Certified Human Trajectory Prediction

Trajectory prediction plays an essential role in autonomous vehicles. While numerous strategies have been developed to enhance the robustness of trajectory prediction models, these methods are predominantly heuristic and do not offer guaranteed robustness against adversarial attacks and noisy observations. In this work, we propose a certification approach tailored for the task of trajectory prediction. To this end, we address the inherent challenges associated with trajectory prediction, including unbounded outputs, and mutli-modality, resulting in a model that provides guaranteed robustness. Furthermore, we integrate a denoiser into our method to further improve the performance. Through comprehensive evaluations, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed technique across various baselines and using standard trajectory prediction datasets. The code will be made available online: https://s-attack.github.io/

Social-Transmotion: Promptable Human Trajectory Prediction

Accurate human trajectory prediction is crucial for applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, and surveillance systems. Yet, existing models often fail to fully leverage the non-verbal social cues human subconsciously communicate when navigating the space. To address this, we introduce Social-Transmotion, a generic model that exploits the power of transformers to handle diverse and numerous visual cues, capturing the multi-modal nature of human behavior. We translate the idea of a prompt from Natural Language Processing (NLP) to the task of human trajectory prediction, where a prompt can be a sequence of x-y coordinates on the ground, bounding boxes or body poses. This, in turn, augments trajectory data, leading to enhanced human trajectory prediction. Our model exhibits flexibility and adaptability by capturing spatiotemporal interactions between pedestrians based on the available visual cues, whether they are poses, bounding boxes, or a combination thereof. By the masking technique, we ensure our model's effectiveness even when certain visual cues are unavailable, although performance is further boosted with the presence of comprehensive visual data. We delve into the merits of using 2d versus 3d poses, and a limited set of poses. Additionally, we investigate the spatial and temporal attention map to identify which keypoints and frames of poses are vital for optimizing human trajectory prediction. Our approach is validated on multiple datasets, including JTA, JRDB, Pedestrians and Cyclists in Road Traffic, and ETH-UCY. The code is publicly available: https://github.com/vita-epfl/social-transmotion

JRDB-Traj: A Dataset and Benchmark for Trajectory Forecasting in Crowds

Predicting future trajectories is critical in autonomous navigation, especially in preventing accidents involving humans, where a predictive agent's ability to anticipate in advance is of utmost importance. Trajectory forecasting models, employed in fields such as robotics, autonomous vehicles, and navigation, face challenges in real-world scenarios, often due to the isolation of model components. To address this, we introduce a novel dataset for end-to-end trajectory forecasting, facilitating the evaluation of models in scenarios involving less-than-ideal preceding modules such as tracking. This dataset, an extension of the JRDB dataset, provides comprehensive data, including the locations of all agents, scene images, and point clouds, all from the robot's perspective. The objective is to predict the future positions of agents relative to the robot using raw sensory input data. It bridges the gap between isolated models and practical applications, promoting a deeper understanding of navigation dynamics. Additionally, we introduce a novel metric for assessing trajectory forecasting models in real-world scenarios where ground-truth identities are inaccessible, addressing issues related to undetected or over-detected agents. Researchers are encouraged to use our benchmark for model evaluation and benchmarking.

Toward Reliable Human Pose Forecasting with Uncertainty

Recently, there has been an arms race of pose forecasting methods aimed at solving the spatio-temporal task of predicting a sequence of future 3D poses of a person given a sequence of past observed ones. However, the lack of unified benchmarks and limited uncertainty analysis have hindered progress in the field. To address this, we first develop an open-source library for human pose forecasting, featuring multiple models, datasets, and standardized evaluation metrics, with the aim of promoting research and moving toward a unified and fair evaluation. Second, we devise two types of uncertainty in the problem to increase performance and convey better trust: 1) we propose a method for modeling aleatoric uncertainty by using uncertainty priors to inject knowledge about the behavior of uncertainty. This focuses the capacity of the model in the direction of more meaningful supervision while reducing the number of learned parameters and improving stability; 2) we introduce a novel approach for quantifying the epistemic uncertainty of any model through clustering and measuring the entropy of its assignments. Our experiments demonstrate up to $25\%$ improvements in accuracy and better performance in uncertainty estimation.

A generic diffusion-based approach for 3D human pose prediction in the wild

3D human pose forecasting, i.e., predicting a sequence of future human 3D poses given a sequence of past observed ones, is a challenging spatio-temporal task. It can be more challenging in real-world applications where occlusions will inevitably happen, and estimated 3D coordinates of joints would contain some noise. We provide a unified formulation in which incomplete elements (no matter in the prediction or observation) are treated as noise and propose a conditional diffusion model that denoises them and forecasts plausible poses. Instead of naively predicting all future frames at once, our model consists of two cascaded sub-models, each specialized for modeling short and long horizon distributions. We also propose a generic framework to improve any 3D pose forecasting model by leveraging our diffusion model in two additional steps: a pre-processing step to repair the inputs and a post-processing step to refine the outputs. We investigate our findings on four standard datasets (Human3.6M, HumanEva-I, AMASS, and 3DPW) and obtain significant improvements over the state-of-the-art. The code will be made available online.

