Specialist vision-language models for clinical ophthalmology

Clinicians spend a significant amount of time reviewing medical images and transcribing their findings regarding patient diagnosis, referral and treatment in text form. Vision-language models (VLMs), which automatically interpret images and summarize their findings as text, have enormous potential to alleviate clinical workloads and increase patient access to high-quality medical care. While foundational models have stirred considerable interest in the medical community, it is unclear whether their general capabilities translate to real-world clinical utility. In this work, we show that foundation VLMs markedly underperform compared to practicing ophthalmologists on specialist tasks crucial to the care of patients with age-related macular degeneration (AMD). To address this, we initially identified the essential capabilities required for image-based clinical decision-making, and then developed a curriculum to selectively train VLMs in these skills. The resulting model, RetinaVLM, can be instructed to write reports that significantly outperform those written by leading foundation medical VLMs in disease staging (F1 score of 0.63 vs. 0.11) and patient referral (0.67 vs. 0.39), and approaches the diagnostic performance of junior ophthalmologists (who achieve 0.77 and 0.78 on the respective tasks). Furthermore, in a reader study involving two senior ophthalmologists with up to 32 years of experience, RetinaVLM's reports were found to be similarly correct (78.6% vs. 82.1%) and complete (both 78.6%) as reports written by junior ophthalmologists with up to 10 years of experience. These results demonstrate that our curriculum-based approach provides a blueprint for specializing generalist foundation medical VLMs to handle real-world clinical tasks.

Spatiotemporal Representation Learning for Short and Long Medical Image Time Series

Analyzing temporal developments is crucial for the accurate prognosis of many medical conditions. Temporal changes that occur over short time scales are key to assessing the health of physiological functions, such as the cardiac cycle. Moreover, tracking longer term developments that occur over months or years in evolving processes, such as age-related macular degeneration (AMD), is essential for accurate prognosis. Despite the importance of both short and long term analysis to clinical decision making, they remain understudied in medical deep learning. State of the art methods for spatiotemporal representation learning, developed for short natural videos, prioritize the detection of temporal constants rather than temporal developments. Moreover, they do not account for varying time intervals between acquisitions, which are essential for contextualizing observed changes. To address these issues, we propose two approaches. First, we combine clip-level contrastive learning with a novel temporal embedding to adapt to irregular time series. Second, we propose masking and predicting latent frame representations of the temporal sequence. Our two approaches outperform all prior methods on temporally-dependent tasks including cardiac output estimation and three prognostic AMD tasks. Overall, this enables the automated analysis of temporal patterns which are typically overlooked in applications of deep learning to medicine.

Propagation and Attribution of Uncertainty in Medical Imaging Pipelines

Uncertainty estimation, which provides a means of building explainable neural networks for medical imaging applications, have mostly been studied for single deep learning models that focus on a specific task. In this paper, we propose a method to propagate uncertainty through cascades of deep learning models in medical imaging pipelines. This allows us to aggregate the uncertainty in later stages of the pipeline and to obtain a joint uncertainty measure for the predictions of later models. Additionally, we can separately report contributions of the aleatoric, data-based, uncertainty of every component in the pipeline. We demonstrate the utility of our method on a realistic imaging pipeline that reconstructs undersampled brain and knee magnetic resonance (MR) images and subsequently predicts quantitative information from the images, such as the brain volume, or knee side or patient's sex. We quantitatively show that the propagated uncertainty is correlated with input uncertainty and compare the proportions of contributions of pipeline stages to the joint uncertainty measure.

Unlocking the Diagnostic Potential of ECG through Knowledge Transfer from Cardiac MRI

The electrocardiogram (ECG) is a widely available diagnostic tool that allows for a cost-effective and fast assessment of the cardiovascular health. However, more detailed examination with expensive cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging is often preferred for the diagnosis of cardiovascular diseases. While providing detailed visualization of the cardiac anatomy, CMR imaging is not widely available due to long scan times and high costs. To address this issue, we propose the first self-supervised contrastive approach that transfers domain-specific information from CMR images to ECG embeddings. Our approach combines multimodal contrastive learning with masked data modeling to enable holistic cardiac screening solely from ECG data. In extensive experiments using data from 40,044 UK Biobank subjects, we demonstrate the utility and generalizability of our method. We predict the subject-specific risk of various cardiovascular diseases and determine distinct cardiac phenotypes solely from ECG data. In a qualitative analysis, we demonstrate that our learned ECG embeddings incorporate information from CMR image regions of interest. We make our entire pipeline publicly available, including the source code and pre-trained model weights.

Best of Both Worlds: Multimodal Contrastive Learning with Tabular and Imaging Data

Medical datasets and especially biobanks, often contain extensive tabular data with rich clinical information in addition to images. In practice, clinicians typically have less data, both in terms of diversity and scale, but still wish to deploy deep learning solutions. Combined with increasing medical dataset sizes and expensive annotation costs, the necessity for unsupervised methods that can pretrain multimodally and predict unimodally has risen. To address these needs, we propose the first self-supervised contrastive learning framework that takes advantage of images and tabular data to train unimodal encoders. Our solution combines SimCLR and SCARF, two leading contrastive learning strategies, and is simple and effective. In our experiments, we demonstrate the strength of our framework by predicting risks of myocardial infarction and coronary artery disease (CAD) using cardiac MR images and 120 clinical features from 40,000 UK Biobank subjects. Furthermore, we show the generalizability of our approach to natural images using the DVM car advertisement dataset. We take advantage of the high interpretability of tabular data and through attribution and ablation experiments find that morphometric tabular features, describing size and shape, have outsized importance during the contrastive learning process and improve the quality of the learned embeddings. Finally, we introduce a novel form of supervised contrastive learning, label as a feature (LaaF), by appending the ground truth label as a tabular feature during multimodal pretraining, outperforming all supervised contrastive baselines.

Reinforced optimal control

Least squares Monte Carlo methods are a popular numerical approximation method for solving stochastic control problems. Based on dynamic programming, their key feature is the approximation of the conditional expectation of future rewards by linear least squares regression. Hence, the choice of basis functions is crucial for the accuracy of the method. Earlier work by some of us [Belomestny, Schoenmakers, Spokoiny, Zharkynbay. Commun.~Math.~Sci., 18(1):109-121, 2020] proposes to \emph{reinforce} the basis functions in the case of optimal stopping problems by already computed value functions for later times, thereby considerably improving the accuracy with limited additional computational cost. We extend the reinforced regression method to a general class of stochastic control problems, while considerably improving the method's efficiency, as demonstrated by substantial numerical examples as well as theoretical analysis.