Bayes-xG: Player and Position Correction on Expected Goals (xG) using Bayesian Hierarchical Approach

This study employs Bayesian methodologies to explore the influence of player or positional factors in predicting the probability of a shot resulting in a goal, measured by the expected goals (xG) metric. Utilising publicly available data from StatsBomb, Bayesian hierarchical logistic regressions are constructed, analysing approximately 10,000 shots from the English Premier League to ascertain whether positional or player-level effects impact xG. The findings reveal positional effects in a basic model that includes only distance to goal and shot angle as predictors, highlighting that strikers and attacking midfielders exhibit a higher likelihood of scoring. However, these effects diminish when more informative predictors are introduced. Nevertheless, even with additional predictors, player-level effects persist, indicating that certain players possess notable positive or negative xG adjustments, influencing their likelihood of scoring a given chance. The study extends its analysis to data from Spain's La Liga and Germany's Bundesliga, yielding comparable results. Additionally, the paper assesses the impact of prior distribution choices on outcomes, concluding that the priors employed in the models provide sound results but could be refined to enhance sampling efficiency for constructing more complex and extensive models feasibly.

DUBLINE: A Deep Unfolding Network for B-line Detection in Lung Ultrasound Images

In the context of lung ultrasound, the detection of B-lines, which are indicative of interstitial lung disease and pulmonary edema, plays a pivotal role in clinical diagnosis. Current methods still rely on visual inspection by experts. Vision-based automatic B-line detection methods have been developed, but their performance has yet to improve in terms of both accuracy and computational speed. This paper presents a novel approach to posing B-line detection as an inverse problem via deep unfolding of the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM). It tackles the challenges of data labelling and model training in lung ultrasound image analysis by harnessing the capabilities of deep neural networks and model-based methods. Our objective is to substantially enhance diagnostic accuracy while ensuring efficient real-time capabilities. The results show that the proposed method runs more than 90 times faster than the traditional model-based method and achieves an F1 score that is 10.6% higher.

Robust Kalman Filters Based on the Sub-Gaussian $α$-stable Distribution

Motivated by filtering tasks under a linear system with non-Gaussian heavy-tailed noise, various robust Kalman filters (RKFs) based on different heavy-tailed distributions have been proposed. Although the sub-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable (SG$\alpha$S) distribution captures heavy tails well and is applicable in various scenarios, its potential has not yet been explored in RKFs. The main hindrance is that there is no closed-form expression of its mixing density. This paper proposes a novel RKF framework, RKF-SG$\alpha$S, where the signal noise is assumed to be Gaussian and the heavy-tailed measurement noise is modelled by the SG$\alpha$S distribution. The corresponding joint posterior distribution of the state vector and auxiliary random variables is approximated by the Variational Bayesian (VB) approach. Also, four different minimum mean square error (MMSE) estimators of the scale function are presented. The first two methods are based on the Importance Sampling (IS) and Gauss-Laguerre quadrature (GLQ), respectively. In contrast, the last two estimators combine a proposed Gamma series (GS) based method with the IS and GLQ estimators and hence are called GSIS and GSGL. Besides, the RKF-SG$\alpha$S is compared with the state-of-the-art RKFs under three kinds of heavy-tailed measurement noises, and the simulation results demonstrate its estimation accuracy and efficiency.

Sentiment Analysis for Measuring Hope and Fear from Reddit Posts During the 2022 Russo-Ukrainian Conflict

This paper proposes a novel lexicon-based unsupervised sentimental analysis method to measure the $``\textit{hope}"$ and $``\textit{fear}"$ for the 2022 Ukrainian-Russian Conflict. $\textit{Reddit.com}$ is utilised as the main source of human reactions to daily events during nearly the first three months of the conflict. The top 50 $``hot"$ posts of six different subreddits about Ukraine and news (Ukraine, worldnews, Ukraina, UkrainianConflict, UkraineWarVideoReport, UkraineWarReports) and their relative comments are scraped and a data set is created. On this corpus, multiple analyses such as (1) public interest, (2) hope/fear score, (3) stock price interaction are employed. We promote using a dictionary approach, which scores the hopefulness of every submitted user post. The Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) algorithm of topic modelling is also utilised to understand the main issues raised by users and what are the key talking points. Experimental analysis shows that the hope strongly decreases after the symbolic and strategic losses of Azovstal (Mariupol) and Severodonetsk. Spikes in hope/fear, both positives and negatives, are present after important battles, but also some non-military events, such as Eurovision and football games.

