Through the Gaps: Uncovering Tactical Line-Breaking Passes with Clustering

Line-breaking passes (LBPs) are crucial tactical actions in football, allowing teams to penetrate defensive lines and access high-value spaces. In this study, we present an unsupervised, clustering-based framework for detecting and analysing LBPs using synchronised event and tracking data from elite matches. Our approach models opponent team shape through vertical spatial segmentation and identifies passes that disrupt defensive lines within open play. Beyond detection, we introduce several tactical metrics, including the space build-up ratio (SBR) and two chain-based variants, LBPCh$^1$ and LBPCh$^2$, which quantify the effectiveness of LBPs in generating immediate or sustained attacking threats. We evaluate these metrics across teams and players in the 2022 FIFA World Cup, revealing stylistic differences in vertical progression and structural disruption. The proposed methodology is explainable, scalable, and directly applicable to modern performance analysis and scouting workflows.

Core-Set Selection for Data-efficient Land Cover Segmentation

The increasing accessibility of remotely sensed data and the potential of such data to inform large-scale decision-making has driven the development of deep learning models for many Earth Observation tasks. Traditionally, such models must be trained on large datasets. However, the common assumption that broadly larger datasets lead to better outcomes tends to overlook the complexities of the data distribution, the potential for introducing biases and noise, and the computational resources required for processing and storing vast datasets. Therefore, effective solutions should consider both the quantity and quality of data. In this paper, we propose six novel core-set selection methods for selecting important subsets of samples from remote sensing image segmentation datasets that rely on imagery only, labels only, and a combination of each. We benchmark these approaches against a random-selection baseline on three commonly used land cover classification datasets: DFC2022, Vaihingen, and Potsdam. In each of the datasets, we demonstrate that training on a subset of samples outperforms the random baseline, and some approaches outperform training on all available data. This result shows the importance and potential of data-centric learning for the remote sensing domain. The code is available at https://github.com/keillernogueira/data-centric-rs-classification/.

Multi-modal Data Fusion and Deep Ensemble Learning for Accurate Crop Yield Prediction

This study introduces RicEns-Net, a novel Deep Ensemble model designed to predict crop yields by integrating diverse data sources through multimodal data fusion techniques. The research focuses specifically on the use of synthetic aperture radar (SAR), optical remote sensing data from Sentinel 1, 2, and 3 satellites, and meteorological measurements such as surface temperature and rainfall. The initial field data for the study were acquired through Ernst & Young's (EY) Open Science Challenge 2023. The primary objective is to enhance the precision of crop yield prediction by developing a machine-learning framework capable of handling complex environmental data. A comprehensive data engineering process was employed to select the most informative features from over 100 potential predictors, reducing the set to 15 features from 5 distinct modalities. This step mitigates the ``curse of dimensionality" and enhances model performance. The RicEns-Net architecture combines multiple machine learning algorithms in a deep ensemble framework, integrating the strengths of each technique to improve predictive accuracy. Experimental results demonstrate that RicEns-Net achieves a mean absolute error (MAE) of 341 kg/Ha (roughly corresponds to 5-6\% of the lowest average yield in the region), significantly exceeding the performance of previous state-of-the-art models, including those developed during the EY challenge.

TopoFormer: Integrating Transformers and ConvLSTMs for Coastal Topography Prediction

This paper presents \textit{TopoFormer}, a novel hybrid deep learning architecture that integrates transformer-based encoders with convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM) layers for the precise prediction of topographic beach profiles referenced to elevation datums, with a particular focus on Mean Low Water Springs (MLWS) and Mean Low Water Neaps (MLWN). Accurate topographic estimation down to MLWS is critical for coastal management, navigation safety, and environmental monitoring. Leveraging a comprehensive dataset from the Wales Coastal Monitoring Centre (WCMC), consisting of over 2000 surveys across 36 coastal survey units, TopoFormer addresses key challenges in topographic prediction, including temporal variability and data gaps in survey measurements. The architecture uniquely combines multi-head attention mechanisms and ConvLSTM layers to capture both long-range dependencies and localized temporal patterns inherent in beach profiles data. TopoFormer's predictive performance was rigorously evaluated against state-of-the-art models, including DenseNet, 1D/2D CNNs, and LSTMs. While all models demonstrated strong performance, \textit{TopoFormer} achieved the lowest mean absolute error (MAE), as low as 2 cm, and provided superior accuracy in both in-distribution (ID) and out-of-distribution (OOD) evaluations.

A Multimodal Approach for Fluid Overload Prediction: Integrating Lung Ultrasound and Clinical Data

Managing fluid balance in dialysis patients is crucial, as improper management can lead to severe complications. In this paper, we propose a multimodal approach that integrates visual features from lung ultrasound images with clinical data to enhance the prediction of excess body fluid. Our framework employs independent encoders to extract features for each modality and combines them through a cross-domain attention mechanism to capture complementary information. By framing the prediction as a classification task, the model achieves significantly better performance than regression. The results demonstrate that multimodal models consistently outperform single-modality models, particularly when attention mechanisms prioritize tabular data. Pseudo-sample generation further contributes to mitigating the imbalanced classification problem, achieving the highest accuracy of 88.31%. This study underscores the effectiveness of multimodal learning for fluid overload management in dialysis patients, offering valuable insights for improved clinical outcomes.

