PASTA: A Unified Framework for Offline Assortment Learning

We study a broad class of assortment optimization problems in an offline and data-driven setting. In such problems, a firm lacks prior knowledge of the underlying choice model, and aims to determine an optimal assortment based on historical customer choice data. The combinatorial nature of assortment optimization often results in insufficient data coverage, posing a significant challenge in designing provably effective solutions. To address this, we introduce a novel Pessimistic Assortment Optimization (PASTA) framework that leverages the principle of pessimism to achieve optimal expected revenue under general choice models. Notably, PASTA requires only that the offline data distribution contains an optimal assortment, rather than providing the full coverage of all feasible assortments. Theoretically, we establish the first finite-sample regret bounds for offline assortment optimization across several widely used choice models, including the multinomial logit and nested logit models. Additionally, we derive a minimax regret lower bound, proving that PASTA is minimax optimal in terms of sample and model complexity. Numerical experiments further demonstrate that our method outperforms existing baseline approaches.

Conditional Average Treatment Effect Estimation Under Hidden Confounders

One of the major challenges in estimating conditional potential outcomes and conditional average treatment effects (CATE) is the presence of hidden confounders. Since testing for hidden confounders cannot be accomplished only with observational data, conditional unconfoundedness is commonly assumed in the literature of CATE estimation. Nevertheless, under this assumption, CATE estimation can be significantly biased due to the effects of unobserved confounders. In this work, we consider the case where in addition to a potentially large observational dataset, a small dataset from a randomized controlled trial (RCT) is available. Notably, we make no assumptions on the existence of any covariate information for the RCT dataset, we only require the outcomes to be observed. We propose a CATE estimation method based on a pseudo-confounder generator and a CATE model that aligns the learned potential outcomes from the observational data with those observed from the RCT. Our method is applicable to many practical scenarios of interest, particularly those where privacy is a concern (e.g., medical applications). Extensive numerical experiments are provided demonstrating the effectiveness of our approach for both synthetic and real-world datasets.

Teleportation With Null Space Gradient Projection for Optimization Acceleration

Optimization techniques have become increasingly critical due to the ever-growing model complexity and data scale. In particular, teleportation has emerged as a promising approach, which accelerates convergence of gradient descent-based methods by navigating within the loss invariant level set to identify parameters with advantageous geometric properties. Existing teleportation algorithms have primarily demonstrated their effectiveness in optimizing Multi-Layer Perceptrons (MLPs), but their extension to more advanced architectures, such as Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Transformers, remains challenging. Moreover, they often impose significant computational demands, limiting their applicability to complex architectures. To this end, we introduce an algorithm that projects the gradient of the teleportation objective function onto the input null space, effectively preserving the teleportation within the loss invariant level set and reducing computational cost. Our approach is readily generalizable from MLPs to CNNs, transformers, and potentially other advanced architectures. We validate the effectiveness of our algorithm across various benchmark datasets and optimizers, demonstrating its broad applicability.

S2TX: Cross-Attention Multi-Scale State-Space Transformer for Time Series Forecasting

Time series forecasting has recently achieved significant progress with multi-scale models to address the heterogeneity between long and short range patterns. Despite their state-of-the-art performance, we identify two potential areas for improvement. First, the variates of the multivariate time series are processed independently. Moreover, the multi-scale (long and short range) representations are learned separately by two independent models without communication. In light of these concerns, we propose State Space Transformer with cross-attention (S2TX). S2TX employs a cross-attention mechanism to integrate a Mamba model for extracting long-range cross-variate context and a Transformer model with local window attention to capture short-range representations. By cross-attending to the global context, the Transformer model further facilitates variate-level interactions as well as local/global communications. Comprehensive experiments on seven classic long-short range time-series forecasting benchmark datasets demonstrate that S2TX can achieve highly robust SOTA results while maintaining a low memory footprint.

Score-Based Metropolis-Hastings Algorithms

In this paper, we introduce a new approach for integrating score-based models with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. While traditional score-based diffusion models excel in accurately learning the score function from data points, they lack an energy function, making the Metropolis-Hastings adjustment step inaccessible. Consequently, the unadjusted Langevin algorithm is often used for sampling using estimated score functions. The lack of an energy function then prevents the application of the Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm and other Metropolis-Hastings methods, limiting the wealth of other algorithms developed that use acceptance functions. We address this limitation by introducing a new loss function based on the \emph{detailed balance condition}, allowing the estimation of the Metropolis-Hastings acceptance probabilities given a learned score function. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method for various scenarios, including sampling from heavy-tail distributions.