Pedestrian 3D Bounding Box Prediction

Safety is still the main issue of autonomous driving, and in order to be globally deployed, they need to predict pedestrians' motions sufficiently in advance. While there is a lot of research on coarse-grained (human center prediction) and fine-grained predictions (human body keypoints prediction), we focus on 3D bounding boxes, which are reasonable estimates of humans without modeling complex motion details for autonomous vehicles. This gives the flexibility to predict in longer horizons in real-world settings. We suggest this new problem and present a simple yet effective model for pedestrians' 3D bounding box prediction. This method follows an encoder-decoder architecture based on recurrent neural networks, and our experiments show its effectiveness in both the synthetic (JTA) and real-world (NuScenes) datasets. The learned representation has useful information to enhance the performance of other tasks, such as action anticipation. Our code is available online: https://github.com/vita-epfl/bounding-box-prediction

A Shared Representation for Photorealistic Driving Simulators

A powerful simulator highly decreases the need for real-world tests when training and evaluating autonomous vehicles. Data-driven simulators flourished with the recent advancement of conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (cGANs), providing high-fidelity images. The main challenge is synthesizing photorealistic images while following given constraints. In this work, we propose to improve the quality of generated images by rethinking the discriminator architecture. The focus is on the class of problems where images are generated given semantic inputs, such as scene segmentation maps or human body poses. We build on successful cGAN models to propose a new semantically-aware discriminator that better guides the generator. We aim to learn a shared latent representation that encodes enough information to jointly do semantic segmentation, content reconstruction, along with a coarse-to-fine grained adversarial reasoning. The achieved improvements are generic and simple enough to be applied to any architecture of conditional image synthesis. We demonstrate the strength of our method on the scene, building, and human synthesis tasks across three different datasets. The code is available at https://github.com/vita-epfl/SemDisc.

Vehicle trajectory prediction works, but not everywhere

Vehicle trajectory prediction is nowadays a fundamental pillar of self-driving cars. Both the industry and research communities have acknowledged the need for such a pillar by running public benchmarks. While state-of-the-art methods are impressive, i.e., they have no off-road prediction, their generalization to cities outside of the benchmark is unknown. In this work, we show that those methods do not generalize to new scenes. We present a novel method that automatically generates realistic scenes that cause state-of-the-art models go off-road. We frame the problem through the lens of adversarial scene generation. We promote a simple yet effective generative model based on atomic scene generation functions along with physical constraints. Our experiments show that more than $60\%$ of the existing scenes from the current benchmarks can be modified in a way to make prediction methods fail (predicting off-road). We further show that (i) the generated scenes are realistic since they do exist in the real world, and (ii) can be used to make existing models robust by 30-40%. Code is available at https://s-attack.github.io/.

SVG-Net: An SVG-based Trajectory Prediction Model

Anticipating motions of vehicles in a scene is an essential problem for safe autonomous driving systems. To this end, the comprehension of the scene's infrastructure is often the main clue for predicting future trajectories. Most of the proposed approaches represent the scene with a rasterized format and some of the more recent approaches leverage custom vectorized formats. In contrast, we propose representing the scene's information by employing Scalable Vector Graphics (SVG). SVG is a well-established format that matches the problem of trajectory prediction better than rasterized formats while being more general than arbitrary vectorized formats. SVG has the potential to provide the convenience and generality of raster-based solutions if coupled with a powerful tool such as CNNs, for which we introduce SVG-Net. SVG-Net is a Transformer-based Neural Network that can effectively capture the scene's information from SVG inputs. Thanks to the self-attention mechanism in its Transformers, SVG-Net can also adequately apprehend relations amongst the scene and the agents. We demonstrate SVG-Net's effectiveness by evaluating its performance on the publicly available Argoverse forecasting dataset. Finally, we illustrate how, by using SVG, one can benefit from datasets and advancements in other research fronts that also utilize the same input format. Our code is available at https://vita-epfl.github.io/SVGNet/.

Are socially-aware trajectory prediction models really socially-aware?

Our field has recently witnessed an arms race of neural network-based trajectory predictors. While these predictors are at the core of many applications such as autonomous navigation or pedestrian flow simulations, their adversarial robustness has not been carefully studied. In this paper, we introduce a socially-attended attack to assess the social understanding of prediction models in terms of collision avoidance. An attack is a small yet carefully-crafted perturbations to fail predictors. Technically, we define collision as a failure mode of the output, and propose hard- and soft-attention mechanisms to guide our attack. Thanks to our attack, we shed light on the limitations of the current models in terms of their social understanding. We demonstrate the strengths of our method on the recent trajectory prediction models. Finally, we show that our attack can be employed to increase the social understanding of state-of-the-art models. The code is available online: https://s-attack.github.io/