DUCPS: Deep Unfolding the Cauchy Proximal Splitting Algorithm for B-Lines Quantification in Lung Ultrasound Images

The identification of artefacts, particularly B-lines, in lung ultrasound (LUS), is crucial for assisting clinical diagnosis, prompting the development of innovative methodologies. While the Cauchy proximal splitting (CPS) algorithm has demonstrated effective performance in B-line detection, the process is slow and has limited generalization. This paper addresses these issues with a novel unsupervised deep unfolding network structure (DUCPS). The framework utilizes deep unfolding procedures to merge traditional model-based techniques with deep learning approaches. By unfolding the CPS algorithm into a deep network, DUCPS enables the parameters in the optimization algorithm to be learnable, thus enhancing generalization performance and facilitating rapid convergence. We conducted entirely unsupervised training using the Neighbor2Neighbor (N2N) and the Structural Similarity Index Measure (SSIM) losses. When combined with an improved line identification method proposed in this paper, state-of-the-art performance is achieved, with the recall and F2 score reaching 0.70 and 0.64, respectively. Notably, DUCPS significantly improves computational efficiency eliminating the need for extensive data labeling, representing a notable advancement over both traditional algorithms and existing deep learning approaches.

Bayes-xG: Player and Position Correction on Expected Goals using Bayesian Hierarchical Approach

This study employs Bayesian methodologies to explore the influence of player or positional factors in predicting the probability of a shot resulting in a goal, measured by the expected goals (xG) metric. Utilising publicly available data from StatsBomb, Bayesian hierarchical logistic regressions are constructed, analysing approximately 10,000 shots from the English Premier League to ascertain whether positional or player-level effects impact xG. The findings reveal positional effects in a basic model that includes only distance to goal and shot angle as predictors, highlighting that strikers and attacking midfielders exhibit a higher likelihood of scoring. However, these effects diminish when more informative predictors are introduced. Nevertheless, even with additional predictors, player-level effects persist, indicating that certain players possess notable positive or negative xG adjustments, influencing their likelihood of scoring a given chance. The study extends its analysis to data from Spain's La Liga and Germany's Bundesliga, yielding comparable results. Additionally, the paper assesses the impact of prior distribution choices on outcomes, concluding that the priors employed in the models provide sound results but could be refined to enhance sampling efficiency for constructing more complex and extensive models feasibly.

DUBLINE: A Deep Unfolding Network for B-line Detection in Lung Ultrasound Images

In the context of lung ultrasound, the detection of B-lines, which are indicative of interstitial lung disease and pulmonary edema, plays a pivotal role in clinical diagnosis. Current methods still rely on visual inspection by experts. Vision-based automatic B-line detection methods have been developed, but their performance has yet to improve in terms of both accuracy and computational speed. This paper presents a novel approach to posing B-line detection as an inverse problem via deep unfolding of the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM). It tackles the challenges of data labelling and model training in lung ultrasound image analysis by harnessing the capabilities of deep neural networks and model-based methods. Our objective is to substantially enhance diagnostic accuracy while ensuring efficient real-time capabilities. The results show that the proposed method runs more than 90 times faster than the traditional model-based method and achieves an F1 score that is 10.6% higher.

Robust Kalman Filters Based on the Sub-Gaussian $α$-stable Distribution

Motivated by filtering tasks under a linear system with non-Gaussian heavy-tailed noise, various robust Kalman filters (RKFs) based on different heavy-tailed distributions have been proposed. Although the sub-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable (SG$\alpha$S) distribution captures heavy tails well and is applicable in various scenarios, its potential has not yet been explored in RKFs. The main hindrance is that there is no closed-form expression of its mixing density. This paper proposes a novel RKF framework, RKF-SG$\alpha$S, where the signal noise is assumed to be Gaussian and the heavy-tailed measurement noise is modelled by the SG$\alpha$S distribution. The corresponding joint posterior distribution of the state vector and auxiliary random variables is approximated by the Variational Bayesian (VB) approach. Also, four different minimum mean square error (MMSE) estimators of the scale function are presented. The first two methods are based on the Importance Sampling (IS) and Gauss-Laguerre quadrature (GLQ), respectively. In contrast, the last two estimators combine a proposed Gamma series (GS) based method with the IS and GLQ estimators and hence are called GSIS and GSGL. Besides, the RKF-SG$\alpha$S is compared with the state-of-the-art RKFs under three kinds of heavy-tailed measurement noises, and the simulation results demonstrate its estimation accuracy and efficiency.

Sentiment Analysis for Measuring Hope and Fear from Reddit Posts During the 2022 Russo-Ukrainian Conflict

This paper proposes a novel lexicon-based unsupervised sentimental analysis method to measure the $``\textit{hope}"$ and $``\textit{fear}"$ for the 2022 Ukrainian-Russian Conflict. $\textit{Reddit.com}$ is utilised as the main source of human reactions to daily events during nearly the first three months of the conflict. The top 50 $``hot"$ posts of six different subreddits about Ukraine and news (Ukraine, worldnews, Ukraina, UkrainianConflict, UkraineWarVideoReport, UkraineWarReports) and their relative comments are scraped and a data set is created. On this corpus, multiple analyses such as (1) public interest, (2) hope/fear score, (3) stock price interaction are employed. We promote using a dictionary approach, which scores the hopefulness of every submitted user post. The Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) algorithm of topic modelling is also utilised to understand the main issues raised by users and what are the key talking points. Experimental analysis shows that the hope strongly decreases after the symbolic and strategic losses of Azovstal (Mariupol) and Severodonetsk. Spikes in hope/fear, both positives and negatives, are present after important battles, but also some non-military events, such as Eurovision and football games.