Offline Stochastic Optimization of Black-Box Objective Functions

Many challenges in science and engineering, such as drug discovery and communication network design, involve optimizing complex and expensive black-box functions across vast search spaces. Thus, it is essential to leverage existing data to avoid costly active queries of these black-box functions. To this end, while Offline Black-Box Optimization (BBO) is effective for deterministic problems, it may fall short in capturing the stochasticity of real-world scenarios. To address this, we introduce Stochastic Offline BBO (SOBBO), which tackles both black-box objectives and uncontrolled uncertainties. We propose two solutions: for large-data regimes, a differentiable surrogate allows for gradient-based optimization, while for scarce-data regimes, we directly estimate gradients under conservative field constraints, improving robustness, convergence, and data efficiency. Numerical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on both synthetic and real-world tasks.

Counterfactual Data Augmentation with Contrastive Learning

Statistical disparity between distinct treatment groups is one of the most significant challenges for estimating Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATE). To address this, we introduce a model-agnostic data augmentation method that imputes the counterfactual outcomes for a selected subset of individuals. Specifically, we utilize contrastive learning to learn a representation space and a similarity measure such that in the learned representation space close individuals identified by the learned similarity measure have similar potential outcomes. This property ensures reliable imputation of counterfactual outcomes for the individuals with close neighbors from the alternative treatment group. By augmenting the original dataset with these reliable imputations, we can effectively reduce the discrepancy between different treatment groups, while inducing minimal imputation error. The augmented dataset is subsequently employed to train CATE estimation models. Theoretical analysis and experimental studies on synthetic and semi-synthetic benchmarks demonstrate that our method achieves significant improvements in both performance and robustness to overfitting across state-of-the-art models.

Off-Policy Evaluation for Human Feedback

Off-policy evaluation (OPE) is important for closing the gap between offline training and evaluation of reinforcement learning (RL), by estimating performance and/or rank of target (evaluation) policies using offline trajectories only. It can improve the safety and efficiency of data collection and policy testing procedures in situations where online deployments are expensive, such as healthcare. However, existing OPE methods fall short in estimating human feedback (HF) signals, as HF may be conditioned over multiple underlying factors and is only sparsely available; as opposed to the agent-defined environmental rewards (used in policy optimization), which are usually determined over parametric functions or distributions. Consequently, the nature of HF signals makes extrapolating accurate OPE estimations to be challenging. To resolve this, we introduce an OPE for HF (OPEHF) framework that revives existing OPE methods in order to accurately evaluate the HF signals. Specifically, we develop an immediate human reward (IHR) reconstruction approach, regularized by environmental knowledge distilled in a latent space that captures the underlying dynamics of state transitions as well as issuing HF signals. Our approach has been tested over two real-world experiments, adaptive in-vivo neurostimulation and intelligent tutoring, as well as in a simulation environment (visual Q&A). Results show that our approach significantly improves the performance toward estimating HF signals accurately, compared to directly applying (variants of) existing OPE methods.

Robust Reinforcement Learning through Efficient Adversarial Herding

Although reinforcement learning (RL) is considered the gold standard for policy design, it may not always provide a robust solution in various scenarios. This can result in severe performance degradation when the environment is exposed to potential disturbances. Adversarial training using a two-player max-min game has been proven effective in enhancing the robustness of RL agents. In this work, we extend the two-player game by introducing an adversarial herd, which involves a group of adversaries, in order to address ($\textit{i}$) the difficulty of the inner optimization problem, and ($\textit{ii}$) the potential over pessimism caused by the selection of a candidate adversary set that may include unlikely scenarios. We first prove that adversarial herds can efficiently approximate the inner optimization problem. Then we address the second issue by replacing the worst-case performance in the inner optimization with the average performance over the worst-$k$ adversaries. We evaluate the proposed method on multiple MuJoCo environments. Experimental results demonstrate that our approach consistently generates more robust policies.

Few-Shot Continual Learning for Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks

In few-shot continual learning for generative models, a target mode must be learned with limited samples without adversely affecting the previously learned modes. In this paper, we propose a new continual learning approach for conditional generative adversarial networks (cGAN) based on a new mode-affinity measure for generative modeling. Our measure is entirely based on the cGAN's discriminator and can identify the existing modes that are most similar to the target. Subsequently, we expand the continual learning model by including the target mode using a weighted label derived from those of the closest modes. To prevent catastrophic forgetting, we first generate labeled data samples using the cGAN's generator, and then train the cGAN model for the target mode while memory replaying with the generated data. Our experimental results demonstrate the efficacy of our approach in improving the generation performance over the baselines and the state-of-the-art approaches for various standard datasets while utilizing fewer training samples.