

Understanding and predicting pedestrian crossing behavioral intention is crucial for autonomous vehicles driving safety. Nonetheless, challenges emerge when using promising images or environmental context masks to extract various factors for time-series network modeling, causing pre-processing errors or a loss in efficiency. Typically, pedestrian positions captured by onboard cameras are often distorted and do not accurately reflect their actual movements. To address these issues, GTransPDM -- a Graph-embedded Transformer with a Position Decoupling Module -- was developed for pedestrian crossing intention prediction by leveraging multi-modal features. First, a positional decoupling module was proposed to decompose the pedestrian lateral movement and simulate depth variations in the image view. Then, a graph-embedded Transformer was designed to capture the spatial-temporal dynamics of human pose skeletons, integrating essential factors such as position, skeleton, and ego-vehicle motion. Experimental results indicate that the proposed method achieves 92% accuracy on the PIE dataset and 87% accuracy on the JAAD dataset, with a processing speed of 0.05ms. It outperforms the state-of-the-art in comparison.