A Semi-supervised Learning Approach for B-line Detection in Lung Ultrasound Images

Studies have proved that the number of B-lines in lung ultrasound images has a strong statistical link to the amount of extravascular lung water, which is significant for hemodialysis treatment. Manual inspection of B-lines requires experts and is time-consuming, whilst modelling automation methods is currently problematic because of a lack of ground truth. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a novel semi-supervised learning method for the B-line detection task based on contrastive learning. Through multi-level unsupervised learning on unlabelled lung ultrasound images, the features of the artefacts are learnt. In the downstream task, we introduce a fine-tuning process on a small number of labelled images using the EIoU-based loss function. Apart from reducing the data labelling workload, the proposed method shows a superior performance to model-based algorithm with the recall of 91.43%, the accuracy of 84.21% and the F1 score of 91.43%.

Measuring Air Quality via Multimodal AI and Satellite Imagery

Climate change may be classified as the most important environmental problem that the Earth is currently facing, and affects all living species on Earth. Given that air-quality monitoring stations are typically ground-based their abilities to detect pollutant distributions are often restricted to wide areas. Satellites however have the potential for studying the atmosphere at large; the European Space Agency (ESA) Copernicus project satellite, "Sentinel-5P" is a newly launched satellite capable of measuring a variety of pollutant information with publicly available data outputs. This paper seeks to create a multi-modal machine learning model for predicting air-quality metrics where monitoring stations do not exist. The inputs of this model will include a fusion of ground measurements and satellite data with the goal of highlighting pollutant distribution and motivating change in societal and industrial behaviors. A new dataset of European pollution monitoring station measurements is created with features including $\textit{altitude, population, etc.}$ from the ESA Copernicus project. This dataset is used to train a multi-modal ML model, Air Quality Network (AQNet) capable of fusing these various types of data sources to output predictions of various pollutants. These predictions are then aggregated to create an "air-quality index" that could be used to compare air quality over different regions. Three pollutants, NO$_2$, O$_3$, and PM$_{10}$, are predicted successfully by AQNet and the network was found to be useful compared to a model only using satellite imagery. It was also found that the addition of supporting data improves predictions. When testing the developed AQNet on out-of-sample data of the UK and Ireland, we obtain satisfactory estimates though on average pollution metrics were roughly overestimated by around 20\%.

Can We "Sense" the Call of The Ocean? Current Advances in Remote Sensing Computational Imaging for Marine Debris Monitoring

Especially due to the unconscious use of petroleum products, the ocean faces a potential danger: $\textit{plastic pollution}$. Plastic pollutes not only the ocean but also directly the air and foods whilst endangering the ocean wild-life due to the ingestion and entanglements. Especially, during the last decade, public initiatives and academic institutions have spent an enormous time on finding possible solutions to marine plastic pollution. Remote sensing imagery sits in a crucial place for these efforts since it provides highly informative earth observation products. Despite this, detection, and monitoring of the marine environment in the context of plastic pollution is still in its early stages and the current technology offers possible important development for the computational efforts. This paper contributes to the literature with a thorough and rich review and aims to highlight notable literature milestones in marine debris monitoring applications by promoting the computational imaging methodology behind these approaches.

Current Advances in Computational Lung Ultrasound Imaging: A Review

In the field of biomedical imaging, ultrasonography has become increasingly widespread, and an important auxiliary diagnostic tool with unique advantages, such as being non-ionising and often portable. This article reviews the state-of-the-art in medical ultrasound image computing and in particular its application in the examination of the lungs. First, we review the current developments in medical ultrasound technology. We then focus on the characteristics of lung ultrasonography and on its ability to diagnose a variety of diseases through the identification of various artefacts. We review medical ultrasound image processing methods by splitting them into two categories: (1) traditional model-based methods, and (2) data driven methods. For the former, we consider inverse problem based methods by focusing in particular on ultrasound image despeckling, deconvolution, and line artefacts detection. Among the data-driven approaches, we discuss various works based on deep/machine learning, which include various effective network architectures implementing supervised, weakly supervised and unsupervised learning.

Representation Learning via Cauchy Convolutional Sparse Coding

In representation learning, Convolutional Sparse Coding (CSC) enables unsupervised learning of features by jointly optimising both an \(\ell_2\)-norm fidelity term and a sparsity enforcing penalty. This work investigates using a regularisation term derived from an assumed Cauchy prior for the coefficients of the feature maps of a CSC generative model. The sparsity penalty term resulting from this prior is solved via its proximal operator, which is then applied iteratively, element-wise, on the coefficients of the feature maps to optimise the CSC cost function. The performance of the proposed Iterative Cauchy Thresholding (ICT) algorithm in reconstructing natural images is compared against the common choice of \(\ell_1\)-norm optimised via soft and hard thresholding. ICT outperforms IHT and IST in most of these reconstruction experiments across various datasets, with an average PSNR of up to 11.30 and 7.04 above ISTA and IHT respectively.